David Kilcullen
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| David Kilcullen | |
|---|---|
| Born | 1967 (age 41–42) |
| Citizenship | |
| Education | Ph.D |
| Alma mater | University of New South Wales |
| Years active | 2000 – present |
| Known for | Theories on counterinsurgency and counterterrorism |
| This article includes a list of references or external links, but its sources remain unclear because it has insufficient inline citations. Please help to improve this article by introducing more precise citations where appropriate. (June 2009) |
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David Kilcullen (born 1967) is an author and a consultant on counterinsurgency and counterterrorism. A former Australian Army officer, he left that army as a lieutenant colonel in 2005 and now works for the United States State Department. During 2007 he served in Iraq as Senior Counterinsurgency Adviser, Multi-National Force - Iraq -- a civilian position on the personal staff of U.S. Army General David Petraeus, responsible for planning and executing the 2007-08 Joint Campaign Plan which drove the Iraq War troop surge of 2007.
Kilcullen is also an advisor to the United States; British and Australian governments; the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and several private sector institutions, on counter-terrorism and counter-insurgency issues. A former Senior Fellow of the Center for a New American Security, he is now on the CNAS's Advisory Board.[1]
[edit] Biography
Kilcullen has a doctorate in politics from the University of New South Wales, focusing on the effects of guerrilla warfare on non-state political systems in traditional societies. His thesis is titled "The political consequences of military operations in Indonesia 1945-99: a fieldwork analysis of the political power-diffusion effects of guerilla conflict". He applied ethnographic fieldwork methods and involved extended residential fieldwork that focused on the political power-diffusion effects of successful and failed counter-insurgency operations on traditional societies in Indonesia and East Timor. He has served in several counterinsurgency and guerrilla warfare campaigns in Southeast Asia and the Middle East -- including tours in both Iraq and Afghanistan -- as well as in peacekeeping and peace enforcement operations.
While at the US State Department in 2005-06 he served as Chief Strategist in the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, and has worked in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, the Horn of Africa and Southeast Asia. He has also written several papers on the Iraqi insurgency after the fall of Saddam Hussein.[citation needed]
He is one of a group of civilian specialists and military officers, including Colonel H.R. McMaster and others, who were seconded in late 2006 to the personal staff of General Petraeus to oversee the specialized counterinsurgency aspects of the Iraq campaign in 2007.[2] He previously contributed to the new United States Counterinsurgency Field Manual FM 3-24, published in December 2006, of which he authored a chapter entitled "A Guide to Action". His book The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One was published in early 2009. (See External Links.)
[edit] Contributions to counterinsurgency theory
[edit] Complex warfighting
Kilcullen's 2003 paper Complex Warfighting formed the basis for the Australian Army's future land operational concept, officially approved in 2005.[citation needed] It identifies the key drivers of modern conflict as globalization and anti-globalisation, and US conventional military dominance (which forces all potential opponents to adopt unconventional approaches). The paper describes the land conflict environment as being driven by four key factors: complexity, diversity, diffusion and lethality. The paper analyses the environment of contemporary conflict, in order to determine how land forces (the army and those elements of the navy and air force that support land operations) must operate in order to succeed in this environment. As mentioned above, the paper identifies the contemporary conflict environment as complex, diverse, diffuse and highly lethal.
[edit] Countering "global insurgency"
His 2004 paper "Countering Global Insurgency" proposed a new strategic approach to the global "War on Terrorism". The paper argues that the strategy is best understood as a "global Islamic insurgency" initiated by a diffuse grouping of Islamist movements that seek to re-make Islam's role in the world order.[citation needed]
Kilcullen's 2006 paper "Counterinsurgency Redux" questions the relevance of classical counterinsurgency theory to modern conflict. It argues from field evidence gathered in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan and the Horn of Africa that:[citation needed]
- …today's insurgencies differ significantly from those of the 1960s. Insurgents may not be seeking to overthrow the state, may have no coherent strategy or may pursue a faith-based approach difficult to counter with traditional methods. There may be numerous competing insurgencies in one theatre, meaning that the counter-insurgent must control the overall environment rather than defeat a specific enemy. The actions of individuals and the propaganda effect of a subjective 'single narrative' may far outweigh practical progress, rendering counter-insurgency even more non-linear and unpredictable.
[edit] Conflict ethnography
Kilcullen has argued in most of his works for a deeper cultural and linguistic understanding of the conflict environment, an approach he has recently begun calling "conflict ethnography".[citation needed] In May 2007 on the Small Wars Journal website he argued:[3]
- The bottom line is that no handbook relieves a professional counterinsurgent from the personal obligation to study, internalize and interpret the physical, human, informational and ideological setting in which the conflict takes place. Conflict ethnography is key; to borrow a literary term, there is no substitute for a "close reading" of the environment. But it is a reading that resides in no book, but around you; in the terrain, the people, their social and cultural institutions, the way they act and think. You have to be a participant observer. And the key is to see beyond the surface differences between our societies and these environments (of which religious orientation is one key element) to the deeper social and cultural drivers of conflict, drivers that locals would understand on their own terms.
[edit] "Twenty-Eight Articles"
Kilcullen's most widely-read paper "Twenty-Eight Articles" is a concise practical guide for junior officers and non-commissioned officers engaged in counter-insurgency operations in Afghanistan and Iraq. The paper's publication history is an illustration of new methods of knowledge propagation in the military-professional community. It first appeared as an e-mail that was widely circulated informally among U.S. Army and Marine officers in April 2006[citation needed], and was subsequently published in Military Review in May 2006. Later versions of it were published in IoSphere and the Marine Corps Gazette, and it was translated into Arabic and Spanish by the editors of Military Review. It was later formalized as Annex A to FM 3-24, the US Army's new counterinsurgency doctrine, and is in use by the US, Australian, British, Canadian, Dutch, Iraqi and Afghan armies as a training document.[citation needed]
[edit] Controversies
According to the Washington Independent, Kilcullen bluntly called the decision to invade Iraq "stupid" (the full claim is he said "fucking stupid"); and suggested that if policy-makers apply the manual's lessons, similar wars can be avoided in the future. "The biggest stupid idea," Kilcullen said, "was to invade Iraq in the first place." However, Kilcullen explained his comment the very next day this way:[4]
- Spencer Ackerman, in yesterday's Washington Independent, claims I told him the Iraq war was "f*cking stupid". He did not seek to clear that quote with me, and I would not have approved it if he had. If he HAD sought a formal comment, I would have told him what I have said publicly before: in my view, the decision to invade Iraq in 2003 was an extremely serious strategic error. But the task of the moment is not to cry over spilt milk, rather to help clean it up: a task in which the surge, the comprehensive counterinsurgency approach, and our troops on the ground are admirably succeeding.
- Anyone who knows me has been well aware of my position on Iraq for years. When I went to Iraq in 2007 (and on both previous occasions) it was to end the war, by suppressing the violence and defeating the insurgency. (Note: I said END the war, not abandon it half-way through, leaving the Iraqis to be slaughtered. When we invaded Iraq, we took on a moral and legal responsibility for its people's wellbeing. Regardless of anyone's position on the decision to invade, those obligations still stand and cannot be wished away merely because they have proven inconvenient)...The question of whether we were right to invade Iraq is a fascinating debate for historians and politicians, and a valid issue for the American people to consider in an election year. As it happens, I think it was a mistake. But that is not my key concern. The issue for practitioners in the field is not to second-guess a decision from six years ago, but to get on with the job at hand which, I believe, is what both Americans and Iraqis expect of us. In that respect, the new strategy and tactics implemented in 2007, and which relied for their effectiveness on the extra troop numbers of the Surge, ARE succeeding and need to be supported.[5]
In November 2009, Kilcullen told The Guardian that President Obama "risks a Suez-style debacle in Afghanistan if he fails to deploy enough extra troops and opts instead for a messy compromise."[6] In the same interview, Kilcullen criticized Obama for taking so long to make a decision: "I do think, though, the policy process of this administration this year has been, shall we say, messy and this, the latest incident [leaked cables from Ambassador Karl Eikenberry to President Obama], underlines how messy it has been, and I think that is problematic. It sends a message of indecision and uncertainty which has an effect on allies, and has a huge effect on the British political debate and has huge impact on the Afghans."
[edit] Publications
- Future Land Operational Concept, Complex Warfighting, Department of Defence, Canberra. 7 April 2004, 30 Pp.
- "Countering Global Insurgency", October 2004, the long internet version of a paper subsequently published in the Journal of Strategic Studies, which re-defines the war on terrorism as an extremely large-scale counterinsurgency problem.
- "Countering Global Insurgency", published version (August 2005) (requires subscription)
- "Twenty-Eight Articles", a how-to guide for junior commanders engaged in counterinsurgency] from the Air University website; available elsewhere in Arabic
- "Counterinsurgency Redux", an article from Survival, the journal of the International Institute of Strategic Studies, contrasting current insurgencies with the "classical" period of the 1950s-1960s.
- "New Paradigms for 21st Century Conflict", an article from e-Journal USA, the State Department's in-house electronic journal
- Blog entries by Kilcullen on Small Wars Journal
His first book, The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One (ISBN 9780195368345) was published by Oxford University Press USA in March 2009.
[edit] See also
[edit] References
- ^ "Dr. David Kilcullen". staff profile. Center for a New American Security.
- ^ D. Kilcullen, The Accidental Guerrilla, p. 130.
- ^ "Religion and Insurgency" David Kilcullen, Small Wars Journal, 12 May 2007
- ^ Ackerman, Spencer (7/29/08) Sources Holler Back: Kilcullen Edition The Washington Independent
- ^ Kilcullen, Dave (6/3/09) My Views on Iraq by David Kilcullen Small Wars Journal blog
- ^ MacAskill, Ewen (12 November 2009). "Barack Obama 'risks Suez-like disaster' in Afghanistan, says key adviser". The Guardian. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/nov/12/obama-us-troops-afghanistan-kilcullen.
[edit] External links
- Profile of Kilcullen at the Center for a New American Security's website
- The political consequences of military operations in Indonesia 1945-99 Kilcullen's PhD thesis from The University of New South Wales
- New Yorker profile on Colonel Kilcullen, by George Packer
- Kilcullen's Long War by Tom Hayden, The Nation, October 14 2009
- Appointment of Colonel Kilcullen to advisor of commander of Multinational Force Iraq David Howell Petraeus from The Sydney Morning Herald
- "Towards mercenary anthropology? The new US Army counterinsurgency manual FM 3-24 and the military-anthropology complex", Roberto J. González, Anthropology Today Vol 23, No 3 (June 2007) — critical of Kilcullen
- "Ethics, politics and non-state warfare: A response to González", David Kilcullen, Anthropology Today Vol 23, No 3 (June 2007) — Kilcullen's response
- "Strategist behind war gains", Rebecca Weisser, The Australian, 18 August 2007
- "A Visionary and a Practitioner: the Bernard Kouchner vs. David Kilcullen", Karina Paulina Marczuk, "Defence and Strategy", vol. 2/2007.
- Lecture by Kilcullen on The Accidental Guerilla at the Pritzker Military Library, June 2009.
- VIDEO David Kilcullen and Julian Burnside at the 2009 Melbourne Writers Festival on ABC FORA
- VIDEO Then-Major Kilcullen (holding handset) during contact with pro Indonesian forces on East Timor - Indonesia border, 10 October 1999.