Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)
|This article needs additional citations for verification. (December 2009)|
|for the House of Commons|
Boundary of Cardiff North in Wales.
|Preserved county||South Glamorgan|
|Electorate||67,194 (December 2010)|
|Member of Parliament||Jonathan Evans (Conservative)|
|Number of members||One|
|Welsh Assembly||South Wales Central|
|European Parliament constituency||Wales|
Cardiff North (Welsh: Gogledd Caerdydd) is a borough constituency in the city of Cardiff. It returns one Member of Parliament (MP) to the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom, elected by the first past the post voting system.
This seat is the residential quarter of Wales' capital. It normally elects Conservative MPs but Labour has won in their better election performances. A traditional Tory section of northern Cardiff, over half of northern Cardiff consists of owner-occupied housing with a higher number of a middle class population than other sections, the Conservatives have recovered from the low points of the mid-1990s, and now hold the majority of the council seats forming the constituency (13, against five Liberal Democrats, three independents and no Labour). Success in the 2004 local elections was not repeated in the 2005 general election, with Labour's Julie Morgan retaining the seat with a reduced majority.
Nick Robinson profiled the constituency as part of the BBC's build-up to the 2010 general election, saying:
"Labour's support here slumped from over 50% of the vote in 1997 to 39% at the last election when, it's worth remembering, Labour won a third term with the lowest-ever vote share obtained by a governing party. However, the Tories failed to gain from this decline, picking up just 227 votes in those eight years. Thanks to a lower turnout, their vote share crept up from 33.7% to 36.5%. The reason? Voters who deserted Labour switched, in the main, to the Lib Dems - even though they are outsiders in this seat with just under 19% of the vote.
"The Tories are hopeful of winning the seat, having topped the Euro poll not just here but in Wales as a whole. They have 13 councillors in this constituency as against Labour's none and the Lib Dems' five - even though in Cardiff as a whole, the Lib Dems control the city council.
"Labour hopes depend on stressing the independence and hard work of the local MP - Julie (wife of Rhodri) Morgan - and persuading those Lib Dems not to switch to the Tories."
In the event Julie Morgan once again stood for Labour in 2010 to try to retain the seat. The Conservatives chose Jonathan Evans MEP to stand for them, who had previously been the MP for Brecon and Radnor. Ladbrokes had forecast that Cardiff North had an 80% chance of becoming Conservative. Evans won, but only by 194 votes.
1955-1974: The county borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Gabalfa, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.
1974-1983: The county borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.
1983-2010: The City of Cardiff wards of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane and St Mellons, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.
2010-present: The Cardiff electoral divisions of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Pontprennau/Old St Mellons, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.
Members of Parliament
Elections in the 2010s
|General Election 2015: Cardiff North|
|General Election 2010: Cardiff North|
|Liberal Democrat||John Dixon||8,724||18.3||−0.4|
|Plaid Cymru||Llywelyn Rhys||1,588||3.3||−0.9|
|Green||Christopher von Ruhland||362||0.8||+0.8|
|Conservative gain from Labour||Swing||+1.5|
Elections in the 2000s
In the 2005 election, Julie Morgan was re-elected with a reduced majority. Catherine Taylor-Dawson of the Vote For Yourself Rainbow Dream Ticket party scored the lowest result (one vote) of any constituency in this general election.
|General Election 2005: Cardiff North|
|Liberal Democrat||John Dixon||8,483||18.7||+3.4|
|Plaid Cymru||John Rowlands||1,936||4.3||−1.4|
|Forward Wales||Alison Hobbs||138||0.3||+0.3|
|Rainbow Dream Ticket||Catherine Taylor-Dawson||1||0.0||0.0|
|General Election 2001: Cardiff North|
|Liberal Democrat||John Dixon||6,631||15.3||+4.4|
|Plaid Cymru||Sion Jobbins||2,471||5.7||+3.2|
Elections in the 1990s
|General Election 1997: Cardiff North|
|Liberal Democrat||Robyn Rowland||5,294||10.9||−2.7|
|Plaid Cymru||Colin Palfrey||1,201||2.5||+0.6|
|Referendum Party||Edward J. Litchfield||1,199||2.5||N/A|
|Labour gain from Conservative||Swing|
|General Election 1992: Cardiff North|
|Liberal Democrat||Mrs Eve Warlow||6,487||13.6||−12.9|
|Plaid Cymru||Mrs Eluned M. Bush||916.||1.9||+0.4|
|BNP||John H Morse||121||0.3||N/A|
|Natural Law||David L. Palmer||86||0.2||N/A|
Elections in the 1980s
|General Election 1987: Cardiff North|
|Social Democrat||AW Jeremy||11,725||26.46|
|Plaid Cymru||EM Bush||692||1.56|
|General Election 1983: Cardiff North|
|Social Democrat||AW Jeremy||12,585||30.51|
|Plaid Cymru||D Huws||974||2.36|
Elections in the 1970s
|General Election 1979: Cardiff North|
|Plaid Cymru||OJ Thomas||1,081||2.98|
|General Election October 1974: Cardiff North|
|Plaid Cymru||P Richards||1,464||4.55|
|General Election February 1974: Cardiff North|
|Plaid Cymru||P Richards||1,586||4.64|
|General Election 1970: Cardiff North|
|Plaid Cymru||BM Edwards||1,927||4.12|
|Conservative gain from Labour||Swing|
Elections in the 1960s
|General Election 1966: Cardiff North|
|Labour gain from Conservative||Swing|
|General Election 1964: Cardiff North|
|Plaid Cymru||EP Roberts||1,058||2.16|
Elections in the 1950s
|General Election 1959: Cardiff North|
|Plaid Cymru||EP Roberts||2,553||5.13|
|General Election 1955: Cardiff North|
|General Election 1951: Cardiff North|
|General Election 1950: Cardiff North|
Notes and references
- "Beyond 20/20 WDS - Table view". 2011 Electorate Figures. StatsWales. 1 December 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
- Nick Robinson's Newslog "Taking The Pulse: Cardiff"
- Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 2)[self-published source][better source needed]
- Cardiff North Cardiff County Council - candidates Cardiff North
- Cardiff North BBC Election - Cardiff North
- "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 2010-12-06.