Asteroid mining

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Artist's concept of asteroid mining
433 Eros is a stony asteroid in a near-Earth orbit

Asteroid mining refers to the possibility of exploiting raw materials from asteroids and other minor planets, including near-Earth objects.[1] Minerals and volatiles could be mined from an asteroid or spent comet then taken back to Earth or used in space for construction materials. Materials that could be mined or extracted include iron, nickel, titanium for construction, water and oxygen to sustain the lives of prospector-astronauts on site, as well as hydrogen and oxygen for use as rocket fuel. In space exploration, using resources gathered while on a journey is referred to as in-situ resource utilization.

Purpose[edit]

Based on known terrestrial reserves and growing consumption in developing countries along with excessive exploitation by developed countries, there is speculation that key elements needed for modern industry, including antimony, zinc, tin, silver, lead, indium, gold, and copper, could be exhausted on Earth within 50–60 years.[2] In response, it has been suggested that platinum, cobalt and other valuable elements from asteroids may be mined and sent to Earth for profit, used to build solar-power satellites and space habitats,[3][4] and water processed from ice to refuel orbiting propellant depots.[5][6][7]

In fact, all the gold, cobalt, iron, manganese, molybdenum, nickel, osmium, palladium, platinum, rhenium, rhodium, ruthenium, and tungsten mined from Earth's crust, and that are essential for economic and technological progress, came originally from the rain of asteroids that hit Earth after the crust cooled.[8][9][10] This is because although asteroids and Earth accreted from the same starting materials, Earth's relatively stronger gravity pulled all heavy siderophilic (iron-loving) elements into its core during its molten youth more than four billion years ago.[10] This left the crust depleted of such valuable elements[10] until asteroid impacts re-infused the depleted crust with metals (some flow from core to surface does occur, e.g. at the Bushveld Igneous Complex, a famously rich source of platinum-group metals).

In 2006, the Keck Observatory announced that the binary Jupiter trojan 617 Patroclus,[11] and possibly large numbers of other Jupiter trojans, are likely extinct comets and consist largely of water ice. Similarly, Jupiter-family comets, and possibly near-Earth asteroids that are extinct comets, might also economically provide water. The process of in-situ resource utilization—using materials native to space for propellant, tankage, radiation shielding, and other high-mass components of space infrastructure—could lead to radical reductions in its cost.[1]

Ice would satisfy one of two necessary conditions to enable "human expansion into the Solar System" (the ultimate goal for human space flight proposed by the 2009 "Augustine Commission" Review of United States Human Space Flight Plans Committee): physical sustainability and economic sustainability.[12]

From the astrobiological perspective, asteroid prospecting could provide scientific data for the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI). Some astrophysicists have suggested that if advanced extraterrestrial civilizations employed asteroid mining long ago, the hallmarks of these activities might be detectable.[13][14][15]

Asteroid selection[edit]

Comparison of delta-v requirements
Mission Δv
Earth surface to LEO 8.0 km/s
LEO to near-Earth asteroid 5.5 km/s[note 1]
LEO to lunar surface 6.3 km/s
LEO to moons of Mars 8.0 km/s

An important factor to consider in target selection is orbital economics, in particular the change in velocity (Δv) and travel time to and from the target. More of the extracted native material must be expended as propellant in higher Δv trajectories, thus less returned as payload. Direct Hohmann trajectories are faster than Hohmann trajectories assisted by planetary and/or lunar flybys, which in turn are faster than those of the Interplanetary Transport Network, but the latter have lower Δv than the former.

Near-Earth asteroids are considered likely candidates for early mining activity. Their low Δv makes them suitable for use in extracting construction materials for near-Earth space-based facilities, greatly reducing the economic cost of transporting supplies into Earth orbit.[16]

The table at right shows a comparison of Δv requirements for various missions. In terms of propulsion energy requirements, a mission to a near-Earth asteroid compares favorably to alternative mining missions.

An example of a potential target for an early asteroid mining expedition is 4660 Nereus.[17] This body has a very low Δv compared to lifting materials from the surface of the Moon. However it would require a much longer round-trip to return the material.

Multiple types of asteroids that have been identified but the three main types would include the C-type, S-type, and M-type asteroids.

  1. C-type asteroids have a high abundance of water which is not currently of use for mining but could be used in an exploration effort beyond the asteroid. Mission costs could be reduced by using the available water from the asteroid. C-type asteroids also have a lot of organic carbon, phosphorus, and other key ingredients for fertilizer which could be used to grow food.[18]
  2. S-type carry little water but look more attractive because they contain numerous metals including: nickel, cobalt and more valuable metals such as gold, platinum and rhodium. A small 10-meter S-type asteroid contains about 1,433,000 pounds of metal with 110 pounds in the form of rare metals like platinum and gold.[18]
  3. M-type asteroids are rare but contain up to 10 times more metal than S-types[18]

Mining considerations[edit]

There are three options for mining:[16]

  1. Bring raw asteroidal material to Earth for use.
  2. Process it on-site to bring back only processed materials, and perhaps produce propellant for the return trip.
  3. Transport the asteroid to a safe orbit around the Moon, Earth or to the ISS.[7] This can hypothetically allow for most materials to be used and not wasted.[4] (see Methods for asteroid retrieval or catching)

Processing in situ for the purpose of extracting high-value minerals will reduce the energy requirements for transporting the materials, although the processing facilities must first be transported to the mining site.

Mining operations require special equipment to handle the extraction and processing of ore in outer space.[16] The machinery will need to be anchored to the body,[citation needed] but once in place, the ore can be moved about more readily due to the lack of gravity. Docking with an asteroid can be performed using a harpoon-like process, where a projectile penetrates the surface to serve as an anchor then an attached cable is used to winch the vehicle to the surface, if the asteroid is rigid enough for a harpoon to be effective.[original research?]

Due to the distance from Earth to an asteroid selected for mining, the round-trip time for communications will be several minutes or more, except during occasional close approaches to Earth by near-Earth asteroids. Thus any mining equipment will either need to be highly automated, or a human presence will be needed nearby.[16] Humans would also be useful for troubleshooting problems and for maintaining the equipment. On the other hand, multi-minute communications delays have not prevented the success of robotic exploration of Mars, and automated systems would be much less expensive to build and deploy.[19]

Technology being developed by Planetary Resources to locate and harvest these asteroids has resulted in the creation of 3 different types of satellites.

  1. Arkyd Series 100 (The Leo Space telescope) Less expensive instrument that will be used to find, analyze, and see what resources are available on nearby asteroids.[18]
  2. Arkyd Series 200 (The Interceptor) Satellite that would actually land on the asteroid to get a closer analysis of the available resources.[18]
  3. Arkyd Series 300 (Rendezvous Prospector) Satellite developed for research and finding resources deeper in space.[18]

Asteroid mining could potentially revolutionize space exploration. The C-type asteroids high abundance of water could be used to produce fuel by splitting water into hydrogen and oxygen. This would make space travel a more feasible option by lowering cost of fuel.

Extraction techniques[edit]

Surface mining[edit]

On some types of asteroids, material may be scraped off the surface using a scoop or auger, or for larger pieces, an "active grab."[16] There is strong evidence that many asteroids consist of rubble piles,[20] making this approach possible.

Shaft mining[edit]

A mine can be dug into the asteroid, and the material extracted through the shaft. This requires precise knowledge to engineer accuracy of astro-location under the surface regolith and a transportation system to carry the desired ore to the processing facility.

Magnetic rakes[edit]

Asteroids with a high metal content may be covered in loose grains that can be gathered by means of a magnet.[16][21]

Heating[edit]

For volatile materials in extinct comets, heat can be used to melt and vaporize the matrix.[16][22]

Self-replicating machines[edit]

A 1980 NASA study entitled Advanced Automation for Space Missions proposed a complex automated factory on the Moon that would work over several years to build a copy of itself.[23] Exponential growth of factories over many years could refine large amounts of lunar regolith. Since 1980 there has been major progress in miniaturization, nanotechnology, materials science, and additive manufacturing.

The power of self-replication is compelling. For example, a 1 kg solar-powered self-replicating machine that takes one month to make a copy of itself would, after just two and a half years (30 doublings), refine over one billion kilograms of asteroidal material without any human intervention. Ten months later you would have one trillion kg of whatever metal(s) are used to make the devices, which could then be "harvested" at any time. No large mass of equipment need be delivered to the asteroid; in effect, only the information that went into designing the device plus the 1 kg device itself.

Asteroid prospects[edit]

A class of easily recoverable objects (EROs) was identified by a group of researchers in 2013. Twelve asteroids made up the initially identified group, all of which could be potentially mined with present-day rocket technology. Of 9000 asteroids searched in the NEO database, these twelve could all be brought into an Earth-accessible orbit by changing their velocity by less than 500 meters per second (1,100 mph). The dozen asteroids range in size from 2 to 20 meters (10 to 70 ft).[24]

Proposed mining projects[edit]

On April 24, 2012 a plan was announced by billionaire entrepreneurs to mine asteroids for their resources. The company is called Planetary Resources and its founders include aerospace entrepreneurs Eric Anderson and Peter Diamandis. Advisers include film director and explorer James Cameron and investors include Google's chief executive Larry Page and its executive chairman Eric Schmidt.[1][25] They also plan to create a fuel depot in space by 2020 by using water from asteroids, which could be broken down in space to liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen for rocket fuel. From there, it could be shipped to Earth orbit for refueling commercial satellites or spacecraft.[1] The plan has been met with skepticism by some scientists who do not see it as cost-effective, even though platinum and gold are worth nearly £35 per gram ($1,600 per ounce). An upcoming NASA mission (OSIRIS-REx) to return just 60g (two ounces) of material from an asteroid to Earth will cost about $1 billion USD.[1] Planetary Resources admits that, in order to be successful, it will need to develop technologies that bring the cost of space flight down. Planetary Resources also expects that the construction of "space infrastructure" will help to reduce long-term running costs. For example, fuel costs can be reduced by extracting water from asteroids and converting it to hydrogen using solar energy. In theory, hydrogen fuel mined from asteroids costs significantly less than fuel from Earth due to high costs of escaping Earth's gravity. If successful, investment in "space infrastructure" and economies of scale could reduce operational costs to levels significantly below NASA's upcoming (OSIRIS-REx) mission.[26]

Another similar venture, called Deep Space Industries, was started by David Gump, who had founded other space companies.[27] The company hopes to begin prospecting for asteroids suitable for mining by 2015 and by 2016 return asteroid samples to Earth.[28] By 2023 Deep Space Industries plans to begin mining for asteroids.[29]

At ISDC-San Diego 2013,[30] Kepler Energy and Space Engineering (KESE,llc) also announced it was going to mine asteroids, using a simpler, more straightforward approach: KESE plans to use almost exclusively existing guidance, navigation and anchoring technologies from successful missions like the Rosetta/Philae, Dawn, and Hyabusa's Muses-C and current NASA Technology Transfer tooling to build and send a 4-module Automated Mining System (AMS) to a small asteroid with a simple digging tool to collect ~40 tons of asteroid regolith and bring each of the four return modules back to Low-Earth-Orbit (LEO) by the end of the decade. Small asteroids are expected to be loose piles of rubble, therefore providing for easy extraction.

In September 2012, the NASA Institute for Advanced Concepts (NIAC) announced the Robotic Asteroid Prospector project, which will examine and evaluate the feasibility of asteroid mining in terms of means, methods, and systems.[31]

Economics[edit]

Currently, the quality of the ore and the consequent cost and mass of equipment required to extract it are unknown and can only be speculated. Some economic analyses indicate that the cost of returning asteroidal materials to Earth far outweighs their market value, and that asteroid mining will not attract private investment at current commodity prices and space transportation costs.[32][33] Other studies suggest large profit by using solar power.[34][35] Potential markets for materials can be identified and profit generated if extraction cost is brought down. For example, the delivery of multiple tonnes of water to low Earth orbit for rocket fuel preparation for space tourism could generate a significant profit.[36]

In 1997 it was speculated that a relatively small metallic asteroid with a diameter of 1.6 km (0.99 mi) contains more than $20 trillion USD worth of industrial and precious metals.[6][37] A comparatively small M-type asteroid with a mean diameter of 1 kilometer (0.62 mi) could contain more than two billion metric tons of ironnickel ore,[38] or two to three times the annual production of 2004.[39] The asteroid 16 Psyche is believed to contain 1.7×1019 kg of nickel–iron, which could supply the world production requirement for several million years. A small portion of the extracted material would also be precious metals.

Although Planetary Resources says that platinum from a 30-meter long asteroid is worth 25–50 billion USD,[40] an economist remarked that any outside source of precious metals could lower prices sufficiently to possibly doom the venture by rapidly increasing the available supply of such metals.[41]

Development of an asteroid-orbit manipulation infrastructure could offer an irresistible return on investment.[42] However, astrophysicists Carl Sagan and Steven J. Ostro raised the concern that altering the trajectories of asteroids in nearby interplanetary space could cause a catastrophic collision with Earth. These scientists conclude that stringent controls on the misuse of orbit-engineering technology be instituted.[42][43][44]

Scarcity[edit]

Scarcity is a fundamental economic problem of humans having seemingly unlimited wants in a world of limited resources. Asteroid mining has the potential to provide the world with an unlimited resource of materials, which could eliminate scarcity for those materials. Earth's resources are not infinite. The idea of exhausting resources is not new, Thomas Malthus wrote in 1798 that, because resources are ultimately limited, the exponential growth in a population would result in falls in income per capita until poverty and starvation would result as a constricting factor on population.[45] Malthus's analysis was based on two types of earthly reserves including proven and conditional reserves. These make up the group of measured reserves that is estimated to contain about 20% of Earth's deposits.

  • Proven reserves are deposits of mineral resources that are already discovered and known to be economically extractable under present or similar demand, price and other economic and technological conditions.[45]
  • Conditional reserves are discovered deposits that are not yet economically viable.
  • Indicated reserves are less intensively measured deposits whose data is derived from surveys and geological projections. Hypothetical reserves and speculative resources make up this group of reserves. Inferred reserves are deposits that have been located but not yet exploited.[45]

Continued development in asteroid mining techniques and technology will help to increase mineral discoveries found on the Moon and asteroids which could make mining more intriguing. As the cost of extracting mineral resources, especially platinum group metals, on Earth rises, the cost of extracting the same resources from celestial bodies declines due to technological innovations around space exploration.[45]

Financial feasibility[edit]

Space ventures are high-risk, with long lead times and heavy capital investment, and that is no different for asteroid-mining projects. These types of ventures could be funded through private investment or through government investment. If a government venture were to be sought, maximizing its cost–benefit ratio and financial returns are a must. For a commercial venture it can be highly profitable as long as the revenue earned is greater than total costs (costs for extraction and costs for marketing).[46] The costs involving an asteroid-mining venture have been estimated to be around $100 billion US.[46]

There are six categories of cost considered for an asteroid mining venture:[46]

  1. Research and development costs
  2. Exploration and prospecting costs
  3. Construction and infrastructure development costs
  4. Operational and engineering costs
  5. Environmental costs
  6. Time cost

Determining financial feasibility is best represented through net present value.[46] One requirement needed for financial feasibility is a high return on investments estimating around 30%.[46] On September 5, 2008 platinum was valued at US $1,340 per ounce. With a 10% return on investment, 5,575,000 ounces of platinum would have to be extracted for every 1,155,00 tons of asteroid ore. With a 50% return on investment 54,750,000 ounces of platinum would have to be extracted for every 11,350,000 tons of asteroid ore. The higher return on investment required, the more economically, technologically, and practically unfeasible the venture becomes.[46]

The payback period and the high risk involved make asteroid mining a less competitive venture compared to terrestrial projects. Launching costs may be the most significant, which can only lower over time through increased competition and technological improvements. Asteroid mining will become more viable when fixed costs lower due to development in infrastructure.

Scarcity of platinum-group metals on Earth keeps prices high. This is a leading incentive for the development of asteroid mining. One key consideration is that if the development of asteroid mining takes off, the prices could drop. Increasing supply would drive demand lower thus dropping prices, potentially keeping investors out of the market.

In fiction[edit]

The first mention of asteroid mining in science fiction is apparently Garrett P. Serviss' story Edison's Conquest of Mars, New York Evening Journal, 1898.[47][48]

The 1979 film Alien, directed by Ridley Scott, is about the crew of the Nostromo, a commercially operated spaceship on a return trip to Earth hauling a refinery and 20 million tons of mineral ore mined from an asteroid.

C. J. Cherryh's novel, Heavy Time focuses on the plight of asteroid miners in the Alliance-Union universe.

In several science fiction video games, asteroid mining is a possibility. For example, in the space-MMO, EVE Online, asteroid mining is a very popular career, due to its simplicity.[49][50][51]

Gallery[edit]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ This is the average amount; asteroids with much lower delta-v exist.

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e "Plans for asteroid mining emerge". BBC News. 24 April 2012. Retrieved 2012-04-24. 
  2. ^ D. Cohen, "Earth's natural wealth: an audit", NewScientist, 23 May 2007.
  3. ^ BRIAN O'LEARY, MICHAEL J. GAFFEY, DAVID J. ROSS, and ROBERT SALKELD (1979). "Retrieval of Asteroidal Materials". SPACE RESOURCES and SPACE SETTLEMENTS,1977 Summer Study at NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, California. NASA. 
  4. ^ a b Dr. Lee Valentine (2002). "A Space Roadmap: Mine the Sky, Defend the Earth, Settle the Universe". Space Studies Institute. Retrieved September 19, 2011. 
  5. ^ Didier Massonnet , Benoît Meyssignac (2006). "A captured asteroid : Our David's stone for shielding earth and providing the cheapest extraterrestrial material". Acta Astronautica. 
  6. ^ a b Lewis, John S. (1997). Mining the Sky: Untold Riches from the Asteroids, Comets, and Planets. Perseus. ISBN 0-201-32819-4. 
  7. ^ a b John Brophy, Fred Culick, Louis Friedman and al (12 April 2012). "Asteroid Retrieval Feasibility Study". Keck Institute for Space Studies, California Institute of Technology, Jet Propulsion Laboratory. 
  8. ^ University of Toronto (2009, October 19).Geologists Point To Outer Space As Source Of The Earth's Mineral Riches. ScienceDaily
  9. ^ James M. Brenan and William F. McDonough, "Core formation and metal–silicate fractionation of osmium and iridium from gold." Nature Geoscience (18 October 2009)
  10. ^ a b c Matthias Willbold, Tim Elliott and Stephen Moorbath, "The tungsten isotopic composition of the Earth’s mantle before the terminal bombardment." Nature (08 September 2011)
  11. ^ F. Marchis et al., "A low density of 0.8 g/cm-3 for the Trojan binary asteroid 617 Patroclus", Nature, 439, pp. 565-567, 2 February 2006.
  12. ^ C. Gardner, "Tobacco and beaver pelts: the sustainable path", The Space Review, 18 April 2011.
  13. ^ Evidence of asteroid mining in our galaxy may lead to the discovery of extraterrestrial civilizations smithsonianscience.org
  14. ^ Asteroid Mining: A Marker for SETI? centauri-dreams.org
  15. ^ Duncan Forgan, Martin Elvis:Extrasolar Asteroid Mining as Forensic Evidence for Extraterrestrial Intelligence@ arxiv.org, (Retrieved 2011-04-07)
  16. ^ a b c d e f g Harris, Stephen (2013-04-16). "Your questions answered: asteroid mining". The Engineer. Retrieved 2013-04-16. 
  17. ^ Ross, S.D. (2001). Near-Earth asteroid mining
  18. ^ a b c d e f http://www.astronomysource.com/tag/m-type-asteroids/
  19. ^ Crandall W.B.C, et al. (2009). "Why Space, Recommendations to the Review of United States Human Space Flight Plans Committee". NASA Document Server. 
  20. ^ L. Wilson, K. Keil, S. J. Love (1999). "The internal structures and densities of asteroids". Meteoritics & Planetary Science 34 (3): 479–483. Bibcode:1999M&PS...34..479W. doi:10.1111/j.1945-5100.1999.tb01355.x. 
  21. ^ William K. Hartmann (2000). "The Shape of Kleopatra". Science 288 (5467): 820–821. doi:10.1126/science.288.5467.820. 
  22. ^ David L. Kuck, "Exploitation of Space Oases", Proceedings of the Twelfth SSI-Princeton Conference, 1995.
  23. ^ Robert Freitas, William P. Gilbreath, ed. (1982). Advanced Automation for Space Missions. NASA Conference Publication CP-2255 (N83-15348). 
  24. ^ Mohan, Keerthi (2012-08-13). "New Class of Easily Retrievable Asteroids That Could Be Captured With Rocket Technology Found". International Business Times. Retrieved 2012-08-15. 
  25. ^ "Companies plan to mine precious metals in space". CNN News. 24 April 2012. Retrieved 2012-04-24. 
  26. ^ http://www.planetaryresources.com/technology/
  27. ^ Soper, Taylor (January 22, 2013). "Deep Space Industries entering asteroid-mining world, creates competition for Planetary Resources". GeekWire: Dispatches from the Digital Frontier. GeekWire. Retrieved January 22, 2013. 
  28. ^ "Commercial Asteroid Hunters announce plans for new Robotic Exploration Fleet" (Press release). Deep Space Industries. January 22, 2013. Retrieved January 22, 2013. 
  29. ^ Wall, Mike (January 22, 2013). "Asteroid-Mining Project Aims for Deep-Space Colonies". Space.com. TechMediaNetwork. Retrieved January 22, 2013. 
  30. ^ http://isdc.nss.org/2013/speakers-all.shtml
  31. ^ Robotic Asteroid Prospector (RAP) Staged from L-1: Start of the Deep Space Economy nasa.gov, accessed 2012-09-11
  32. ^ R. Gertsch and L. Gertsch, "Economic analysis tools for mineral projects in space", Space Resources Roundtable, 1997.
  33. ^ "Can James Cameron — Or Anyone — Really Mine Asteroids?". Time Science. April 25, 2012. Retrieved 2012-04-25. 
  34. ^ http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576598000873
  35. ^ http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2004JBIS...57..301B
  36. ^ Sonter, Mark. "Mining Economics and Risk-Control in the Development of Near-Earth-Asteroid Resources". Space Future. Retrieved 2006-06-08. 
  37. ^ Asteroid mining
  38. ^ Lewis 1993
  39. ^ "World Produces 1.05 Billion Tonnes of Steel in 2004", International Iron and Steel Institute, 2005
  40. ^ "Tech billionaires bankroll gold rush to mine asteroids". Reuters. 2012-04-24. 
  41. ^ Asteroid Mining Venture Could Change Supply/Demand Ratio On Earth
  42. ^ a b Ostro, Steven J.; Carl Sagan (1998), "Cosmic collisions and the longetivity of non-space faring galactic civilizations" (PDF), Interplanetary Collision Hazards, Pasadena, California, USA: Jet Propulsion Laboratory - NASA, retrieved 2012-07-01 
  43. ^ http://abob.libs.uga.edu/bobk/ccc/cc080498.html
  44. ^ http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v368/n6471/abs/368501a0.html
  45. ^ a b c d Lee, R. J. (2012). Law and Regulation of Commercial Mining of Minerals in Outer Space. (Vol. 7). New York: Springer.
  46. ^ a b c d e f Lee, R. J. (2012). Law and Regulation of Commercial Mining of Minerals in Outer Space. (Vol. 7). New York: Springer
  47. ^ TechNovelGy timeline, Asteroid Mining
  48. ^ Garrett P. Serviss, 's Edison's Conquest of Mars at Project Gutenberg
  49. ^ "Mining guide". EVE Online Wiki. EVE Online. Retrieved 12 February 2013. 
  50. ^ Brendan Drain (23 January 2011). "EVE Evolved: Mining 101 -- Advanced mining". EVE Evolved. Joystiq. Retrieved 12 February 2013. 
  51. ^ "EVE Online Beginner's Guide - Episode 3 (Choosing A Focus)" (Video). EVE Online Beginner's Guide. YouTube. 20 April 2012. Retrieved 12 February 2013.  - Relevant content is between 1m00s and 1m50s in the video

Publications[edit]

External links[edit]

Text[edit]

Video[edit]