Next German federal election

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Next German federal election
Germany
2013 ←
Between 27 August and 22 October 2017

All 631 seats in the Bundestag
316 seats needed for a majority
  Angela Merkel (August 2012) cropped.jpg Sigmar Gabriel (2012).jpg
Leader Angela Merkel Sigmar Gabriel
Party CDU/CSU SPD
Leader since 10 April 2000 13 November 2009
Leader's seat Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I Salzgitter – Wolfenbüttel
Last election 311 seats, 41.5% 193 seats, 25.7%

  Kipping riexinger die linke.jpg Cem Özdemir (2012) und Simone Peter (2010).jpg
Leader Katja Kipping and
Bernd Riexinger
Cem Özdemir and
Simone Peter
Party Left Green
Leader since 2 June 2012 19 October 2013
15 November 2008
Leader's seat Saxony (List)

(did not run in 2013)
Baden-Württemberg (List)

(did not run in 2013)
Last election 64 seats, 8.6% 63 seats, 8.4%

Incumbent Chancellor

Angela Merkel
CDU/CSU

The Next German federal election will be an election that will be determined to elect the members of the Bundestag, the federal parliament of Germany. In the last federal election in 2013 the Coalition between the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU) and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) lost the majority of elected seats because the liberal party (FDP) failed to get over 5% of the vote thus denying them seats in the Bundestag for the first time in their history. In contrast CDU/CSU of Chancellor Angela Merkel won their best result since 1990, with nearly 42% of the vote and nearly 50% of the seats. Merkel's party successfully negotiated with the Social Democrats (SPD) to form a grand coalition.

German laws require that the next election should take place on a Sunday between 46-48 months after the assembly's first sitting. Since the current Bundestag first sat on 22 October 2013, the latest date the next election can be held on is 22 October 2017 (a Sunday). The earliest date is 27 August 2017, the first Sunday after 22 August. By convention, recent elections have been held in late September, avoiding the school holidays. Elections can be held earlier under certain conditions, such as if a government loses a confidence motion.

Opinion polling[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

15-day average trend line of poll results from September 2013 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date Polling Firm CDU/
CSU
SPD Left Green FDP AfD Others Lead
11–14 Apr INSA 40.5 23.5 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.5 5.5 17.0
7–11 Apr Forsa 41.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 18.0
8–10 Apr FGW 41.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 16.0
3–9 Apr Emnid 42.0 23.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 19.0
4–7 Apr INSA 41.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 17.0
31 Mar–4 Apr Forsa 42.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 19.0
31 Mar–2 Apr Infratest dimap 41.0 26.0 9.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 15.0
27 Mar–2 Apr Emnid 41.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 17.0
28–31 Mar INSA 41.0 24.5 9.0 11.0 3.0 5.0 6.5 16.5
24–28 Mar Forsa 42.0 23.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 19.0
25–27 Mar FGW 41.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
25–26 Mar Infratest dimap 41.0 25.0 8.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 16.0
20–26 Mar Emnid 41.0 25.0 10.0 11.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 16.0
21–24 Mar INSA 41.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 16.0
17–21 Mar Forsa 41.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 18.0
13–19 Mar Emnid 41.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
14–17 Mar INSA 40.5 24.5 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
12–17 Mar GMS 41.0 24.0 10.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 17.0
10–14 Mar Forsa 42.0 23.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 19.0
11–13 Mar FGW 41.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 16.0
1–13 Mar Allensbach 40.5 25.0 9.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 15.5
6–12 Mar Emnid 41.0 24.0 10.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 17.0
7–10 Mar INSA 41.0 25.5 8.5 10.0 4.0 5.5 5.5 15.5
3–7 Mar Forsa 42.0 23.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 19.0
4–5 Mar Infratest dimap 42.0 24.0 9.0 11.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 18.0
27 Feb–5 Mar Emnid 42.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 19.0
28 Feb–3 Mar INSA 41.0 24.5 9.5 11.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 16.5
24–28 Feb Forsa 40.0 22.0 11.0 10.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 18.0
24–26 Feb Infratest dimap 40.0 26.0 9.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 14.0
20–26 Feb Emnid 40.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 16.0
21–24 Feb INSA 40.5 25.5 9.0 10.0 4.0 5.5 5.5 15.0
19–24 Feb GMS 41.0 24.0 9.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
17–21 Feb Forsa 41.0 22.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 7.0 19.0
18–20 Feb FGW 43.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 19.0
13–19 Feb Emnid 41.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
14–17 Feb INSA 41.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 16.0
10–14 Feb Forsa 40.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 16.0
1–13 Feb Allensbach 40.0 26.5 9.0 10.5 4.0 5.0 5.0 14.0
6–12 Feb Emnid 41.0 24.0 10.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 17.0
7–10 Feb INSA 41.0 26.0 9.5 9.0 4.0 5.0 5.5 15.0
3–7 Feb Forsa 41.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 17.0
3–5 Feb Infratest dimap 41.0 27.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 14.0
30 Jan–5 Feb Emnid 42.0 25.0 9.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 17.0
31 Jan–3 Feb INSA 41.5 25.0 9.0 9.5 4.0 5.0 6.0 16.5
27–31 Jan Forsa 42.0 24.0 9.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 18.0
28–30 Jan FGW 43.0 25.0 9.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 18.0
27–29 Jan Infratest dimap 42.0 27.0 8.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 15.0
23–29 Jan Emnid 42.0 25.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 17.0
24–27 Jan INSA 41.0 26.5 8.5 9.5 4.5 4.0 6.0 14.5
20–24 Jan Forsa 42.0 23.0 9.0 11.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 19.0
10–23 Jan Allensbach 40.0 26.0 8.5 10.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 14.0
16–22 Jan Emnid 41.0 26.0 9.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 6.0 15.0
17–20 Jan INSA 41.0 26.0 9.0 9.5 4.5 4.0 6.0 15.0
15–20 Jan GMS 42.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 17.0
13–17 Jan Forsa 41.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 4.0 7.0 18.0
14–16 Jan FGW 43.0 24.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 19.0
9–15 Jan Emnid 41.0 26.0 10.0 8.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 15.0
10–13 Jan INSA 41.0 26.0 9.5 10.0 4.0 4.0 5.5 15.0
6–10 Jan Forsa 40.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 7.0 17.0
6–8 Jan Infratest dimap 41.0 27.0 8.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 14.0
4–8 Jan Emnid 42.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
3–6 Jan INSA 41.5 25.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 5.5 16.5
2–3 Jan Forsa 41.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 6.0 18.0
2014
16–20 Dec Forsa 42.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 18.0
17–18 Dec Infratest dimap 42.0 27.0 8.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 15.0
12–18 Dec Emnid 41.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 16.0
13–16 Dec INSA 42.0 27.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 15.0
9–13 Dec Forsa 42.0 24.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 18.0
10–12 Dec FGW 42.0 25.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 17.0
1–12 Dec Allensbach 41.5 25.5 9.0 10.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 16.0
6–9 Dec INSA 42.0 25.0 9.5 10.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 17.0
4–9 Dec GMS 43.0 25.0 9.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 18.0
2–6 Dec Forsa 43.0 24.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 19.0
2–4 Dec Infratest dimap 43.0 25.0 9.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 18.0
28 Nov–4 Dec Emnid 42.0 26.0 9.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
29 Nov–2 Dec INSA 42.5 24.0 9.5 11.0 3.5 4.0 5.5 18.5
25–29 Nov Forsa 42.0 23.0 10.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 19.0
26–28 Nov FGW 42.0 26.0 10.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
21–27 Nov Emnid 41.0 26.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 15.0
22–25 Nov INSA 40.5 25.5 9.0 10.5 4.0 4.0 6.5 15.0
18–22 Nov Forsa 42.0 23.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 19.0
8–21 Nov Allensbach 40.0 26.5 9.5 10.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 13.5
19–20 Nov Infratest dimap 42.0 25.0 9.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 17.0
14–20 Nov Emnid 42.0 25.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
15–18 Nov INSA 41.0 25.0 9.5 10.0 4.0 4.5 6.0 16.0
13–18 Nov GMS 41.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 16.0
11–15 Nov Forsa 41.0 24.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
7–13 Nov Emnid 41.0 25.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 16.0
6–11 Nov INSA 42.0 25.0 8.5 11.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 17.0
4–8 Nov Forsa 41.0 24.0 10.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 17.0
5–7 Nov FGW 42.0 26.0 9.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
4–6 Nov Infratest dimap 42.0 26.0 9.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 16.0
31 Oct–6 Nov Emnid 41.0 26.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 15.0
1–4 Nov INSA 42.0 26.0 9.0 10.5 3.5 4.0 5.0 16.0
28 Oct–1 Nov Forsa 42.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 17.0
24–30 Oct Emnid 42.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 17.0
25–28 Oct INSA 42.0 26.5 9.0 10.0 3.5 4.5 4.5 15.5
21–25 Oct Forsa 42.0 24.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 18.0
21–23 Oct Infratest dimap 40.0 27.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 13.0
17–23 Oct Emnid 41.0 26.0 9.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 15.0
18–21 Oct INSA 43.0 26.0 8.5 10.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 17.0
14–18 Oct Forsa 43.0 25.0 9.0 8.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 18.0
15–17 Oct FGW 42.0 26.0 10.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 16.0
10–16 Oct Emnid 42.0 25.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
1–16 Oct Allensbach 41.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 5.0 5.5 5.5 16.0
11–14 Oct INSA 42.0 26.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 6.0 4.0 16.0
9–14 Oct GMS 42.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
7–11 Oct Forsa 44.0 24.0 8.0 8.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 20.0
8–9 Oct INSA 43.0 25.0 9.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 18.0
7–9 Oct Infratest dimap 42.0 26.0 9.0 8.0 3.0 4.5 7.5 16.0
4–9 Oct Emnid 42.0 25.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 17.0
30 Sep–4 Oct Forsa 45.0 24.0 8.0 8.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 21.0
26 Sep–1 Oct Emnid 42.0 25.0 9.0 8.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 17.0
23–27 Sep Forsa 42.0 25.0 9.0 8.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 17.0
24–26 Sep FGW 43.0 26.0 10.0 7.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 17.0
24–26 Sep Emnid 43.0 26.0 9.0 7.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 17.0
22 Sep 2013 Election Results 41.5 25.7 8.6 8.4 4.8 4.7 6.3 15.8

References[edit]