2008 Atlantic hurricane season

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The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season will be an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. The season will officially start on June 1 and will run through November 30. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin.

Contents

[edit] Seasonal forecasts

Predictions of tropical activity in the 2008 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
CSU Average (1950–2000)[1] 9.6 5.9 2.3
NOAA Average (1950–2005)[2] 11.0 6.2 2.7
Record high activity 28 15 8
Record low activity 4 2 0
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
CSU December 7, 2007 13 7 3
CSU April 9, 2008 15 8 4
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Actual activity - - -

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Dr. Philip J. Klotzbach, Dr. William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University; and separately by NOAA forecasters.

Dr. Klotzbach's team (formerly led by Dr. Gray) defined the average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000) as 9.6 tropical storms, 5.9 hurricanes, and 2.3 major hurricanes (storms exceeding Category 3 strength in the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). A normal season, as defined by NOAA, has 9 to 12 named storms, with 5 to 7 of those reaching hurricane strength, and 1 to 3 major hurricanes.[1][2]

[edit] Pre-season forecasts

On December 7, 2007, Klotzbach's team issued its first extended-range forecast for the 2008 season, predicting above-average activity (13 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 of Category 3 or higher).[1] On April 9, 2008, a new forecast was issued, anticipating a well above average hurricane season of 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 intense hurricanes.[3][4]

[edit] 2008 storm names

The following names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2008. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2009. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2014 season. The list is the same as the 2002 list except for Ike and Laura which will replace Isidore and Lili, respectively.

  • Arthur (unused)
  • Bertha (unused)
  • Cristobal (unused)
  • Dolly (unused)
  • Edouard (unused)
  • Fay (unused)
  • Gustav (unused)
  • Hanna (unused)
  • Ike (unused)
  • Josephine (unused)
  • Kyle (unused)
  • Laura (unused)
  • Marco (unused)
  • Nana (unused)
  • Omar (unused)
  • Paloma (unused)
  • Rene (unused)
  • Sally (unused)
  • Teddy (unused)
  • Vicky (unused)
  • Wilfred (unused)

[edit] References

  1. ^ a b c Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray (2007-12-07). Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2008. Colorado State University. Retrieved on 2007-12-07.
  2. ^ a b Climate Prediction Center (2006-08-08). BACKGROUND INFORMATION: THE NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved on 2006-12-08.
  3. ^ Neale, Rick, Experts predict 'very active' Atlantic hurricane season, USA Today, retrieved 2008-04-09
  4. ^ Klotzbach, Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. GrayEXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND U.S. LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2008 (as of 9 April 2008), Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, retrieved 2008-04-09

[edit] See also

[edit] External links

2000-09 Atlantic hurricane seasons
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