41st Ontario general election

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41st Ontario general election
Ontario
2011 ←
members
On or before October 1, 2015 (2015-10-01)
→ 42nd

All seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Opinion polls
  Kathleen Wynne.JPG Tim Hudak (cropped).jpg
Leader Kathleen Wynne Tim Hudak
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since January 26, 2013 June 27, 2009
Leader's seat Don Valley West Niagara West—Glanbrook
Last election 53 seats, 37.6% 37 seats, 35.4%
Current seats 48 37

  Horwath infobox.PNG MikeSchreinerGuelphFeb2012.jpg
Leader Andrea Horwath Mike Schreiner
Party New Democratic Green
Leader since March 7, 2009 November 15, 2009
Leader's seat Hamilton Centre Running in Guelph
Last election 17 seats, 22.7% 0 seats, 2.94%
Current seats 21 0

Incumbent Premier

Kathleen Wynne
Liberal

The 41st Ontario general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on October 1, 2015. Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Ontario in 2004, Ontario elections are now held on the first Thursday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to a motion of no confidence. Such a dissolution of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario is plausible as the Ontario Liberal Party has formed a minority government since the 2011 election.

Standings[edit]

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Party Party leader Seats
2011 Current
Liberal Kathleen Wynne 53 48
Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 37 37
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 17 21
Green Mike Schreiner 0 0
     Independents 0 0
     Vacant 1
Total 107 107

Timeline[edit]

2011
2012
2013
2014

Incumbent MPPs who will not run for re-election[edit]

Liberals

Progressive Conservative

Opinion polls[edit]

Evolution of voting intentions since the 40th Ontario general election on October 6, 2011. Points represent results of individual polls. Trend lines represent three-poll moving averages.
Polling firm Last date of polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green Type of poll Sample size
Forum Research April 7, 2014 PDF 31 38 23 7 IVR 928
EKOS April 3, 2014 PDF 32.3 27.4 29.0 8.3 IVR 1,234
Innovative Research March 25, 2014 PDF 38 33 25 4 Telephone 600
Forum Research March 24, 2014 PDF 35 32 25 7 IVR 908
Nanos Research March 3, 2014 PDF 35.7 32.9 24.5 6.8 Telephone 500
Forum Research February 25, 2014 HTML 32 35 26 6 IVR 1,014
Ipsos Reid February 7, 2014 HTML 31 34 31 4 Online 828
Forum Research January 25, 2014 HTML 33 36 26 4 IVR 1,222
Nanos Research January 20, 2014 PDF 35.5 28.1 27.4 8.1 Telephone 500
Forum Research December 18, 2013 HTML 31 38 24 5 IVR 1,044
Forum Research November 26, 2013 PDF 32 38 23 6 IVR 1,126
Ipsos Reid November 6, 2013 HTML 34 31 31 5 Online 832
Forum Research October 25, 2013 HTML 31 34 27 7 IVR 1,049
Forum Research October 1, 2013 HTML 33 36 23 7 IVR 1,093
Nanos Research September 29, 2013 PDF 36.0 31.3 26.1 6.3 Telephone 500
Campaign Research September 19, 2013 PDF 36 32 22 8 IVR 1,414
Abacus Data September 4, 2013 PDF 30 33 30 5 Online 1,000
Forum Research August 28, 2013 PDF 32 35 26 6 IVR 1,063
Innovative Research August 27, 2013 HTML 37 30 22 10 Telephone 600
Forum Research July 22, 2013 PDF 31 36 27 5 IVR 914
Nanos Research July 14, 2013 PDF 37.2 30.6 27.0 4.9 Telephone 500
EKOS July 9, 2013 PDF 31.9 28.9 25.9 9.4 IVR 830
Forum Research June 26, 2013 PDF 33 35 24 8 IVR 1,037
Forum Research May 28, 2013 PDF 38 34 21 6 IVR 918
EKOS May 26, 2013 HTML 34.9 29.6 22.6 9.4 IVR 1,152
Ipsos Reid May 21, 2013 HTML 34 34 26 5 Online 1,772
Abacus Data May 9, 2013 PDF 34 34 25 6 Online 1,185
Innovative Research May 9, 2013 PDF 37 30 25 6 Telephone 610
Forum Research May 3, 2013 PDF 35 35 25 4 IVR 869
Forum Research April 26, 2013 PDF 36 36 24 4 IVR 1,133
Ipsos Reid April 17, 2013 HTML 28 37 29 6 Online 1,360
EKOS April 10, 2013 PDF 30.8 31.7 25.5 9.7 IVR 1,084
Forum Research March 27, 2013 PDF 33 35 26 5 IVR 1,156
Forum Research March 1, 2013 PDF 32 32 29 5 IVR 2,773
Forum Research February 20, 2013 PDF 29 36 28 5 IVR 1,053
Nanos Research February 13, 2013 PDF 33.6 33.7 26.5 5.4 Telephone 500
EKOS February 10, 2013 PDF 32.5 28.5 25.6 10.1 IVR 1,797
Abacus Data February 6, 2013 PDF 30 33 31 5 Online 1,020
Innovative Research January 29, 2013 PDF 31 30 27 9 Telephone 446
Forum Research January 24, 2013 PDF 27 32 35 5 IVR 1,108
Forum Research December 17, 2012 PDF 27 33 31 8 IVR 990
Abacus Data December 8, 2012 PDF 28 35 31 5 Online 821
Forum Research November 28, 2012 PDF 29 35 27 8 IVR 1,127
Oraclepoll Research November 24, 2012 PDF 26 37 31 6 Telephone
Forum Research October 31, 2012 PDF 22 37 32 7 IVR 1,102
Innovative Research October 22, 2012 PDF 28 32 31 9 Telephone 600
Angus Reid October 17, 2012 PDF 26 36 32 5 Online 802
Forum Research September 25, 2012 PDF 20 37 35 7 IVR 851
Nanos Research August 16, 2012 PDF 34.0 34.7 22.1 6.8 Telephone 1,000
Forum Research August 15, 2012 PDF 27 38 28 6 IVR 1,021
Forum Research June 15, 2012 PDF 26 38 30 5 IVR 1,098
Forum Research June 4, 2012 PDF 28 36 30 4 IVR 1,038
Environics May 25, 2012 PDF 25 37 28 10 Telephone 500
Forum Research May 14, 2012 PDF 27 34 32 5 IVR 1,072
Nanos Research May 13, 2012 PDF 31.0 33.6 28.5 5.6 Telephone 500
Forum Research April 17, 2012 PDF 28 34 31 5 IVR 1,084
Nanos Research April 15, 2012 PDF 35.4 32.1 26.5 6.0 Telephone 501
Environics April 13, 2012 HTML 27 37 30 6 Telephone 500
Forum Research March 28, 2012 PDF 30 34 30 5 IVR 1,131
Forum Research March 13, 2012 PDF 28 40 23 8 IVR 1,065
Nanos Research March 5, 2012 PDF 39.9 30.0 24.7 4.3 Telephone 500
Forum Research February 15, 2012 PDF 32 36 26 5 IVR 1,218
Forum Research January 18, 2012 PDF 33 41 20 4 IVR 1,041
Nanos Research November 13, 2011 PDF 39.1 34.5 21.6 3.5 Telephone 500
Innovative Research November 2, 2011 PDF 39 34 23 4 Online 545
Election 2011 October 6, 2011 HTML 37.62 35.43 22.73 2.94

Candidates by region[edit]

Ottawa[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Carleton—
Mississippi Mills
Jack MacLaren John Hansen Jack MacLaren
Nepean—Carleton Lisa MacLeod Lisa MacLeod
Ottawa Centre Yasir Naqvi Rob Dekker Jennifer McKenzie Kevin O'Donnell Yasir Naqvi
Ottawa—Orléans Marie-France Lalonde Andrew Lister Phil McNeely
Ottawa South John Fraser Matt Young John Fraser
Ottawa—
Vanier
Madeleine Meilleur Martin Forget Hervé Ngamby Madeleine Meilleur
Ottawa West—
Nepean
Bob Chiarelli Randall Denley Alex Cullen Bob Chiarelli

Eastern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Glengarry—
Prescott—
Russell
Grant Crack Roxane Villeneuve Robertson Isabelle Sabourin Grant Crack
Kingston and the Islands Sophie Kiwala Mark Bain Mary Rita Holland Robert Kiley John Gerretsen
Lanark—
Frontenac—
Lennox and Addington
Bill MacDonald Randy Hillier Dave Parkhill Cam Mather Randy Hillier
Leeds—
Grenville
Steve Clark Steve Clark
Prince Edward—
Hastings
Georgina Thompson Todd Smith Todd Smith
Renfrew—
Nipissing—
Pembroke
John Yakabuski John Yakabuski
Stormont—
Dundas—
South Glengarry
John Earle Jim McDonell Elaine MacDonald Jim McDonell

Central Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Barrie Rod Jackson Rod Jackson
Bruce—
Grey—
Owen Sound
Bill Walker Karen Gventer Bill Walker
Dufferin—
Caledon
Sylvia Jones Sylvia Jones
Durham Granville Anderson Mike Patrick John O'Toole
Haliburton—
Kawartha Lakes—
Brock
Rick Johnson Laurie Scott Don Abel Laurie Scott
Newmarket—
Aurora
Chris Ballard Jane Twinney Frank Klees
Northumberland—
Quinte West
Lou Rinaldi Rob Milligan Kira Mees Rob Milligan
Peterborough Jeff Leal Scott Stewart Sheila Wood Jeff Leal
Simcoe—Grey Lorne Kenney Jim Wilson Jessica Dudun Jim Wilson
Simcoe North Fred Larsen Garfield Dunlop Doris Middleton Peter Stubbins Garfield Dunlop
York—Simcoe Loralea Carruthers Julia Munro Laura Bowman Julia Munro

Southern Durham & York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Ajax—
Pickering
Joe Dickson Todd McCarthy Jermaine King Joe Dickson
Markham—
Unionville
Michael Chan Shan Thayaparan Michael Chan
Oak Ridges—
Markham
Helena Jaczek Farid Wassef Helena Jaczek
Oshawa Jerry Ouellette Jerry Ouellette
Pickering—
Scarborough East
Tracy MacCharles Kevin Gaudet Tracy MacCharles
Richmond Hill Reza Moridi Vic Gupta Reza Moridi
Thornhill Gila Martow Gila Martow
Vaughan Steven Del Duca Peter Meffe Steven Del Duca
Whitby—
Oshawa
Christine Elliott Ryan Kelly Christine Elliott

Toronto[edit]

Scarborough[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Scarborough—
Agincourt
Soo Wong Liang Chen Soo Wong
Scarborough Centre Brad Duguid David Ramalho Brad Duguid
Scarborough—
Guildwood
Mitzie Hunter Mitzie Hunter
Scarborough—
Rouge River
Bas Balkissoon Raymond Cho Neethan Shan Bas Balkissoon
Scarborough Southwest Lorenzo Berardinetti Nita Kang Lorenzo Berardinetti

Toronto North Region[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Don Valley East Michael Coteau Angela Kennedy Michael Coteau
Don Valley West Kathleen Wynne David Porter Kathleen Wynne
Eglinton—Lawrence Michael Colle Robin Martin Michael Colle
Willowdale David Zimmer Michael Ceci Alexander Brown David Zimmer
York Centre Monte Kwinter Avi Yufest Monte Kwinter

Toronto South Region[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Beaches—
East York
Nicolas Johnson Michael Prue Michael Prue
Davenport Cristina Martins Lan Daniel Jonah Schein Jonah Schein
St. Paul's Eric Hoskins Eric Hoskins
Toronto Centre Glen Murray Martin Abell Kate Sellar Glen Murray
Toronto—
Danforth
Rob Newman Naomi Solomon Peter Tabuns Peter Tabuns
Trinity—
Spadina
Han Dong Roberta Scott Rosario Marchese Rosario Marchese

Toronto West Region[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Etobicoke Centre Yvan Baker Pina Martino Donna Cansfield
Etobicoke—
Lakeshore
Doug Holyday Angela Salewsky Doug Holyday
Etobicoke North Shafiq Qaadri Nigel Barriffe Shafiq Qaadri
Parkdale—
High Park
Cheri DiNovo Cheri DiNovo
York South—
Weston
Laura Albanese Andrew Ffrench Laura Albanese
York West Mario Sergio Tom Rakocevic Mario Sergio

Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Bramalea—Gore—
Malton
Harjit Jaswal Jagmeet Singh Pauline Thornham Jagmeet Singh
Brampton—
Springdale
Pam Hundal Gurpreet Dhillon Vacant
Brampton West Vic Dhillon Randeep Sandhu Vic Dhillon
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Amrit Mangat Amarjeet Gill Amrit Mangat
Mississauga East—
Cooksville
Dipika Damerla Zoran Churchin Fayaz Karim Dipika Damerla
Mississauga—
Erindale
Jeff White Michelle Bilek Harinder Takhar
Mississauga South Charles Sousa Effie Triantafilopoulos Charles Sousa
Mississauga—
Streetsville
Bob Delaney Nina Tangri Bob Delaney
Oakville Kevin Flynn Larry Scott Che Marville Kevin Flynn


Hamilton, Burlington & Niagara[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Ancaster—
Dundas—
Flamborough—
Westdale
Ted McMeekin Nancy MacBain Ted McMeekin
Burlington Eleanor McMahon Jane McKenna Jan Mowbray Jane McKenna
Halton Indira Naidoo-Harris Ted Chudleigh Nik Spohr Ted Chudleigh
Hamilton Centre Donna Tiqui-Shebib John Vail Andrea Horwath Andrea Horwath
Hamilton East—
Stoney Creek
Ivan Luksic David Brown Paul Miller Paul Miller
Hamilton Mountain Javid Mirza Monique Taylor Monique Taylor
Niagara Falls Wayne Gates Wayne Gates
Niagara West—
Glanbrook
David Mossey Tim Hudak Tim Hudak
St. Catharines Jim Bradley Mat Siscoe Jim Bradley
Welland Cindy Forster Cindy Forster

Midwestern Ontario

Midwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Brant Dave Levac Phil Gillies Alex Felsky Dave Levac
Cambridge Kathryn McGarry Rob Leone Rob Leone
Guelph Liz Sandals Anthony MacDonald James Gordon Mike Schreiner Liz Sandals
Haldimand—
Norfolk
Toby Barrett Toby Barrett
Huron—
Bruce
Colleen Schenk Lisa Thompson Lisa Thompson
Kitchener Centre Daiene Vernile Wayne Wettlaufer Margaret Johnston John Milloy
Kitchener—
Conestoga
Michael Harris Michael Harris
Kitchener—
Waterloo
Jamie Burton Tracey Weiler Catherine Fife Catherine Fife
Oxford Dan Moulton Ernie Hardeman Ernie Hardeman
Perth—
Wellington
Stewart Skinner Randy Pettapiece Romayne Smith Fullerton Randy Pettapiece
Wellington—
Halton Hills
Ted Arnott Ted Arnott

Southwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Chatham-
Kent—
Essex
Rick Nicholls Rick Nicholls
Elgin—
Middlesex—
London
Jeff Yurek Jeff Yurek
Essex Taras Natyshak Taras Natyshak
Lambton—
Kent—
Middlesex
Mike Radan Monte McNaughton Monte McNaughton
London—
Fanshawe
Chris Robson Teresa Armstrong Teresa Armstrong
London North Centre Deb Matthews Nancy Branscombe Judy Bryant Deb Matthews
London West Ali Chahbar Peggy Sattler Peggy Sattler
Sarnia—
Lambton
Anne Marie Gillis Bob Bailey Bob Bailey
Windsor—
Tecumseh
Robert de Verteuil Percy Hatfield Percy Hatfield
Windsor West Teresa Piruzza Henry Lau Lisa Gretzky Teresa Piruzza

Northern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Other
Algoma—
Manitoulin
Craig Hughson Michael Mantha Michael Mantha
Kenora—
Rainy River
Anthony Leek Randy Nickle Sarah Campbell Sarah Campbell
Nickel Belt James Tregonning Marck Blay France Gélinas France Gélinas
Nipissing Victor Fedeli Victor Fedeli
Parry Sound—
Muskoka
Norm Miller Matt Richter Norm Miller
Sault Ste. Marie David Orazietti Celia Ross David Orazietti
Sudbury Paula Peroni Joe Cimino Casey Lalonde Rick Bartolucci
Thunder Bay—
Atikokan
Bill Mauro Harold Wilson Mary Kozorys Bill Mauro
Thunder Bay—
Superior North
Michael Gravelle Derek Parks Andrew Foulds Michael Gravelle
Timiskaming—
Cochrane
Sébastien Goyer Peter Politis John Vanthof John Vanthof
Timmins—
James Bay
Steve Black Gilles Bisson Gilles Bisson
  • †Indicates MPP not running for re-election.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "MPPs return to work Nov. 21 to elect new Speaker". Toronto Star. 
  2. ^ "Horwath makes her budget demands". Toronto Sun. April 10, 2012. 
  3. ^ "Ontario budget: Dalton McGuinty warns NDP to curtail budget demands or face an election". Toronto Star. June 16, 2012. 
  4. ^ "Summer election avoided as Ontario budget bill passes". MetroNews. June 20, 2012. 
  5. ^ Morrow, Howlett, Adrian, Karen (Oct 15, 2012). "Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved Oct 15, 2012. 
  6. ^ Antonella, Jenkins, Artuso, Jonathan (January 15, 2012). "Ontario conservative leader warns against Liberal-New Democrat alliance". Sun News Network. Retrieved January 15, 2012. 
  7. ^ "Ontario Liberals to hold leadership convention in January". CBC News. October 21, 2012. Retrieved October 21, 2012. 
  8. ^ "Jobs, Economy, a Fair Society: Priorities for New Ontario Government". Office of the Premier of Ontario. February 11, 2013. Retrieved February 12, 2013. 
  9. ^ "Chris Bentley resigns from Ontario politics, effective Feb. 14". Global Toronto. The Canadian Press. February 8, 2013. Retrieved February 14, 2013. 
  10. ^ Criger, Erin (June 12, 2013). "Dalton McGuinty officially resigns as MPP". City News. Retrieved June 13, 2013. 
  11. ^ "Toronto MPP Margarett Best resigns from legislature". CBC News. June 27, 2013. Retrieved June 29, 2013. 
  12. ^ "Liberal cabinet minister Laurel Broten quits". CBC News. June 23, 2013. Retrieved June 24, 2013. 
  13. ^ "Ontario byelections: NDP wins 2, PCs take 1 seat". CBC News. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013. 
  14. ^ "Liberal MPP Kim Craitor resigns, setting up byelection". Toronto Star. September 24, 2013. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
  15. ^ "Former PC finance critic Peter Shurman resigns as MPP". The Canadian Press. December 10, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013. 
  16. ^ "NDP takes Niagara, Tories keep Thornhill in Ontario byelections". CBC News. February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014. 
  17. ^ "Linda Jeffrey leaving Queen’s Park for Brampton mayoral bid". CBC News. March 24, 2014. Retrieved March 27, 2014. 
  18. ^ "Rick Bartolucci makes 'family decision' to leave politics". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. February 7, 2013. Retrieved February 7, 2013. 
  19. ^ "Cansfield on the brink of making history". Toronto Star. November 20, 2011. Retrieved October 14, 2013. 
  20. ^ "MPP Gerretsen will not run in next provincial election". CKWS. October 25, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013. 
  21. ^ "Changing of the Liberal Guard". Ottawa Citizen. January 28, 2013. Retrieved February 6, 2013. 
  22. ^ "John Milloy, Veteran Ontario Liberal Cabinet Minister, Won't Run Again". Huffington Post. February 28, 2014. Retrieved March 2, 2014. 
  23. ^ a b "MPP Frank Klees won’t seek re-election". Toronto Star. January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
  24. ^ http://origin.library.constantcontact.com/download/get/file/1109991857454-53/Statement+by+MPP+Frank+Klees.pdf
  25. ^ "Two veteran Ontario politicians say they won't run in next election". CTV news. February 28, 2014. Retrieved March 2, 2014. 

External links[edit]