New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014

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New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014
New Hampshire
2012 ←
November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
→ 2016

 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

The 2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan is running for re-election to a second term in office.

Background[edit]

Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch decided to retire in 2012, rather than seek re-election to a fifth term in office. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%.

New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. On only one occasion since 1926 has a first-term governor of New Hampshire been defeated for re-election to a second term: in 2004, when Lynch beat incumbent Republican Governor Craig Benson.[1][2] Hassan also has high approval ratings. An April 2014 WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll found that 57% of registered voters approve of the job she is doing, 58% have a favorable opinion of her and 70% think the state is going in the right direction.[3] For these reasons, Hassan is not considered vulnerable: The Cook Political Report,[4] Daily Kos Elections,[5] Governing[6] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] all consider the race "likely Democratic" and The Rothenberg Political Report rates the race "safe Democratic".[8]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Potential[edit]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Binnie
Ted
Gatsas
Daniel
Greene
Walt
Havenstein
Andrew
Hemingway
George
Lambert
Chuck
Morse
Jonathan
Smolin
Other Undecided
Suffolk June 14–18, 2014 419 ±4.8% 3.82% 12.89% 6.92% 1.67% 74.7%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014  ? ±5.2% 12% 12% 76%
Suffolk Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 426 ± ? 8.45% 15.02% 1.88% 1.88% 7.04% 65.72%

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Bill
Binnie (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 54.75% 25.75% 19.50%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 51% 31% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Ted
Gatsas (R)
Other Undecided
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 50% 27% 1% 23%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 53% 28.25% 18.75%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 584 ± 4.1% 45% 34% 2% 19%
New England College October 7–9, 2013 1,063 ± 3% 53% 25% 22%
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 51% 35% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Daniel
Greene (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52.5% 13.25% 3.88%[31] 30.88%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Walt
Havenstein (R)
Other Undecided
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 1,246 ± 2.9% 53% 38% 2% 7%
WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 669 ± 3.8% 58% 29% 1% 10%
Suffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 50.63% 19% 2.88%[31] 27.5%
American Research Group June 14–18, 2014 540 ± 4.2% 45% 32% 23%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 43% 30% 27%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 40% 19.2% 40.8%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 49% 19% 2% 30%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Andrew
Hemingway (R)
Other Undecided
WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 669 ± 3.8% 54% 28% 0% 18%
Suffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 51.38% 17.13% 2.5%[31] 29%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 42% 31% 27%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 50% 28% 22%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 40.2% 20.3% 39.5%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 49% 22% 1% 28%
American Research Group March 13–16, 2014 533 ± 4.2% 45% 30% 25%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 55.75% 23.25% 21%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 584 ± 4.1% 48% 27% 2% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 51% 25% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
George
Lambert (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 54.88% 22.13% 23%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 50% 26% 23%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 49% 32% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 56.25% 23.25% 20.50%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 50% 27% 22%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 49% 33% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Jonathan
Smolin (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 51.63% 14.5% 2.88%[31] 31%

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "Poll: Job approval ratings rise for Hassan". WMUR. July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 2, 2013. 
  2. ^ Schweitzer, Sarah (November 4, 2004). "Defeated after 1 term, N.H. governor fades out". The Boston Globe. Retrieved on February 6, 2011.
  3. ^ "APPROVAL OF HASSAN AND LEGISLATURE REMAINS HIGH, MOST THINK NH IS ON RIGHT TRACK". WMUR/UNH. October 24, 2013. Retrieved February 3, 2014. 
  4. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  5. ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013. 
  6. ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013. 
  7. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  8. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013. 
  9. ^ Dan Tuohy (June 12, 2014). "Liberty Activist, Free Stater Running for Governor as a Democrat". Salem Patch. Retrieved July 1, 2014. 
  10. ^ Mackin, Jean (May 30, 2014). "Gov. Hassan announces she is running for reelection". WMUR-TV. Retrieved June 11, 2014. 
  11. ^ "OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE - ELECTION DIVISION DEMOCRATIC CUMULATIVE FILING AS OF 07/22/2014". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 22, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014. 
  12. ^ a b Tuohy, Dan (June 30, 2014). "Ballot Law Commission Confirms Havenstein Candidacy". Nashua Patch. Retrieved July 15, 2014. 
  13. ^ John DiStaso (April 2, 2014). "Republican Walt Havenstein running for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 2, 2014. 
  14. ^ Ronayne, Kathleen (January 30, 2014). "Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved January 31, 2014. 
  15. ^ a b c d Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year". WMUR. Retrieved September 10, 2013. 
  16. ^ a b c Pindell, James (November 9, 2012). "Political Standing for Nov. 9, 2012". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved January 28, 2013. 
  17. ^ Landrigan, Kevin (June 11, 2013). "Socially liberal, fiscally conservative Litchfield GOP Rep. Lambert may run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved June 11, 2013. 
  18. ^ Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved September 3, 2013. 
  19. ^ DiStaso, John (September 11, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: GOP Manchester attorney Brad Cook confirms eyeing a run for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 11, 2013. 
  20. ^ DiStaso, John (January 29, 2014). "Conservative activist Andrew Hemingway plans run for NH governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2014. 
  21. ^ Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids". Roll Call. Retrieved January 28, 2013. 
  22. ^ Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". Roll Call. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
  23. ^ "Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Associated Press. Daily Journal. September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 4, 2013. 
  24. ^ Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C.". nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013. 
  25. ^ Pindell, James (February 13, 2014). "NH Sen. Reagan being encouraged to run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved February 13, 2014. 
  26. ^ John DiStaso (April 4, 2014). "NH State Sen. John Reagan (R) ...". Twitter. Retrieved April 7, 2014. 
  27. ^ Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved October 1, 2013. 
  28. ^ Brennan, Kevin (January 25, 2013). "Smith Considering Another Gov. Run in N.H.". National Journal. Retrieved January 28, 2013. 
  29. ^ DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 12, 2013. 
  30. ^ DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 19, 2013. 
  31. ^ a b c d Max Abramson (L)

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites