Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014

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Maryland Gubernatorial Election, 2014
Maryland
2010 ←
November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) → 2018

  Larry-Hogan.JPG Anthony G. Brown Official State Photo.jpg
Nominee Larry Hogan Anthony G. Brown
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Boyd Rutherford Kenneth Ulman
Popular vote 884,400 818,890
Percentage 51.0% 47.2%

Maryland Governor Election Results by County, 2014.svg

Election results by county. Red indicates counties carried by Hogan, blue indicates counties carried by Brown.

Governor before election

Martin O'Malley
Democratic

Elected Governor

Larry Hogan
Republican

The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic Governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.

Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Anthony G. Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.

Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill",[1] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the heavily Democratic state.[2] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country."[3]

Background[edit]

Only one Republican has been elected Governor of Maryland in the last forty-eight years: Bob Ehrlich, in 2002. He was defeated for re-election in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a re-match with O'Malley in 2010.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Ralph Jaffe, teacher and perennial candidate[8]
  • Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe[8]
  • Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate[11]
  • Running mate: Clarence Tucker[11]
  • Cindy Walsh, head of Citizens' Oversight Maryland[12]
  • Running mate: Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Anthony G.
Brown
Peter
Franchot
Doug
Gansler
Heather
Mizeur
Kenneth
Ulman
Other Undecided
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 487 ± 5% 46% 23% 16% 16%
Baltimore Sun May 31–June 3, 2014 499 ± 4.4% 41% 20% 15% 15%
WPA Opinion Research** May 6–7, 2014  ? ± ? 34% 20% 7% 3% 40%
St. Mary's College April 10–13, 2014 502 ± ? 27.1% 10.8% 7.7% 54.3%
Washington Post February 13–16, 2014 469 ± 5.5% 34% 15% 8% 43%
Baltimore Sun February 8–12, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 35% 14% 10% 40%
Gonzales Research October 1–14, 2013 403 ± 5% 40.7% 21.1% 5.2% 33%
GarinHartYang* September 11–15, 2013 608 ± 4% 43% 21% 5% 31%
46% 24% 30%
WPA Opinion Research** September 10–11, 2013  ? ± ? 40% 22% 7% 38%
NormingtonPets^ December 3–5, 2012  ? ± 4.4% 22% 13% 8% 4% 53%
GarinHartYang* September 12–13, 2012 504 ± 4.4% 31% 14% 18% 4% 33%
37% 23% 5% 35%
41% 25% 34%
  • ** Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign
  • * Internal poll for the Anthony G. Brown campaign
  • ^ Internal poll for the Peter Franchot campaign

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Anthony G. Brown/Kenneth Ulman 249,398 51.41%
Democratic Doug Gansler/Jolene Ivey 117,383 24.2%
Democratic Heather Mizeur/Delman Coates 104,721 21.59%
Democratic Cindy Walsh/Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia 6,863 1.41%
Democratic Charles U. Smith/Clarence Tucker 3,507 0.72%
Democratic Ralph Jaffe/Freda Jaffe 3,221 0.66%
Totals 485,093 100%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Running mate: Shelley Aloi, banking analyst and former Frederick Alderman[50]
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration[52]

Disqualified[edit]

  • Brian Vaeth, businessman, retired firefighter and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[55]
  • Running mate: Duane "Shorty" Davis, activist[56]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Craig
Ron
George
Larry
Hogan
Charles
Lollar
Other Undecided
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 228 ± 7.5% 19% 5% 35% 13% 3% 29%
Baltimore Sun May 31–June 3, 2014 501 ± 4.4% 12% 6% 27% 12% 37%
St. Mary's College April 10–13, 2014 270 ± ? 7.8% 3.8% 16% 3.8% 68.6%
Washington Post February 13–16, 2014 290 ± 7% 13% 4% 17% 10% 1% 57%
Baltimore Sun February 8–12, 2014 499 ± 4.4% 7% 6% 13% 5% 69%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Larry Hogan/Boyd Rutherford 92,376 42.98%
Republican David R. Craig/Jeannie Haddaway 62,639 29.14%
Republican Charles Lollar/Kenneth Timmerman 33,292 15.49%
Republican Ron George/Shelley Aloi 26,628 12.39%
Totals 214,935 100%

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

  • Larry Hogan (Republican Party), former State Secretary of Appointments
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration
  • Shawn Quinn (Libertarian), candidate for the House of Delegates in 2010[12]
  • Running mate: Lorenzo Gaztanaga, perennial candidate

Campaign[edit]

Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as apart of Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland."[70] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled less than 4,000 people.[71]

Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state’s abortion or gun control laws.[72] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Republican Larry Hogan's call for Democrat Anthony Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."

Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing Brown/O'Malley's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by “40 consecutive tax hikes.”[73] Brown said there have been times he's disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction.[74] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters" and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth.[75]

Debates[edit]

Three debates were scheduled and occurred during the Maryland Governor's Race.[76]

  • Tuesday Oct 7, 2014: aired 7pm–8pm broadcast on MPT and WJZ CBS 13; replay recap
  • Tuesday Oct 14, 2014: aired 7pm–8pm broadcast on MPT and WBFF Fox 45;
  • Saturday Oct 18, 2014: aired 7pm–8pm broadcast on MPT and WBAL NBC 11[76] replay recap

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Anthony G.
Brown (D)
Larry
Hogan (R)
Other Undecided
WPA Opinion Research* October 20–24, 2014 500 ± 3.5% 39% 44% 17%
Gonzales Research October 20–24, 2014 822 ± 3.5% 46% 44% 2%[77] 18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,086 ± 5% 51% 38% 0% 11%
WPA Opinion Research* October 19–20, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 41% 15%
Gravis Marketing October 6–9, 2014 784 ± 3.5% 46% 43% 11%
Baltimore Sun October 4–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 49% 42% 9%
Washington Post October 2–5, 2014 549 LV ± 5% 47% 38% 4%[77] 11%
807 RV ± 4% 44% 31% 6%[77] 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,096 ± 4% 55% 38% 1% 7%
Gonzales Research September 16–23, 2014 805 ± 3.5% 47% 43% 1%[77] 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,082 ± 4% 51% 37% 3% 10%
OnMessage, Inc.* August 18–19, 2014 500 ± 4.38 45% 42% 4%[77] 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,409 ± ? 52% 39% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports July 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 35% 7% 10%
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 962 ± 3.5% 51% 33% 16%
WPA Opinion Research* May 6–7, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 35% 23%
WPA Opinion Research* September 10–11, 2013  ? ± ? 46% 32% 22%
  • * Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign

Results[edit]

Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Larry Hogan/Boyd Rutherford 884,400 51.02% +9.23%
Democratic Anthony G. Brown/Kenneth Ulman 818,890 47.24% -9.00%
Libertarian Shawn Quinn/Lorenzo Gaztanaga 25,382 1.46% +0.69%
Write-ins 4,505 0.26%
Majority 65,510 3.78%
Turnout 1,733,177
Republican gain from Democratic Swing +18.23%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Maryland Governor's race has turned unexpectedly tight". Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014. 
  2. ^ a b "Unofficial 2014 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". Maryland State Board of Elections. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2014. 
  3. ^ John Wagner and Jenna Johnson (5 November 2014). "Republican Larry Hogan wins Md. governor’s race in stunning upset". The Washington Post. 
  4. ^ Davis, Aaron C. (May 10, 2013). "Brown launches bid for Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 11, 2013. 
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  7. ^ Wagner, John (October 14, 2013). "Gansler announces Jolene Ivey as his 2014 gubernatorial running mate". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 18, 2013. 
  8. ^ a b Shapiro, Marc (November 20, 2013). "Ralph Jaffe Declares Gubernatorial Candidacy". Baltimore Jewish Times. Retrieved June 25, 2013. 
  9. ^ Celock, John (July 17, 2013). "Heather Mizeur Running For Governor Of Maryland". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 17, 2013. 
  10. ^ Wagner, John (November 13, 2013). "Mizeur to name Delman Coates, a Prince George’s pastor, as her running mate in Md.". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 16, 2014. 
  11. ^ a b "State, county seats up for grabs this year". Gazette.net. December 31, 2013. Retrieved February 16, 2014. 
  12. ^ a b "Filing Deadline For Candidates Passes; Sixth Democrat Files For Governor". WBAL.com. February 25, 2014. Retrieved February 27, 2014. 
  13. ^ John Fritze; Erin Cox (January 22, 2014). "Rep. Delaney fuels speculation he will run for governor". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved January 29, 2014. 
  14. ^ John Wagner (January 26, 2014). "Amid rumors of a gubernatorial bid, Delaney says he expects to run again for Congress". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 29, 2014. 
  15. ^ John Wagner (February 18, 2014). "Delaney, after looking at Md. governor’s field, files to run for second term in Congress". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 19, 2014. 
  16. ^ Dresser, Michael (December 11, 2012). "Franchot says he won't run for governor". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved May 11, 2013. 
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  20. ^ a b Wagner, John (July 18, 2013). "Hoyer to announce support of Brown in Maryland 2014 race for governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 19, 2013. 
  21. ^ John Wagner (September 22, 2013). "Mikulski says she’s ‘ready to get into it’ to help elect Anthony Brown as Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
  22. ^ John Wagner (September 23, 2013). "John Sarbanes adds his name to those backing Brown’s bid for Md. governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
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  24. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl "Endorsements". anthonybrown.com. Retrieved October 23, 2013. 
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  26. ^ Bush, Matt (January 10, 2014). "House Speaker Busch Endorses Anthony Brown For Maryland Governor". wamu.org. Retrieved January 16, 2014. 
  27. ^ "Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman Endorsed by Maryland-DC Council of AFL-CIO". AnthonyBrown.com. October 26, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013. 
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  33. ^ Moon, David (September 19, 2013). "Gansler Hints at Runningmate, Frick & Braveboy for Atty General, Mikulski Endorsing Brown, Franchot Kickoff". marylandjuice.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014. 
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  35. ^ "10th District: Doug Gansler Endorsed in Northwest Baltimore County". YouTube. September 26, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014. 
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  39. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Heather Mizeur Receives Endorsements from Prince George's County Municipal Leaders". Heathermizeur.com. October 10, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014. 
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  48. ^ "Republican David Craig Announces Running Mate in Md. Governor's Race". nbcwashington.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014. 
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  50. ^ White, Brian (February 25, 2014). "Ron George picks Shelley Aloi as running mate". The Washington Times. Retrieved February 25, 2014. 
  51. ^ Wagner, John (June 3, 2013). "New candidates to step forward Monday in Maryland’s race for governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 4, 2013. 
  52. ^ Dresser, Michael (January 29, 2014). "Hogan names Boyd Rutherford as running mate". Baltimore Sun. Retrieved January 30, 2014. 
  53. ^ Wagner, John (August 9, 2013). "Lollar to launch Md. gubernatorial campaign during first week of September". Washington Post. Retrieved August 15, 2013. 
  54. ^ Wagner, John (February 24, 2014). "Md. GOP gubernatorial hopeful Lollar chooses Kenneth Timmerman as running mate". Washington Post. Retrieved February 24, 2014. 
  55. ^ Alex Jackson (March 19, 2014). "GOP candidate Vaeth disqualified from Maryland gubernatorial race". Capital Gazette. Retrieved July 17, 2014. 
  56. ^ Lang, Robert (May 7, 2013). "Ex-Firefighter & Activist Form First GOP Ticket For Governor". WBAL (AM). Retrieved June 2, 2013. 
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  60. ^ "State Sen. Nancy Jacobs to run for Congress". Star Dem. January 4, 2012. 
  61. ^ Michael Dresser and Annie Linskey (January 18, 2012). "Gansler leads in money race". The Baltimore Sun. 
  62. ^ Blum, Agnes (September 20, 2013). "Bethesda Republican Meyer Marks out of governor’s race". The Gazette. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  63. ^ Wagner, John (August 5, 2013). "Top Md. Senate Republican E.J. Pipkin plans to resign, move to Texas". Washington Post. 
  64. ^ Wagner, John (September 18, 2013). "Former RNC chair Michael Steele will ‘take a pass’ on Maryland governor’s race". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 19, 2013. 
  65. ^ Wagner, John (July 16, 2013). "David Craig unveils Del. Haddaway-Riccio as running mate in Md. governor’s race". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 18, 2014. 
  66. ^ "GOP's Craig to enter race for governor; Brown picks Ulman for ticket". May 29, 2013. Retrieved February 18, 2014. 
  67. ^ Collins, David (October 22, 2014). "Chris Christe Again Stops for Larry Hogan". WBAL. Retrieved November 4, 2014. 
  68. ^ Wagner, John (February 5, 2014). "Ehrlich to appear at event for Maryland GOP gubernatorial hopeful Larry Hogan". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 10, 2014. 
  69. ^ Griffiths, Brian (December 12, 2013). "Larry Hogan for Governor". Retrieved February 10, 2014. 
  70. ^ "A summer sequel: Hogan posts another ad on ‘the most incompetent man in Maryland’". Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014. 
  71. ^ Alexander Burns. "Obamacare fight erupts in deep-blue Maryland". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 November 2014. 
  72. ^ Kevin Robillard. "How Larry Hogan won in Maryland". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 November 2014. 
  73. ^ Seven commentators (October 7, 2014). "Analyzing the gubernatorial debate: Commentators react". Maryland Reporter. Retrieved October 25, 2014. Here are some reactions to last night’s debate 
  74. ^ "BLOG: Md. Gubernatorial Debate Wrap-Up". WJZ-TV. October 7, 2014. Retrieved October 8, 2014. 
  75. ^ Dresser, Michael; Cox, Erin (October 7, 2014). "Brown, Hogan accuse each other of not telling truth". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved October 8, 2014. 
  76. ^ a b "2014 Maryland Gubernatorial Debates". Maryland Public Television. Retrieved October 8, 2014. 
  77. ^ a b c d e Shawn Quinn (L)

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites