Next Czech legislative election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Next Czech legislative election
Czech Republic
2013 ←
In or before 2017

All 200 seats in the Chamber of Deputies
101 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  Bohuslav Sobotka 2009.JPG Andrej Babiš 2014.JPG Vojtech Filip full frontal.jpg
Leader Bohuslav Sobotka Andrej Babiš Vojtěch Filip
Party Social Democratic ANO Communist
Leader since 29 May 2010 1 August 2012 1 October 2005
Last election 50 seats, 20.45% 47 seats, 18.65 33 seats, 14.91
Seats won 50 47

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Karl von Schwarzenberg.jpg Prof. PhDr. Petr Fiala, Ph.D., LL.M..jpg Svět knihy 2011 - Tomio Okamura.jpg
Leader Karel Schwarzenberg Petr Fiala Tomio Okamura
Party TOP 09 Civic Democratic Dawn
Leader since 11 June 2009 18 January 2014 May 2013
Last election 26 seats, 11.99% 16 seats, 7.72% 14 seats, 6.88%
Seats won 26 16 14

  Seventh party
  MG 0430a.jpg
Leader Pavel Bělobrádek
Party Christian Democratic
Leader since November 2010
Last election 14 seats, 6.78%
Seats won 14

Prime Minister before election

Bohuslav Sobotka
Social Democratic

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

The Next Czech legislative election will be held in or before 2017. It will elect all 200 members of the Chamber of Deputies.

The leading party in the last election, the Czech Social Democratic Party (ČSSD), negotiated with ANO 2011 and the Christian and Democratic Union – Czechoslovak People's Party (KDU–ČSL) to form a government.[1] The three parties reached an agreement on December 21 2013, and officially signed a coalition pact on January 6 2014.[2][3] Bohuslav Sobotka became prime minister, and Andrej Babiš became finance minister.[3]

Opinion polls[edit]

Polls for the next Czech election since October 2013 (Orange - ČSSD, Dark Blue - ANO 2011, Red - KSČM, Violet - TOP 09, Blue - ODS, Brown - ÚSVIT, Yellow - KDU-ČSL, Green - SZ, Black - PIRÁTI, Cyan - SVOBODNÍ)

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date Polling Firm ČSSD ANO KSČM TOP 09 ODS ÚSVIT KDU-ČSL SZ PIRÁTI Others Turnout
2-9 Mar CVVM 26.0 33.0 11.0 8.0 6.5 1.5 8.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 60.0
5-11 Mar Sanep 23.6 23.6 13.2 9.8 7.5 3.2 7.4 2.2 3.1 7.4 52.8
20 Feb-3 Mar ppm Factum 21.0 26.0 15.6 8.3 6.8 4.9 5.3 4.1 2.7 5.3 51.0
16-22 Feb TNS Aisa 22.5 29.0 10.5 10.5 7.5 4.5 6.0 2.0 3.5 4.0 69.5
5–11 Feb Sanep 23.6 19.7 14.8 9.2 5.8 3.3 8.4 3.6 4.1 7.5 N/A
2–9 Feb CVVM 28.0 31.0 11.5 7.5 5.0 2.5 6.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 61.0
1–3 Feb ppm Factum 18.6 23.5 16.5 10.1 6.1 6.5 6.7 2.8 3.0 6.4 49.0
18-21 Jan TNS Aisa 19.0 30.5 9.5 10.0 9.0 4.5 6.5 4.5 2.5 4.0 64.0
12–19 Jan CVVM 27.5 30.0 13.5 6.5 6.5 2.0 7.5 1.0 2.5 3.0 56.0
6–16 Jan STEM 21.7 30.7 13.3 7.7 5.6 4.4 7.0 1.7 3.1 4.6 58.0
8–14 Jan Sanep 23.2 23.4 13.5 9.4 6.3 4.3 7.8 2.8 3.7 8.4 53.9
12 Dec–12 Jan Phoenix Research 16.8 23.6 12.0 6.5 6.6 1.7 6.8 1.7 2.5 5.6 N/A
2015
1–9 Dec ppm Factum 20.5 22.3 16.1 9.8 7.0 4.8 6.4 3.4 4.9 4.8 49.0
4–8 Dec Sanep 22.8 24.1 12.7 8.9 6.4 3.8 7.6 3.5 4.1 6.1 51.3
1–8 Dec CVVM 24.5 29.5 12.0 9.5 8.5 2.5 7.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 57.0
29 Nov–08 Dec STEM 18.1 32.8 14.0 8.3 7.0 3.2 5.7 3.0 4.5 3.4 55.0
1 Nov–1 Dec MEDIAN 21.0 23.5 14.0 10.5 9.0 4.0 7.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 56.0
22-28 Nov TNS Aisa 17.0 33.5 9.5 10.0 7.0 3.0 6.0 3.5 4.0 6.5 55.0
6–12 Nov Sanep 20.9 25.3 12.3 9.1 6.2 4.5 7.5 3.8 3.9 6.5 50.3
3–10 Nov CVVM 25.0 30.0 13.0 7.5 6.5 2.5 7.5 3.5 3.0 1.5 57.0
31 Oct–09 Nov STEM 20.0 32.0 13.8 6.9 7.1 2.6 6.0 3.0 4.1 4.5 57.0
1 Oct–1 Nov MEDIAN 21.0 24.5 15.0 10.5 8.0 5.5 6.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 55.5
25–31 Oct TNS Aisa 18.0 35.0 8.0 9.5 6.0 4.5 7.5 2.5 3.5 5.5 64.0
16–20 Oct Sanep 21.2 23.0 13.1 9.2 6.7 4.6 7.1 3.4 4.2 7.5 49.5
13–20 Oct STEM 22.2 31.0 13.4 8.6 6.4 2.4 6.3 1.5 3.4 4.8 59.0
17–18 Oct Senate election (2nd round) 34.95 15.14 6.43 9.34[n 1] 16.27[n 2] [n 3] [n 4]
3–14 Oct ppm Factum 18.9 21.7 14.9 10.7 7.2 5.8 7.2 3.2 3.8 6.6 49.0
10–11 Oct Senate election (1st round) 22.04 17.55 9.74 8.49 10.76[n 5] 1.30[n 6] 8.21[n 7] 0.65[n 8] 0.53[n 9] 37.87
10–11 Oct municipal election 12.65 14.59 7.80 8.40[n 10] 9.01 0.65 4.91[n 11] 1.16[n 12] 1.33[n 13]
1–8 Oct CVVM 24.5 31.0 13.0 10.0 5.5 2.5 7.5 N/A 2.0 4.0 62.0
22-28 Sep TNS Aisa 19.0 30.5 10.0 9.5 9.0 6.0 5.5 3.5 2.0 5.0 64.0
8–15 Sep CVVM 27.5 28.0 14.0 9.5 7.5 1.5 6.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 58.0
4–10 Sep Sanep 19.5 23.1 14.6 12.4 5.3 4.8 6.2 3.6 3.9 6.6 55.1
3–10 Sep STEM 21.3 30.3 13.5 7.6 6.3 3.9 5.4 2.0 3.1 3.5 59.0
6 Aug–6 Sep MEDIAN 21.5 22.0 15.0 12.0 7.5 5.0 7.5 2.5 2.5 4.5 57.5
25-31 Aug TNS Aisa 17.0 25.5 13.5 11.5 6.5 5.0 5.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 63.0
1–6 Aug Sanep 19.8 22.7 14.5 12.1 5.4 4.5 6.4 3.4 4.5 6.7 54.3
3–31 Jul MEDIAN 20.0 22.5 14.0 12.5 8.0 5.5 7.0 2.5 3.5 4.5 58.5
21–29 Jul ppm Factum 19.6 22.4 17.7 11.2 6.3 4.9 5.6 3.5 4.4 4.4 49.0
3–9 Jul Sanep 19.7 22.9 14.2 12.1 5.2 4.7 6.5 3.2 4.9 6.6 55.9
28 Jun-4 Jul TNS Aisa 16.0 31.0 11.5 11.0 7.0 4.5 5.5 2.5 4.5 6.5 66.6
3–30 Jun MEDIAN 21.5 25.0 14.0 13.5 6.5 4.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 5.5 55.0
6–10 Jun Sanep 20.5 23.1 14.5 11.4 5.1 4.8 6.4 3.3 5.1 5.8 57.9
2–9 Jun CVVM 24.0 29.0 15.5 11.5 7.0 2.5 5.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 60.0
31 May–10 Jun STEM 19.1 27.1 13.4 9.6 6.6 4.8 6.3 2.6 4.1 6.4 56.0
8 May–2 Jun MEDIAN 18.5 22.0 15.0 12.5 7.0 6.0 6.0 3.5 3.5 6.0 54.0
20–27 May STEM 18.0 27.5 13.5 9.8 6.0 6.1 6.9 3.9 3.3 5.0 56.0
24–25 May EP election 14.17 16.13 10.98 15.95 7.67 3.19 9.95 3.77 4.78 18.20
17–23 May TNS Aisa 18.5 29.5 9.5 9.5 7.5 5.5 6.0 3.5 4.0 6.5 62.0
15–26 May ppm Factum 19.4 22.5 15.7 9.9 7.6 2.9 6.5 5.2 3.0 7.3 47.0
8–14 May Sanep 20.2 25.0 14.9 10.9 5.4 5.9 6.3 3.2 3.0 5.2 57.2
5–12 May CVVM 23.5 33.0 12.5 9.0 5.0 3.0 8.0 1.5 2.5 2.0 61.0
8 Apr–8 May MEDIAN 21.0 23.0 15.0 10.0 7.0 5.5 6.5 3.5 3.0 5.5 59.5
22–27 Apr TNS Aisa 18.5 28.5 11.5 9.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 3.0 3.5 6.0 66.0
14–21 Apr STEM 20.7 27.9 13.3 10.0 5.8 5.2 6.5 2.3 2.5 5.8 62.0
7–14 Apr CVVM 25.0 30.0 13.5 10.5 6.0 3.0 6.5 2.5 1.0 2.0 62.0
3–9 Apr Sanep 20.1 24.8 15.1 10.8 5.2 6.1 6.4 N/A N/A 11.5 56.3
24–30 Mar TNS Aisa 19.5 27.0 12.0 10.0 6.5 9.0 4.5 3.0 2.5 6.0 67.0
1–31 Mar MEDIAN 21.0 19.5 15.0 11.5 8.5 5.0 7.5 3.0 3.5 5.5 57.5
11–20 Mar STEM 20.5 28.9 13.3 9.0 7.3 5.0 6.4 2.6 2.5 4.5 58.0
6–12 Mar Sanep 22.9 23.8 15.2 10.9 5.2 5.5 6.5 N/A N/A 10.0 55.8
3–10 Mar CVVM 24.0 28.0 14.0 11.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 61.0
20–28 Feb ppm Factum 18.7 19.7 15.9 11.0 7.1 6.4 6.2 4.8 2.4 7.8 48.0
18–24 Feb TNS Aisa 20.5 22.5 13.5 9.5 7.5 7.5 7.0 5.0 2.0 5.0 65.0
5–12 Feb STEM 21.4 21.4 16.8 9.2 7.5 6.7 7.8 2.8 2.3 4.1 58.0
3–10 Feb CVVM 28.0 25.0 15.0 11.0 7.5 3.0 5.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 66.0
1–6 Feb Sanep 22.3 24.7 15.2 11.2 4.8 5.3 6.4 N/A N/A 10.1 56.7
23 Jan–4 Feb ppm Factum 20.9 18.5 17.8 11.0 6.7 7.6 5.4 4.3 N/A 7.8 46.0
13–20 Jan CVVM 27.0 25.0 14.5 12.0 5.0 5.0 6.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 62.0
11–18 Jan STEM 20.6 24.3 16.3 11.0 6.2 5.7 6.6 3.3 N/A 6.0 60.0
2–8 Jan Sanep 20.5 24.6 15.7 11.4 5.8 6.5 6.8 N/A N/A 8.7 57.2
2014
Dec CVVM 27.5 25.5 13.5 11.5 6.5 4.0 6.5 N/A N/A 15.5
5–11 Dec Sanep 19.8 25.1 15.3 12.2 5.2 6.5 7.1 N/A N/A 8.8 56.3
2–9 Dec STEM 19.9 22.4 17.0 10.9 6.9 7.6 6.7 3.1 2.2 3.1 55.5
28 Nov–10 Dec ppm Factum 19.9 19.2 17.1 12.5 6.7 6.5 6.9 2.7 3.8 4.8 47.0
11–18 Nov CVVM 24.0 24.5 18.0 9.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 63.0
5–13 Nov ppm Factum 19.5 20.0 17.2 11.8 5.8 7.1 6.7 2.9 3.7 5.3 48.0
25-26 Oct 2013 Election Results 20.5 18.7 14.9 12.0 7.7 6.9 6.8 3.2 2.7 6.7 59.5
  1. ^ Candidate of ODS in coalition with received another 1.87 % and got elected.
  2. ^ Three candidates of KDU-ČSL+SZ received another 6.93 % votes, all of them got elected.
  3. ^ Three candidates of KDU-ČSL+SZ received another 6.93 % votes, all of them got elected.
  4. ^ Supported two candidates of KDU-ČSL+SZ, both of them got elected.
  5. ^ Candidate of ODS in coalition with received another 0.76 % and got to 2nd round.
  6. ^ Candidate of Dawn in coalition with Hora 2014 received another 0.23 %.
  7. ^ Candidates of KDU-ČSL in coalitions with SZ and local movements received another 4.70 % votes. Three coalition candidates got to 2nd round.
  8. ^ Candidates of SZ in coalitions with KDU-ČSL and local movements received another 3.95 % plus 0.41 % in coalition with Pirates. Three coalition candidates got to 2nd round.
  9. ^ Candidate of Pirates in coalition with SZ received another 0.41 %. The party supported several candidates of SZ+KDU-ČSL, two of them got to 2nd round.
  10. ^ TOP 09 also received 0.57 % statewide in coalitions with independent candidates.
  11. ^ KDU-ČSL also participated in numerous local coalitions. Notably in Prague with SZ and STAN where it received 11.22 % (2.40 % statewide) and 8 mandates. It also received 0.56 % statewide in coalitions with independent candidates.
  12. ^ SZ also participated in numerous local coalitions. Notably in Prague with KDU-ČSL and STAN where it received 11.22 % (2.40 % statewide) and 8 mandates. It also received 0.57 % statewide in coalitions with independent candidates.
  13. ^ Pirates also participated in numerous local coalitions. Notably in Brno with movement Žít Brno, where it received 11.89 % (0.71 % statewide) and 7 mandates.

Predictions of seats[edit]

Date Polling Firm ČSSD ANO KSČM TOP 09 ODS ÚSVIT KDU-ČSL SZ PIRÁTI Others
1–3 Feb ppm Factum 47 59 39 21 9 12 13 0 0 0
8–14 Jan Sanep 55 56 32 23 15 0 19 0 0 0
2015
1–9 Dec ppm Factum 54 58 41 23 12 0 14 0 0 0
4–8 Dec Sanep 55 58 31 22 16 0 18 0 0 0
6–12 Nov Sanep 51 62 30 23 15 0 19 0 0 0
3–14 Oct ppm Factum 47 58 36 23 13 8 15 0 0 0
4–10 Sep Sanep 48 57 36 31 13 0 15 0 0 0
1–6 Aug Sanep 49 56 36 30 13 0 16 0 0 0
21–29 Jul ppm Factum 51 60 44 25 10 0 10 0 0 0
3–9 Jul Sanep 49 57 35 30 13 0 16 0 0 0
6–10 Jun Sanep 47 54 34 26 12 0 15 0 12 0
15–26 May ppm Factum 48 59 39 20 16 0 12 6 0 0
8–14 May Sanep 46 56 34 25 12 13 14 0 0 0
3–9 Apr Sanep 45 56 34 24 12 14 15 0 0 0
6–12 Mar Sanep 51 53 34 24 12 12 14 0 0 0
20–28 Feb ppm Factum 48 51 40 23 14 11 13 0 0 0
1–6 Feb Sanep 52 58 36 26 0 13 15 0 0 0
23 Jan–4 Feb ppm Factum 51 47 43 24 11 16 8 0 0 0
2–8 Jan Sanep 45 54 34 25 13 14 15 0 0 0
2014
5–11 Dec Sanep 43 55 34 27 11 14 16 0 0 0
28 Nov-10 Dec ppm Factum 47 48 41 29 10 11 14 0 0 0
5–13 Nov ppm Factum 48 48 42 25 8 15 14 0 0 0
25-26 Oct 2013 Election Results 50 47 33 26 16 14 14 0 0 0

References[edit]