Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2015

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Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2015
Newfoundland and Labrador
2011 ←
members
2015 → 50th

All seats in the 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
Opinion polls
 
Leader Paul Davis Dwight Ball Lorraine Michael
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since September 13, 2014 November 17, 2013 May 26, 2006
Leader's seat Topsail Humber Valley Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi
Last election 37 seats, 56.1% 6 seats, 19.1% 5 seats, 24.6%
Current seats 29 16 3

Incumbent Premier

Paul Davis
Progressive Conservative

The 2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election, formally the 49th Newfoundland and Labrador general election, will elect members of the House of Assembly in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party led by Kathy Dunderdale formed a majority government in the previous election, while the Liberal Party formed the Official Opposition.[1]

The election was originally scheduled for October 13, 2015, under Newfoundland and Labrador's House of Assembly Act, mandating a fixed election day on the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election. However, the same act also requires a new Premier to advise the Lieutenant-Governor, within 12 months of being sworn in, to call an election.[2] Due to the resignation of Premier Dunderdale on January 24, 2014, the Progressive Conservative Party was expected to elect a new leader, and thus Premier, on July 5, 2014, though the leadership election was delayed until September 13, 2014.[3] Paul Davis was elected leader, and was sworn in as Premier September 26, 2014, making September 26, 2015, the last date he can call an election under current legislation.

Party leadership[edit]

Following the provincial election Liberal leader Kevin Aylward announced his resignation as leader. Aylward was unable to win a seat in the legislature and announced on October 26, 2011, he would step down once his successor was chosen.[4] On December 15, 2011, the Liberal Party announced that Dwight Ball would become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012.[5][6] Party president Judy Morrow announced in December 2011, that the party was not likely to hold a leadership convention until sometime in 2013. On November 17, 2013 Dwight Ball was elected leader of the Liberal Party.[7]

On January 22, 2014, Kathy Dunderdale announced she was resigning as Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) later that week and that Finance Minister Tom Marshall would replace her until the party selected a new leader.[8] On January 24, 2014, Marshall was sworn in as the province's 11th Premier.[9] Marshall had previously indicated that he would not be seeking re-election as the member of the House of Assembly for Humber East and therefore would not contest the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party. The party held their leadership convention on September 13, 2014.[10]

Timeline[edit]

2011
2012
  • January 3, 2012: Dwight Ball becomes interim leader of the Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador.[11]
  • September 13, 2012: Progressive Conservative MHA Tom Osborne announces that he has left the party and will sit as an independent.[12]
2013
2014
2015

Party standings[edit]

e • d Summary of the current standings of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
Party Leader Seats
2011 Current
Progressive Conservative Paul Davis 37 29
Liberal Dwight Ball 6 16
New Democratic Lorraine Michael 5 3
Total 48 48

Candidates by district[edit]

Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. The Premier is in Bold and Italicized. Other candidates who are italicized means they are seeking nomination in the district and have not been formally nominated.

St. John's[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Kilbride Jeff Marshall[41] John Dinn
Signal Hill—Quidi Vidi Bonnie Hickey,[42] Simon Lono,[43] or Sean Noah[44] Lorraine Michael
St. John's Centre Michael Lucas[45] or Colleen Galgay[46] Gerry Rogers
St. John's East Paul Antle[47] George Murphy
St. John's North Dale Kirby Dale Kirby
St. John's South Tom Osborne Tom Osborne
St. John's West Siobhan Coady Dan Crummell
Virginia Waters Cathy Bennett Cathy Bennett

St. John's suburbs[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Cape St. Francis Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay East - Bell Island David Brazil
Conception Bay South Andrew Lewis Rex Hillier
Mount Pearl North Steve Kent Steve Kent
Mount Pearl South Paul Lane[47] Paul Lane
Topsail Paul Davis Paul Davis

Avalon and Burin Peninsulas[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Bellevue Merv Wiseman or Roger Jamieson[48] Calvin Peach
Burin—Placentia West Mark Browne Clyde Jackman
Carbonear—Harbour Grace Sam Slade Sam Slade
Ferryland Keith Hutchings
Grand Bank Darin King
Harbour Main Tom Hedderson
Placentia—St. Mary's Judy Manning Sherry Gambin-Walsh[49] Jenn Deon[50] Felix Collins
Port de Grave Pam Parsons[51] Glenn Littlejohn
Trinity—Bay de Verde Steve Crocker Steve Crocker

Central Newfoundland[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Baie Verte—Springdale Neville Robinson or Brian Warr[52] Kevin Pollard
Bonavista North Derrick Bragg[53] Eli Cross
Bonavista South Fred Cuff, Johanna Ryan Guy, Neil King, Kevin Baker or Marilyn Coles-Hayley [54] Glen Little
Exploits Rob Canning or Jerry Dean[55] Clayton Forsey
Gander John Haggie[56] Kevin O'Brien
Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans Susan Sullivan
Grand Falls-Windsor—Green Bay South Al Hawkins[57] Ray Hunter
Lewisporte Wade Verge
Terra Nova Sandy Collins
The Isles of Notre Dame Andrew Shea "Wayne Cull" Derrick Dalley
Trinity North Gail Desrosiers Ross Wiseman

Western and Southern Newfoundland[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Bay of Islands Eddie Joyce Eddie Joyce
Burgeo—La Poile Andrew Parsons Andrew Parsons
Fortune Bay—Cape La Hune Conrad Collier, Mildred Skinner or Bill Carter[58] Tracey Perry
Humber East Stelman Flynn Stelman Flynn
Humber Valley Graydon Pelley[59] Dwight Ball Dwight Ball
Humber West Gerry Byrne Vaughn Granter
Port au Port Tony Cornect
St. Barbe Jim Bennett Jim Bennett
St. George's—Stephenville East Scott Reid Scott Reid
The Straits - White Bay North Chris Mitchelmore Chris Mitchelmore

Labrador[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Cartwright—L'Anse au Clair Lisa Dempster Lisa Dempster
Labrador West Nick McGrath
Lake Melville Perry Trimper[60] Keith Russell
Torngat Mountains Randy Edmunds Randy Edmunds

MHAs not running again[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Corporate Research Associates November 5–30, 2014 [7] 29 60 10
MQO October 20–25, 2014 [8] 28 62 11
Corporate Research Associates August 7–September 1, 2014 [9] 26 58 15
Abacus Data/VOCM July 28–August 1, 2014 [10] 34 48 16
Corporate Research Associates May 12–31, 2014 [11] 29 53 16
Corporate Research Associates February 11– March 4, 2014 [12] 33 53 13
Abacus Data/VOCM January 27–30, 2014 [13] 34 49 15
Corporate Research Associates November 7–30, 2013 [14] 29 52 19
MQO October 22–26, 2013 [63] 29 52 18
Corporate Research Associates August 8–31, 2013 [15] 26 41 33
Corporate Research Associates May 8-May 30, 2013 [16] 27 36 37
Corporate Research Associates February 11–March 8, 2013 PDF 38 22 39
MQO January 21–27, 2013 [64] 36 28 35
Corporate Research Associates November 13-December 1, 2012 [65] 46 23 31
Corporate Research Associates August 9–September 2, 2012 PDF 45 22 33
Environics Research Group June 19–29, 2012 PDF 35 26 38
Corporate Research Associates May 10–June 4, 2012 PDF 49 18 33
Corporate Research Associates February 13–29, 2012 HTML 54 18 28
Corporate Research Associates November 9–29, 2011 PDF 60 13 26
Election 2011 October 11, 2011 56.1 19.1 24.6

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Dunderdale leads N.L. Tories to majority". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 12, 2011. Retrieved October 15, 2011. 
  2. ^ "Bill 40 An Act To Amend The House Of Assembly Act And The Elections Act, 1991". Government of Newfoundland and Labrador. 2004. Retrieved January 24, 2014. 
  3. ^ a b "Newfoundland Tories restart leadership contest with Sept. 13 vote". The Globe and Mail. June 20, 2014. Retrieved June 20, 2014. 
  4. ^ a b "Kevin Aylward resigning as Liberal leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 26, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011. 
  5. ^ "Dwight Ball named Liberal Party leader". The Telegram. December 14, 2011. Retrieved December 15, 2011. 
  6. ^ "Ball new interim N.L. Liberal leader". CBC News, December 15, 2011.
  7. ^ "No rush for Liberal leadership race". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. December 2, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011. 
  8. ^ a b "Kathy Dunderdale confirms stepping down as N.L. premier". CBC News. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  9. ^ "Tom Marshall sworn in as 11th premier". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 24 January 2014. Retrieved 24 January 2014. 
  10. ^ a b "Tories to pick new leader in early July". CBC News. Retrieved February 6, 2014. 
  11. ^ a b "Dwight Ball wants to lead Liberals into 2015 vote". CBC News. December 15, 2011. Retrieved December 17, 2011. 
  12. ^ "Osborne brushed off as 'deadwood' as PCs stick together". CBC News. September 14, 2012. Retrieved September 16, 2012. 
  13. ^ "Jones resigns provincial seat for federal by-election". CBC News. April 8, 2013. Retrieved April 8, 2013. 
  14. ^ "Long-serving MHA Eddie Joyce named Opposition leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 19 July 2013. Retrieved 19 July 2013. 
  15. ^ "Eddie Joyce named Opposition Leader". The Western Star. 18 July 2013. Retrieved 19 July 2013. 
  16. ^ "Tom Osborne joins Liberals". CBC News. 29 August 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2013. 
  17. ^ "Kennedy resigns from government". CBC News. 2 October 2013. Retrieved October 2, 2013. 
  18. ^ "N.L. NDP Leader Lorraine Michael facing caucus revolt". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 21 October 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2013. 
  19. ^ "Mixed messages from NDP caucus, executive". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 22 October 2013. Retrieved 24 October 2013. 
  20. ^ "Michael calls for 2014 leadership review". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 26 October 2013. Retrieved 26 October 2013. 
  21. ^ "Kirby, Mitchelmore quit NDP caucus after leadership row". CBC News. October 29, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013. 
  22. ^ "Dwight Ball wins Liberal leadership". CBC News. November 17, 2013. Retrieved November 17, 2013. 
  23. ^ "Liberals Reclaim Carbonear Harbour Grace". CBC News. November 26, 2013. Retrieved November 26, 2013. 
  24. ^ "Tory MHA Paul Lane crossing the floor". NTV. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 20, 2014. 
  25. ^ "Dale Kirby, Christopher Mitchelmore cut NDP ties". CBC News. Retrieved February 2, 2014. 
  26. ^ "Dale Kirby and Christopher Mitchelmore join Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved February 4, 2014. 
  27. ^ "Kathy Dunderdale to step down as MHA". CBC News. Retrieved February 28, 2014. 
  28. ^ "Cathy Bennett wins Virginia Waters byelection". CBC News. Retrieved April 9, 2014. 
  29. ^ "Bill Barry withdraws from Tory leadership race". CBC News. Retrieved April 17, 2014. 
  30. ^ "Lorraine Michael:'We're new, we're movingforward'". CBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  31. ^ "Joan Shea stepping down as MHA". CBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  32. ^ a b "Frank Coleman Quits Weeks Before Swearing In As N.L. Premier". The Huffington Post. Canadian Press. June 16, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  33. ^ "Liberal Scott Reid wins byelection in St. George's-Stephenville East". CBC News. Retrieved August 26, 2014. 
  34. ^ "Charlene Johnson: Tories 'not a sinking ship". CBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2014. 
  35. ^ "French Bids Farewell to Political Life". VOCM. Retrieved September 19, 2014. 
  36. ^ "Former premier Tom Marshall has stepped down from provincial politics". The Telegram. Retrieved November 3, 2014. 
  37. ^ "Liberal Rex Hillier wins C.B.S. byelection". CBC News. Retrieved November 5, 2014. 
  38. ^ "Steve Crocker sweeps Trinity-Bay de Verde byelection for Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2014. "Liberal Stelman Flynn wins Humber East byelection". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2014. 
  39. ^ "Lorraine Michael stepping down as NDP leader". CBC News. Retrieved January 6, 2015. 
  40. ^ "Lorraine Michael stepping down as NDP leader". CBC News. Retrieved January 6, 2015. 
  41. ^ RESULT OF NOMINATION MEETING – KILBRIDE
  42. ^ [1]
  43. ^ [2]
  44. ^ [3]
  45. ^ [4]
  46. ^ [5]
  47. ^ a b CLOSE OF NOMINATIONS FOR MPS, SJE AND SWBN
  48. ^ Another candidate comes forward in Bellevue
  49. ^ Nomination Tweet
  50. ^ Jenn Deon Official Website
  51. ^ Liberal Party of NL Tweet
  52. ^ Warr Running for Liberal Nomination
  53. ^ Liberal Party of NL Tweet
  54. ^ Five seeking Liberal nomination in Bonavista South
  55. ^ Canning, Dean seek Liberal nomination for Exploits
  56. ^ Doctor wins Liberal nomination in Gander
  57. ^ [6]
  58. ^ Three Contestants for Liberal Nomination
  59. ^ Graydon Pelley to seek PC nomination in Humber Valley
  60. ^ Liberal Party of NL Tweet
  61. ^ "Judy Manning afraid to test electorate, says Edward Roberts". CBC News. October 2, 2014. Retrieved October 2, 2014. 
  62. ^ Norman, Rudy (22 January 2014). "Hunter welcomes Premier's resignation". Advertiser. Retrieved 24 January 2014. 
  63. ^ "NDP support plummets, Liberals make gains: CRA poll". CBC News. December 4, 2013. 
  64. ^ McLeod, James (February 1, 2013). "NDP, PCs in statistical tie in MQO poll". The Telegram. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  65. ^ "Support for NL PC Government Stable, Remains Highest in Atlantic Canada". Corporate Research Associates Inc. December 5, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014.