Maine gubernatorial election, 2014

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Maine gubernatorial election, 2014
Maine
2010 ←
November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
→ 2018

  PaulLePage.jpg Mike Michaud Official.jpg Eliot Cutler.jpg
Nominee Paul LePage Mike Michaud Eliot Cutler
Party Republican Democratic Independent

Incumbent Governor

Paul LePage
Republican

The 2014 Maine gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Governor Paul LePage is running for re-election to a second term in office.

The Cook Political Report,[1] Governing[2] and The Rothenberg Political Report[3] rate the race a "tossup" and Daily Kos Elections[4] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] rate the race as "lean Democratic".

Background[edit]

After a close three-way election in 2010, Republican Paul LePage, the Mayor of Waterville, was elected Governor with 38% of the vote. He beat Independent lawyer Eliot Cutler, who won 36%, and Democrat Libby Mitchell, the President of the Maine Senate, who won 19%. Republican gubernatorial nominees in Maine have failed to win a majority of the vote in 12 consecutive cycles over the last 50+ years - the longest such GOP streak in the nation.[6]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Polling[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Green Independent primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Campaign[edit]

On January 17, 2014, Eliot Cutler announced that he had challenged LePage and Michaud to a series of policy debates, with at least one to be held in each of Maine's 16 counties, over the course of the campaign. Cutler noted that neither man currently has a primary challenger and as such the field is largely set, with plenty of time to debate. Both LePage and Michaud's campaigns criticized Cutler as issuing such a challenge only to jump-start his campaign and generate attention.[25]

Lee Schultheis has said that his campaign is not about winning the election, but about encouraging honest conversation on the issues and working towards compromise, while criticizing the win-at-any-cost mentality in politics. He summarizes his campaign as "I'm running for Governor, but not really". He has qualified for the ballot and as such has been invited to at least one debate.[26]

Cutler posted a video to his Facebook and Twitter accounts on May 5, 2014, where he responded to a voter's question about his candidacy potentially splitting the vote again. He stated that his supporters, if they felt on the night before the election that he could not win, should vote for someone else.[27]

In July 2014, Cutler claimed that in May 2011 he had been approached by Maine Democratic Party Chairman Ben Grant to run as a Democrat in 2014, with assurances that the Party would "clear the field" in such a circumstance. Grant denied Cutler's claim, calling it "100 percent false", stating that while he had met with Cutler, that subject was not discussed. He added that the party had been focused solely on getting Mike Michaud or Chellie Pingree to run for Governor. Cutler stated that he would be willing to sign an affidavit on the matter, as he remembered the conversation "very clearly". Attorney and Democratic activist Severin Beliveau disputed Cutler's claim that he had been offered a "cleared field", saying: "That's [Cutler's] ego. We all have egos, but his is in another world, in the ether somewhere." Cutler further claimed that in the spring of 2011 he was asked by then-Maine Republican Party Chairman Charlie Webster to join the Republican Party. Webster also repudiated Cutler's claim, saying that he only met Cutler as a courtesy, asking "why would Republicans want a candidate who doesn't share our views? That doesn't make sense."[28]

The Michaud campaign stated on July 30 that Michaud will only participate in debates where LePage is present, and not attend ones where Cutler is the only other participant, because: "we are running against Paul LePage, he's who we are looking to unseat". The LePage campaign has said they will schedule debates around the Governor's work schedule and priorities and has declined to participate in a debate in the Lewiston/Auburn area in September. Cutler criticized both men as "cowards" and said that they wanted voters to make their decision "on the basis of a cascade of negative television ads bought by outside special interests". Michaud's campaign responded that at least four debates have been scheduled so far.[29]

LePage stated on a WVOM-FM radio show on August 7th that he believes he will either win by a landslide or lose by a landslide, stating that his views are too different from his opponent's to result in a close race.[30]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Paul
LePage (R)
Mike
Michaud (D)
Eliot
Cutler (I)
Other Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center July 26–28, 2014 796 ± 3.47% 41.4% 42.6% 12.6% 3.5%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 1,353 ± 2.7% 38% 52% 5% 4%
University of New Hampshire June 12–18, 2014 527 ± 4.3% 36% 40% 15% 2% 7%
44% 51% 4%
38% 50% 3% 9%
Public Policy Polling May 5–6, 2014 754 ± ? 39% 43% 15% 3%
Rasmussen Reports April 23–25, 2014 830 ± 3% 40% 40% 14% 1% 5%
Critical Insights April 16–23, 2014 601 ± 4% 36% 37% 18% 8%
Pan Atlantic/SMS Group March 31–April 5, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 38.6% 37.3% 20.3% 3.7%
Public Policy Polling April 1–2, 2014 583 ± 3.5% 37% 44% 14% 5%
Normington Petts March 3–6, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 35% 39% 16% <1% 9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner January 13–23, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 32% 45% 18% 5%
Pan Atlantic SMS November 25–30, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 36% 37.3% 18.3% 8.5%
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 964 ± 3.2% 36% 38% 15% 10%
Critical Insights September 27–30, 2013 600 ± 4% 30% 33% 24% 14%
Maine People's Resource Center September 8–10, 2013 652 ± 3.84% 34% 40% 16.8% 9.1%
Public Policy Polling August 23–25, 2013 953 ± 3.2% 35% 39% 18% 9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner July 11–16, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 31% 40% 26% 3%
Clarity Campaigns June 22–24, 2013 628 ± 3.72% 32% 32% 24% 12%
Pan Atlantic SMS March 11–16, 2013 403 ± 4.9% 33.5% 22.8% 25.6% 18.1%
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 1,268 ± 2.8% 34% 30% 26% 10%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  2. ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013. 
  3. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  4. ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013. 
  5. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  6. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (March 6, 2014). "The Elusive Republican Majority". Smart Politics. 
  7. ^ "LePage: I'm running for re-election". Kennebec Journal. July 2, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2013. 
  8. ^ a b "Expanding Medicaid would be 'sinful,' LePage says". Kennebec Journal. March 13, 2014. Retrieved March 14, 2014. 
  9. ^ "Michaud to formally enter governor’s race Thursday at Lewiston’s Franco-American Center". Bangor Daily News. August 14, 2013. Retrieved August 14, 2013. 
  10. ^ a b Stone, Matthew. "Former Maliseet rep takes 1st step toward gubernatorial bid – Capitol Incite - BDN Maine Blogs". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved February 18, 2013. 
  11. ^ Stone, Matthew (April 26, 2013). "Chellie Pingree announces she won’t run for governor in 2014". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved April 27, 2013. 
  12. ^ "Senate campaign over, Steve Woods is running for governor". Portland Press Herald. Associated Press. November 16, 2012. Retrieved November 17, 2012. 
  13. ^ a b Koenig, Seth (August 21, 2013). "Steve Woods withdraws from Maine gubernatorial race, says Michaud ‘will restore honor and integrity to the Blaine House’ — Politics — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 21, 2013. 
  14. ^ a b c d e f "Leery of third-place pattern, Democrats already have eyes on Blaine House | The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram". Pressherald.com. Retrieved November 27, 2012. 
  15. ^ Demeritt, Dan (November 30, 2012). "Dan Demeritt: Baldacci best hope for Democrats in 2014 – and for LePage, too". The Portland Press Herald. Retrieved December 23, 2012. 
  16. ^ "Sen. Emily Cain launches bid for Michaud's congressional seat". Maine Sun Journal. June 14, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013. 
  17. ^ "Washington Notebook: Mills keeping options open after Cabinet post". Pressherald.com. February 17, 2013. Retrieved February 20, 2013. 
  18. ^ Miller, Kevin. "Chellie Pingree says she won't run for Maine governor". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved April 26, 2013. 
  19. ^ a b "Maine Campaign Finance". Retrieved 25 October 2013. 
  20. ^ "Eliot Cutler tells Portland radio show hosts that he’s running for governor in 2014". Bangor Daily News. June 6, 2013. Retrieved June 6, 2013. 
  21. ^ "Michaud closer to joining governor race". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved June 28, 2013. 
  22. ^ "Michaud's official bid for governor this week?". Kennebec Journal. June 14, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013. 
  23. ^ a b https://secure.mainecampaignfinance.com/PublicSite/SearchPages/CandidateQuickListSearch.aspx
  24. ^ Mistler, Steve (July 9, 2013). "Shawn Moody making another run for gov? Maybe.". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved July 9, 2013. 
  25. ^ "LePage and Michaud call Cutler’s debate challenge a stunt". Bangor Daily News. January 17, 2014. Retrieved January 17, 2014. 
  26. ^ "LePage and Michaud call Cutler’s debate challenge a stunt". Bangor Daily News. July 23, 2014. Retrieved August 1, 2014. 
  27. ^ "Cutler gives supporters permission to vote for someone else". Bangor Daily News. May 6, 2014. Retrieved May 6, 2014. 
  28. ^ "Cutler says Democrats asked him to run in 2014". Kennebec Journal. July 26, 2014. Retrieved July 27, 2014. 
  29. ^ "LePage, Michaud aren’t interested in many public debates". Bangor Daily News. July 30, 2014. Retrieved July 31, 2014. 
  30. ^ "LePage: I'll either win or lose by a 'landslide'". WCSH-6 TV. August 7, 2014. Retrieved August 7, 2014. 
  31. ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2014/03/24/opinion/contributors/nelson-durgin-why-i-as-a-republican-will-vote-for-independent-eliot-cutler/?ref=OpinionBox
  32. ^ Moretto, Mario (August 6, 2014). "Pat Flood, Maine Senate GOP’s budget guru, endorses Eliot Cutler". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 6, 2014. 
  33. ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/eliot_cutler_is_only_candidate_for_governor_with_deep_environmental_ties#sthash.7dO0zQQx.dpbs/
  34. ^ http://www.pressherald.com/opinion/Maine_Voices__Mike_Michaud_s_record_does_not_prove_he_s__evolved__on_reproductive_choice_.html
  35. ^ "Angus King endorses Eliot Cutler at Portland press conference". Retrieved 18 August 2014. 
  36. ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/john_nutting_endorsement#sthash.1MPHXbN8.dpbs/
  37. ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/portland-8-6-14?utm_campaign=suslovic_v1&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cutlerformaine. Retrieved 30 July 2014.  Missing or empty |title= (help)
  38. ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/usm_dems_chair_for_cutler#.UuqUTvuSqSo
  39. ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/oped_muskie#.UzafE87YGJ8
  40. ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2013/11/18/opinion/why-one-maine-gay-rights-leaders-supports-eliot-cutler-for-governor/
  41. ^ Moretto, Mario (July 24, 2014). "Maine Citizens Against Handgun Violence endorses Eliot Cutler". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved July 24, 2014. 
  42. ^ http://lepage2014.com/videos/
  43. ^ a b c d e Thistle, Scott (August 1, 2014). "Snowe, McKernan to host fundraiser for LePage". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 1, 2014. 
  44. ^ Byrne, Matt (April 22, 2014). "N.J. Gov. Chris Christie to stump for LePage". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved April 22, 2014. 
  45. ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2014/05/27/opinion/want-public-confidence-in-your-public-policy-dont-look-to-lepage-for-guidance/
  46. ^ Cousins, Christopher (June 3, 2014). "LePage endorsed by building contract group during campaign stop at gravel pit". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  47. ^ a b Moretto, Mario (July 21, 2014). "Democratic Govs. Deval Patrick, Peter Shumlin stump for Michaud in southern Maine". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved July 21, 2014. 
  48. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/independent-state-rep-evangelos-endorses-michaud
  49. ^ https://www.facebook.com/colleenforsenate/posts/537802632949322
  50. ^ a b http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/firefighters-police-groups-endorse-michaud
  51. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/steelworkers-endorse-mike-michaud-2014-maine-governor%E2%80%99s-race
  52. ^ a b c d e http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-governor-earns-four-key-endorsements
  53. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-earns-maine-credit-union-league-endorsement
  54. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/workers-throw-early-support-behind-mike-michaud-governor
  55. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-earns-endorsement-teamsters
  56. ^ a b http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-earns-two-big-endorsements
  57. ^ a b c d http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/maritime-unions-endorse-michaud
  58. ^ a b c d http://www.michaud2014.com/endorsements
  59. ^ "Michaud receives endorsement from labor union that doesn’t always support Democrats". Bangor Daily News. May 13, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014. 
  60. ^ http://www.democracyforamerica.com/blog/825-breaking-michaud-leads-lepage-by-four-in-new-me-gov-poll
  61. ^ http://stateandcapitol.bangordailynews.com/2014/08/06/collins-bellows-in-tv-ad-war-cutler-passes-on-enviro-endorsement-fear-the-beard/
  62. ^ http://www.kjonline.com/politics/Michaud_wins_endorsement_of_leading_gay_rights_group__Cutler_blasts_decision_.html?pagenum=full
  63. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-endorses-mike-michaud-maine-governor
  64. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/news-clips/maine-peoples-alliance-endorses-michaud
  65. ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2014/02/07/politics/cutler-cries-foul-after-maine-conservation-voters-endorse-michaud-for-governor/
  66. ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/maine-rep-michael-michaud%E2%80%99s-evolution-choice-earns-naral-pro-choice-america-pac
  67. ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2014/06/16/politics/elections/planned-parenthoods-pac-endorses-michaud-in-maine-governors-race/
  68. ^ "Sportsman’s Alliance of Maine won’t endorse candidates in gubernatorial, federal races". Bangor Daily News. August 21, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2014. 

External links[edit]