Florida gubernatorial election, 2014

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Florida gubernatorial election, 2014
Florida
2010 ←
November 4, 2014
→ 2018

 
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian

Incumbent Governor

Rick Scott
Republican

The 2014 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Florida. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott is running for re-election to a second term in office.[1]

Scott is considered vulnerable as reflected in his low approval ratings.[2][3][4] The consensus among The Cook Political Report,[5] Governing,[6] The Rothenberg Political Report,[7] Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] and Daily Kos Elections[9] is that the contest is a tossup.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

  • Timothy Devine[11]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Scott
Someone
else
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 15–18, 2013 326 ± 5.4% 42% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 11–13, 2013 436 ± 4.7% 50% 40% 10%
Quinnipiac December 11–17, 2012 1,261 ± 2.8% 30% 53% 16%
Public Policy Polling September 22–25, 2011 472 ± 4.5% 53% 37% 10%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Running mate: Annette Taddeo-Goldstein, Chair of the Maimi-Dade County Democratic Party[28]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Crist
Buddy
Dyer
Dan
Gelber
Pam
Iorio
Anthony Shriver
Kennedy
Jimmy
Morales
Bill
Nelson
Nan
Rich
Alex
Sink
Rod
Smith
Other Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling January 16–21, 2014 243 ± 6.3% 58% 16% 25%
Fabrizio McLaughlin November 24–26, 2013 380 ± ? 45% 32% 4% 19%
Quinnipiac November 12–17, 2013 1,646 ± 2.4% 60% 12% 2% 26%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 337 ± ? 59% 16% 25%
Public Policy Polling March 15–18, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 50% 9% 3% 21% 16%
Hamilton Strategies Jan. 30–Feb. 4, 2013 600 ± 4% 43% 1% 14% 5% 37%
Public Policy Polling January 11–13, 2013 401 ± 4.9% 52% 4% 13% 1% 18% 12%
SEA Polling[dead link] September 2012 600 ± 4% 29% 3% 8% 2% 1% 31% 26%
St. Pete Polls September 8, 2012 1,689 ± 2.4% 60.9% 7% 3.5% 25.1% 3.4%

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

  • John Wayne Smith, activist and perennial candidate[60]

Declined[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

General election[edit]

Campaign[edit]

As of early June 2014, Scott had spent almost $13m since March on television adverts attacking likely Democratic nominee Charlie Crist. Although the ads resulted in a tightening of the race, this came about by decreasing Crist's favorability ratings. By contrast, Scott's favorability ratings have not increased.[66]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking
Cook Political Report[5] Toss up
Governing[6] Toss up
The Rothenberg Political Report[7] Toss up
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Toss up
Daily Kos Elections[9] Toss up

Polling[edit]

With Crist[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Scott (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other Undecided
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 6,873 ± ? 48% 43% 4% 5%
Quinnipiac July 17–21, 2014 1,251 ± 2.8% 37% 39% 10%[67] 15%
40% 45% 2% 12%
SurveyUSA July 17–21, 2014 564 ± 4.2% 40% 46% 8% 6%
SurveyUSA June 30–July 4, 2014 558 ± 4.2% 45% 43% 7% 5%
Gravis Marketing June 20–23, 2014 1,232 ± 3% 41% 39% 6%[68] 15%
SurveyUSA June 20–23, 2014 541 ± 4.3% 42% 41% 8% 8%
Cherry Communications June 11, 2014 806 ± 3.5% 41% 38% 4%[68] 17%
SurveyUSA June 5–10, 2014 556 ± 4.2% 40% 44% 8% 8%
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 672 ± 3.8% 42% 42% 16%
Saint Leo University May 28–June 4, 2014 500 ± 5% 43% 41% 16%
SurveyUSA May 20–22, 2014 531 ± 4.3% 42% 40% 9% 8%
SurveyUSA May 9–12, 2014 554 ± 4.2% 41% 44% 7% 8%
McLaughlin & Associates May 4–6, 2014 800 ± 3.4% 42% 38% 20%
Quinnipiac April 23–28, 2014 1,413 ± 2.6% 38% 48% 2% 12%
Gravis Marketing April 23–25, 2014 907 ± 3% 44% 43% 5%[68] 9%
SurveyUSA April 2014  ? ± 4.3% 41% 44% 6% 8%
Rasmussen Reports April 21–22, 2014 750 ± 4% 39% 45% 6% 10%
Mason-Dixon April 15–17 & 21–22, 2014 700 ± 3.8% 42% 42% 4%[68] 12%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 868 ± 3.33% 45% 43% 5% 7%
SurveyUSA April 10–14, 2014 502 ± 4.5% 41% 46% 7% 6%
Public Policy Polling April 1–3, 2014 814 ± 3.1% 42% 49% 10%
Sunshine State News March 31–April 3, 2014 800 ± 3.46% 45% 44% 1% 10%
Saint Leo University March 16–19, 2014 500 ± 5.0% 39% 43% 18%
University of North Florida March 6–16, 2014 507 ± 4.35% 33% 34% 17% 17%
University of Florida January 27–February 1, 2014 1,006 ± 3% 40% 47% 13%
Gravis Marketing January 30–31, 2014 808 ± 4% 44% 47% 3%[68] 6%
Quinnipiac January 22–27, 2014 1,565 ± 2.5% 38% 46% 16%
Hamilton Strategies January 14–20, 2014 700 ± 3.8% 44% 49% 7%
Public Policy Polling January 16–21, 2014 591 ± 4% 41% 43% 15%
Saint Leo University December 1–8, 2013 400 ± 5% 34% 46% 20%
Fabrizio McLaughlin November 24–26, 2013 1,000 ± 3.1% 45% 49% 6%
Quinnipiac November 12–17, 2013 1,646 ± 2.4% 40% 47% 2% 12%
Gravis Marketing November 8–10, 2013 932 ± 3% 36% 46% 19%
University of North Florida September 30–October 8, 2013 526 ± 4.27% 40% 44% 2% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 38% 50% 12%
St. Pete Polls August 1–2, 2013 3,034 ± 1.8% 29.5% 40.1% 8.7%[68] 21.7%
Quinnipiac June 11–16, 2013 1,176 ± 2.9% 37% 47% 2% 12%
Public Policy Polling March 15–18, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 40% 52% 8%
Quinnipiac March 13–18, 2013 1,000 ± 3.1% 34% 50% 1% 15%
Hamilton Strategies January 30–February 4, 2013 600 ± 4% 41% 41% 7%
Public Policy Polling January 11–13, 2013 501 ± 4.4% 39% 53% 8%
Public Policy Polling August 31–September 2, 2012 1,548 ± 2.5% 42% 45% 13%
Public Policy Polling July 26–29, 2012 871 ± 3.3% 41% 44% 15%
Public Policy Polling November 28–December 1, 2011 700 ± 3.7% 32% 55% 13%
Public Policy Polling September 22–25, 2011 476 ± 4.5% 38% 51% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 16–19, 2011 848 ± 3.4% 34% 56% 10%

With Rich[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Scott (R)
Nan
Rich (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac July 17–21, 2014 1,251 ± 2.8% 41% 34% 4% 21%
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 672 ± 3.8% 40% 34% 25%
Saint Leo University May 28–June 4, 2014 500 ± 5% 44% 31% 25%
Quinnipiac April 23–28, 2014 1,413 ± 2.6% 42% 36% 3% 19%
Saint Leo University March 16–19, 2014 500 ± 5% 40% 32% 28%
University of Florida January 27–February 1, 2014 1,006 ± 3% 41% 36% 23%
Quinnipiac January 22–27, 2014 1,565 ± 2.5% 41% 37% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 16–21, 2014 591 ± 4% 40% 34% 25%
Saint Leo University December 1–8, 2013 400 ± 5% 36% 31% 32%
Quinnipiac November 12–17, 2013 1,646 ± 2.4% 43% 35% 3% 19%
University of North Florida September 30–October 8, 2013 526 ± 4.27% 43% 28% 2% 27%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 37% 36% 27%
Quinnipiac June 11–16, 2013 1,176 ± 2.9% 42% 36% 3% 20%
Public Policy Polling March 15–18, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 42% 36% 21%
Public Policy Polling January 11–13, 2013 501 ± 4.4% 41% 37% 22%
Public Policy Polling May 31–June 3, 2012 642 ± 3.9% 35% 47% 18%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "Gov. Scott: I'll run again in 2014". Ocala.com. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  2. ^ "Florida Governor Rick Scott Vulnerable To Re-Election Challenge". Outside the Beltway. December 19, 2012. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Which Governors Are Most Vulnerable in 2014?". FiveThirtyEight. April 8, 2013. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  4. ^ "Who will challenge Florida Gov. Rick Scott in 2014?". The AP. May 12, 2013. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  5. ^ a b "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  6. ^ a b Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013. 
  7. ^ a b "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  8. ^ a b "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  9. ^ a b "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013. 
  10. ^ a b Bousquet, Steve (June 16, 2014). "Gov. Scott draws two Republican challengers in re-election bid". Miami Herald. Retrieved June 17, 2014. 
  11. ^ Saunders, Joe (May 15, 2013). "Candidate on a ‘mission’ challenges Scott for GOP primary". Bizpacreview.com. Retrieved July 15, 2013. 
  12. ^ Hasn’t Jeff Atwater been itchin’ to run this entire election cycle?[dead link]
  13. ^ Turner, Jim (July 16, 2012). "Pam Bondi Named as One to Watch Nationally". Sunshinestatenews.com. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  14. ^ The Ledger (30 May 2013). "Bill McCollum says Rick Scott could face primary challenge, but 'I'm not planning to do it'". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved 3 June 2013. 
  15. ^ The Ledger (June 29, 2011). "Putnam Says He's Not Interested in Running for Governor in 2014". Theledger.com. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  16. ^ Alvarez, Lizette (March 5, 2013). "Anger and Kudos as Florida Governor Tacks Left". New York Times. Retrieved March 6, 2013. 
  17. ^ Manjarres, Javier (June 30, 2013). "Will Rick Scott Face GOP Primary Challenge From Speaker Weatherford?". The Shark Tank. Retrieved November 12, 2013. 
  18. ^ "Florida’s Scott Hears Footsteps — Loudest Coming from Charlie Crist". Go.bloomberg.com. January 16, 2013. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  19. ^ a b Kritzer, Ashley (Jun 3, 2014). "JaxChamber endorses Rick Scott for second term as governor". Jacksonville Business Journal. Retrieved June 8, 2014. 
  20. ^ "Bush backs Scott's re-election". Sarasota Herald-Tribune. November 12, 2013. Retrieved November 12, 2013. 
  21. ^ "Bill McCollum endorses the man who denied him shot at governor". Tampa Bay Times. July 1, 2014. Retrieved July 8, 2014. 
  22. ^ Schorsch, Peter (June 30, 2014). "FMA PAC endorses Rick Scott, Florida Cabinet for re-election". SaintPetersBlog. Retrieved June 30, 2014. 
  23. ^ "Florida Police Chiefs Association Endorses Rick Scott". Space Coast Daily. July 7, 2014. Retrieved July 23, 2014. 
  24. ^ Derby, Kevin (March 11, 2014). "Rick Scott Gets Endorsement From Florida Retail Federation". Sunshine State News. Retrieved July 1, 2014. 
  25. ^ Derby, Kevin (June 5, 2014). "NFIB Endorses Rick Scott For Another Term". Sunshine State News. Retrieved July 1, 2014. 
  26. ^ a b "Endorsement: Scott, Crist in primaries". Tampa Tribune. July 27, 2014. Retrieved July 29, 2014. 
  27. ^ Associated Press (November 1, 2013). "Ex-GOP Fla. Gov. Charlie Crist to run for job as Democrat". Politico. Retrieved November 1, 2013. 
  28. ^ Marc Caputo (July 17, 2014). "Charlie Crist picks running mate: Annette Taddeo-Goldstein". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved July 17, 2014. 
  29. ^ "State Sen. Nan Rich running for Governor | News - Home". Local10.com. April 18, 2012. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  30. ^ Kevin Derby (October 29, 2013). "Farid Khavari Making Second Bid for Governor, this Time as Democrat". Sunshine State News. Retrieved November 5, 2013. 
  31. ^ "Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn says he won't run for governor in 2014". Wtsp.com. August 31, 2012. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  32. ^ "Crist steps up as Manny Diaz, other Democrats decline gubernatorial run". Bizjournal.com. March 18, 2013. Retrieved August 7, 2013. 
  33. ^ "Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer says he won't run for governor". Wesh.com. February 27, 2013. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  34. ^ a b "Dan Gelber: I’m for Charlie". Context Florida. November 4, 2013. Retrieved November 4, 2013. 
  35. ^ Irwin, Janelle (April 3, 2013). "Pam Iorio awarded for service, says she isn't planning a gubernatorial bid". WMNF. Retrieved April 3, 2013. 
  36. ^ "Bill Nelson "unambiguously" not running for Florida governor". Saint Peters Blog. March 29, 2014. Retrieved March 31, 2014. 
  37. ^ "Nelson thought hard before declining to run for governor". Florida Today. June 7, 2014. Retrieved June 8, 2014. 
  38. ^ "Senator explains why many legislators fail to win statewide elections". Sun-Sentinel. November 15, 2013. Retrieved November 15, 2013. 
  39. ^ "Alex Sink won't run for Florida governor". Politico. Associated Press. September 20, 2013. Retrieved September 20, 2013. 
  40. ^ Adam C. Smith, Times Political Editor View all Articles (October 20, 2012). "Florida Democrat chairman Rod Smith won't run for governor". Tampabay.com. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  41. ^ "Gov. Wasserman Schultz? She says no". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved July 16, 2012. 
  42. ^ "Charlie Crist Announces Bid For Florida Governor". The Huffington Post. November 4, 2013. Retrieved November 4, 2013. 
  43. ^ "Democratic gubernatorial candidate Charlie Crist: 'time to take Florida in a better direction'". Tampa Bay Times. November 4, 2013. Retrieved November 4, 2013. 
  44. ^ a b Steve Rothaus (June 12, 2014). "Charlie Crist snags LGBT endorsements, calls out AG Pam Bondi for 'waste' in defending gay marriage ban". Miami Herald. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  45. ^ Peter Schorsch (June 8, 2014). "Charlie Crist wins endorsement of Florida AFL-CIO". SaintPetersBlog. Retrieved June 8, 2014. 
  46. ^ Adam C. Smith (May 17, 2014). "Teacher Union endorses Charlie Crist". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved June 6, 2014. 
  47. ^ Phil Ammann (November 21, 2013). "Charlie Crist’s wins first major union endorsement". SaintPetersBlog. Retrieved November 21, 2013. 
  48. ^ William March (June 23, 2014). "PBA backs Crist, Atwater, Bondi, Putnam". Miami Herald. Retrieved June 24, 2014. 
  49. ^ Peter Schorsch (July 14, 2014). "Tampa’s La Gaceta newspaper endorses Charlie Crist for governor". SaintPetersBlog. Retrieved July 15, 2014. 
  50. ^ Kevin Derby (January 6, 2014). "Nan Rich Gets Support from Dwight Bullard". Sunshine State News. Retrieved January 7, 2014. 
  51. ^ Anthony Man (May 19, 2014). "Nan Rich supporter: We're not tools helping Rick Scott". South Florida Sun-Sentinel. Retrieved July 16, 2014. 
  52. ^ Kevin Derby (July 10, 2014). "Maurice Ferre, Who Backed Rick Scott in 2010, Endorses Nan Rich". Sunshine State News. Retrieved July 14, 2014. 
  53. ^ William March (July 27, 2014). "Ex-Sen Nan Rich stands between Crist and Scott". Insurance News Net. Retrieved July 29, 2014. 
  54. ^ a b Javier Manjarres (May 17, 2014). "Democrat Nan Rich Asks, "Where’s Charlie?"". The Shark Tank. Retrieved July 16, 2014. 
  55. ^ Kevin Derby (February 4, 2014). "Buddy MacKay Endorses Nan Rich Over Charlie Crist". Sunshine State News. Retrieved February 4, 2014. 
  56. ^ "DFA Palm Beach County Makes Early Endorsement of Nan Rich for Governor". Democracy for America Palm Beach County. August 22, 2013. Retrieved September 1, 2013. 
  57. ^ March, William (May 21, 2013). "Rich Gets NOW Endorsement". Tampa Tribune. Retrieved July 30, 2013. 
  58. ^ Anthony Man (June 4, 2014). "Nan Rich endorsed by women's political caucus". Florida Sun Sentinel. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  59. ^ "Adrian Wyllie announces bid for Florida governor, plans to eliminate federal meddling | Libertarian Party". Lp.org. January 28, 2013. Retrieved March 7, 2013. 
  60. ^ "Libertarian John Wayne Smith aims to downsize government as Florida’s governor". Lp.org. May 21, 2013. Retrieved August 31, 2013. 
  61. ^ a b Alexander George (October 9, 2013). "Alexander George, former-LPF State Committeeman , Will Run for Governor as an Independent". prlog.org. Retrieved December 26, 2013. 
  62. ^ "Libertarian Steve LaBianca Will Not Run for Florida Governor After All". Independent Political Report. September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 5, 2013. 
  63. ^ "Roger Stone: Why I won't run for Florida governor". Tampa Bay Times. May 27, 2013. Retrieved May 27, 2013. 
  64. ^ a b Tyler Yeargain (June 24, 2014). "The Filing Deadline in Florida Just Passed: What Now?". Independent Political Report. Retrieved July 8, 2014. 
  65. ^ Joshua Fauver (June 13, 2014). "Farid Khavari: Making Healthcare Available To Every Floridian Isn’t Just the Right Thing To Do, It’s Good Economics Too". Independent Political Report. Retrieved June 20, 2014. 
  66. ^ Aaron Deslatte (June 8, 2014). "Gov. Scott's ad blitz aims to hit Crist early". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved July 18, 2014. 
  67. ^ Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%, Other 1%
  68. ^ a b c d e f Adrian Wylie (L)

External links[edit]