Ontario general election, 2014

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Ontario general election, 2014
Ontario
2011 ←
members
June 12, 2014 (2014-06-12)
members
→ 42nd

All 107 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
54 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 52.1%[1]
  First party Second party Third party
  Kathleen Wynne.JPG Tim Hudak 2014.jpg Horwath infobox.PNG
Leader Kathleen Wynne Tim Hudak Andrea Horwath
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since January 26, 2013 June 27, 2009 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Don Valley West Niagara West—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre
Last election 53 seats, 37.65% 37 seats, 35.45% 17 seats, 22.74%
Seats before 48 37 21
Seats won 58 28 21
Seat change +10 -9 ±0
Popular vote 1,862,907 1,506,267 1,144,576
Percentage 38.65% 31.25% 23.75%
Swing +1.00pp -4.20pp +1.01pp

Ontario 2014.png


Premier before election

Kathleen Wynne
Liberal

Elected Premier

Kathleen Wynne
Liberal

The 41st Ontario general election was held on June 12, 2014. The Liberal Party won a plurality of seats in the legislature, allowing its head, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election.[2] The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.[3] The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote.

The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley,[4] upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberal's minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.[5]

With the election, Wynne became the first woman to lead her party to victory in an Ontario general election.[6]

Standings[edit]

Summary[edit]

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2011-2014
Party 2011 Gain from (loss to) 2014
Lib PC NDP
    Liberal 53 7 3 (5) 58
    Conservative 37 (7) (2) 28
    New Democrat 17 5 (3) 2 21
Total 107 5 (10) 9 3 (7) 107

Regional analysis[edit]

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2014)
Party Toronto 905 Belt Ham/Niagara Central East Midwest Southwest North Total
    Liberal 20 14 4 5 7 4 1 3 58
    Conservative 2 1 6 7 6 4 2 28
    New Democrat 2 2 5 1 5 6 21
Total 22 18 10 11 14 11 10 11 107


Detailed analysis[edit]

Polling station in Toronto for the Ontario general election, 2014
Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote[7]
2011 Dissol. 2014 Change # % Change
Liberal Kathleen Wynne 107 53 48 58 +5 1,862,907 38.65% +1.00%
Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 107 37 37 28 -9 1,506,267 31.25% -4.20%
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 107 17 21 21 +4 1,144,576 23.75% +1.01%
Green Mike Schreiner 107 0 0 0 - 233,269 4.84% +1.92%
Libertarian Allen Small 74 0 0 0 - 38,956 0.81% +0.36%
Freedom Paul McKeever 42 0 0 0 - 12,381 0.26% +0.05%
Family Coalition Eric Ames (interim) 6 0 0 0 - 4,288 0.09% -0.13%
None of the Above Greg Vezina 8 * 0 0 - 4,247 0.09% -
  Independents and no affiliation 14 0 0 0 - 3,854 0.08% -
Communist Elizabeth Rowley 11 0 0 0 - 2,290 0.05% +0.02%
Canadians' Choice Bahman Yazdanfar 4 0 0 0 - 1,293 0.03% +0.027%
Vegan Environmental Paul Figueiras 5 0 0 0 - 907 0.02% +0.012%
People's Political Party Kevin Clarke 5 0 0 0 - 894 0.02% +0.012%
Northern Ontario Heritage Edward Deibel 3 0 0 0 - 892 0.02% =
Special Needs Danish Ahmed 3 0 0 0 - 709 0.01% -0.01%
Confederation of Regions vacant 2 0 0 0 - 551 0.01% =
Trillium Party of Ontario Bob Yaciuk 2 * 0 0 - 397 0.01% -
Equal Parenting Dennis Valenta 2 * 0 0 - 366 0.01% -
Socialist Michael Laxer 2 0 0 0 - 361 0.01% =
Ontario Moderate Party Yuri Duboisky 2 * 0 0 - 335 0.01% -
Pauper John Turmel 3 0 0 0 - 194 <0.01% =
  Declined Vote[8] 31,399 0.64% +0.59%
  Vacant 1
Total 616 107 107 107 4,851,333

Timeline[edit]

2011
2012
2013
2014
  • February 13, 2014: By-elections are held in Niagara Falls and Thornhill, with the NDP capturing the former from the Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives holding onto the latter.[23]
  • March 25, 2014: Brampton—Springdale Liberal MPP Linda Jeffrey resigns as MPP and Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing to run for Mayor of Brampton.[24]
  • May 1, 2014: Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces that his caucus will be voting against the Liberal's budget, proposed earlier that day.
  • May 2, 2014: NDP leader Andrea Horwath announces that the NDP will be voting against the Liberals' proposed budget, triggering a spring election.[5] Following this, Premier Wynne formally asks Lieutenant Governor David Onley to dissolve the legislature and call an election for June 12, 2014.[25]
  • June 12, 2014: The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election.[26] Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party.[27]
  • June 14, 2014: A judicial recount has been requested in the riding of Thornhill.[28]
  • June 24, 2014: A judge confirms results in Thornhill are in favour of the Progressive Conservatives.[citation needed]

Opinion polls[edit]

Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory,[29][30][31][32] as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.[33]

General opinion polls[edit]

Evolution of voting intentions during the 2014 Ontario general election campaign. Dots represent results of individual polls. Lines connect successive polls by the same polling firm. Dashes on June 12 represent election results.


Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link Liberal PC NDP Green Other Type
of poll
Sample
size
Margin
of Error
Forum Research June 11, 2014 PDF 41 35 20 3 1 IVR 1,054 ±3% 19 times out of 20
EKOS[2] June 11, 2014 PDF 37.3 31.3 19.2 8.2 3.9 IVR 1,311 ±2.7% 19 times out of 20
Abacus Data[2] June 11, 2014 PDF 35 32 26 6 1 Online 1,882 ±2.3% 19 times out of 20
Ipsos Reid[2] June 11, 2014 HTML 33 31 30 5 Online 1,991 ±2.4%  
EKOS[2] June 10, 2014 PDF 36.6 30.2 21.5 6.6 5.0 IVR 1,332 ±2.7% 19 times out of 20
Angus Reid[2] June 10, 2014 PDF 36 32 26 5 1 Online 1,866 ±2.3% 19 times out of 20
Forum Research June 9, 2014 PDF 42 35 19 3 1 IVR 739 ±4% 19 times out of 20
Léger Marketing June 9, 2014 PDF 37 37 20 5 1 Online 1,050 ±3.2% 19 times out of 20
EKOS[2] June 9, 2014 PDF 34.7 34.5 19.8 6.7 4.3 IVR 1,417 ±2.6% 19 times out of 20
EKOS[2] June 8, 2014 PDF 35.9 35.9 17.6 7.7 2.8 IVR 1,331 ±2.7% 19 times out of 20
Oraclepoll Research June 8, 2014 PDF 35 36 24 5 Telephone 1,000 ±3.1% 19 times out of 20
Abacus Data[2] June 7, 2014 PDF 34 31 28 5 1 Online 1,000 ±3.1% 19 times out of 20
EKOS[2] June 6, 2014 PDF 34.2 35.5 20.5 7.4 2.4 IVR 1,767 ±2.3% 19 times out of 20
Ipsos Reid[2] June 6, 2014 HTML 35 35 26 4 Online 2,140 ±2.4%  
Forum Research June 5, 2014 PDF 39 37 17 6 1 IVR 1,022 ±3% 19 times out of 20
EKOS[2] June 5, 2014 PDF 33.9 34.9 20.5 8.4 2.3 IVR 1,690 ±2.4% 19 times out of 20
EKOS[2] June 4, 2014 PDF 35.7 30.9 19.8 9.6 4.0 IVR 1,303 ±2.7% 19 times out of 20
EKOS June 3, 2014 PDF 36.4 31.0 19.3 8.4 4.9 IVR 997 ±3.1% 19 times out of 20
EKOS June 2, 2014 PDF 38.8 30.5 17.8 8.4 4.5 IVR 934 ±3.2% 19 times out of 20
EKOS June 1, 2014 PDF 38.5 33.7 16.9 7.8 3.0 IVR 927 ±3.2% 19 times out of 20
Abacus Data[2] May 31, 2014 PDF 37 30 24 7 2 Online 1,000 ±3.1% 19 times out of 20
Ipsos Reid[2] May 29, 2014 HTML 34 36 23 7 Online 868 ±3.8%  
Forum Research May 27, 2014 PDF 36 36 20 7 1 IVR 882 ±3% 19 times out of 20
Oraclepoll Research May 27, 2014 PDF 32 36 25 7 Telephone 1,000 ±3.1% 19 times out of 20
Nanos Research May 26, 2014 PDF 37.7 31.2 23.7 5.3 Telephone 500 ±4.4% 19 times out of 20
Abacus Data[2] May 24, 2014 PDF 34 32 25 6 2 Online 1,000 ±3.1% 19 times out of 20
EKOS May 23, 2014 PDF 35.8 30.0 20.4 11.9 1.9 IVR 1,215 ±2.8% 19 times out of 20
Ipsos Reid[2] May 21, 2014 HTML 31 35 28 6 Online 800 ±3.9%  
Forum Research May 20, 2014 PDF 41 34 20 4 1 IVR 1,136 ±3% 19 times out of 20
Abacus Data[2] May 16, 2014 PDF 33 33 26 6 2 Online 2,000 ±2.2% 19 times out of 20
EKOS May 15, 2014 PDF 37.1 30.3 20.9 7.3 4.5 IVR 1,111 ±2.9% 19 times out of 20
Ipsos Reid[2] May 14, 2014 HTML 30 39 24 7 Online 801 ±3.9%  
Forum Research May 12, 2014 PDF 38 35 21 5 1 IVR 996 ±3% 19 times out of 20
Ipsos Reid[2] May 9, 2014 HTML 31 37 28 4 Online 821 ±3.9%  
Innovative Research May 6, 2014 PDF 38.8 32.8 19.9 6.5 2.0 Online 1,000 N/A[1]
Innovative Research May 6, 2014 PDF 38.7 32.8 23.7 4.3 0.5 Telephone 500 ±4.4% 19 times out of 20
Oraclepoll Research May 5, 2014 PDF 31 42 25 3 Telephone 1,000 ±3.2% 19 times out of 20
Forum Research May 3, 2014 PDF 33 38 22 6 1 IVR 1,845 ±2% 19 times out of 20
EKOS May 1, 2014 PDF 34.7 31.6 22.2 9.4 2.0 IVR 1,576 ±2.5% 19 times out of 20
Election 2011 October 6, 2011 PDF 37.65 35.45 22.74 2.92 1.24 Ballot 4,316,382

1 Innovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random."
2 Data shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table:

Likely voters[edit]

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link Liberal PC NDP Green Other
EKOS June 11, 2014 PDF 42.2 35.9 16.9 2.9 2.1
Abacus Data June 11, 2014 PDF 36 36 23 5 1
Ipsos Reid June 11, 2014 HTML 30 36 30 4
EKOS June 10, 2014 PDF 41.1 33.2 17.1 5.6 2.9
Angus Reid June 10, 2014 PDF 34 36 24 5 1
EKOS June 9, 2014 PDF 38.1 36.3 16.9 5.7 3.1
EKOS June 8, 2014 PDF 42.2 35.4 13.9 6.4 2.0
Abacus Data June 7, 2014 PDF 34 34 26 5 1
EKOS June 6, 2014 PDF 40.7 35.7 16.3 5.6 1.8
Ipsos Reid June 6, 2014 HTML 32 40 24 3
EKOS June 5, 2014 PDF 39.5 35.6 16.7 6.6 2
EKOS June 4, 2014 PDF 41.4 32.0 17.8 6.2 3
Abacus Data May 31, 2014 PDF 37 35 22 5 2
Ipsos Reid May 29, 2014 HTML 29 41 25 4
Abacus Data May 24, 2014 PDF 36 33 24 6 1
Ipsos Reid May 21, 2014 HTML 30 41 26 3
Abacus Data May 16, 2014 PDF 33 36 25 5 1
Ipsos Reid May 14, 2014 HTML 31 43 22 4
Ipsos Reid May 9, 2014 HTML 28 42 27 2

Pre-campaign period[edit]

Evolution of voting intentions since the 40th Ontario general election on October 6, 2011. Points represent results of individual polls. Trend lines represent three-poll moving averages.

Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election[edit]

Liberals

Progressive Conservative

Candidates by region[edit]

East[edit]

Ottawa[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Carleton—Mississippi Mills Rosalyn Stevens Jack MacLaren John Hansen Andrew West Jack MacLaren
Nepean—Carleton Jack Uppal Lisa MacLeod Ric Dagenais Gordon Kubanek Coreen Corcoran Lisa MacLeod
Ottawa Centre Yasir Naqvi Rob Dekker Jennifer McKenzie Kevin O'Donnell Bruce Faulkner Larry Wasslen (Communist) Yasir Naqvi
Ottawa—Orléans Marie-France Lalonde Andrew Lister Prosper M'Bemba-Meka Bob Bell Gerald Bourdeau Phil McNeely
Ottawa South John Fraser Matt Young Bronwyn Funiciello Matt Lakatos-Hayward Jean-Serge Brisson Espoir Manirambona (Communist)

John Redins (Special Needs)

John Fraser
Ottawa—Vanier Madeleine Meilleur Martin Forget Hervé Ngamby David Bagler Phillip Richard Madeleine Meilleur
Ottawa West—Nepean Bob Chiarelli Randall Denley Alex Cullen Alex Hill Matthew Brooks Bob Chiarelli

Eastern Ontario[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Glengarry—
Prescott—Russell
Grant Crack Roxane Villeneuve Robertson Isabelle Sabourin Raymond St. Martin Darcy Donnelly

Marc-Antoine Gagnier (Independent),
Carl Leduc (Freedom)

Grant Crack
Kingston and the Islands Sophie Kiwala Mark Bain Mary Rita Holland Robert Kiley Jonathan Reid (Freedom) John Gerretsen
Lanark—Frontenac—
Lennox and Addington
Bill MacDonald Randy Hillier Dave Parkhill Cam Mather Randy Hillier
Leeds—Grenville Christine Milks Steve Clark David Lundy Steve Bowering Harold Gabriel Steve Clark
Prince Edward—Hastings Georgina Thompson Todd Smith Merrill Stewart Anita Payne Lindsay Forbes Todd Smith
Renfrew—Nipissing—
Pembroke
Rod Boileau John Yakabuski Brian Dougherty Benjamin Wright

Chad Beckwith-Smith (Independent),
Murray Reid (Conf of Regions)

John Yakabuski
Stormont—Dundas—
South Glengarry
John Earle Jim McDonell Elaine MacDonald Sharron Norman Shawn McRae Jim McDonell

Central Ontario[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Barrie Ann Hoggarth Rod Jackson David Bradbury Bonnie North Darren Roskam Rod Jackson
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Ellen Anderson Bill Walker Karen Gventer Jenny Parsons Caleb Voskamp Jamie Spence (Freedom) Bill Walker
Dufferin—Caledon Bobbie Daid Sylvia Jones Rehya Rebecca Yazbek Karren Wallace Daniel Kowalewski Sylvia Jones
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Rick Johnson Laurie Scott Don Abel Arsalan Ahmad Laurie Scott
Newmarket—Aurora Chris Ballard Jane Twinney Angus Duff Andrew Roblin Jason Jenkins

Dorian Baxter (Cdns' Choice),
Bob Yaciuk (Trillium/TPO)

Frank Klees
Northumberland—
Quinte West
Lou Rinaldi Rob Milligan Kira Mees Gudrun Ludorf-Weaver Rob Milligan
Peterborough Jeff Leal Scott Stewart Sheila Wood Gary Beamish

Andrea Gar Quiano (Socialist),
Wayne Matheson (Freedom),
Gerard Faux (Pauper),
Brian Martindale (Independent)

Jeff Leal
Simcoe—Grey Lorne Kenney Jim Wilson David Matthews Jesseca Dudun Jim Wilson
Simcoe North Fred Larsen Garfield Dunlop Doris Middleton Peter Stubbins Garfield Dunlop
York—Simcoe Loralea Carruthers Julia Munro Laura Bowman Peter Elgie Craig Wallace Julia Munro

905 Belt[edit]

Durham & York[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Ajax—Pickering Joe Dickson Todd McCarthy Jermaine King Adam Narraway Kyle Stewart Joe Dickson
Durham Granville Anderson Mike Patrick Derek Spence Halyna Zalucky Conner Toye John O'Toole
Markham—Unionville Michael Chan Shan Thayaparan Nadine Kormos Hawkins Myles O'Brien Allen Small Michael Chan
Oak Ridges—Markham Helena Jaczek Farid Wassef Miles Krauter Emilia Melara Karl Boelling Gennady Vilensky (Trillium/TPO) Helena Jaczek
Oshawa Esrick Quintyn Jerry Ouellette Jennifer French Becky Smit Jerry Ouellette
Pickering—
Scarborough East
Tracy MacCharles Kevin Gaudet Eileen Higdon Anthony Navarro Scott Hoefig Matt Oliver (Freedom) Tracy MacCharles
Richmond Hill Reza Moridi Vic Gupta Adam DeVita Rachael Lave Igor Bily Yuri Duboisky (Moderate) Reza Moridi
Thornhill Sandra Yeung Racco Gila Martow Cindy Hackelberg David Bergart Gene Balfour Erin Goodwin (Freedom) Gila Martow
Vaughan Steven Del Duca Peter Meffe Marco Coletta Matthew Pankhurst Paolo Fabrizio Steven Del Duca
Whitby—Oshawa Ajay Krishnan Christine Elliott Ryan Kelly Stacey Leadbetter Douglas Thom (Freedom) Christine Elliott

Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Bramalea—Gore—
Malton
Kuldip Kular Harjit Jaswal Jagmeet Singh Pauline Thornham Jagmeet Singh
Brampton—Springdale Harinder Malhi Pam Hundal Gurpreet Dhillon Laila Zarrabi Yan Elizabeth Hill (Communist) Vacant
Brampton West Vic Dhillon Randeep Sandhu Gugni Gill Panaich Sayyeda Ebrahim Luis Chacin

Ted Harlson (Freedom),
Dan Sullivan (FamilyCoalition)

Vic Dhillon
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Amrit Mangat Amarjeet Gill Kevin Troake Kathy Acheson Richard Levesque

Robert Alilovic (Independent),
Kathleen Vezina (NOTA)

Amrit Mangat
Mississauga East—
Cooksville
Dipika Damerla Zoran Churchin Fayaz Karim Linh Nguyen Levko Iwanusiw Dolly Catena (Equal Parenting) Dipika Damerla
Mississauga—Erindale Harinder Takhar Jeff White Michelle Bilek Vivek Gupta Chris Jewell

Nabila Kiyani (FamilyCoalition),
Greg Vezina (NOTA)

Harinder Takhar
Mississauga South Charles Sousa Effie Triantafilopoulos Boris Rosolak Lloyd Jones James Judson Andrew Weber (NOTA) Charles Sousa
Mississauga—Streetsville Bob Delaney Nina Tangri Anju Sikka Scott Warner Dave Walach Alexander Vezina (NOTA) Bob Delaney
Oakville Kevin Flynn Larry Scott Che Marville Andrew Chlobowski David Clement Silvio Ursomarzo (Freedom) Kevin Flynn

Toronto[edit]

Scarborough[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Scarborough—Agincourt Soo Wong Liang Chen Alex Wilson Pauline Thompson Kevin Clarke (People's) Soo Wong
Scarborough Centre Brad Duguid David Ramalho Carol Baker Edward Yaghledjian Brad Duguid
Scarborough—Guildwood Mitzie Hunter Ken Kirupa Shuja Syed Jeffrey Bustard

Richard Kerr (Libertarian),
Khalid Mokhtarzada (Freedom),
John Sawdon (Cdns' Choice)

Mitzie Hunter
Scarborough—Rouge River Bas Balkissoon Raymond Cho Neethan Shan George Singh Amir Khan (NOTA) Bas Balkissoon
Scarborough Southwest Lorenzo Berardinetti Nita Kang Jessie Macaulay David Del Grande

Tyler Rose (Libertarian),
Jean-Baptiste Foaleng (Independent)

Lorenzo Berardinetti

North York and North Toronto[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Freedom   Other
Don Valley East Michael Coteau Angela Kennedy Akil Sadikali Christopher McLeod Wayne Simmons Michael Coteau
Don Valley West Kathleen Wynne David Porter Khalid Ahmed Louis Fliss Tracy Curley

Dimitrios Kabitsis (Communist),
Patrick Boyd (Libertarian),
Brock Burrows (Independent),
Rosemary Waigh (Vegan Environ.)

Kathleen Wynne
Eglinton—Lawrence Michael Colle Robin Martin Thomas Gallezot Lucas McCann Michael Bone Erwin Sniedzins (Independent) Michael Colle
Willowdale David Zimmer Michael Ceci Alexander Brown Teresa Pun David Zimmer
York Centre Monte Kwinter Avi Yufest John Fagan Josh Borenstein Laurence Cherniak Monte Kwinter

Toronto & East York[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Freedom   Other
Beaches—East York Arthur Potts Nicolas Johnson Michael Prue Debra Scott Alex Lindsay Naomi Poley-Fisher Michael Prue
Davenport Cristina Martins Lan Daniel Jonah Schein Daniel Stein Nunzio Venuto Franz Cauchi

Mariam Ahmad (Communist),
Troy Young (People's)

Jonah Schein
St. Paul's Eric Hoskins Justine Deluce Luke Savage Josh Rachlis John Kittredge Mike Rita Eric Hoskins
Toronto Centre Glen Murray Martin Abell Kate Sellar Mark Daye Judi Falardeau Chris Goodwin

Lada Alekseychuk (Special Needs),
Drew Garvie (Communist),
Robin Nurse (People's),
Harvey Rotenberg (Vegan Environ.),
Bahman Yazdanfar (Cdns' Choice)

Glen Murray
Toronto—Danforth Rob Newman Naomi Solomon Peter Tabuns Rachel Power Thomas Armstrong Tristan Parlette

Elizabeth Rowley (Communist),
Ali Azaroghli (People's),
Simon Luisi (Vegan Environ.),
John Richardson (Cdns' Choice)

Peter Tabuns
Trinity—Spadina Han Dong Roberta Scott Rosario Marchese Tim Grant Andrew Echevarria

Paul Figueiras (Vegan Environ.),
Dan King (Special Needs)

Rosario Marchese

Etobicoke & York[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Freedom   Other
Etobicoke Centre Yvan Baker Pina Martino Chris Jones George Morrison Alexander Bussmann Andrew Kuess

John Martins (People's),
Felicia Trigiani (Vegan Environ.)

Donna Cansfield
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Peter Milczyn Doug Holyday P. C. Choo Angela Salewsky Mark Wrzesniewski Jeff Merklinger

Natalie Lochwin (Socialist),
Ian Lytvyn (Moderate)

Doug Holyday
Etobicoke North Shafiq Qaadri Tony Milone Nigel Barriffe Kenny Robertson Allan deRoo James McConnell Shafiq Qaadri
Parkdale—High Park Nancy Leblanc Jamie Ellerton Cheri DiNovo Tim Rudkins Redmond Weissenberger Melanie Motz Matthew Vezina (NOTA) Cheri DiNovo
York South—Weston Laura Albanese Andrew Ffrench Paul Ferreira Jessica Higgins Eric Compton Abi Issa (Independent) Laura Albanese
York West Mario Sergio Karlene Nation Tom Rakocevic Keith Jarrett Kayla Baptiste Wally Schwauss (Independent) Mario Sergio

Hamilton, Burlington & Niagara[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Ancaster—Dundas—
Flamborough—Westdale
Ted McMeekin Donna Skelly Alex Johnstone Raymond Dartsch Glenn Langton Barry Spruce (Freedom) Ted McMeekin
Burlington Eleanor McMahon Jane McKenna Jan Mowbray Meredith Cross Charles Zach Andrew Brannan (Freedom) Jane McKenna
Halton Indira Naidoo-Harris Ted Chudleigh Nik Spohr Susan Farrant Kal Ghory Gerry Marsh (FamilyCoalition) Ted Chudleigh
Hamilton Centre Donna Tiqui-Shebib John Vail Andrea Horwath Peter Ormond

Bob Mann (Communist),
Peter Melanson (Freedom)

Andrea Horwath
Hamilton East—
Stoney Creek
Ivan Luksic David Brown Paul Miller Greg Zink Mark Burnison Britney Johnston (Freedom) Paul Miller
Hamilton Mountain Javid Mirza Albert Marshall Monique Taylor Greg Lenko Hans Wienhold Brian Goodwin (Freedom) Monique Taylor
Niagara Falls Lionel Tupman Bart Maves Wayne Gates Clarke Bitter Ralph Panucci John Beam (NOTA) Wayne Gates
Niagara West—Glanbrook David Mossey Tim Hudak Brian McCormack Basia Krzyzanowski Stefanos Karatopis Geoff Peacock (Freedom) Tim Hudak
St. Catharines Jim Bradley Mat Siscoe Jennie Stevens Karen Fraser Nicholas Dushko

Saleh Waziruddin (Communist),
Dave Unrau (Freedom)

Jim Bradley
Welland Benoit Mercier Frank Campion Cindy Forster Donna Cridland Andrea Murik Cindy Forster

Midwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Brant Dave Levac Phil Gillies Alex Felsky Ken Burns Rob Ferguson

Brittni Mitchell (Freedom),
John Turmel (Pauper)

Dave Levac
Cambridge Kathryn McGarry Rob Leone Bobbi Stewart Temara Brown Allan Dettweiler Rob Leone
Guelph Liz Sandals Anthony MacDonald James Gordon Mike Schreiner Blair Smythe Juanita Burnett (Communist) Liz Sandals
Haldimand—Norfolk Karen Robinson Toby Barrett Ian Nichols Anne Faulkner Brad Mottashed Toby Barrett
Huron—Bruce Colleen Schenk Lisa Thompson Jan Johnstone Adam Werstine Max Maister

Dennis Valenta (Equal Parenting),
Andrew Zettel (FamilyCoalition)

Lisa Thompson
Kitchener Centre Daiene Vernile Wayne Wettlaufer Margaret Johnston Ronnie Smith Patrick Bernier John Milloy
Kitchener—Conestoga Wayne Wright Michael Harris James Villeneuve David Weber David Schumm Michael Harris
Kitchener—Waterloo Jamie Burton Tracey Weiler Catherine Fife Stacey Danckert James Schulz Catherine Fife
Oxford Dan Moulton Ernie Hardeman Bryan Smith Mike Farlow Devin Wright Tim Hodges (Freedom) Ernie Hardeman
Perth—Wellington Stewart Skinner Randy Pettapiece Romayne Smith Fullerton Chris Desjardins Scott Marshall

Matthew Murphy (Independent),
Irma DeVries (FamilyCoalition),
Robby Smink (Freedom)

Randy Pettapiece
Wellington—Halton Hills Dan Zister Ted Arnott Michael Carlucci Dave Rodgers Jason Cousineau Mitch Sproule (Freedom) Ted Arnott

Southwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Chatham-Kent—Essex Terry Johnson Rick Nicholls Dan Gelinas Ken Bell Douglas McLarty Rick Nicholls
Elgin—Middlesex—London Serge Lavoie Jeff Yurek Kathy Cornish John Fisher Clare Maloney (Freedom) Jeff Yurek
Essex Crystal Meloche Ray Cecile Taras Natyshak Mark Vercouteren Taras Natyshak
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Mike Radan Monte McNaughton Joe Hill James Armstrong Matt Willson

Dave Durnin (Freedom),
Bob Lewis (NOTA),
Marinus Vander Vloet (FamilyCoalition)

Monte McNaughton
London—Fanshawe Marcel Marcellin Chris Robson Teresa Armstrong William Sorrell Tim Harnick

Paul McKeever (Freedom),
Ali Aref Hamadi (Independent)

Teresa Armstrong
London North Centre Deb Matthews Nancy Branscombe Judy Bryant Kevin Labonte

Dave McKee (Communist),
Salim Mansur (Freedom),
Michael Spottiswood (Pauper)

Deb Matthews
London West Nick Steinburg Jeff Bennett Peggy Sattler Keith McAlister Al Gretzky (Freedom) Peggy Sattler
Sarnia—Lambton Anne Marie Gillis Bob Bailey Brian White Kevin Shaw Andrew Falby Bob Bailey
Windsor—Tecumseh Jason Dupuis Brandon Wright Percy Hatfield Adam Wright Timothy Marshall Percy Hatfield
Windsor West Teresa Piruzza Henry Lau Lisa Gretzky Chad Durocher Helmi Charif (Independent) Teresa Piruzza

Northern Ontario[edit]

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Other
Algoma—Manitoulin Craig Hughson Jib Turner Michael Mantha Alexandra Zalucky Richard Hadidian Michael Mantha
Kenora—Rainy River Anthony Leek Randy Nickle Sarah Campbell Tim McKillop Sarah Campbell
Nickel Belt James Tregonning Marck Blay France Gélinas Heather Dahlstrom France Gélinas
Nipissing Catherine Whiting Victor Fedeli Henri Giroux Nicole Peltier Derek Elliott Patrick Clement (Independent) Victor Fedeli
Parry Sound—Muskoka Dan Waters Norm Miller Clyde Mobbley Matt Richter Andy Stivrins (Freedom) Norm Miller
Sault Ste. Marie David Orazietti Rod Fremlin Celia Ross Kara Flannigan Austin Williams David Orazietti
Sudbury Andrew Olivier Paula Peroni Joe Cimino Casey Lalonde Steve Wilson J. David Popescu (Independent) Rick Bartolucci
Thunder Bay—Atikokan Bill Mauro Harold Wilson Mary Kozorys John Northey Joe Talarico Ed Deibel (N.Ont. Heritage) Bill Mauro
Thunder Bay—Superior North Michael Gravelle Derek Parks Andrew Foulds Joseph LeBlanc Tamara Johnson Paul Sloan (N.Ont. Heritage) Michael Gravelle
Timiskaming—Cochrane Sébastien Goyer Peter Politis John Vanthof Cody Fraser Gino Chitaroni (N.Ont. Heritage) John Vanthof
Timmins—James Bay Sylvie Fontaine Steve Black Gilles Bisson Bozena Hrycyna Fauzia Sadiq (Conf of Regions) Gilles Bisson
  • †Indicates MPP not running for re-election.

Issues[edit]

Economy[edit]

Unemployment in Ontario is a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector has shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002.[42]

The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario has proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs project to create cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years.[43] The plan also calls for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics have noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They hold, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change).[44]

The Ontario Liberal Party has proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposes infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs.[45]

The Ontario New Democratic Party platform calls for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation.[46]

The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements.[47]

The Ontario Libertarian Party calls for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they consider to be interfering with job creation.[48] Their platform calls for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property"[49] and as such would eliminate industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.[50]

The Communist Party of Ontario calls for raising the minimum wage to $19/hr as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses.[51]

Transit[edit]

Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.[52][53]

The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa.[54][55] A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service.[56] The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster.[54]

Endorsements[edit]

Media endorsements[edit]

The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign:

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

New Democratic Party

Explicitly not endorsing any party

Public figure endorsements[edit]

The media has reported the following endorsements by public figures during the campaign:

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Ontario Voter Turnout Increases For First Time In 20 Years". Huffington Post. June 13, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  2. ^ "Ontario election 2014: Liberals return to power with majority". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Ontario election 2014: Tim Hudak to step down". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014. 
  4. ^ "Ontario election 2014: Wynne vows to re-introduce budget - Toronto - CBC News". CBC News. 2014-05-02. Retrieved 2014-05-29. 
  5. ^ a b "Ontario Election Seemingly On Way As NDP Won't Support Budget". Huffington Post. May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 2, 2014. 
  6. ^ Loriggio, Paola (14 June 2014). "Sexuality a ‘non-issue’ during Wynne’s election campaign: expert". National Post. Canadian Press. Retrieved 21 June 2014. 
  7. ^ http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/general-election-results.aspx
  8. ^ Bostelaar, Robert. "Declined ballots jump 1,300% in Ontario election". Ottawa Citizen. Retrieved 20 June 2014. 
  9. ^ "MPPs return to work Nov. 21 to elect new Speaker". Toronto Star. November 2, 2011. 
  10. ^ "Horwath makes her budget demands". Toronto Sun. April 10, 2012. 
  11. ^ "Ontario budget: Dalton McGuinty warns NDP to curtail budget demands or face an election". Toronto Star. June 16, 2012. 
  12. ^ "Summer election avoided as Ontario budget bill passes". MetroNews. June 20, 2012. 
  13. ^ Morrow, Howlett, Adrian, Karen (Oct 15, 2012). "Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns". The Globe and Mail (Toronto). Retrieved Oct 15, 2012. 
  14. ^ "Ontario Liberals to hold leadership convention in January". CBC News. October 21, 2012. Retrieved October 21, 2012. 
  15. ^ "Jobs, Economy, a Fair Society: Priorities for New Ontario Government". Office of the Premier of Ontario. February 11, 2013. Retrieved February 12, 2013. 
  16. ^ "Chris Bentley resigns from Ontario politics, effective Feb. 14". Global Toronto. The Canadian Press. February 8, 2013. Retrieved February 14, 2013. 
  17. ^ Criger, Erin (June 12, 2013). "Dalton McGuinty officially resigns as MPP". City News. Retrieved June 13, 2013. 
  18. ^ "Toronto MPP Margarett Best resigns from legislature". CBC News. June 27, 2013. Retrieved June 29, 2013. 
  19. ^ "Liberal cabinet minister Laurel Broten quits". CBC News. June 23, 2013. Retrieved June 24, 2013. 
  20. ^ "Ontario byelections: NDP wins 2, PCs take 1 seat". CBC News. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013. 
  21. ^ "Liberal MPP Kim Craitor resigns, setting up byelection". Toronto Star. September 24, 2013. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
  22. ^ "Former PC finance critic Peter Shurman resigns as MPP". The Canadian Press. December 10, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013. 
  23. ^ "NDP takes Niagara, Tories keep Thornhill in Ontario byelections". CBC News. February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014. 
  24. ^ "Linda Jeffrey leaving Queen’s Park for Brampton mayoral bid". CBC News. March 24, 2014. Retrieved March 27, 2014. 
  25. ^ "Ontario election called for June 12 as Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals lose support of NDP | National Post". News.nationalpost.com. 2014-05-02. Retrieved 2014-05-29. 
  26. ^ Once again, Kathleen Wynne settles the debate
  27. ^ Tim Hudak to step down as PC leader
  28. ^ Verstraten, Katelyn. "Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error"". Toronto Star. Torstar. Retrieved 15 June 2014. 
  29. ^ "The dirty secret of political polling: It’s now mostly a guess". The Globe and Mail. May 29, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  30. ^ "Ontario election: Why experts suggest ignoring opinion polls". Global News. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  31. ^ "Polls apart". NOW Magazine. June 5, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  32. ^ "From one pollster to another: Stop trying to predict elections". The Globe and Mail. June 11, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  33. ^ "Ontario election post-mortem: likely voter models fall flat, eligible tallies good". ThreeHundredEight. June 13, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  34. ^ "Rick Bartolucci makes 'family decision' to leave politics". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. February 7, 2013. Retrieved February 7, 2013. 
  35. ^ "Cansfield on the brink of making history". Toronto Star. November 20, 2011. Retrieved October 14, 2013. 
  36. ^ "MPP Gerretsen will not run in next provincial election". CKWS. October 25, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013. 
  37. ^ "Changing of the Liberal Guard". Ottawa Citizen. January 28, 2013. Retrieved February 6, 2013. 
  38. ^ "John Milloy, Veteran Ontario Liberal Cabinet Minister, Won't Run Again". Huffington Post. February 28, 2014. Retrieved March 2, 2014. 
  39. ^ "MPP Frank Klees won’t seek re-election". Toronto Star. January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
  40. ^ Statement by Newmarket - Aurora MPP Frank Klees, dated: January 21, 2014, retrieved May 28, 2014
  41. ^ "Two veteran Ontario politicians say they won't run in next election". CTV news. February 28, 2014. Retrieved March 2, 2014. 
  42. ^ "The future looks bleak for Ontario’s manufacturing sector". theglobeandmail.com (The Globe and Mail). 2013. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-28. 
  43. ^ "How the Ontario Tories screwed up the 'Million Jobs Plan'". theglobeandmail.com (The Globe and Mail). 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-28. 
  44. ^ "Tim Hudak defends math used in PCs' million jobs plan". cbc.ca (CBC). 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  45. ^ "2014 Ontario Liberal Party Platform". ontarioliberalplan.ca. Ontario Liberal Party. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  46. ^ "2014 Ontario New Democratic Party Platform". ontarioliberalplan.ca. Ontario New Democratic Party. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  47. ^ "2014 Ontario Green Party Platform". gpo.ca. Ontario Green Party. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  48. ^ "2014 Libertarian Platform – Jobs: Secure & Rewarding". Ontario Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  49. ^ "2014 Libertarian Platform – Budget: Lower & Simplified". Ontario Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  50. ^ "2014 Libertarian Platform – Energy: Cheaper & Abundant". Ontario Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  51. ^ "2014 Ontario Communist Party Platform". communistpartyontario.ca. Communist Party of Canada (Ontario). 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  52. ^ Toronto gridlock may cost economy up to $11B, C.D. Howe says. CBC. 2013-07-13.
  53. ^ Gridlock is costing Toronto up to $11 billion yearly—here’s how to fix it. Canadian Business. 2013-07-11.
  54. ^ a b Ontario parties' transit plans reveal politics and paralysis. CBC. 2014-05-28
  55. ^ Majority gives Liberals freer hand with public transit. The Globe and Mail. 2014-06-13.
  56. ^ Tim Hudak vows to scrap light rail lines, cancel GO electrification. CBC. 2014-05-16
  57. ^ "Kathleen Wynne has earned a fresh mandate in Ontario: Editorial". Toronto Star. 2014-06-06. Retrieved 2014-06-06. 
  58. ^ "The best pro-social outcome June 12 is a Wynne gov". Now. 2014-06-05. Retrieved 2014-06-08. 
  59. ^ "In this provincial election: (sigh) The Liberals – Much to our chagrin, the only endorsement we can make.". Torontoist. 2014-06-09. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  60. ^ "EDITORIAL: Time for change". Burlington Post, a division of Metroland Media Group. 2014-06-03. Retrieved 2014-06-04. 
  61. ^ "It’s time for a change". Flamborough Review, a division of Metroland Media Group. 2014-06-05. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  62. ^ "EDITORIAL: It's time for a change". Oakville Beaver, a division of Metroland Media Group. 2014-06-03. Archived from the original on 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-05. 
  63. ^ "Ontario election, part 4: For a Conservative minority". The Globe and Mail. 2014-06-06. Archived from the original on 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-06. 
  64. ^ "National Post editorial board: A Conservative government for Ontario". National Post. 2014-06-07. Archived from the original on 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-07. 
  65. ^ "Editorial: A new direction for Ontario". Ottawa Citizen. 2014-06-09. Retrieved 2014-06-09. 
  66. ^ "Editorial: We endorse Tim Hudak, for Ontario". Toronto Sun a member of Canoe Sun Media. 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-08. 
  67. ^ "Editorial: We endorse Tim Hudak, for Ontario". Ottawa Sun a member of Canoe Sun Media. 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  68. ^ "The Star’s View: Hudak has the right plan to restore Ontario’s economic health". Windsor Star. 2014-06-04. Archived from the original on 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-04. 
  69. ^ "The NDP - for now". Sudbury Star. 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-11. 
  70. ^ "The Spectator's View: Picking the least unappealing option". Hamilton Spectator, June 11, 2014
  71. ^ "Stark choices for Ontario voters". The Kitchener-Waterloo Record, a division of Metroland Media Group. 2014-06-07. Retrieved 2014-06-09. 
  72. ^ Don Peat (2014-06-05). "Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly endorses Wynne". Toronto Sun. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  73. ^ Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion endorses Kathleen Wynne. CBC News. 2014-05-14.
  74. ^ "Kitchener Mayor Carl Zehr endorses Kathleen Wynne". CBC. 2014-06-09. Retrieved 2014-06-11. 

External links[edit]