Maunder Minimum

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The Maunder minimum in a 400 year history of sunspot numbers

The Maunder Minimum, also known as the "prolonged sunspot minimum," is the name used for the period starting in about 1645 and continuing to about 1715 when sunspots became exceedingly rare, as noted by solar observers of the time.

The term was introduced after John A. Eddy published a landmark 1976 paper in Science.[1] Astronomers before Eddy had also named the period after the solar astronomers Annie and E. Walter Maunder (1851–1928) who studied how sunspot latitudes changed with time.[2] The period the husband and wife team examined included the second half of the 17th century. Two papers were published in Edward Maunder's name in 1890 and 1894, and he cited earlier papers written by Gustav Spörer.[3] Due to the social climate of the time, Annie's contribution was not publicly recognized.[4]

During one 30-year period within the Maunder Minimum, Spörer observed fewer than 50 sunspots, as opposed to a more typical 40,000–50,000 spots in modern times.[5]

Like the Dalton Minimum and Spörer Minimum, the Maunder Minimum coincided with a period of lower-than-average European temperatures.

Sunspot observations[edit]

The Maunder Minimum occurred between 1645 and 1715 when very few sunspots were observed. This was not due to a lack of observations; during the 17th century, Giovanni Domenico Cassini carried out a systematic program of solar observations at the Observatoire de Paris, thanks to the astronomers Jean Picard and Philippe de La Hire. Johannes Hevelius also performed observations on his own. The total numbers of sunspots (but not Wolf numbers) in different years were as follows:

Year Sunspots
1610 9
1620 6
1630 9
1640 0
1650 3
1660 Some sunspots reported by Jan Heweliusz in Machina Coelestis
1670 0
1680 1 huge sunspot observed by Giovanni Domenico Cassini

During the Maunder Minimum enough sunspots were sighted so that 11-year cycles could be extrapolated from the count. The maxima occurred in 1676, 1684, 1695, 1705 and 1716.

The sunspot activity was then concentrated in the southern hemisphere of the Sun, except for the last cycle when the sunspots appeared in the northern hemisphere, too.

According to Spörer's law, at the start of a cycle, spots appear at ever lower latitudes until they average at about lat. 15° at solar maximum. The average then continues to drift lower to about 7° and after that, while spots of the old cycle fade, new cycle spots start appearing again at high latitudes.

The visibility of these spots is also affected by the velocity of the sun's surface rotation at various latitudes:

Solar latitude Rotation period
(days)
24.7
35° 26.7
40° 28.0
75° 33.0

Visibility is somewhat affected by observations being done from the ecliptic. The ecliptic is inclined 7° from the plane of the Sun's equator (latitude 0°).

Little Ice Age[edit]

The Maunder Minimum coincided with the middle part of the Little Ice Age, during which Europe and North America were subjected to very cold winters. A causal connection between low sunspot activity and cold European winters has recently been made using the longest existing surface temperature record, the Central England Temperature record [6] and also using the ERA-40 re-analysis dataset.[7] A potential explanation of this has been offered by observations by NASA's Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment which suggest that solar UV output is more variable over the course of the solar cycle than scientists had previously thought.[8] In 2011 an article was published in the Nature Geoscience journal that uses a climate model with stratospheric layers and the SORCE data to tie low solar activity to jet stream behavior and mild winters in some places (southern Europe and Canada/Greenland) and colder winters in others (northern Europe and the United States).[9] In Europe, examples of very cold winters are 1683-4, 1694-5, and the winter of 1708–9.[10] In such years River Thames frost fairs were held. That the Thames ceased to freeze in the 19th. century has been argued to be evidence both for, and against, anthropogenic climate change. In fact it is neither, being caused by the removal of the "Old" (medieval) London Bridge in 1825 (which was a weir which slowed the river flow and prevented salt water reaching upstream) and the construction of the river embankments which also increased the river flow.

Note that the term "Little Ice Age" applied to the Maunder minimum is something of a misnomer as it implies a period of unremitting cold (and on a global scale) which is not the case. For example, the coldest winter in the Central England Temperature record is 1683-4 but the next winter was the fifth warmest in the whole record. Furthermore, warm summers during the Maunder minimum were, if anything more common.

Other observations[edit]

Solar activity events recorded in radiocarbon.
Graph showing proxies of solar activity, including changes in sunspot number and cosmogenic isotope production.

Some scientists hypothesize that the dense wood used in Stradivarius instruments was caused by slow tree growth during the cooler period. Instrument maker Antonio Stradivari was born a year before the start of the Maunder Minimum.[11]

Past solar activity may be recorded by various proxies including carbon-14 and beryllium-10.[12] These indicate lower solar activity during the Maunder Minimum. The scale of changes resulting in the production of carbon-14 in one cycle is small (about one percent of medium abundance) and can be taken into account when radiocarbon dating is used to determine the age of archaeological artifacts. The interpretation of the beryllium-10 and carbon-14 cosmogenic isotope abundance records stored in terrestrial reservoirs such as ice sheets and tree rings has been greatly aided by reconstructions of solar and heliospheric magnetic fields based on historic data on Geomagnetic storm activity, which bridge the time gap between the end of the usable cosmogenic isotope data and the start of modern spacecraft data.[13][14]

Other historical sunspot minima have been detected either directly or by the analysis of the cosmogenic isotopes; these include the Spörer Minimum (1450–1540), and less markedly the Dalton Minimum (1790–1820). In a 2012 study, sunspot minima have been detected by analysis of carbon-14 in lake sediments.[15] In total there seem to have been 18 periods of sunspot minima in the last 8,000 years, and studies indicate that the sun currently spends up to a quarter of its time in these minima.

One recently published paper, based on an analysis of a Flamsteed drawing, suggests that the Sun's surface rotation slowed in the deep Maunder minimum (1684).[16]

During the Maunder Minimum auroras had been observed normally. Detailed analysis has been published by Wilfried Schröder[17] and J. P. Legrand et al.[18]

The fundamental papers on the Maunder minimum (Eddy, Legrand, Gleissberg, Schröder, Landsberg et al.) have been published in Case studies on the Spörer, Maunder and Dalton Minima.[19]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Eddy J.A. (June 1976). "The Maunder Minimum". Science 192 (4245): 1189–1202. Bibcode:1976Sci...192.1189E. doi:10.1126/science.192.4245.1189. PMID 17771739.  PDF Copy
  2. ^ Who named the Maunder Minimum?
  3. ^ See:
  4. ^ http://www.underthemicroscope.com/notable-irish-scientist-annie-maunder-the-lady-computer/
  5. ^ John E. Beckman and Terence J. Mahoney. "The Maunder Minimum and Climate Change: Have Historical Records Aided Current Research?". Astronomical Society of the Pacific. 
  6. ^ Lockwood, M. et al. (February 2010). "Are cold winters in Europe associated with low solar activity?". Env. Res. Lett. 5 (2): 024001. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024001.  PDF Copy
  7. ^ Woollings, T.G. et al. (October 2010). "Enhanced signature of solar variability in Eurasian winter climate". Geophys. Res. Lett. 37 (20): L20805. doi:10.1029/2010GL044601. 
  8. ^ Harder, J.A. et al. (April 2009). "Trends in solar spectral irradiance variability in the visible and infrared". Geophys. Res. Lett. 36 (7): L07801. doi:10.1029/2008GL036797. 
  9. ^ Ineson, S. et al. (October 2011). "Solar forcing of winter climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere". Nature Geoscience 4: 753–757. doi:10.1038/ngeo1282. 
  10. ^ Niles' Weekly Register, Volume 15, Supplement, History of the Weather
  11. ^ Whitehouse, David (December 17, 2003). "Stradivarius 'sound' due to Sun". BBC News. Retrieved 2009-05-12. 
  12. ^ Usoskin I.G. (2008). "A History of Solar Activity over Millennia". Living Reviews in Solar Physics 5 (3). doi:10.12942/lrsp-2008-3.  PDF Copy
  13. ^ Lockwood M. et al. (June 1999). "A doubling of the sun's coronal magnetic field during the last 100 years". Nature 399. doi:10.1038/20867.  PDF Copy
  14. ^ Lockwood M. (2013). "Reconstruction and Prediction of Variations in the Open Solar Magnetic Flux and Interplanetary Conditions". Living Reviews in Solar Physics 10 (4). doi:10.12942/lrsp-2013-4.  PDF Copy
  15. ^ Celia Martin-Puertas, Katja Matthes, Achim Brauer, Raimund Muscheler, Felicitas Hansen, Christof Petrick, Ala Aldahan, Göran Possnert & Bas van Geel (April 2, 2012). "Regional atmospheric circulation shifts induced by a grand solar minimum". Nature Geoscience 5 (6): 397–401. Bibcode:2012NatGe...5..397M. doi:10.1038/ngeo1460. 
  16. ^ Vaquero JM, Sánchez-Bajo F, Gallego MC (2002). "A Measure of the Solar Rotation During the Maunder Minimum". Solar Physics 207 (2): 219. Bibcode:2002SoPh..207..219V. doi:10.1023/A:1016262813525. 
  17. ^ Schröder, Wilfried (1992). "On the existence of the 11-year cycle in solar and auroral activity before and during the so-called Maunder Minimum". Journal of Geomagnetism and Geoelectricity 44 (2): 119–28. doi:10.5636/jgg.44.119. ISSN 0022-1392. 
  18. ^ Legrand, JP; Le Goff, M; Mazaudier, C; Schröder, W (1992). "Solar and auroral activities during the seventeenth century". Acta Geodaetica et Geophysica Hungarica 27 (2–4): 251–282. 
  19. ^ Schröder, Wilfried (2005). Case studies on the Spörer, Maunder, and Dalton minima. Beiträge zur Geschichte der Geophysik und Kosmischen Physik 6. Potsdam: AKGGP, Science Edition. 

Further reading[edit]

External links[edit]