New York gubernatorial election, 2014

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New York gubernatorial election, 2014
New York
2010 ←
November 4, 2014 → 2018

  Andrew Cuomo by Pat Arnow cropped.jpeg NYGE Rob Astorino.png Hawkins 2010.jpg
Nominee Andrew Cuomo Rob Astorino Howie Hawkins
Party Democratic Republican Green
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Running mate Kathy Hochul Christopher Moss Brian Jones

  Michael McDermott at the Oyster Bay Cleanup in 2013
Nominee Michael McDermott
Party Libertarian
Running mate Chris Edes

Blank Map of New York Counties.svg


Incumbent Governor

Andrew Cuomo
Democratic

The 2014 New York gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of New York, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo is running for re-election to a second term in office, though incumbent Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy is not seeking re-election. In New York, gubernatorial candidates frequently designate candidates for Lieutenant Governor as their running mates, but separate primaries are held, with the winners running together on the same ticket in the general election. Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[1] Cuomo and his running mate former U.S. Representative Kathy Hochul won contested primaries, while Republican Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive, and his running mate Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss were unopposed for their party's nomination. Also running are labour activist Howie Hawkins and teacher Brian Jones for the Green Party, Michael McDermott and Chris Edes for the Libertarian Party, and Steven Cohn and Bobby Kalotee for the Sapient Party.

Under New York's electoral fusion laws, Cuomo and Hochul were cross-nominated by the Independence Party, the Working Families Party and the Women's Equality Party. Astorino and Moss were also cross-nominated by the Conservative Party and the Stop Common Core Party.

Background[edit]

Democrat Andrew Cuomo, the Attorney General of New York, was elected Governor in 2010, defeating Republican businessman Carl Paladino by a nearly 2 to 1 margin, 63% to 33%. Cuomo succeeded retiring Democratic Governor David Paterson.

Republicans do not believe Cuomo is vulnerable, calling him a "shoo-in for re-election",[2][3] citing his high popularity and large campaign warchest, which stood at $33 million in January 2014. By contrast, Cuomo spent $28 million in the entire 2010 campaign.[4] This belief is echoed by the predictions of The Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, Governing, RealClearPolitics, The Rothenberg Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, all of whom rate the election as "Safe Democratic".

Democratic primary[edit]

Progressive minor parties see an opportunity to make headway in the state due to Cuomo's relatively conservative stances on taxes and spending.[5][6] A poll commissioned by businessman and progressive political activist Bill Samuels in March 2014 indicated that even an unknown left-wing third-party challenger on the Working Families Party line could garner between 6% and 13% of the vote without threatening Cuomo's chances of winning re-election.[7] A later poll by the Siena Research Institute taken of 772 registered voters from April 12–17, 2014, with a margin of error of ± 3.5%, found Cuomo taking 39% to Republican candidate Rob Astorino's 24% and an unnamed Working Families Party candidate also at 24%.[8] A Quinnipiac poll conducted in May 2014 produced a similar result to Siena's, with Cuomo at 37%, Astorino at 24% and the third party candidate at 22%.[9] The Working Families Party nonetheless cross-endorsed Cuomo in a bitterly contested convention vote, leaving Howie Hawkins of the Green Party as the sole progressive challenger assured of a place on the ballot.[6]

In May 2014, after widespread speculation, Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy confirmed that he would not run for a second term, expressing a desire to return to his home city of Rochester.[10] Byron Brown, the Mayor of Buffalo; Kathy Hochul, a former U.S. Representative; Steve Bellone, the current Suffolk County Executive; Kevin Law, the former deputy Suffolk County executive; and Republican Joanie Mahoney, the County Executive of Onondaga County; were considered to be potential replacements.[11][12][13] Within the Cuomo administration, potential names included Matt Driscoll, the former Mayor of Syracuse; RoAnn Destito, a former Assemblywoman; and Cesar A. Perales, the Secretary of State of New York.[14] Hochul was revealed as Cuomo's running mate during the state Democratic convention on May 21, 2014.[15]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Failed to qualify[edit]

  • Running mate: Nenad Bach

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew
Cuomo
Zephyr
Teachout
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 4–5, 2014 513 ± 4% 58% 26% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy
Hochul
Tim
Wu
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 4–5, 2014 513 ± 4% 45% 26% 29%

Results[edit]

Democratic Party gubernatorial primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Cuomo 330,184 62.15%
Democratic Zephyr Teachout 182,024 34.26%
Democratic Randy Credico 19,045 3.58%
Totals 531,253 100.00%
Democratic Party lieutenant gubernatorial primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Hochul 303,721 59.85%
Democratic Tim Wu 203,713 40.15%
Totals 531,253 100.00%

Republican primary[edit]

It was believed that the Republicans would nominate someone who was not up for re-election in 2014 and so did not have to give up their office to run, who would use the campaign to raise their profile for a future run at statewide office. Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive and the only Republican to enter the race, is not up for re-election until 2017.[21] Business magnate and television personality Donald Trump flirted with a run,[22][23] but decided against it.[24] Candidates who received speculation as potential gubernatorial candidates without explicitly declining, but did not enter the race by the time of the state Republican convention in 2014, were former U.S. Representative Vito Fossella,[25] State Assemblyman Steven McLaughlin,[26] Dutchess County Executive Marcus Molinaro[27] and businessman and nominee for New York State Comptroller in 2010 Harry Wilson.[27]

Assemblywomen Jane Corwin and Nicole Malliotakis both declined overtures to be the party's nominee for Lieutenant Governor,[28] as did Rensselaer County Executive Kathleen M. Jimino and former Director of the Executive Office for United States Attorneys and former United States Attorney for the Western District of New York Michael A. Battle.[29][30] On May 13, Astorino announced Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss as his running mate.[31]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Major third parties[edit]

Besides the Democratic and Republican parties, the Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families parties are qualified New York parties. These parties have automatic ballot access.

Conservative[edit]

Although the Conservative Party traditionally cross-endorses Republicans in most races, it has occasionally broken rank and nominated its own candidates. In gubernatorial elections, this most recently happened in 1990 when the party nominated Herbert London ahead of Republican nominee Pierre Andrew Rinfret. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mario Cuomo was re-elected with 53% of the vote and Rinfret only narrowly beat London, by 21% to 20%.

Conservative Party chairman Michael R. Long endorsed Rob Astorino in February 2014.[17] Carl Paladino, currently a Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and the Republican nominee for Governor in 2010, had originally stated he would seek the Conservative Party line if the Republicans nominate Rob Astorino,[40] but by March 2014 had withdrawn from any potential race and has stated he would (lukewarmly) support Astorino if Donald Trump were not to run.[36]

Nominee[edit]

Green[edit]

In contrast to the other qualified parties, the Green Party of New York traditionally endorses its own candidates. The party held its nominating convention on May 17, 2014.[42]

Nominee[edit]

Independence[edit]

The Independence Party of New York, which traditionally cross-endorses the candidate most likely to get them the most votes, was expected to nominate incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as it did in 2010. Republican Rob Astorino refused the line, and several members of the Democratic Party called on Cuomo to do the same.[44]

Despite the controversy, Cuomo accepted the nomination on May 22, 2014.[45]

Nominee[edit]

Working Families[edit]

The Working Families Party traditionally cross-endorses Democrats, but many of its members (most of which are labor unions) have expressed reservations over endorsing incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as they did in 2010.[46][47]

The WFP convention, held on May 31, chose Cuomo over professor Zephyr Teachout by a 59%–41% margin in a contentious floor vote. Cuomo's supporters negotiated an agreement in which the governor would support the party agenda in exchange for their vote, expressly attempting to keep the party line solely as a second line for the Democrats; this agreement was met with widespread and vocal skepticism from Teachout's supporters, who insisted the WFP hold to its principles and that Cuomo could not be trusted to hold up to his end of the bargain.[48]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrew[edit]
Declined[edit]
  • Bill Samuels, activist.[44] Samuels instead announced his intent to pursue the lieutenant governor line in the Democratic primary, a position he also considered pursuing in 2010.[53] Samuels dropped out of the race after Teachout lost the WFP nomination to Cuomo, thus implying that Samuels was planning to be Teachout's running mate.[54]

Minor third parties[edit]

Any candidate not among the six qualified New York parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families) must petition their way onto the ballot; they do not face primary elections. Independent nominating petitions began collecting signatures on July 8 and were due to the state by August 19.[55]

Libertarian[edit]

The Libertarian Party of New York held its nominating convention on April 26, 2014. The nominating process required five rounds of voting, after which Michael McDermott was nominated.[56]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Unsuccessful[edit]
  • Richard Cooper, resident of Westbury[58]
  • Randy Credico, comedian, activist, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Tax Wall Street nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013[56]
  • Nathan Lebron, information technology specialist and perennial candidate[58]
  • Sam Sloan, political gadfly, for the second straight election cycle attempted to one-up the Libertarian Party by submitting a petition with him as the nominee and Tom Stevens as his running mate before the actual party did so. After protests from the actual Libertarian Party, the Sloan-Stevens ticket was invalidated. Sloan also attempted to petition onto the Democratic primary, with Nenad Bach as the running mate, but also had his petitions invalidated.
Declined[edit]

Sapient[edit]

Nominee[edit]

  • Steven Cohn, Long Island attorney who attempted to run on a “Tea Party” line in the 2010 election but had his petitions rejected
    • Running mate: Bobby Kumar Kalotee

The party initially filed with Kendy Guzman as the running mate. As of August 26th, Guzman had turned down the nomination and was replaced with Kalotee, the former chairman of the forcibly-dissolved Nassau County wing of the Independence Party.[59][60]

Cohn is the only candidate on the ballot not participating in the lone gubernatorial debate.[61]

Stop Common Core[edit]

The "Stop Common Core Party" is a single-issue ballot line conceived by Republican nominee Rob Astorino, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines.

Nominee[edit]

Women's Equality[edit]

The "Women's Equality Party" is a ballot line conceived by allies of incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines. The line is named after the Women's Equality Act, a bill that failed in the New York State Senate due to a stalemate over a provision codifying the landmark Supreme Court case Roe v. Wade into state law.

The formation of the ballot line was particularly controversial among feminists (particularly Zephyr Teachout, Cuomo's primary opponent)[63] and was noted for its use of questionable campaign imagery, particularly a tour bus that bore a striking resemblance to a box of Tampax tampons.[64]

Nominee[edit]

Failed to make ballot[edit]

  • Socialist Workers Party: For the second straight election, the Socialist Workers Party is waging a write-in candidacy for the governor's seat, with John Studer as the nominee.[65]
  • Constitution Party: Donna Mulvihill, a homeschooling activist from Honeoye Lake, sought petitions to run for governor on the Constitution Party line before abruptly withdrawing from the race the day before petitions were due, citing her father's death. This is the second consecutive election in which the party has failed to collect enough signatures for governor.[66]
  • Life and Justice Party: Michael Carey, disability rights activist, submitted petitions with Republican lieutenant governor nominee Christopher Moss as his running mate.[67] The petitions were later ruled invalid, and Carey endorsed Astorino.
  • Liberal Party of New York: No candidate. The party openly discussed cross-endorsing incumbent governor Cuomo in an effort to regain ballot access but never did so.[68][69]
  • Rent Is Too Damn High Party: Perennial candidate Jimmy McMillan made a fourth attempt at running for governor on his self-created line, with Christialle Felix as his running mate.[70] His petitions were later challenged and invalidated after it was discovered McMillan had photocopied many of the petitions to give the appearance of more signatures.[71]

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Rob
Astorino (R)
Howie
Hawkins (G)
Other Undecided
Siena College October 16–20, 2014 748 ± 3.6% 54% 33% 9% 1% 4%
Quinnipiac University October 1–6, 2014 1,153 ± 2.9% 51% 31% 9% 1% 8%
55% 34% 2% 9%
CBS News/New York Times September 20–October 1, 2014 5,122 ± 2% 57% 30% 2% 11%
Rasmussen Reports September 22–23, 2014 825 ± 4% 49% 32% 7% 12%
Siena College September 18–23, 2014 809 ± 3.4% 56% 27% 7% 0% 10%
Marist College September 17–21, 2014 517 ± 4.3% 54% 29% 9% 1% 8%
CBS News/New York Times August 18–September 2, 2014 5,645 ± 2% 52% 28% 6% 13%
Quinnipiac University August 14–17, 2014 1,034 ± 3.1% 52% 27% 7% 14%
56% 28% 2% 15%
Marist College July 28–31, 2014 852 ± 3.4% 54% 23% 7% 1% 16%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 6,788 ± ? 56% 32% 3% 10%
Siena College July 13–16, 2014 774 ± 3.5% 60% 23% 6% 0% 11%
Marist College June 23–July 1, 2014 833 ± 3.4% 59% 24% 6% 1% 11%
Siena College June 8–12, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 57% 21% 4% 1% 16%
Quinnipiac University May 14–19, 2014 1,129 ± 2.9% 57% 28% 2% 14%
Siena College April 12–17, 2014 772 ± 3.5% 58% 28% 14%
Siena College March 16–20, 2014 813 ± 3.4% 61% 26% 13%
Marist College February 28–March 3, 2014 658 ± 3.8% 65% 25% 10%
Quinnipiac University February 6–10, 2014 1,488 ± 2.5% 58% 24% 2% 16%
Siena College January 12–16, 2014 808 ± 3.4% 67% 19% 3% 11%
Quinnipiac University November 20–24, 2013 1,337 ± 2.7% 56% 25% 2% 17%
Marist College November 18–20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 65% 23% 12%
Siena College November 11–14, 2013 806 ± 3.5% 63% 24% 13%

References[edit]

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External links[edit]