Ken Henry (public servant)

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Dr
Ken Henry
AC
15th Secretary of the Department of the Treasury
In office
27 April 2001 – 7 March 2011
Preceded by Ted Evans
Succeeded by Martin Parkinson
Personal details
Born Kenneth Ross Henry
(1957-27-11) 11 March 1957 (age 56)
Taree, New South Wales
Nationality Australia Australian
Alma mater University of New South Wales,
University of Canterbury (PhD)
Profession Economist

Dr. Kenneth Ross "Ken" Henry AC (born 27 November 1957 in Taree, New South Wales) is an Australian economist and public servant. He served as the Secretary of the Department of the Treasury from 2001 to 2011, first appointed by Liberal Party Treasurer Peter Costello in April 2001, reappointed by Costello in 2006,[1] and retained by the Rudd government. He chaired the Australia's Future Tax System Review, informally known as the Henry Tax Review, that was published in 2010. He was removed from that position in March 2011,[2][3] and on 1 June 2011 was appointed as Special Advisor to the Prime Minister. He chaired the committee which produced a White Paper on "Australia in the Asian Century", released in mid-2012. Henry is a director of the National Australia Bank and the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). Henry has consistently attracted criticism for being biased against the conservative side of politics, and for providing concocted or otherwise poor advice.[4]

Education and early career[edit]

Ken Henry studied economics at the University of New South Wales, graduating in 1979.[5] After, he lectured in economics at the University of Canterbury in New Zealand while studying for his Doctor of Philosophy degree at the same institution. From September 1986 to June 1991, Dr Henry worked as a senior adviser to the Labor Treasurer, Paul Keating, providing advice on taxation policy and administration, retirement incomes policy, industry policy and microeconomic reform (including telecommunications reform).[6] In June 1991 he returned to the Treasury, becoming head of the Microeconomic Modelling Unit. In July 1992 he took up the position of Minister (Economic and Financial Affairs) in the Australian Delegation to the OECD in Paris. During this time, he has served as an Australian representative to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (1992–94). He was the Treasury department secretary from April 2001 until March 2011; and therefore an ex-offfico member of the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Henry remained head of Treasury in the transition from Liberal to Labor Governments in 2007. In 2008 he headed Australia’s Future Tax System Review Panel, charged with examining all aspects of the Australian tax system with a view to reform.[7]

Treasury[edit]

Consumption tax modelling[edit]

Ken Henry has been criticised for his role in modelling the Hewson Liberal opposition reform package known as Fightback!. That package contained as a central element a goods and services tax, similar to both the Option C developed by Henry for the Hawke Labor government in 1985, and the GST developed for the Howard Liberal Government in 1997. Henry rejects the claim that Treasury acted improperly, saying "We rejected that charge at the time. I would always reject it. There was nothing improper in what we did." He did concede, however that "it is the case that our work was used by the Government to attack publicly an Opposition policy."[8] In reference to the Option C modelling he had previously worked on, Henry said:[8]

It was like 1985 all over again. But in other ways it couldn’t have been more different … …But it was completely unlike 1985 in the sense that we were not helping the Government to develop a positive package. Kerin had never said to the department, ‘I’m going to use this to monster Hewson’s tax package when he gets it out.’ Although he’d never said that, we knew, obviously, what it was going to be used to do. We knew that Hewson’s package was going to include a broad based consumption tax, the thing which in 1985 we were helping the Government to design. So you could say that our hearts were not in the job. But we nevertheless had an instruction from the Government. ‘You do it’.

Canberra Times, 23 January 2006

When Fightback! came out, the model the team had developed enabled the identification of a major failing in the package. Income tax bracket creep had been used to fund the package but bracket creep had not been used in the analysis of the after tax income various taxpayers would receive. Treasury was accused by the Coalition of having acted improperly.[8]

Pre 2007 election Speech[edit]

In April 2007, the Australian Financial Review's Laura Tingle ran a story about Henry’s semi-annual speech to staff. In the wake of the Howard Government's development of an A$10 billion policy proposal, Henry was reported as saying that there was a 'greater than usual risk of the development of policy proposals that are, frankly, bad' in the lead-up to the federal election.’[9] Former Howard Government ministers suggested that it was a deliberate attempt to have Henry’s critical views aired publicly to the detriment of the Howard Government, and called it ‘a deliberate piece of political positioning by Henry’ prior to the 2007 federal election.[9] Following the initial controversy, Henry released the full text of the speech, along with clarification. It said, in part, that:[10]

The Government, our ministers and other agencies are under no compulsion to rely on our advice. In respect of water, that point is all too obvious. We are competing for influence with other central agencies, line agencies and independent policy advisers, such as think-tanks, commentators and consultants.... As I have noted on other occasions, I have never known the Treasurer to not welcome frank and honest advice when it is provided in-confidence and in good faith.

Bank Deposit Guarantee Scheme[edit]

Immediately prior to Henry's appearance at a Senate hearing into the Rudd Government’s unlimited Bank Deposit Guarantee Scheme, an email from the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Glenn Stevens, to Henry was reported on in the media. No text was published, however the Australian newspaper alleged that the email expressed concerns of the Reserve Bank about a ‘flight to safety’ caused by the unlimited guarantee of deposits in Authorised Deposit-taking Institutions, and the consequent loss of liquidity in secondary credit markets. It claimed that Stevens called for a cap on the amount of a deposit guarantee ‘...the lower the better’ and that he also said ‘If this situation is allowed to continue, foreign bank branches will not be able to source funding in the local market as a flight to guaranteed deposits occurs.’[11]

In the Senate hearing, Henry denied there had been any disagreement between Treasury and the Reserve Bank, and that the two bodies were ‘of one mind’ on the Bank Deposit Guarantee Scheme. Henry said that the Opposition's claim that Mr Rudd had ignored Reserve Bank warnings was based on a report in The Australian newspaper. Dr Henry called that report unfortunate, fallacious, unhelpful, and "W-R-O-N-G"[12]

The Reserve Bank Governor backed Henry, stating that "steps in these directions, in the context of what other countries were doing, were sensible, and the RBA supports them."[13]

Stimulus package[edit]

Treasury, under Henry, gave advice supporting the Rudd Government’s stimulus package, which was designed to lessen the size of an economic recession in Australia following the global financial crisis. The package has been described by Nobel Prize–winning economist Joseph Stiglitz as 'one of the most impressive economic policies I've seen, ever'.[14] The stimulus package foreshadowed $42 billion in spending measures.[15] The classical Keynesian response embodied in the stimulus package, the desire to maintain expenditure in the economy, and the desire to avoid the destruction of human capital from a recession was encapsulated in the phrase attributed to Henry:[16]

Go early, go hard and go households.

—Phrase attributed to Ken Henry

Henry stated that the stimulus package would either reduce future Government spending or drive up taxes, but he also said that this would occur in "a period of faster growth in private sector activity and the judgment that has been made is that in those circumstances . . . the Government will have the ability to repay debt without doing damage to gross domestic product growth".[15] However, it was suggested that Henry was so identified with the success or failure of the stimulus package that he will argue for it, right or wrong. [17]

Effect of stimulus package[edit]

Henry provided advice to the Rudd Government that without the continuation of the stimulus package, 100,000 jobs would be lost, and GDP would reduce by 1.5 per cent.[15] No modeling was made public to support either of these contentions. After the release of advice, Shadow Treasurer and Minster in the former Howard Government, Joe Hockey, commented that he had never seen a piece of Treasury advice so clearly designed to be released to the media.[9]

Further, graphs were subsequently printed in the budget papers purporting to show that there was a statistically significant correlation with the size of G20 member countries' stimulus packages and their respective economic performances, however the data had been cherry picked and only 11 G20 economies had been included in the analysis. When all G20 economies were analyzed, no correlation existed.[18][19] Treasury later withdrew the graph.[18] IMF research showed statistically significant links between the form of stimulus, and the success or otherwise of various countries through the recession.[9][20] However, other economic analysis showed that the stimulus package was in fact damaging to Australia's economic performance.[21]

Notwithstanding this criticism, a raft of economic advice and analysis has subsequently supported Australia's actions. The OECD's 2009 employment outlook said that while "generally have not had a strong effect in cushioning the initial decline in employment caused by the crisis...Australia is a notable exception."[22] Australia's unemployment figures remain about 3% lower than the OECD average, and it also avoided recession throughout the GFC.[23]

Henry's advice throughout the GFC has been characterised as "within the mainstream of economic orthodoxy".[24] As of December 2009, Australia's unemployment rate is thought to have peaked at 5.8 percent after several months of job growth.[25] This is much lower than previous Treasury estimates of up to 8.5 percent[26]

Henry Tax Review[edit]

The Australian Government released the contents of the Henry Tax Review on 2 May 2010. The review proposed changes to superannuation, a resource rent tax on the mining sector and tax reform for small businesses.[27] The Resource Super Profits Tax (RSPT) proposed by Henry proposed to tax the super profits of mining companies.

Following criticisms of the measures proposed in the Henry Tax Review, Henry said:[28]

Whenever an idea is ventured publicly by a person, whether that person is a policy advisor or whether it's a government minister, there's at least a handful of academics who will contest it. I've seen it on both sides of politics - this is not a partisan comment at all - but for governments, government ministers who are seeking to get ideas legislated - it is unbelievably frustrating, incredibly frustrating. But I think there are occasions on which economists might, at least for a period, put down their weapons and join a consensus.

Henry was criticized for wanting to avoid debate of his ideas.[29]

Resource Super Profits Tax[edit]

Ken Henry proposed a Resource Super Profits Tax (RSPT) on all mining companies' super profits. Henry asserted that a 'profits based' tax was more economically efficient than royalties levied by state governments. However, that assertion was based on an assumption made during modeling the Henry Tax Review, and economists have largely proved that assertion to be wrong.[30]

The government claimed that miners paid as little as 17 per cent tax on their profits,[31] mining companies claimed they paid 43%, but Australian Taxation Office figures indicate that "the average tax take across the mining industry is about 27 per cent" with many paying much less than this.[31]

During negotiations with mining companies, Henry advised that the initial estimates of A$12 billion had been revised up to A$24 billion due to higher commodity price estimates in the two months since the release of the initial RSPT proposal.[32]

By the time the mining tax was finally repealed, it was raising less than $600,000 per quarter.[33]

Post-Treasury career[edit]

Special Adviser to the Prime Minister[edit]

On 1 June 2011, Prime Minister Julia Gillard announced Henry had been appointed by the Governor General as a Special Adviser on a part-time basis in her portfolio.[34] He was directly appointed by the Governor General under section 67 of the Constitution of Australia, and outside the Public Service Act 1999.[35]

"Australia in the Asian Century"[edit]

Henry led the writing of a White Paper on the topic "Australia in the Asian Century", publicly released in mid-2012.[36] He was assisted by Professor Peter Drysdale, Catherine Livingstone, Chair of Telstra, and John Denton, CEO of Corrs Chambers Westgarth. Dr Gordon de Brouwer, Dr David Gruen, Deputy Secretary of the Department of the Treasury and Dr Heather Smith, Deputy Secretary of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade form a Secretariat.[37]

Directorships[edit]

Henry was appointed a director of the National Australia Bank, effective 1 November 2011;[38] and a director of the board of the Australian Securities Exchange in January 2013.[39]

Academia[edit]

Henry is the part-time Executive Chair of the Australian National University's new Institute of Public Policy.[40]

Henry is chair of the SMART Infrastructure Facility Advisory Council at the University of Wollongong.[41]

Activism[edit]

In 2011, Henry joined the council of Voiceless, the animal protection institute. "There are few pursuits more noble in life than giving voice to those who would otherwise suffer in silence." He proudly proclaims his rural upbringing around Taree as contributing to his early realisation about the value of conservation and animal rights. He has a specific interest in the preservation of the endangered Hairy-nosed wombat.[42]

Awards and honours[edit]

In 2007 Henry was appointed a Companion of the Order of Australia,[43] and received the Centenary Medal in 2001.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Martin, Peter. "Some people want to keep Ken Henry silent". Petermartin.blogspot.com. Retrieved 29 October 2012. 
  2. ^ "Ken Henry announces retirement". Investor Daily. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  3. ^ http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/foi/advice-gillard-didnt-want-how-henry-was-moved-on/story-fn8r0e18-1226215579896
  4. ^ http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/columnists/mandarins-partiality/story-e6frg75x-1225785544998
  5. ^ Daley, Paul (2 May 2010). "Henry in the middle". The Age (Fairfax Media). Archived from the original on 8 October 2012. 
  6. ^ "Treasury biography". Department of the Treasury. Retrieved 29 October 2012. 
  7. ^ "Australia's Future Tax System". Department of the Treasury. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  8. ^ a b c *Malone, Paul (November 2006), "Chapter 3: From Timber to Tax – Ken Henry, The Treasury", Australian Department Heads Under Howard: Career Paths and Practice (Collected articles from the Canberra Times), ANU E Press and ANZSOG, ISBN 1 920942 83 1, archived from the original on 16 January 2014 
  9. ^ a b c d "Mandarin's partiality". The Australian. Retrieved 29 October 2012. (login required)
  10. ^ Belshaw, Jim (4 April 2007). "Personal Reflections: Australia's Treasury and the Formation of Public Policy". Belshaw.blogspot.com. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  11. ^ Hewett, Jennifer (21 October 2008). "RBA warns on bank guarantee as Reserve and Treasury at loggerheads". The Australian. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  12. ^ "Treasury, RBA of 'one mind' on bank guarantee". The Sydney Morning Herald. 22 October 2008. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  13. ^ "W-r-o-n-g or R-i-g-h-t?". Media Watch. ABC1. 27 October 2008. Retrieved 29 October 2012. 
  14. ^ Irvine, Jessica (20 July 2010). "Nobel laureate lauds Labor's stimulus spend". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  15. ^ a b c Chalmers, Emma (9 October 2009). "Stimulus bill to drive up taxes, warns Ken Henry". The Courier-Mail. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  16. ^ "Rudd hell-bent on beating Whitlam: bad government". The Australian. Retrieved 29 October 2012. (login required)
  17. ^ http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/mandarins-partiality/story-e6frg75x-1225785544998
  18. ^ a b Maher, Sid (4 June 2010). "Treasury withdraws exaggerated graph". The Australian. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  19. ^ http://press.anu.edu.au/apps/bookworm/view/Agenda,+Volume+18,+Number+1,+2011/6681/davidson.xhtml
  20. ^ "The most important chart in the budget | Pollytics". Crikey. 12 May 2010. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  21. ^ http://www.minerals.org.au/file_upload/files/publications/MCA_Monograph_No._6_Australia%E2%80%99s_Competitiveness_Reversing_the_Slide_by_Tony_Makin.pdf
  22. ^ Coorey, Phillip (17 September 2009). "GFC|Australian economy". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  23. ^ Chalmers, Emma (12 February 2010). "Global Financial Crisis is 'over' - Treasury boss Ken Henry". News.com.au. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  24. ^ "Circumspection please, Ken Henry is not the bunyip". Crikey. 21 May 2009. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  25. ^ "Aust unemployment rate falls to 5.7% | News". Business Spectator. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  26. ^ Martin, Peter (20 November 2009). "Unemployment ain't going to get much worse - OECD". Petermartin.blogspot.com. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  27. ^ "Australia's Future Tax System - Papers". Department of the Treasury. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  28. ^ Martin, Peter (22 June 2010). ""Put down your weapons" - Ken Henry". Petermartin.blogspot.com. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  29. ^ Gans, Joshua. "Dear Ken Henry...a plea from the academic sidelines". The Drum Opinion. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 29 October 2012. 
  30. ^ http://press.anu.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/ch036.pdf
  31. ^ a b Eltham, Ben (26 May 2010). "What Effect Will The Resource Super Profits Tax Have On Australia's Mining Companies". New Matilda. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  32. ^ "Real resource super-profits tax cost doubled". The Australian. Retrieved 29 October 2012. (login required)
  33. ^ http://jbh.ministers.treasury.gov.au/media-release/036-2014/
  34. ^ Gillard, Julia (1 June 2011). "Departmental Secretaries | Prime Minister of Australia" (Press release). Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  35. ^ [1][dead link]
  36. ^ Gillard, Julia (2011). "Australia in the Asian Century". Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (Press release). Retrieved 1 October 2011. 
  37. ^ "ANU expert to help Australia prepare for the Asian century". ANU News (Press release). Australian National University. Retrieved 17 October 2012. 
  38. ^ "Bank nabs Ken Henry for board job". ABC News. 2011. Retrieved 6 October 2011. 
  39. ^ Cal, Peter (22 January 2013). "Ken Henry joins ASX board". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 13 October 2013. 
  40. ^ "New ANU ‘Kennedy School’ to play leading national public policy role". ANU News (Press release). Australian National University. 2012. Retrieved 12 April 2012. 
  41. ^ "Members of the Advisory Council". SMART Infrastructure Facility. University of Wollongong. 2013. 
  42. ^ "Voiceless, the animal protection institute". 
  43. ^ "HENRY, Kenneth Ross". It's An Honour. Commonwealth of Australia. 2007. Retrieved 30 December 2007. 
Government offices
Preceded by
Ted Evans
Secretary of the Department of the Treasury
2001–2011
Succeeded by
Martin Parkinson