Dollar hegemony

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This article describes the ideas of Henry C.K. Liu. For the topic of Jean Gabriel's book The Dollar Hegemony: Dollar, Dollarization, and Progress (2000), see dollarization.

Dollar hegemony is the hypothesized monetary hegemony of the US dollar in the global economy. Henry C.K. Liu popularized the term in the article "Dollar Hegemony has to go" in Asia Times, April 11, 2002. The article was quoted by William Clark,[1] Immanuel Wallerstein of the Fernand Braudel Center,[2] Greg Moses,[3] and James Robertson.[4]

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[edit] Definition

The term describes a geopolitical phenomenon of the 20th century in which the U.S. dollar, a fiat currency, became the primary reserve currency internationally. Three developments allowed dollar hegemony to emerge over a span of two decades.

  • The Bretton Woods system established in 1945 a fixed exchange rate regime based on a gold-backed dollar. The US did not view cross-border flow of funds necessary or desirable for promoting trade or economic development. In response to the accrual of negative consequences from the Triffin dilemma, President Richard Nixon abandoned the Bretton Woods regime in 1971 and suspended the dollar's peg to gold as U.S. fiscal deficits from overseas spending caused a massive drain in U.S. gold holdings.
  • The second development was the denomination of oil in dollars after the 1973 Middle East oil crisis; see petrodollars.
  • The third development was the emergence of deregulated global financial markets after the Cold War that made cross-border flow of funds routine.

A general relaxation of capital and foreign exchange control in the context of free-floating exchange rates made speculative attacks on the exchange rates of currencies a regular occurrence. These three developments permitted the emergence of dollar hegemony in the 1990s. At the end of the 20th century it was for the most part undisputed that the US dollar is the most important reserve currency in the world. As of 2007, it still has the largest share (65.7%) of foreign reserve holdings, with the euro some distance behind at 25.2%.[5] However since 2000, the dollar share is falling and the euro share is rising, though the trend is very gentle.

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