James Annan
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James Annan is a scientist involved in climate prediction. He is a member of the Global Warming Research Program at Frontier Research Centre for Global Change which is associated with the Earth Simulator in Japan. He also has views on disc brakes for bicycles.
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[edit] Climatology
He is most known for considering bets against climate sceptics. Many sceptics, including Richard Lindzen, have indicated they believe the scientific consensus on climate change to be incorrect. The November 10, 2004 online version of Reason magazine reported that Lindzen is "willing to take bets that global average temperatures in 20 years will in fact be lower than they are now."[1] Annan contacted Lindzen to arrange a bet and they exchanged proposals for bets, but were unable to agree on terms. The final proposal was a bet that if the temperature change were less than 0.2 °C (0.36 °F), Lindzen would win. If the temperature change were between 0.2 °C and 0.4 °C the bet would be off, and if the temperature change were 0.4 °C or greater, Annan would win. Lindzen would take 2 to 1 odds.[2]
In 2005, another bet for $10,000 dollars was arranged with a pair of Russian solar physicists Galina Mashnich and Vladimir Bashkirtsev.[3] The bet will conclude in 2017.
A third bet in 2007 between Annan and David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation was arranged by the BBC Radio program, More or Less in 2007. Annan and Whitehouse bet £100 on whether the Met Office temperature would set a new annual record by the end of 2011. Annan was declared to have lost in the program on 2012-01-13.[4]
A brief introduction to his work and some recent publications can be found here.
[edit] Disc-brake equipped bicycles
In addition, he has also claimed that the moments in disc brake equipped bicycles can overcome the retention force of the dropouts, causing wheel ejection and subsequent loss of control.[5] At least one manufacturers now seems to be agreeing with him.[6] He proposes mounting the brake caliper on the trailing edge of the fork blade instead of the leading edge to rectify this.
[edit] References
- ^ Bailey, Ronald (November 10, 2005). "Two Sides to Global Warming". Reason Magazine. Archived from the original on 2007-03-13. http://web.archive.org/web/20070313204825/http://www.reason.com/rb/rb111004.shtml. Retrieved 2007-04-05.
- ^ Bailey, Ronald (June 8, 2005). "Betting on Climate Change". Reason Magazine. Archived from the original on 2007-03-13. http://web.archive.org/web/20070313205023/http://www.reason.com/rb/rb060805.shtml. Retrieved 2007-04-05.
- ^ David Adam (19 August 2005). "Climate change sceptics bet $10,000 on cooler world". Guardian Unlimited. http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,1552092,00.html. Retrieved 2007-09-10.
- ^ "More or Less, High Speed 2 and Executive Pay". BBC. 2011-01-13. http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b0196v3z. Retrieved 2012-01-13. "Tim Harford ... resolves a four year-old bet on climate change between climate scientist James Annan and astrophysicist David Whitehouse"
- ^ James Annan (30 September 2006). "My secret life". http://julesandjames.blogspot.com/2006/09/my-secret-life.html. Retrieved 2007-09-10.
- ^ Cotic. "The bike geek corner of Cotic Cycles". http://www.cotic.co.uk/geek/. Retrieved 2007-11-08.
[edit] External links
- Climate scientists issue dire warning
- Climate change sceptics bet $10,000 on cooler world
- James Annan's blog
- James Annan's homepage at Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC)
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