New York gubernatorial election, 2014
|Elections in New York|
The 2014 New York gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of New York. Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo is running for re-election to a second term in office, though incumbent Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy is not seeking re-election. Primary elections will be held on September 9, 2014.
- 1 Background
- 2 Lieutenant Governor election
- 3 Democratic primary
- 4 Republican primary
- 5 Major third parties
- 6 Minor third parties
- 7 General election
- 8 References
- 9 External links
Democrat Andrew Cuomo, the Attorney General of New York, was elected Governor in 2010, defeating Republican businessman Carl Paladino by a nearly 2 to 1 margin, 63% to 33%. Cuomo succeeded retiring Democratic Governor David Paterson.
Republicans do not believe Cuomo is vulnerable, calling him a "shoo-in for re-election", citing his high popularity and large campaign warchest, which stood at $33 million in January 2014. By contrast, Cuomo spent $28 million in the entire 2010 campaign. This belief is echoed by the prediction of The Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, Governing, RealClearPolitics, The Rothenberg Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, all of whom rate the election as "Safe Democratic".
It is believed that the Republicans will nominate someone who is not up for re-election in 2014 and so doesn't have to give up their office to run, who would use the campaign to raise their profile for a future run at statewide office. Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive and the only significant Republican to enter the race as of May 2014, is not up for re-election until 2017.
Progressive minor parties see an opportunity to make headway in the state due to Cuomo's relatively conservative stances on taxes and spending. A poll commissioned by businessman and progressive political activist Bill Samuels in March 2014 indicated that even an unknown left-wing third-party challenger on the Working Families Party line could garner between 6% and 13% of the vote without threatening Cuomo's chances of winning re-election. A later poll by the Siena Research Institute taken of 772 registered voters from April 12–17, 2014, with a margin of error of ± 3.5%, found Cuomo taking 39% to Republican candidate Rob Astorino's 24% and an unnamed Working Families Party candidate also at 24%. A Quinnipiac poll conducted in May 2014 produced a similar result to Siena's, with Cuomo at 37%, Astorino at 24% and the third party candidate at 22%. The Working Families Party nonetheless cross-endorsed Cuomo in a bitterly contested convention vote, leaving Howie Hawkins of the Green Party as the sole progressive challenger assured of a place on the ballot.
Lieutenant Governor election
In New York, gubernatorial candidates frequently designate candidates for Lieutenant Governor as their running mates, but separate primaries are held, with the winners running together on the same ticket in the general election.
In May 2014, after widespread speculation, Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy confirmed that he would not run for a second term, expressing a desire to return to his home city of Rochester. Byron Brown, the Mayor of Buffalo; Kathy Hochul, a former U.S. Representative; Steve Bellone, the current Suffolk County Executive; Kevin Law, the former deputy Suffolk County executive; and Republican Joanie Mahoney, the County Executive of Onondaga County, were considered to be potential replacements. Within the Cuomo administration, potential names included Matt Driscoll, the former Mayor of Syracuse; RoAnn Destito, a former Assemblywoman; and Cesar A. Perales, the Secretary of State of New York. Hochul was revealed as the nominee during the state Democratic convention on May 21, 2014.
On the Republican side, Assemblywoman Jane Corwin and Nicole Malliotakis both declined overtures to be that party's lieutenant governor nominee, as did Rensselaer County Executive Kathleen M. Jimino and former Director of the Executive Office for United States Attorneys and former United States Attorney for the Western District of New York Michael A. Battle. On May 13, Astorino announced Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss as his running mate.
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent Governor
- Zephyr Teachout, Professor of Law at Fordham University
- Randy Credico, comedian, activist, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Tax Wall Street nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013
- No known running mate
- Rob Astorino, Westchester County Executive
- John Catsimatidis, businessman and candidate for Mayor of New York City in 2013
- Chris Collins, U.S. Representative and former Erie County Executive
- Edward F. Cox, lawyer, Chairman of the New York Republican State Committee and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006
- Greg Edwards, Chautauqua County Executive and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New York in 2010
- Chris Gibson, U.S. Representative
- Christopher Jacobs, Erie County Clerk and former Secretary of State of New York
- Carl Paladino, Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and nominee for Governor in 2010
- Donald Trump, business magnate and television personality
The following candidates had previously been mentioned as potential gubernatorial candidates without explicitly declining, but did not enter the race by the time of the state Republican convention in 2014.
- Vito Fossella, former U.S. Representative
- Steven McLaughlin, State Assemblyman
- Marcus Molinaro, Dutchess County Executive
- Harry Wilson, businessman and nominee for New York State Comptroller in 2010
Major third parties
Although the Conservative Party traditionally cross-endorses Republicans in most races, it has occasionally broken rank and nominated its own candidates. In gubernatorial elections, this most recently happened in 1990 when the party nominated Herbert London ahead of Republican nominee Pierre Andrew Rinfret. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mario Cuomo was re-elected with 53% of the vote and Rinfret only narrowly beat London, by 21% to 20%.
Conservative Party chairman Michael R. Long endorsed Rob Astorino in February 2014. Carl Paladino, currently a Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and the Republican nominee for Governor in 2010, had originally stated he would seek the Conservative Party line if the Republicans nominate Rob Astorino, but by March 2014 had withdrawn from any potential race and has stated he would (lukewarmly) support Astorino if Donald Trump were not to run.
- Rob Astorino, Republican nominee
- Howie Hawkins, labor activist and Green Party nominee for Governor in 2010
- Running mate: Brian Jones, teacher from New York City
The Independence Party of New York, which traditionally cross-endorses the candidate most likely to get them the most votes, was expected to nominate incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as it did in 2010. Republican Rob Astorino refused the line, and several members of the Democratic Party called on Cuomo to do the same.
Despite the controversy, Cuomo accepted the nomination on May 22, 2014.
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent Governor
The Working Families Party traditionally cross-endorses Democrats, but many of its members (most of which are labor unions) have expressed reservations over endorsing incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as they did in 2010.
The WFP convention, held on May 31, chose Cuomo over professor Zephyr Teachout by a 59%–41% margin in a contentious floor vote. Cuomo's supporters negotiated an agreement in which the governor would support the party agenda in exchange for their vote, expressly attempting to keep the party line solely as a second line for the Democrats; this agreement was met with widespread and vocal skepticism from Teachout's supporters, who insisted the WFP hold to its principles and that Cuomo could not be trusted to hold up to his end of the bargain.
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent Governor
- Howie Hawkins, presumptive Green Party nominee
- Zephyr Teachout, law professor at Fordham University
- Diane Ravitch, former Assistant Secretary of Education
- Bill Samuels, activist. Samuels instead announced his intent to pursue the lieutenant governor line in the Democratic primary, a position he also considered pursuing in 2010. Samuels dropped out of the race after Teachout lost the WFP nomination to Cuomo, thus implying that Samuels was planning to be Teachout's running mate.
Minor third parties
Any candidate not among the six qualified New York parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families) must petition their way onto the ballot; they do not face primary elections. Independent nominating petitions began collecting signatures on July 8 and are due to the state by August 19.
The Constitution Party of New York will attempt to make its first ballot appearance in the state. The party aborted its previous attempt in 2010, which would have been led by Jan Johnson.
- Donna Mulvihill, homeschooling advocate and resident of Honeoye Lake
- Michael McDermott, real estate broker and nominee for New York's 3rd congressional district in 2012
- Richard Cooper, resident of Westbury
- Randy Credico
- Nathan Lebron, information technology specialist and perennial candidate
- Kristin M. Davis, former madam and Anti-Prohibition Party nominee for Governor in 2010 
- Bill Schmidt
The Socialist Workers Party ran a candidate in the 2010 election (Daniel Fein) but did not attempt to put him on the ballot, instead waging a write-in candidacy. It has not indicated whether or not their 2014 nominee, John Studer, will petition for ballot access.
- John Studer
Stop Common Core
The "Stop Common Core Party" is a single-issue ballot line conceived by Republican nominee Rob Astorino, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines.
|Marist||June 23–July 1, 2014||833||± 3.4%||59%||24%||6%||1%||11%|
|Siena||June 8–12, 2014||835||± 3.4%||57%||21%||4%||1%||16%|
|Quinnipiac||May 14–19, 2014||1,129||± 2.9%||57%||28%||—||2%||14%|
|Siena||April 12–17, 2014||772||± 3.5%||58%||28%||—||—||14%|
|Siena||March 16–20, 2014||813||± 3.4%||61%||26%||—||—||13%|
|Marist||February 28–March 3, 2014||658||± 3.8%||65%||25%||—||—||10%|
|Quinnipiac||February 6–10, 2014||1,488||± 2.5%||58%||24%||—||2%||16%|
|Siena||January 12–16, 2014||808||± 3.4%||67%||19%||—||3%||11%|
|Quinnipiac||November 20–24, 2013||1,337||± 2.7%||56%||25%||—||2%||17%|
|Marist||November 18–20, 2013||675||± 3.8%||65%||23%||—||—||12%|
|Siena||November 11–14, 2013||806||± 3.5%||63%||24%||—||—||13%|
|Marist||November 18–20, 2013||675||± 3.8%||64%||24%||—||12%|
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|url=missing title (help). Retrieved June 16, 2014.
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