42nd Canadian federal election
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(Redirected from Next Canadian federal election)
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The 42nd Canadian federal election is tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015,[1][2][3][4] in accordance with the Canada Elections Act[5] which requires that a general election be held on the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year following polling day for the last general election,[6] to elect members to the House of Commons of the 42nd Canadian parliament. This does not in any way diminish the powers of the Queen's representative in Canada, the governor general, to call an election at any time,[5] which is conventionally done on the advice of the incumbent prime minister.
In accordance with the Fair Representation Act (formerly known as Bill C-20), which received Royal Assent and came into force on December 16, 2011, the number of seats contested in this election will rise to 338, from the current 308.[7]
Contents |
[edit] Current standings
| Party | Seats | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Current | ||
| Conservative | 166 | 165 | |
| New Democratic | 103 | 101 | |
| Liberal | 34 | 35 | |
| Bloc Québécois | 4 | 4 | |
| Green | 1 | 1 | |
| Independent Conservative | 0 | 1 | |
| Vacant | 1 | ||
| Total | 308 | 308 | |
[edit] Timeline
- May 2, 2011: The Conservative Party of Canada wins a majority government in the 41st Canadian federal election.
- May 3, 2011: Gilles Duceppe resigns as leader and president of the Bloc Québécois,[8] and Vivian Barbot is named as the interim president.[9]
- May 25, 2011: Michael Ignatieff resigns as leader of the Liberal Party, and Bob Rae is chosen as interim leader.[10]
- June 2, 2011: The 41st Parliament convenes.
- July 25, 2011: Jack Layton temporarily steps down as leader of the NDP, due to cancer, indicating his intention to return to the job for the reconvening of Parliament in September. Hull—Aylmer MP Nycole Turmel is chosen to act as NDP leader during the leave.[11]
- August 22, 2011: Jack Layton dies of cancer. Turmel assumes the position of leader of the opposition.[12]
- December 5, 2011: Edmonton East MP Peter Goldring voluntarily leaves the Conservative caucus following refusing to provide a breath sample at a traffic stop.[13]
- December 11, 2011: Daniel Paillé is elected leader of the Bloc Québécois at the party's 2011 leadership election.[14]
- December 16, 2011: Royal assent is given to the Fair Representation Act, raising the number of seats to 338. Fifteen will be added to Ontario, six each to British Columbia and Alberta, and three to Quebec.[7]
- January 10, 2012: MP for Saint-Maurice—Champlain, the NDP's Lise St-Denis, crosses the floor to join the Liberal caucus.[15]
- March 19, 2012: A federal by-election will be held in Toronto—Danforth, due to the death of Jack Layton.[16]
- March 24, 2012: A New Democratic Party leadership election is to take place.
- 2012–2013: The distribution of the new 338 electoral districts is considered following the 2011 Census.
- March–June 2013: A Liberal Party leadership election is to take place.
[edit] Opinion polls
This table provides a list of scientific, nation-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted since the 2011 Canadian federal election.
| Polling Firm | Date of Polling | Link | Conservative | New Democratic | Liberal | Bloc Québécois | Green | Margin of Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos Reid | March 8, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 4 | ±2.0 pp |
| Forum Research | March 3, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 4 | ±2.4 pp |
| Nanos Research | February 29, 2012 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 29.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| EKOS | February 28, 2012 | 31.5 | 29.2 | 21.7 | 6.0 | 8.3 | ±1.6 pp | |
| Forum Research | February 6, 2012 | HTML | 36 | 28 | 26 | 6 | 3 | ±2.8 pp |
| Nanos Research | January 23, 2012 | 35.7 | 25.2 | 27.6 | 5.6 | 4.5 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Harris-Decima | January 22, 2012 | 32 | 29 | 25 | 5 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | |
| Angus Reid | January 21, 2012 | 39 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Abacus Data | January 19, 2012 | 37 | 28 | 21 | 6 | 7 | ||
| Forum Research | January 13, 2012 | HTML | 35 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 4 | ±2.8 pp |
| EKOS | December 21, 2011 | 31.4 | 29.5 | 24.8 | 6.7 | 6.1 | ±2.2 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 18, 2011 | 36.5 | 28.7 | 25.6 | 4.4 | 3.8 | ±3.3 pp | |
| Forum Research | December 13, 2011 | HTML | 33 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 8 | ±2.9 pp |
| Harris-Decima | December 12, 2011 | 34 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | |
| Abacus Data | December 4, 2011 | 40 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 5 | ||
| Nanos Research | November 21, 2011 | 35.6 | 27.3 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Ipsos Reid | November 13, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | |
| Harris-Decima | November 6, 2011 | 36 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 24, 2011 | 37.7 | 30.0 | 23.4 | 3.6 | 3.8 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 2, 2011 | 39.0 | 29.0 | 24.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Angus Reid | September 21, 2011 | 39 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 4 | ±2.4 pp | |
| Leger Marketing | September 15, 2011 | HTML | 39 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 6 | ±2.4 pp |
| Nanos Research | September 1, 2011 | 39.5 | 33.1 | 20.7 | 2.6 | 3.4 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Harris-Decima | August 29, 2011 | HTML | 33 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 7 | ±2.2 pp |
| Abacus Data | August 15, 2011 | 38 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 6 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Angus Reid | August 9, 2011 | 39 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | August 2, 2011 | HTML | 36.2 | 26.8 | 27.0 | 4.4 | 4.5 | ±2.8 pp |
| Abacus Data | June 24, 2011 | 41 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 5 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Nanos Research | June 19, 2011 | 41.8 | 28.0 | 22.3 | 3.4 | 3.7 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | May 29, 2011 | 39.7 | 29.9 | 21.5 | 2.7 | 4.8 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Harris-Decima | May 22, 2011 | HTML | 38 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 7 | |
| Abacus Data | May 19, 2011 | 40 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 5 | ±2.5 pp | |
| Election 2011 | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 39.6 | 30.6 | 18.9 | 6.0 | 3.9 |
[edit] See also
- Fixed election dates in Canada
- List of Canadian federal general elections
- List of political parties in Canada
[edit] References
- ^ Talaga, Tanya (May 4, 2011). "Federal and provincial votes slated for October 2015". Toronto Star. http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/985848--federal-and-provincial-votes-slated-for-october-2015. Retrieved May 5, 2011.
- ^ "The next federal election in Canada could cause voter fatigue in Ontario". The Canadian Press. Google. May 4, 2011. http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5hHIc75QeDnr2OKXC_7BywRLY4h9w?docId=6746828. Retrieved May 5, 2011.
- ^ "Harper gets his majority". The Canadian Press. thespec.com. May 2, 2011. http://www.thespec.com/news/elections/article/526086--conservatives-to-get-third-straight-mandate. Retrieved May 5, 2011.
- ^ Cheadle, Bruce (May 3, 2011). "Harper romps to Conservative majority". The Canadian Press. Ottawa Metro. http://www.metronews.ca/ottawa/canada/article/847999--harper-finally-wins-conservative-majority--page0. Retrieved May 5, 2011.
- ^ a b Amendment to Canada Elections Act, Queen's Printer for Canada, Nov 6, 2006, http://www.parl.gc.ca/HousePublications/Publication.aspx?Docid=2475836&file=4, retrieved July 29, 2011
- ^ "Fixed-Date Elections In Canada". Parliament of Canada. http://www.parl.gc.ca/parlinfo/compilations/provinceterritory/ProvincialFixedElections.aspx. Retrieved May 4, 2011.
- ^ a b Thandi Fletcher (December 16, 2011). "Crowded House: Parliament gets cozier as 30 seats added". Canada.com. Postmedia News. http://www2.canada.com/topics/news/national/story.html?id=5871770. Retrieved December 19, 2011.
- ^ "Leadership Roles". Parliament of Canada. http://www.parl.gc.ca/parlinfo/Files/Party.aspx?Item=a639384e-e1a0-4169-83da-904925139b6a&Language=E. Retrieved July 29, 2011.
- ^ "Présidence par intérim" (in French). Bloc Québécois. http://www.blocquebecois.org/dossiers/presidence/bio.aspx. Retrieved July 29, 2011.
- ^ Fitzpatrick, Meagen (May 2011). "Liberals choose Rae as interim leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2011/05/25/pol-liberals-interim-leader.html. Retrieved May 26, 2011.
- ^ CBC News (July 2011). "LIVE: Jack Layton to take leave after new cancer found". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2011/07/25/layton-ndp.html. Retrieved July 25, 2011.
- ^ CBC News Staff (August 2011). "Jack Layton dead of cancer at 61". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2011/08/22/layton-obituary.html. Retrieved August 22, 2011.
- ^ "Edmonton MP charged with refusing to give breath sample". CBC News. December 5, 2011. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2011/12/05/pol-goldring-drunk-driving.html. Retrieved December 5, 2011.
- ^ "Daniel Paille new leader of Bloc Quebecois". CBC News, December 11, 2011.
- ^ Payton, Laura (January 10, 2012). "NDP MP Lise St-Denis jumps to Liberals". CBC News. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2012/01/10/pol-lib-rae-coderre.html. Retrieved January 10, 2012.
- ^ Fitzpatrick, Meagan (February 6, 2012). "Byelection for Jack Layton's riding moved back a week". CBC News. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2012/02/06/pol-toronto-danforth-byelection.html. Retrieved February 6, 2012.
[edit] External links
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