Jean-François Susbielle

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Jean-François Susbielle is a French author and specialist in geopolitics and geoeconomics. He was born in Paris on September 29, 1954 and graduated in engineering from the Ecole des Mines and in international affairs from the Paris Political Sciences Institute (Sciences Po). He now works as a consultant in geostrategies and IT (information technology) for multinational companies. After publishing three books on the Internet and Voice Over IP (VoIP) in the Nineties, he now devotes most of his time to geopolitics.

Recent publications[edit]

The bite of the dragon (original French title La morsure du dragon) published in 2005 by Editions First, is a thriller in the vein of Tom Clancy staging the rivalry between China and the USA. Written in the aftermath of the Iraq invasion, the novel depicts a China deeply concerned to see Iraq's oil reserves being controlled by the USA, and witness its encirclement by the latter with the massive deployment of earth and space based weapons. The nationalists in Beijing produce what is effectively a weapon of mass destruction: a national ban on Microsoft Windows, which they see as America's Achilles' heel. The enforced countrywide replacement of Windows by Linux causes the collapse of the software giant and, in its wake, the bankruptcy of the US economy. A war is unavoidable.

China-USA: the inevitable war (French title Chine-USA, la guerre programmée) published in 2006, is a geopolitical essay based on the author's world vision. America's real enemy is not radical Islam, as many would believe, but China. It only needs fifteen more years of economic growth for it take the crown of world leader – a status that was hers up the 18th century. Time is running short for the US. They must quickly to derail the train of Chinese economic growth. The 'war' between these two rivals began under Bill Clinton with the U.S. bombing of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade on May 8, 1999. The containment of China has been the central objective of the neoconservatives' policies under the presidency of George W. Bush.

With his latest book, The warring states (French title Les royaumes combattants) Jean-François Susbielle describes the world as a closed system composed of seven kingdoms: the USA, Japan, China, Europe, Russia, India and Brazil. By contrast with the previous eras in History (fall of the Roman Empire, emergence of Germany and Japan after 1870), the new 'barbarians' (China and India) need peace and stability to take the leadership. This time, it is in fact the dominant power – the United States – that needs to create disorder (the so-called "War on Terror") to keep control of the situation. In 2001, the planet entered the era of "warring states": a return to age-old power play, and not the clash of civilizations predicted by Samuel P. Huntington. In this essay published in 2008, Susbielle warns that the present world crisis – whose scale is unprecedented – could well lead to a new world war.

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