Valencian parliamentary election, 2011

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Valencian parliamentary election, 2011
Valencian Community
2007 ←
22 May 2011
→ 2015

All 99 seats of the Corts Valencianes
50 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 70.2%
Increase0.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  Francisco Camps (2009) (Recortada).jpg Alarte3.jpg Enric Morera & Mònica Oltra.jpg
Leader Francisco Camps Jorge Alarte Enric Morera and Mònica Oltra
Party PP PSOE Compromís
Leader since 10 July 2002 28 September 2008 25 January 2010
Last election 54 seats, 52.5% 38 seats, 34.5% Did not contest
Seats won
55 / 99
33 / 99
6 / 99
Seat change Increase1 Decrease5 Increase6
Popular vote 1,211,112 687,141 176,213
Percentage 49.4% 28.0% 7.2%
Swing Decrease3.1 pp Decrease6.5 pp New party

  Fourth party
  Marga Sanz (Recortada).jpg
Leader Marga Sanz
Party IU
Leader since 8 March 2009
Last election 7 seats, 8.0%
(in coalition with other parties)
Seats won
5 / 99
Seat change Decrease2
Popular vote 144,703
Percentage 5.9%
Swing Decrease2.1 pp

President before election

Francisco Camps
PP

Elected President

Francisco Camps
PP

The 2011 Valencian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May, to elect the 8th Corts Valencianes, the regional parliament for the Spanish autonomous community of the Valencian Community. At stake were all 99 seats of the Corts.

The elections were won by the People's Party (PP), which gained a seat, despite a drop in its vote share. Since the previous election, the electoral alliance between United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) and the Bloc Nacionalista Valencià (BNV) had ended and both groupings contested the elections in their own right, with both gaining seats in the legislature at the expense of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which continued its long term decline in the area.

Overview[edit]

Electoral system[edit]

Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. The Valencian Corts 99 members are elected in 3 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation. Each district is entitled to an initial minimum of 20 seats, with the remaining 39 seats being allocated among the 3 provinces in proportion to their populations. Only lists polling above 5% of the total vote in the community (which includes blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution. That is, a list polling above 5% in a district will not be entitled to enter the seat distribution if it does not reaches the minimum 5% of vote in all of the Valencian Community. Under articles 12 and 68 of the Constitution and article 2 of the Valencian Electoral Law, the minimum voting age is 18.[1][2]

Apportionment[edit]

Under Article 10 of the Valencian Electoral Law, the boundaries of the electoral districts must be the same as the provinces of Spain, which, under Article 141, can only be altered with the approval of the Congress of Deputies.[1]

The apportionment of seats to provinces follows the largest remainder method over the resident population ("Padrón") with a minimum of 20 seats, with the required condition that the number of inhabitans for seat in each district will not exceed 3 times those of other districts.[2]

Eligibility[edit]

As per Article 3 and 4 of the Valencian Electoral Law, eligibility on the Valencian parliamentary elections follows the same basic guidelines of the general Spanish Electoral Law, such as the prohibition of dual membership of the Cortes Generales and the regional assemblies, or active judges, magistrates, public defenders, serving military personnel, active police officers, members of constitutional and electoral tribunals and CEOs or equivalent leaders of state monopolies and public bodies also being prohibited from being eligible.[2]

Electoral campaign[edit]

As per Article 30 of the Valencian Electoral Law, the electoral campaign must have a minimum extent of 15 days and a maximum of 21, with the end date being set at the 12:00 a.m. of the day previous to the election.

Opinion polls[edit]

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date Polling Firm PPCV PSPV EUPV Compr. Others Lead
22 May 2011 Regional Election 49.4 28.0 5.9 7.2 9.5 21.4
10–11 May Demoscopia 51.3 29.2 8.3 4.4 6.8 23.1
9–10 May Metroscopia[a] 50.8 28.3 7.0 4.1 9.8 22.5
8 May Ikerfel 52.6 30.1 6.0 3.2 8.1 22.5
8 May GAD[a] 53.3 30.7 7.1 3.8 5.1 22.6
17 Mar–17 Apr CIS 53.1 28.8 7.1 2.7 8.3 24.3
13–14 Apr GAD[a] 53.3 31.1 6.6 3.6 5.4 22.2
11–14 Apr Sigma-2 52.3 32.6 6.4 3.5 5.2 19.7
4–7 Apr Público 50.4 32.6 5.7 5.7 5.6 17.8
7–15 Mar GAD[a] 54.3 30.1 6.6 3.6 5.4 24.2
2011
17–21 Dec Sigma-2 56.7 27.3 5.6 3.0 7.4 29.4
5–15 Oct PSOE 56.1 29.9 5.3 4.0 4.7 26.2
9 Oct Metroscopia[a] 50.4 28.9 6.6 3.5 10.6 21.5
26 Sep Ikerfel 53.4 31.7 6.4 3.5 5.0 21.7
24–27 May Sigma-2 55.8 30.7 6.4 2.5 4.6 25.1
6–16 Apr PSOE 54.0 31.6 5.5 4.5 4.4 22.4
4 Apr Obradoiro de Socioloxia 51.0 31.2 8.0 9.8 19.8
2010
6–16 Oct PSOE 51.2 35.6 5.8 3.6 3.8 15.6
9 Oct Metroscopia[a] 52.6 31.7 5.2 3.9 6.6 20.9
7 Jun 2009 EP Election 52.2 37.6 2.8 1.0 6.4 14.6
2009
29 Mar 2008 General Election 51.6 41.0 2.7 1.1 3.6 10.6
2008
27 May 2007 Regional Election 52.5 34.5 8.0 w. EUPV 4.1 18.0

Seats[edit]

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 50 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

50 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm PPCV PSPV EUPV Compr. Others
22 May 2011 Regional Election 55 33 5 6 0
10–11 May Demoscopia 56/58 32/34 9 0 0
9–10 May Metroscopia 59 33 7 0 0
8 May Ikerfel 58/60 34/36 3/5 0 0
8 May GAD 58 35 6 0 0
17 Mar–17 Apr CIS 60 33 6 0 0
13–14 Apr GAD 57/59 33/35 6/7 0 0
11–14 Apr Sigma-2 56/59 36/39 4 0 0
4–7 Apr Público 55 35 5 4 0
7–15 Mar GAD 60 33 6 0 0
2011
17–21 Dec Sigma-2 63/65 29/32 4/5 0 0
5–15 Oct PSOE 60 35 4 0 0
9 Oct Metroscopia 60 33 6 0 0
26 Sep Ikerfel 57 36 6 0 0
24–27 May Sigma-2 59/64 30/33 4/6 0 0
4 Apr Obradoiro de Socioloxia 57/58 35/36 6 0 0
2010
9 Oct Metroscopia 61 36 2 0 0
2009
2008
27 May 2007 Regional Election 54 38 5 2 0

Results[edit]

Summary of the 22 May 2011 Corts Valencianes election results
Party Vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Won +/−
People's Party of the Valencian Community (PPCV) 1,211,112 49.42 −3.10 55 +1
Socialist Party of the Valencian Country-PSOE (PSPV-PSOE) 687,141 28.04 −6.45 33 −5
Compromise Coalition (Compromís) 176,213 7.19 New 6 +6
United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) 144,703 5.90 −2.12 5 −2
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 60,859 2.48 New 0 ±0
Greens and Ecopacifists (VyE) 31,808 1.30 New 0 ±0
Spain 2000 (E-2000) 12,191 0.50 +0.26 0 ±0
Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV) 11,129 0.45 −0.03 0 ±0
Animal Rights Party (PACMA) 9,306 0.38 New 0 ±0
Valencian Coalition (CVa) 9,183 0.37 −0.34 0 ±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 8,203 0.33 +0.30 0 ±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) 4,222 0.17 New 0 ±0
United by Valencia (UxV) 3,637 0.15 +0.04 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 3,456 0.14 −0.03 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 2,566 0.10 +0.02 0 ±0
Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR) 2,463 0.10 +0.04 0 ±0
National Democracy (DN) 2,151 0.09 +0.06 0 ±0
Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 1,719 0.07 New 0 ±0
Authentic Falange (FA) 1,627 0.07 −0.03 0 ±0
People's Unity Movement-Republicans (MUP-R) 1,440 0.06 ±0.00 0 ±0
Family and Life Party (PFyL) 1,412 0.06 New 0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx (FE-JONS) 1,156 0.05 +0.01 0 ±0
The Republic (La República) 735 0.03 New 0 ±0
Valencian Nationalist Left (ENV) 677 0.03 New 0 ±0
Spanish Patriotic Social Party (SPES) 585 0.02 New 0 ±0
Foreigners' Party (PdEx) 508 0.02 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 60,670 2.48 +1.07
Total 2,450,872 100.00 99 ±0
Valid votes 2,450,872 98.37 −0.96
Invalid votes 40,716 1.63 +0.96
Votes cast / turnout 2,491,588 70.19 +0.05
Abstentions 1,058,099 29.81 −0.05
Registered voters 3,549,687
Source: Argos Information Portal
Vote share
PP
  
49.42%
PSOE-PSPV
  
28.04%
Compromís
  
7.19%
EUPV
  
5.90%
UPyD
  
2.48%
VyE
  
1.30%
Others
  
3.19%
Blank
  
2.48%
Parliamentary seats
PP
  
55.56%
PSOE-PSPV
  
33.33%
Compromís
  
6.06%
EUPV
  
5.05%

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References[edit]