Montana gubernatorial election, 2012

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Montana gubernatorial election, 2012
Montana
2008 ←
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) → 2016

  Steve Bullock 10-31-2012.jpg RickHill2.jpg
Nominee Steve Bullock Rick Hill
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate John Walsh Jon Sonju
Popular vote 236,450 228,879
Percentage 48.9% 47.3%

Mt gov 2012.png

County results

Governor before election

Brian Schweitzer
Democratic

Elected Governor

Steve Bullock
Democratic

The 2012 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term.

Montana Attorney General Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary with 87% of the vote and former U.S. Representative Rick Hill won the Republican primary with 34% of the vote. In the general election, Bullock was victorious by 7,571 votes, taking 48.9% of the vote to Hill’s 47.3%.[1]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Heather Margolis, Montana representative for community service organization ServeNext

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Bullock
Larry
Jent
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 28–30, 2011 573 ± 4.1% 70% 6% 24%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Bullock 76,738 86.6
Democratic Heather Margolis 11,823 13.4
Total votes 88,561 100

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Bob Fanning, retired businessman[10]
  • Jim Lynch, former Montana Department of Transportation director[17]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Essmann
Bob
Fanning
Rick
Hill
Neil
Livingstone
Jim
Lynch
Ken
Miller
Jim
O'Hara
Corey
Stapleton
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 403 ± 4.88% 1% 33% 5% 4% 12% 4% 7% 35%
Public Policy Polling November 28–30, 2011 700 ± 3.7% 5% 1% 37% 3% 4% 10% 3% 2% 35%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Hill 46,802 34.4
Republican Corey Stapleton 24,661 18.1
Republican Ken Miller 24,496 18.0
Republican Jim O'Hara 16,653 12.2
Republican Neil Livingstone 12,038 8.8
Republican Jim Lynch 8,323 6.1
Republican Bob Fanning 3,087 2.3
Total votes 136,060 100

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

  • Running mate: John Walsh, Brigadier general and former adjutant general in the Montana National Guard
  • Ron Vandevender (Libertarian), businessman[28]
  • Running mate: Marc Mulcahy[11]

Debate[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Bullock (D)
Rick
Hill (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 836 ± 3.4% 48% 48% 2% 2%
Mason-Dixon October 29–31, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 46% 49% 2% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 8–10, 2012 737 ± 3.6% 42% 43% 8% 7%
Montana State University September 27–30, 2012 477 ± 4.6% 38% 40% 2% 20%
Mason-Dixon September 17–19, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 44% 43% 2% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 656 ± 3.2% 44% 39% 8% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 934 ± 3.2% 39% 39% 21%
Public Policy Polling November 28–30, 2011 1,625 ± 2.4% 38% 39% 23%
Public Policy Polling June 16–19, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 37% 39% 23%
Public Policy Polling November 10–13, 2010 1,176 ± 2.9% 31% 41% 28%

Results[edit]

Montana gubernatorial election, 2012[29]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Steve Bullock 236,450 48.90% -16.57%
Republican Rick Hill 228,879 47.34% +14.82%
Libertarian Ron Vandevender 18,160 3.76% +1.75%
Majority 7,571 1.56% -31.39%
Turnout 483,489
Democratic hold Swing

References[edit]

  1. ^ Michael Barone, et al. The Almanac of American Politics 2014 (2013) (Kindle Locations 48242-48245).
  2. ^ Catanese, David (September 7, 2011). "Bullock joins Montana governor's race". Politico. Retrieved September 7, 2011. 
  3. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (March 9, 2012). "Bullock makes pick of Walsh as running mate official". Independent Record. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  4. ^ Banks, Marnee (March 12, 2012). "Democrats Margolis & Nelsen enter race for MT Governor". KXLF-TV. Retrieved March 14, 2012. 
  5. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (March 8, 2012). "Jent drops out of governor's race, leaving Bullock as lone Democrat". Billings Gazette. Retrieved March 9, 2012. 
  6. ^ a b Johnson, Charles S. (June 12, 2011). "Bohlinger, Essmann eye governor's race". Billings Gazette. Retrieved June 15, 2011. 
  7. ^ Wanzenried ends run for governor : The Billings Gazette - Montana & Wyoming News
  8. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (September 13, 2010). "Pat Williams not running for governor". Billings Gazette. Retrieved January 17, 2011. 
  9. ^ a b "2012 STATEWIDE PRIMARY ELECTION CANVASS" (PDF). Secretary of State of Montana. Retrieved September 24, 2012. 
  10. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (October 4, 2011). "3 more GOP candidates running for governor". Billings Gazette. Retrieved October 5, 2011. 
  11. ^ a b Banks, Marnee (March 12, 2012). "Long list of candidates running for U.S. House & MT Governor". KRTV. Retrieved March 14, 2012. 
  12. ^ Banks, Marnee (February 13, 2012). "MT gubernatorial candidate Fanning loses running mate". KTVQ. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  13. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (November 6, 2010). "Former GOP U.S. Rep. Rick Hill to run for Montana governor". Billings Gazette. Retrieved January 17, 2011. 
  14. ^ Reece, Myers (January 18, 2012). "Rick Hill Announces Jon Sonju as Gubernatorial Running Mate". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  15. ^ "Terrorism expert files for Montana governor's race". Associated Press. February 12, 2011. Retrieved February 12, 2011. 
  16. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (July 10, 2011). "Livingstone taps Zinke as running mate". Billings Gazette. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  17. ^ "Jim Lynch announces candidacy for Governor". KTVQ. October 13, 2011. Retrieved October 14, 2011. 
  18. ^ Sherman, David (March 12, 2012). "Lynch names Olszewski as running mate in MT governor race". KRTV. Retrieved March 14, 2012. 
  19. ^ Dennison, Mike (August 9, 2010). "Republican former state senator from Laurel formally enters 2012 governor's race". Billings Gazette. Retrieved January 17, 2011. 
  20. ^ Reece, Myers (February 6, 2012). "Ken Miller Announces Bill Gallagher as Gubernatorial Running Mate". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  21. ^ Keegan, Charlie (January 14, 2011). "Jim O'Hara Announces Candidacy for Governor". KFBB-TV. Retrieved January 17, 2011. 
  22. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (February 7, 2012). "O'Hara picks retired MHP officer as running mate". Billings Gazette. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  23. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (July 19, 2010). "Stapleton bidding for governor". Billings Gazette. Retrieved January 17, 2011. 
  24. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (February 7, 2012). "Stapleton picks Keenan for running mate". Billings Gazette. Retrieved March 11, 2012. 
  25. ^ Essmann drops out of GOP race for governor : The Billings Gazette - Montana & Wyoming News
  26. ^ http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20120117/NEWS01/120117001/Turiano-drops-gubernatorial-bid
  27. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (November 11, 2010). "Rehberg focusing on current job". Billings Gazette. Retrieved January 17, 2011. 
  28. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (March 1, 2012). "Governor candidates talk about state economy". Independent Record. Retrieved March 14, 2012. 
  29. ^ "2012 Statewide General Election Canvass" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved July 2, 2014. 

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites