New York gubernatorial election, 2014

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New York gubernatorial election, 2014
New York
2010 ←
November 4, 2014
→ 2018

  Andrew Cuomo 2014.jpg AstorinoProfile.jpeg Hawkins 2010.jpg
Nominee Andrew Cuomo Rob Astorino Howie Hawkins
Party Democratic Republican Green
Running mate Kathy Hochul Christopher Moss Brian Jones

Incumbent Governor

Andrew Cuomo
Democratic

The 2014 New York gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of New York. Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo is running for re-election to a second term in office, though incumbent Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy is not seeking re-election.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2]

Background[edit]

Democrat Andrew Cuomo, the Attorney General of New York, was elected Governor in 2010, defeating Republican businessman Carl Paladino by a nearly 2 to 1 margin, 63% to 33%. Cuomo succeeded retiring Democratic Governor David Paterson.

Republicans do not believe Cuomo is vulnerable, calling him a "shoo-in for re-election",[3][4] citing his high popularity and large campaign warchest, which stood at $33 million in January 2014. By contrast, Cuomo spent $28 million in the entire 2010 campaign.[5] This belief is echoed by the prediction of The Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, Governing, RealClearPolitics, The Rothenberg Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, all of whom rate the election as "Safe Democratic".

It is believed that the Republicans will nominate someone who is not up for re-election in 2014 and so doesn't have to give up their office to run, who would use the campaign to raise their profile for a future run at statewide office. Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive and the only significant Republican to enter the race as of May 2014, is not up for re-election until 2017.[6]

Progressive minor parties see an opportunity to make headway in the state due to Cuomo's relatively conservative stances on taxes and spending. A poll commissioned by businessman and progressive political activist Bill Samuels in March 2014 indicated that even an unknown left-wing third-party challenger on the Working Families Party line could garner between 6% and 13% of the vote without threatening Cuomo's chances of winning re-election.[7] A later poll by the Siena Research Institute taken of 772 registered voters from April 12–17, 2014, with a margin of error of ± 3.5%, found Cuomo taking 39% to Republican candidate Rob Astorino's 24% and an unnamed Working Families Party candidate also at 24%.[8] A Quinnipiac poll conducted in May 2014 produced a similar result to Siena's, with Cuomo at 37%, Astorino at 24% and the third party candidate at 22%.[9] The Working Families Party nonetheless cross-endorsed Cuomo in a bitterly contested convention vote, leaving Howie Hawkins of the Green Party as the sole progressive challenger assured of a place on the ballot.

Lieutenant Governor election[edit]

In New York, gubernatorial candidates frequently designate candidates for Lieutenant Governor as their running mates, but separate primaries are held, with the winners running together on the same ticket in the general election.

In May 2014, after widespread speculation, Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy confirmed that he would not run for a second term, expressing a desire to return to his home city of Rochester.[10] Byron Brown, the Mayor of Buffalo; Kathy Hochul, a former U.S. Representative; Steve Bellone, the current Suffolk County Executive; Kevin Law, the former deputy Suffolk County executive; and Republican Joanie Mahoney, the County Executive of Onondaga County; were considered to be potential replacements.[11][12][13] Within the Cuomo administration, potential names included Matt Driscoll, the former Mayor of Syracuse; RoAnn Destito, a former Assemblywoman; and Cesar A. Perales, the Secretary of State of New York.[14] Hochul was revealed as Cuomo's running mate during the state Democratic convention on May 21, 2014.[15]

On the Republican side, Assemblywomen Jane Corwin and Nicole Malliotakis both declined overtures to be the party's nominee for Lieutenant Governor,[16] as did Rensselaer County Executive Kathleen M. Jimino and former Director of the Executive Office for United States Attorneys and former United States Attorney for the Western District of New York Michael A. Battle.[17][18] On May 13, Astorino announced Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss as his running mate.[19]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Failed to qualify for ballot[edit]

  • Raquel McPherson submitted a petition far short of what was necessary to qualify for the ballot.

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew
Cuomo
Zephyr
Teachout
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 4–5, 2014 513 ± 4% 58% 26% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy
Hochul
Tim
Wu
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 4–5, 2014 513 ± 4% 45% 26% 29%

Results[edit]

Democratic Party Gubernatorial Primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Cuomo 330,184 62.15%
Democratic Zephyr Teachout 182,024 34.26%
Democratic Randy Credico 19,045 3.58%
Totals 531,253 100.00%
Democratic Party Lieutenant Gubernatorial Primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Hochul 303,721 59.85%
Democratic Tim Wu 203,713 40.15%
Totals 531,253 100.00%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Speculated[edit]

The following candidates had previously been mentioned as potential gubernatorial candidates without explicitly declining, but did not enter the race by the time of the state Republican convention in 2014.

Major third parties[edit]

Besides the Democratic and Republican parties, the Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families parties are qualified New York parties. These parties have automatic ballot access.

Conservative[edit]

Although the Conservative Party traditionally cross-endorses Republicans in most races, it has occasionally broken rank and nominated its own candidates. In gubernatorial elections, this most recently happened in 1990 when the party nominated Herbert London ahead of Republican nominee Pierre Andrew Rinfret. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mario Cuomo was re-elected with 53% of the vote and Rinfret only narrowly beat London, by 21% to 20%.

Conservative Party chairman Michael R. Long endorsed Rob Astorino in February 2014.[20] Carl Paladino, currently a Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and the Republican nominee for Governor in 2010, had originally stated he would seek the Conservative Party line if the Republicans nominate Rob Astorino,[32] but by March 2014 had withdrawn from any potential race and has stated he would (lukewarmly) support Astorino if Donald Trump were not to run.[28]

Nominee[edit]

Green[edit]

In contrast to the other qualified parties, the Green Party of New York traditionally endorses its own candidates. The party held its nominating convention on May 17, 2014.[37]

Nominee[edit]

Independence[edit]

The Independence Party of New York, which traditionally cross-endorses the candidate most likely to get them the most votes, was expected to nominate incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as it did in 2010. Republican Rob Astorino refused the line, and several members of the Democratic Party called on Cuomo to do the same.[39]

Despite the controversy, Cuomo accepted the nomination on May 22, 2014.[40]

Nominee[edit]

Working Families[edit]

The Working Families Party traditionally cross-endorses Democrats, but many of its members (most of which are labor unions) have expressed reservations over endorsing incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as they did in 2010.[41][42]

The WFP convention, held on May 31, chose Cuomo over professor Zephyr Teachout by a 59%–41% margin in a contentious floor vote. Cuomo's supporters negotiated an agreement in which the governor would support the party agenda in exchange for their vote, expressly attempting to keep the party line solely as a second line for the Democrats; this agreement was met with widespread and vocal skepticism from Teachout's supporters, who insisted the WFP hold to its principles and that Cuomo could not be trusted to hold up to his end of the bargain.[43]

Nominee[edit]

Lost nomination[edit]
Withdrew/declined[edit]
  • Diane Ravitch, former Assistant Secretary of Education[46][47]
  • Bill Samuels, activist.[39] Samuels instead announced his intent to pursue the lieutenant governor line in the Democratic primary, a position he also considered pursuing in 2010.[48] Samuels dropped out of the race after Teachout lost the WFP nomination to Cuomo, thus implying that Samuels was planning to be Teachout's running mate.[49]

Minor third parties[edit]

Any candidate not among the six qualified New York parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families) must petition their way onto the ballot; they do not face primary elections. Independent nominating petitions began collecting signatures on July 8 and were due to the state by August 19.[50]

Libertarian[edit]

The Libertarian Party of New York held its nominating convention on April 26, 2014. The nominating process required five rounds of voting, after which Michael McDermott was nominated.[51]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Unsuccessful[edit]
  • Richard Cooper, resident of Westbury[53]
  • Randy Credico, comedian, activist, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Tax Wall Street nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013[51]
  • Nathan Lebron, information technology specialist and perennial candidate[53]
  • Sam Sloan, political gadfly, for the second straight election cycle attempted to one-up the Libertarian Party by submitting a petition with him as the nominee and Tom Stevens as his running mate before the actual party did so. After protests from the actual Libertarian Party, the Sloan-Stevens ticket was invalidated. Sloan also attempted to petition onto the Democratic primary, with Nenad Bach as the running mate, but also had his petitions invalidated.
Declined[edit]

Rent Is Too Damn High[edit]

The Rent Is Too Damn High Party will be making its fourth, and third consecutive, ballot appearance with party founder Jimmy McMillan leading the ticket. The ticket survived a challenge to its petitions.

Nominee[edit]

Sapient[edit]

Nominee[edit]

  • Steven Cohn, Long Island attorney who attempted to run on a “Tea Party” line in the 2010 election but had his petitions rejected
    • Running mate: Bobby Kalotee

The party initially filed with Kendy Guzman as the running mate. As of August 26th, Guzman had turned down the nomination and was replaced with Kalotee.[55]

Stop Common Core[edit]

The "Stop Common Core Party" is a single-issue ballot line conceived by Republican nominee Rob Astorino, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines.

Nominee[edit]

Women's Equality[edit]

The "Women's Equality Party" is a ballot line conceived by allies of incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines. The line is named after the Women's Equality Act, a bill that failed in the New York State Senate due to a stalemate over a provision codifying the landmark Supreme Court case Roe v. Wade into state law.

The formation of the ballot line was particularly controversial among feminists (particularly Zephyr Teachout, Cuomo's primary opponent).[57]

Nominee[edit]

Failed to make ballot[edit]

  • Socialist Workers Party: For the second straight election, the Socialist Workers Party is waging a write-in candidacy for the governor's seat, with John Studer as the nominee.[58]
  • Constitution Party: Donna Mulvihill, a homeschooling activist from Honeoye Lake, sought petitions to run for governor on the Constitution Party line before abruptly withdrawing from the race the day before petitions were due, citing her father's death. This is the second consecutive election in which the party has failed to collect enough signatures for governor.[59]
  • Life and Justice Party: Michael Carey, disability rights activist, submitted petitions with Republican lieutenant governor nominee Christopher Moss as his running mate.[60] The petitions were later ruled invalid, and Carey endorsed Astorino.
  • Liberal Party of New York: No candidate. The party openly discussed cross-endorsing incumbent governor Cuomo in an effort to regain ballot access but never did so.[61][62]

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Rob
Astorino (R)
Howie
Hawkins (G)
Other Undecided
CBS News/New York Times August 18–September 2, 2014 5,645 ± 2% 52% 28% 6% 13%
Quinnipiac August 14–17, 2014 1,034 ± 3.1% 52% 27% 7% 14%
56% 28% 2% 15%
Marist July 28–31, 2014 852 ± 3.4% 54% 23% 7% 1% 16%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 6,788 ± ? 56% 32% 3% 10%
Siena July 13–16, 2014 774 ± 3.5% 60% 23% 6% 0% 11%
Marist June 23–July 1, 2014 833 ± 3.4% 59% 24% 6% 1% 11%
Siena June 8–12, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 57% 21% 4% 1% 16%
Quinnipiac May 14–19, 2014 1,129 ± 2.9% 57% 28% 2% 14%
Siena April 12–17, 2014 772 ± 3.5% 58% 28% 14%
Siena March 16–20, 2014 813 ± 3.4% 61% 26% 13%
Marist February 28–March 3, 2014 658 ± 3.8% 65% 25% 10%
Quinnipiac February 6–10, 2014 1,488 ± 2.5% 58% 24% 2% 16%
Siena January 12–16, 2014 808 ± 3.4% 67% 19% 3% 11%
Quinnipiac November 20–24, 2013 1,337 ± 2.7% 56% 25% 2% 17%
Marist November 18–20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 65% 23% 12%
Siena November 11–14, 2013 806 ± 3.5% 63% 24% 13%

References[edit]

  1. ^ Kaplan, Thomas (April 30, 2011). "‘Cuomo 2014' Gifts Announce His Intentions". The New York Times. 
  2. ^ Janison, Dan (June 8, 2014). "Much of New York headed for slow primary day". The New York Times. 
  3. ^ Kenneth Lovett (November 11, 2013). "State Republican Chairman Ed Cox could tap himself to face Gov. Andrew Cuomo". New York Daily News. Retrieved February 3, 2014. 
  4. ^ Kenneth Lovett (November 18, 2013). "NY Attorney General Eric Schneiderman Uses GOP Designation As Top Target To Raise Money". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 29, 2014. 
  5. ^ Kaplan, Thomas (January 15, 2014). "Cuomo Has Raised Over $33 Million for Re-election Bid". The New York Times. 
  6. ^ Jessica Bakeman (November 5, 2013). "With suburban wins, Republicans see hope for 2014". Capital New York. 
  7. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (March 24, 2014). Third-party leftist candidate hurts Cuomo election win — poll. New York Daily News. Retrieved March 24, 2014.
  8. ^ Blain, Glenn (April 22, 2014). Liberal candidate could slice Gov. Cuomo's lead in re-election bid by half: Siena Poll. New York Daily News. Retrieved April 22, 2014.
  9. ^ Katz, Celeste (May 21, 2014). Liberal could woo voters, but Gov. Cuomo still positioned to win: Quinnipiac. New York Daily News. Retrieved May 21, 2014.
  10. ^ Brian Sharp (May 7, 2014). "Bob Duffy: 'I made my decision'". Democrat & Chronicle. Retrieved May 8, 2014. 
  11. ^ Dems to hold their state convention in Melville. Newsday. Retrieved April 6, 2014.
  12. ^ Teri Weaver (May 7, 2014). "Report: NY Lt. Gov. Robert Duffy won't seek re-election on ticket with Cuomo". syracuse.com. Retrieved May 8, 2014. 
  13. ^ Joseph Spector (May 7, 2014). "Duffy insists he's not being forced out". Democrat & Chronicle. Retrieved May 8, 2014. 
  14. ^ Spector, Joseph (May 8, 2014). Will Cuomo look inside administration for lieutenant governor?. Gannett. Retrieved May 8, 2014.
  15. ^ a b Lovett, Ken (May 21, 2014). Gov. Cuomo selects former Buffalo-area Rep. Kathy Hochul as running mate. New York Daily News. Retrieved May 21, 2014.
  16. ^ Vielkind, Jimmy (May 7, 2014). The Republican search for an Astorino running mate. Capital New York. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
  17. ^ Spector, Joseph (May 7, 2014). Rensselaer County executive approached to run with Astorino. Gannett. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
  18. ^ "Michael Battle opts against running for lieutenant governor on GOP ticket". The Buffalo News. May 7, 2014. Retrieved May 8, 2014. 
  19. ^ a b Gormley, Michael (May 13, 2014). GOP’s Astorino picks upstate sheriff ‘reformer’ for running mate. Newsday. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  20. ^ a b Dicker, Fredric U. (February 10, 2014). Conservative Party boss says Rob Astorino to run for gov. New York Post. Retrieved February 10, 2014.
  21. ^ Fischler, Jacob (June 13, 2014). Buzzfeed http://www.buzzfeed.com/jacobfischler/zephyr-teachout-challenges-andrew-cuomo |url= missing title (help). Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  22. ^ http://elections.nytimes.com/2014/results/primaries/new-york-state
  23. ^ http://elections.nytimes.com/2014/results/primaries/new-york-state
  24. ^ Ken Lovett (March 3, 2014). "Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino Tells Advisors He's Running For Governor: Sources". NY Daily News. Retrieved March 3, 2014. 
  25. ^ Katz, Celeste (26 September 2013). "John Catsimatidis, defiant on mayoral primary loss, still has an appetite". New York Daily News. 
  26. ^ Reisman, Nick (27 January 2013). "‘Collins: Run For Governor Is ‘Off The Table’". Capital Tonight. 
  27. ^ Kenneth Lovett (November 11, 2013). "State Republican Chairman Ed Cox could tap himself to face Gov. Andrew Cuomo". NY Daily News. 
  28. ^ a b c Astorino candidacy react-o-mat. Times Union. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  29. ^ Reisman, Nick (26 April 2013). "Edwards Won’t Run For Re-Election Or Governor". Capital Tonight. Retrieved 29 April 2013. 
  30. ^ Vielkind, Jimmy (April 14, 2013). "Gibson says he's not running for governor in 2014". Albany Times Union. Retrieved April 15, 2013. 
  31. ^ Benjamin, Elizabeth (August 12, 2013). Chris Jacobs: Thanks, but no thanks on DiNapoli challenge. YNN. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
  32. ^ a b McCarthy, Robert (July 5, 2013). Could Paladino make another run for governor?. The Buffalo News. Retrieved July 5, 2013.
  33. ^ "Trump says he's not running for governor". The Leader. March 15, 2014. 
  34. ^ Barkan, Ross (July 7, 2013). "Vito Fossella Not Inspired by Eliot Spitzer and Anthony Weiner". Politicker. 
  35. ^ Dicker, Fredric U. (June 17, 2013). "Pol gunning for gov". New York Post. Retrieved June 17, 2013. 
  36. ^ a b Kriss, Erik (April 1, 2013). "GOP licking chops at gov's poll slide". New York Post. Retrieved April 1, 2013. 
  37. ^ a b Yusko, Dennis (May 18, 2014). In Troy, Hawkins gets Green Party nod. Times Union. Retrieved May 18, 2014.
  38. ^ Howie Hawkins (January 14, 2014). "Hawkins seeking Green nomination to run against Governor 1%". Green Party. Retrieved February 2, 2014. 
  39. ^ a b Dicker, Fred (March 24, 2014). Second Dem calls on Cuomo to refuse Independence backing. The New York Post. Retrieved March 24, 2014.
  40. ^ NYS Independence Party quietly nominates Gov. Cuomo, says accepted. New York Daily News. Retrieved April 23, 2014.
  41. ^ WFP’s Cantor For Governor?. February 17, 2014.
  42. ^ The Working Families Party’s Cuomo dilemma. March 24, 2014.
  43. ^ Nahmias, Laura (May 31, 2014). [1]. Capital New York. Retrieved June 1, 2014.
  44. ^ Seiler, Casey (April 9, 2014). Gov. candidate Hawkins pitches Green New Deal. Times Union (Albany, NY). Retrieved April 10, 2014.
  45. ^ "Charter school critic may take on Gov. Cuomo for Working Families Party endorsement". NY Daily News. May 29, 2014. Retrieved May 30, 2014. 
  46. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (May 28, 2014). Working Families Party eyeing Diane Ravitch as possible challenger against Gov. Cuomo. New York Daily News. Retrieved May 28, 2014.
  47. ^ "Diane Ravitch Says She’s Not A Candidate". NY State of Politics. May 29, 2014. Retrieved May 30, 2014. 
  48. ^ Gormley, Michael (May 27, 2014). Liberal activist Samuels considers forcing his way onto Cuomo’s ticket. Newsday. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  49. ^ Spector, Joseph (June 2, 2014). Samuels won't run for lieutenant governor. Gannett. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  50. ^ Candidate petition list, from the New York State Board of Elections. Retrieved August 25, 2014.
  51. ^ a b c Odato, James (April 26, 2014). Libertarians unite behind Suffolk County real estate broker. Times Union (Albany, NY). Retrieved April 29, 2014.
  52. ^ a b c "2014 NY Libertarian Rumors". Independent Political Report. November 29, 2012. Retrieved September 27, 2013. 
  53. ^ a b Carleo-Evangelist, Jordan (February 28, 2014). Colonie’ s Nate Lebron wants Libertarian nod for governor. Times Union. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
  54. ^ Glenn Blain (August 27, 2014). "Jimmy McMillan prepares to run for governor again on 'Rent is 2 Damn High' ticket". NY Daily News. Retrieved September 19, 2014. 
  55. ^ url=http://www.elections.ny.gov:8080/reports/rwservlet?cmdkey=whofiled_independent_state
  56. ^ Spector, Joseph (July 8, 2014). Astorino starts "Stop Common Core" ballot line. Gannett. Retrieved July 9, 2014.
  57. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (July 17, 2014). Zephyr Teachout blasts as cynical ploy Gov. Cuomo's creation of Women's Equality Party line. New York Daily News. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
  58. ^ http://www.themilitant.com/2014/7818/781805.html.  Missing or empty |title= (help)
  59. ^ Wachtler, Mark (May 25, 2014). Donna Mulvihill heats up New York Governors Race. Opposition News. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  60. ^ Karlin, Rick (August 15, 2014). Michael Carey launches new ballot line. Times Union. Retrieved August 17, 2014.
  61. ^ "Liberal Party buries the hatchet, eyes Cuomo re-election". New York Post. February 21, 2014. Retrieved March 7, 2014. 
  62. ^ "Catsimatidis vows to help revive the Liberal Party". New York Post. March 24, 2014. Retrieved March 26, 2014. 

External links[edit]