File talk:ARRA Unemployment Rate Graph 2011-05.jpg

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bias?[edit]

This graph seems to imply that the ARRA act made unemployment worse, when that is clearly not the effect. Instead, they had underestimated the severity of the depression in giving the projection.

Additionally, there is no citation stating which unemployment figures are being used.

Finally, there is no indication of what unemployment would be if the law had not gone into effect. In fact, if you use the raw data it would have peaked at least a full 1% higher, that is presuming the higher unemployment rates did not have further compounding due to reduced consumer spending resulting in further business closure. 06:42, 13 November 2011 (UTC)

Note from the report containing this graph itself: "Forecasts of the unemployment rate without the recovery plan vary substantially. Some private forecasters anticipate unemployment rates as high as 11% in the absence of action."

Thus the drawing of such potential curve, would be necessary for this graph to be considered it unbiased, as the report containing this graph itself questions the accuracy of the forcasts this graph uses. --Robert Wm "Ruedii" (talk) 06:36, 8 January 2012 (UTC)[reply]