Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014

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Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014
Alaska
2010 ←
November 4, 2014 → 2018

  Bill Walker inauguration speech.jpg Sean Parnell Elmendorf crop.jpg
Nominee Bill Walker Sean Parnell
Party Independent Republican
Running mate Byron Mallott Dan Sullivan
Popular vote 134,658 128,435
Percentage 48.1% 45.88%

Governor before election

Sean Parnell
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Walker
Independent

The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell did not; he ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.

Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan. The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an Independent is former Republican Mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former Deputy Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.

On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker is running for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew.[1] Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup.

On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead,[2] which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%.[3] Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede.[4][5][6][7][8] On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes,[9] multiple media outlets called the race.[10][11] Parnell conceded the following day.[12] His loss–coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election–marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which gubernatorial and U.S. Senate incumbents from different political parties have been defeated in the same state.[13]

Background[edit]

Republican Sean Parnell was elected lieutenant governor on a ticket with Sarah Palin in 2006, ascending to the office of governor on July 26, 2009, after she resigned. He was then elected to a full term in 2010.

Republican primary[edit]

Governor[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrew[edit]

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Parnell 80,903 75.86
Republican Russ Millette 11,296 10.59
Republican Brad Snowden 10,594 9.93
Republican Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes 3,855 3.61
Total votes 106,648 100

Lieutenant Governor[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrew[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Sullivan 74,758 70.70
Republican Kelly Wolf 30,985 29.30
Total votes 105,743 100

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary[edit]

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Governor[edit]

Democratic candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrew[edit]
Declined[edit]

Libertarian candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Carolyn Clift, Treasurer of the Alaska Libertarian Party[14]

Results[edit]

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Byron Mallott 42,327 66.89
Democratic Phil Stoddard 10,514 16.62
Libertarian Carolyn Clift 10,436 16.49
Total votes 63,277 100

Lieutenant Governor[edit]

Democratic candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Libertarian candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Andrew C. Lee, gold miner[32]

Results[edit]

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hollis French 40,271 62.08
Democratic Bob Williams 16,358 25.22
Libertarian Andrew C. Lee 8,238 12.70
Total votes 64,867 100

Others[edit]

Constitution Party[edit]

  • Running mate: Maria Rensel[34]

Independent[edit]

General election[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard.[36][37][38]

In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated in August 2014. Walker and Mallott have made the repeal of the tax cuts a centrepiece of their campaign.[39]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sean
Parnell (R)
Byron
Mallott (D)
Bill
Walker (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014 1,052 ± 3% 45% 46% 4%[40] 5%
47% 48% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–30, 2014 887 ± 4% 43% 50% 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 561 ± 9% 42% 39% 0% 20%
Hellenthal & Associates October 15–21, 2014 403 ± 4.88% 44.3% 42.5% 4.6%[41] 8.6%
Rasmussen Reports October 8–12, 2014 700 ± 4% 41% 50% 2% 7%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 706 ± 3.5% 42% 37% 8%[42] 13%
CNN/ORC October 1–6, 2014 704 LV ± 3.5% 45% 51% 3%
875 RV ± 3.4% 46% 49% 1% 5%
Hickman Analytics September 26–October 2, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 46% 38% 7%[43] 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 593 ± 5% 40% 45% 1% 14%
Rasmussen Reports September 23–24, 2014 713 ± 4% 42% 47% 5% 6%
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014 880 ± 3.3% 41% 42% 5%[44] 13%
41% 45% 14%
Hays Research/AFL-CIO September 13–14, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 30% 37% 33%
Hays Research* August 20–22, 2014 474 ± 4.5% 40% 43% 15%
Rasmussen Reports August 20–21, 2014 750 ± 4% 47% 36% 11% 6%
Public Policy Polling July 31–August 1, 2014 673 ± 3.8% 37% 22% 20% 5%[45] 16%
48% 37% 14%
41% 40% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 450 ± 5.2% 55% 29% 6% 8%
Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 582 ± 4.1% 37% 27% 17% 4%[46] 15%
Public Policy Polling January 30–February 1, 2014 850 ± 3.4% 41% 25% 16% 3%[46] 15%
  • * Internal poll for Bill Walker campaign

Results[edit]

Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014[47]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Bill Walker/Byron Mallott 134,658 48.1% +48.1%
Republican Sean Parnell/Dan Sullivan 128,435 45.88% -13.22%
Libertarian Carolyn Clift/Andrew C. Lee 8,985 3.21% +2.16%
Constitution J. R. Myers/Maria Rensel 6,987 2.5% +2.5%
Write-ins Others 893 0.32% -0.04%
Majority 6,223 2.22%
Turnout 279,958 55%
Independent gain from Republican Swing

See also[edit]

Elections in Alaska

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Walker, Mallott to join forces in governor's race". Alaska Dispatch News. September 1, 2014. Retrieved September 2, 2014. 
  2. ^ "In governor's race, Walker has edge -- or maybe not". Alaska Dispatch News. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election". Alaska Dispatch News. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014. 
  4. ^ "Parnell says race isn't over as Walker moves ahead with transition planning". Alaska Dispatch News. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  5. ^ "Governor’s race uncalled; Walker plans transition". Alaska Journal. November 13, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  6. ^ "Walker introduces co-chairs of transition team". Houston Chronicle. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  7. ^ "Number of uncounted votes grows in Alaska U.S. Senate race". Alaska Dispatch News. November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014. 
  8. ^ "More than 50,000 votes remain to be counted in heated Alaska races". Alaska Dispatch News. November 10, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014. 
  9. ^ "Friday vote count makes Walker victory in race for governor look certain". Alaska Dispatch News. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  10. ^ "Alaska Governor Race: Incumbent Republican Sean Parnell Loses To Independent Bill Walker". The Huffington Post. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  11. ^ "Unity ticket defeats Alaska GOP Gov. Sean Parnell in drawn-out race". Los Angeles Times. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  12. ^ "Parnell concedes governor's race". Alaska Dispatch News. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014. 
  13. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 19, 2014). "Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat". Smart Politics. 
  14. ^ a b c d "2014 Primary Official Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  15. ^ "Ousted GOP leader plans run for governor". Associated Press (Anchorage Daily News). May 23, 2014. Retrieved May 25, 2014. 
  16. ^ Forgey, Pat (2013-05-04). "Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell to seek re-election in 2014". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved 2013-10-16. 
  17. ^ a b Thiessen, Mark (April 25, 2013). "Walker announces 2014 run for Alaska governor". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved April 26, 2013. [dead link]
  18. ^ a b "Walker planning to run as independent for Alaska governor". Newsminer. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 5, 2013. 
  19. ^ a b c d "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved 8 September 2014. 
  20. ^ Gonzales, Nathan L. (May 23, 2013). "Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2013. 
  21. ^ "Assembly Member Running for Lieutenant Governor". Anchorage Daily News. June 2, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2014. 
  22. ^ Hopkins, Kyle (June 5, 2013). "McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved June 10, 2013. 
  23. ^ "McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline". Anchorage Daily News. June 2, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  24. ^ DeMarban, Alex (September 3, 2013). "Byron Mallot announces decision to run for Alaska governor". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved September 3, 2013. 
  25. ^ a b John Aronno (October 16, 2013). "Hollis French Swaps Roles, 2014 Gubernatorial Field Likely Set.". Alaska Commons. Retrieved November 5, 2013. 
  26. ^ Miller, Mark D. (May 6, 2013). "Treadwell ramps up for Senate after Parnell announcement". Juneau Empire. Retrieved May 8, 2013. 
  27. ^ "Gara decides to seek re-election to Alaska House". Anchorage Daily News. Associated Press. August 22, 2013. Retrieved August 23, 2013. [dead link]
  28. ^ Caldwell, Suzanna (2013-04-03). "Less is more as former Senate candidate Scott McAdams sheds 100 pounds". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved 2013-10-16. 
  29. ^ "Wielechowski taking look at governor's race". News Miner. Associated Press. May 29, 2013. Retrieved May 30, 2013. 
  30. ^ Scott Rhode (June 3, 2014). "Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates". KENI. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  31. ^ "Sen. Lesil McGuire withdrawing from lieutenant gov’s race". KTOO. June 3, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  32. ^ "Loose Lips: Establishment finds its West Anchorage candidate, drafting Palin, Gattis nabs Bickford". Amanda Coyne. May 20, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  33. ^ Redlich, Warren (2013-10-01). "Constitution Party Candidate for Alaska". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 2013-10-16. 
  34. ^ "November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Retrieved August 22, 2014. 
  35. ^ Demer, Lisa (October 14, 2013). "Walker chooses Fleener as running mate in independent bid for governor". Alaska Dispatch News. Retrieved July 24, 2014. 
  36. ^ Parnell defends handling alaska national guard dysfunction, plans more firings, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 2, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
  37. ^ Parnell waited years to take direct action on National Guard misconduct, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 1, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
  38. ^ Debate draws standing-room-only crowd, KTUU, Caslon Hatch. July 23, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
  39. ^ "Palin Endorses Independent-Democratic Ticket for Alaska Governor Against GOP Successor". National Journal. October 23, 2014. Retrieved October 24, 2014. 
  40. ^ Carolyn Clift (L) 2%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
  41. ^ Carolyn Clift (L) 3.8%, J.R. Myers (I) 0.8%
  42. ^ Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%, Other 3%
  43. ^ Carolyn Clift (L) 5%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
  44. ^ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
  45. ^ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (C) 2%
  46. ^ a b J.R. Myers (C)
  47. ^ "2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results". elections.alaska.gov. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014. 

External links[edit]