29th Alberta general election

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29th Alberta general election
Alberta
2012 ←
members
Before June 1, 2016 (2016-06-01) → 30th

87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Party Progressive Conservative Wildrose
Last election 61 seats, 43.95% 17 seats, 34.29%
Current seats 57 17

 
Party Liberal New Democratic
Last election 5 seats, 9.89% 4 seats, 9.82%
Current seats 5 4

Alta2010.png

Alberta's 87 electoral districts

Incumbent Premier

Jim Prentice
Progressive Conservative

The 29th general election of Alberta, Canada, will elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. It will take place after the Premier of Alberta formally advises the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislative Assembly.

The 2011 Election Amendment Act fixes the election to a three-month period, between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day. However, this does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[1] Because the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta (PCs) holds a majority in the current Assembly, an early election is not expected, making 2016 the probable election year.

Background[edit]

In the 2012 general election the PCs lost a portion of their caucus, but were able to retain a majority of the 87 seats. The Wildrose Party forms the official opposition for the first time, while the other two parties in the Assembly, the Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP), both hold official party status.[2] On September 4, 2014, the PCs became longest serving political dynasty in Canadian history, at 43 years, 5 days.[3]

Current standings[edit]

Summary of the current standings of the
Legislative Assembly of Alberta
Party Party leader Seats
2012 Current
Progressive Conservative Jim Prentice 61 57
Wildrose Danielle Smith 17 17
Liberal Raj Sherman 5 5
New Democratic Rachel Notley 4 4
Vacant 4
Total 87 87

Opinion polls[edit]

The following is a summary of polling firms, used by Alberta's media, with percentages of decided voters whom had been asked for what party they would vote for.

Polling Firm Date of Polling PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Other
Lethbridge College October 4–9, 2014 32.6 30.8 12.8 16.8 7.0
Leger Marketing Aug. 27–Sep. 2, 2014 29 33 18 16 4
Leger Marketing June 23–26, 2014 26 31 20 19 4
Insights West April 23–26, 2014 21 50 11 16 2
ThinkHQ March 10–16, 2014 19 46 16 15 4
Angus Reid March 3–9, 2014 23 46 15 13 4
Leger Marketing February 24–27, 2014 25 38 16 15 5
Environics February 14–23, 2014 36 33 18 12 2
Lethbridge College October 5–6, 2013 36.1 29.4 15.7 12.2 6.6
Leger Marketing September 11–17, 2013 33 34 15 15 3
Leger Marketing April 9–12, 2013 29 37 17 14 3
ThinkHQ February 12–16, 2013 26 38 13 16 7
Leger Marketing January 14–20, 2013 40 28 12 13 6
Environics October 10–23, 2012 45 29 13 12 1
Lethbridge College September 29–30, 2012 44.6 23.9 11.1 14.0 6.4
Environics August 10–22, 2012 43 26 14 13 3
Forum Research June 11, 2012 39 36 9 12 4
Election 2012 April 23, 2012 44.0 34.3 9.9 9.8 2.0

Timeline[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Bill 21, Election Amendment Act, 2011". The Legislative Assembly of Alberta. December 6, 2011. Retrieved May 6, 2012. 
  2. ^ Stolte, Elise (April 23, 2012). "Alberta Election 2012: NDP picks up support, falls short of goal". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved May 6, 2012. 
  3. ^ "Alberta PCs win historic 12th straight majority". CTV Calgary. April 23, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2012. 
  4. ^ "Key Dates". Elections Alberta. Retrieved May 6, 2012. 
  5. ^ Henton, Darcy (May 2, 2012). "Redford says she wants to fast-track twinning of Highway 63". Calgary Herald. Retrieved May 6, 2012. 
  6. ^ "Parties". Elections Alberta. Retrieved August 29, 2013. "The Separation Party of Alberta made application to the Chief Electoral Officer to change the party name to “Alberta First Party”. The request was received and approved, and the change was made effective May 14, 2013." 
  7. ^ O'Donnell, Sarah (May 14, 2013). "Edmonton Conservative MLA withdraws from caucus while ethics investigation underway". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved May 23, 2013. 
  8. ^ "Alberta MLA quits PC caucus after U.S. prostitution arrest". CBC News. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 20, 2013. 
  9. ^ "MLA Peter Sandhu back in PC caucus". CBC News. December 10, 2013. Retrieved February 20, 2014. 
  10. ^ Wood, James (March 12, 2014). "MLA won’t remain a Tory ‘with her as leader of the party’". Calgary Herald. Retrieved March 13, 2014. 
  11. ^ Barrett, Jessica (March 18, 2014). "Associate minister leaves Tories, blaming culture of entitlement". Calgary Herald. Retrieved March 18, 2014. 
  12. ^ Janus, Andrea (March 20, 2014). "Redford's replacement Dave Hancock promises 'government Albertans want'". CTV News. Retrieved March 23, 2014. 
  13. ^ "Dave Hancock to be interim Alberta premier". CBC News. March 19, 2014. Retrieved March 20, 2014. 
  14. ^ Bennett, Dean (May 2, 2014). "Alberta NDP to pick new leader in Edmonton". Global News. Retrieved May 4, 2014. 
  15. ^ Mertz, Emily (July 7, 2014). "Alberta MLA Mike Allen back in PC Caucus". Global News. Retrieved July 7, 2014. 
  16. ^ Kleiss, Karen (August 6, 2014). "Alison Redford resigns seat, leaves politics". Calgary Herald. Retrieved August 7, 2014. 
  17. ^ "Alberta PC leadership vote: Jim Prentice wins on 1st ballot". CBC News. September 6, 2014. Retrieved September 6, 2014. 
  18. ^ "Outgoing Alberta premier Dave Hancock resigns MLA seat". September 12, 2014. Retrieved September 12, 2014. 
  19. ^ Ibrahim, Mariam (September 15, 2014). "Prentice promises ‘new way of doing things’ as smaller cabinet sworn in". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved September 17, 2014. 
  20. ^ "Kennedy-Glans returns to Alberta PC caucus". Global News. September 17, 2014. Retrieved 18 September 2014. 
  21. ^ a b Howell, Trevor (September 30, 2014). "Prentice to run in Calgary-Foothills as four byelections called". Calgary Herald. Retrieved October 1, 2014. 
  22. ^ Bennett, Dean (October 18, 2014). "Rachel Notley becomes new leader of Alberta NDP". Global News. Retrieved October 19, 2014. 

External links[edit]