Kentucky Democratic primary, 2008

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Kentucky Democratic Primary, 2008
Kentucky
2004 ←
May 20, 2008 (2008-05-20)

  Hillary Clinton official Secretary of State portrait crop.jpg Official portrait of Barack Obama.jpg
Nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton Barack Obama
Party Democratic Democratic
Home state New York Illinois
Popular vote 459,511 209,954
Percentage 65.48% 29.92%

The Kentucky Democratic Presidential Primary took place May 20, 2008, and had 51 delegates at stake. The winner in each of Kentucky's six congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates, totaling 34. Another 17 delegates were awarded to the statewide winner, Hillary Rodham Clinton. The 51 delegates represented Kentucky at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Nine other unpledged delegates, known as superdelegates, also attended the convention and cast their votes as well.[1]

Kentucky had a closed primary, meaning it was open only to registered Democrats. Those wishing to participate in the primary had to register as Democrats 28 days prior to the primary.[1]

There were 3,545 precincts in 120 counties with 1,629,845 Democratic registered voters, and the turnout was 43.0% of the registered voters.[2]

Polls[edit]

According to a poll from Rasmussen Reports taken before the primary, Hillary Rodham Clinton led Barack Obama 56-31 percent in Kentucky with 13 percent undecided.[3]

As of April 30, two superdelegates had pledged support for Obama while three had endorsed Clinton.[1]

Results[edit]

Primary Date: May 20, 2008

National Pledged Delegates Determined: 51

Kentucky Democratic Presidential Primary Results – 2008
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 459,511 65.48% 37
Democratic Barack Obama 209,954 29.92% 14
Democratic Uncommitted 18,091 2.58% 0
Democratic John Edwards 14,212 2.03% 0
Totals 701,768 100.00% 51
Voter turnout 43.00%

Analysis[edit]

Hillary Rodham Clinton won a decisive two-to-one victory in Kentucky, a state located in the Appalachian region which had many of the demographics in her favor. According to exit polls, 89 percent of voters in the Kentucky Democratic Primary were Caucasian and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 72-23 compared to the 9 percent of African American voters who backed Obama by a margin of 90-7. Clinton won all age groups, all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment ladders of voters. Registered Democrats, who comprised 84 percent of the turnout, backed Clinton by a margin of 68-30. She also won all ideological groups. Regarding religion, Clinton dominated all major denominations by two-to-one margins, including Protestants which backed her 66-28, Roman Catholics supported her 66-31, and other Christians favored Clinton by a margin of 66-30. It was a conclusive landslide victory for Clinton.

Clinton performed extraordinarily well throughout the state of Kentucky, carrying every county with well over 60 percent of the vote and winning all but two: Jefferson County, which contains Louisville, and Fayette County which contains Lexington-Fayette. Her best performance was in Southeast Kentucky, located in the heart of Appalachia, an area made up of less educated, lower-income, working-class whites. In fact, it was here where Clinton received her largest margin of victory in a county nationwide: Magoffin County gave Clinton 92.98 percent of the vote while Obama only received a meager 5.00 percent.

Kentucky was another state that highlighted Barack Obama’s growing problem among working-class whites, a swing voting bloc also referred to as Reagan Democrats who Clinton claimed were crucial to Democrats winning back the White House. Exit polls in Kentucky supported Clinton’s claim – of Kentucky voters who voted for Clinton, only one-third of voters said they would vote for Obama should he become the nominee while another one-third said they would vote for presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain and another one-third said they would not vote at all.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Berg-Andersson, Richard. "Kentucky Democratic Delegation 2008". The Green Papers. Retrieved 2008-05-21. 
  2. ^ "Kentucky State Board of Elections: Unofficial 2008 Primary Election Results, U.S. President - Statewide". Kentucky State Board of Elections. 2008-05-20. Retrieved 2008-05-20. 
  3. ^ "Kentucky Democratic Primary". Rasmussen Reports. 2008-05-06. Archived from the original on 2008-05-10. Retrieved 2008-05-20.