Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015

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Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015
Louisiana
2011 ←
October 24, 2015
→ 2019

 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Bobby Jindal
Republican

The Louisiana gubernatorial election will take place on October 24, 2015, to elect the Governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican Governor Bobby Jindal is not eligible to run for re-election to a third term because of term limits established by the Louisiana Constitution.

Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates will appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. If no candidate receives 50 percent plus one vote during the primary election, a runoff election will be held on November 21, 2015 between the top two candidates in the primary. California, Louisiana and Washington are the only states that have a jungle primary system.

Background[edit]

Elections in Louisiana, with the exception of U.S. presidential elections, follow a variation of the open primary system called the jungle primary. Candidates of any and all parties are listed on one ballot; voters need not limit themselves to the candidates of one party. Unless one candidate takes more than 50% of the vote in the first round, a run-off election is then held between the top two candidates, who may in fact be members of the same party. This scenario occurred in the 7th District congressional race in 1996, when Democrats Chris John and Hunter Lundy made the runoff for the open seat, and in 1999, when Republicans Suzanne Haik Terrell and Woody Jenkins made the runoff for Commissioner of Elections.

Candidates[edit]

Republican Party[edit]

Declared[edit]

Potential[edit]

Declined[edit]

Democratic Party[edit]

Declared[edit]

Potential[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Jungle primary[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Angelle
(R)
Jay
Dardenne
(R)
John Bel
Edwards
(D)
John
Georges
(D)
John
Kennedy
(R)
Mitch
Landrieu
(D)
Newell
Normand
(R)
Mike
Strain
(R)
David
Vitter
(R)
Other/
Unde-
cided
PSB Apr. 2014 601 ± ? 14% 17% 8% 10% 4% 18% 29%
Magellan Mar. 24–26, 2014 600 ± 4.1% 13.1% 4.6% 8.5% 26.4% 27.6% 19.8%
V/C Research Feb. 20–25, 2014 600 ± 4% 11% 8% 9% 33% 25% 15%
Kitchens Group* Feb. 10–12, 2014 600 ± 4.2% 9% 21% 7% 26% 38%
SM&O Research Nov. 6–12, 2013 600 ± 4% 2.1% 18% 7.9% 18.9% 30.3% 22.9%
Magellan Oct. 2–4, 2012 2,862 ± 1.9% 6.5% 6% 7.2% 29.4% 3.1% 31.1% 16.7%

Runoff[edit]

Dardenne vs. Edwards
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Dardenne (R)
John Bel
Edwards (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 664 ± 3.8% 49% 26% 24%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 635 ± 3.9% 48% 27% 25%
Dardenne vs. Landrieu
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Dardenne (R)
Mitch
Landrieu (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 664 ± 3.8% 43% 43% 15%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 635 ± 3.9% 46% 36% 18%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2013 721 ± 3.6% 35% 45% 20%
Public Policy Polling February 8–12, 2013 603 ± 4% 42% 44% 15%
Dardenne vs. Vitter
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Dardenne (R)
David
Vitter (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 664 ± 3.8% 34% 40% 27%
The Kitchens Group* February 10–12, 2014 600 ± 4.2% 28% 32% 40%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 635 ± 3.9% 29% 41% 30%
Vitter vs. Edwards
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Vitter (R)
John Bel
Edwards (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 664 ± 3.8% 52% 30% 17%
The Kitchen Group* February 10–12, 2014 600 ± 4.2% 38% 32% 31%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 635 ± 3.9% 51% 30% 19%
Vitter vs. Landrieu
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Vitter (R)
Mitch
Landrieu (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 664 ± 3.8% 48% 44% 8%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 635 ± 3.9% 50% 37% 13%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2013 721 ± 3.6% 42% 45% 14%
Harper Polling August 14–15, 2013 596 ± 4.01% 45% 43% 12%
Public Policy Polling February 8–12, 2013 603 ± 4% 44% 44% 13%
Magellan Strategies October 2–4, 2012 2,862 ± 1.9% 45.2% 39.8% 15%
  • * Internal poll for John Bel Edwards campaign

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Adelson, Jeff (March 20, 2013). "Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne 'intends' to run for governor in 2015". The Times-Picayune. Retrieved May 13, 2013. 
  2. ^ "David Vitter Announces Run for Governor". Roll Call. January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Alexander says he may run for Louisiana governor in 2015". The Town Talk. August 13, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013. 
  4. ^ a b Alford, Jeremy (May 6, 2013). "Saved by the Bel?". Gambit. Retrieved May 13, 2013. 
  5. ^ "Hero general Honore considering run for Louisiana governor". WBRZ.com. November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2013. 
  6. ^ "Louisiana poll: Vitter edges Georges, Jindal's popularity, jobs and economy tops". Bayoubuzz.com. June 20, 2012. Retrieved February 5, 2013. 
  7. ^ "Long weighs bid for governor in 2015". The Advocate. August 11, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2013. 
  8. ^ Greater New Orleans (December 12, 2013). "Buddy Roemer to spearhead long-term policy initiative ahead of 2015 election". NOLA.com. Retrieved December 18, 2013. 
  9. ^ "Ag commissioner Mike Strain says he won't run for Louisiana governor". Shreveport Times. July 1, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2013. 
  10. ^ "Jefferson Parish Sheriff Newell Normand not running for governor, says poll in article is months old". NOLA.com. June 9, 2014. Retrieved July 15, 2014. 
  11. ^ By WWLTV.com (July 26, 2013). "Edwards running to correct what he calls Jindal's mistakes | wwltv.com New Orleans". Wwltv.com. Retrieved December 18, 2013. 
  12. ^ Adelson, Jeff (February 10, 2013). "John Bel Edwards announces he is running for governor in 2015". The New Orleans Times-Picayune. Retrieved February 21, 2013. 
  13. ^ "Natchitoches minister makes run for governor". KNOE.com. March 4, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014. 
  14. ^ "Maginnis: Shaw's Bernhard may consider run for governor". Business Report. July 31, 2012. Retrieved October 4, 2012. 
  15. ^ "Bernhard Making Rounds for Governor". LA Politics. March 3, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014. 
  16. ^ "2014 LA-SEN Mary Landrieu vs. a far-right Republican". Daily Kos. August 25, 2012. Retrieved October 4, 2012. 
  17. ^ Greater New Orleans (2014-03-17). "It's official: Edwin Edwards is running for Congress". NOLA.com. Retrieved 2014-03-20. 
  18. ^ Gehrig Burnett, Lou (June 27, 2012). "Poll of Georges, Vitter, Jindal makes for early Louisiana election talk". Bayou Buzz. Retrieved October 4, 2012. 
  19. ^ "John Georges not running for governor". The Advocate. June 16, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014. 

External links[edit]