Next Italian general election

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Next Italian general election
Italy
2013 ←
On or before
7 May 2018[1]

All 630 seats to the Chamber of Deputies
and 315 (out of the 318) seats to the Senate of the Republic
  Matteo Renzi Portrait.png Beppe Grillo - Trento 2012 01.JPG Berlusconi-2010-1.jpg
Leader Matteo Renzi Beppe Grillo Silvio Berlusconi
Party Democratic Party Five Star Movement Forza Italia
Leader since 15 December 2013 4 October 2009 18 January 1994
Last election 297 C / 111 S,
25.4%
109 C / 54 S,
25.6%
98 C / 98 S,
21.6%
Current seats 309 C / 113 S 91 C / 36 S 70 C / 66 S

  Angelino Alfano daticamera.jpg Nicola Vendola daticamera.jpg Salvini 2013.jpg
Leader Angelino Alfano Nichi Vendola Matteo Salvini
Party New Centre-Right Left Ecology Freedom Lega Nord
Leader since 15 November 2013 24 October 2010 15 December 2013
Last election did not run 37 C / 7 S,
3.2%
18 C / 18 S,
4.1%
Current seats 27 C / 31 S 26 C / 7 S 18 C / 15 S

Incumbent Prime Minister

Matteo Renzi
Democratic Party

The next Italian general election will be held in or before 2018.

Under the current Constitution, voters will elect 630 members of the Chamber of Deputies and 315 members of the Senate of the Republic for the 18th Parliament of Italy. Several major parties have committed to constitutional changes which would replace the Senate with a smaller, indirectly elected body.[2]

After various failed attempts by Pier Luigi Bersani, secretary of the Democratic Party (PD) and leader of the winning coalition Italy. Common Good, to form a government, due to the absence of a centre-left majority in the Senate, President Giorgio Napolitano gave Enrico Letta, Bersani's deputy within the PD, the task of forming a government. The cabinet was composed of members of the PD, The People of Freedom (PdL) – replaced by New Centre-Right (NCD) in November 2013 –, Civic Choice (SC), the Union of the Centre (UdC), one member of the Italian Radicals and three non-party independents.[3] After Letta's resignation in February 2014, following tensions with his party, the new secretary of the PD, Matteo Renzi, formed a cabinet composed of the identical coalition suporting Letta's government.[4]

Parties and leaders[edit]

Party Ideology Leader
Five Star Movement (M5S) Populism, Anti-establishment Beppe Grillo
Democratic Party (PD) Social democracy, Christian left Matteo Renzi
Forza Italia (FI) Liberal conservatism, Christian democracy Silvio Berlusconi
Civic Choice (SC) Liberalism, Centrism Enrico Zanetti
Lega Nord (LN) Regionalism, Populism Matteo Salvini
Us with Salvini (NcS) Populism
Left Ecology Freedom (SEL) Democratic socialism, Eco-socialism Nichi Vendola
Brothers of Italy (FdI) National conservatism Giorgia Meloni
Union of the Centre (UdC) Christian democracy, Social conservatism Pier Ferdinando Casini
New Centre-Right (NCD) Conservatism, Christian democracy Angelino Alfano
Communist Refoundation Party (PRC) Communism Paolo Ferrero

Opinion polling[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

15-day average trend line of poll results from February 2013 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 25 February 2013 to the date the next election is presumably held, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: red for Democratic Party, azure for Forza Italia (formerly The People of Freedom), yellow for the Five Star Movement, cobalt blue for New Centre-Right (split from The People of Freedom), blue for Civic Choice, green for Lega Nord, dark red for Left Ecology Freedom, dark blue for Brothers of Italy and light blue for Union of the Centre. Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the tables below.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead. Forza Italia's numbers prior to 16 November 2013 refer to the party's predecessor, The People of Freedom.

2015[edit]

Date Polling firm M5S PD FI SC LN SEL FdI UdC NCD Others Lead
23–25 Feb SWG 16.1 40.2 16.1 12.0 3.5 2.4 w. NCD 3.9 5.8 24.1
23–24 Feb Datamedia 19.3 37.0 13.2 14.0 4.2 2.5 w. NCD 3.3 6.5 17.7
23 Feb Piepoli 16.5 39.0 11.0 16.0 4.0 3.5 w. NCD 4.5 5.5 22.5
21–22 Feb EMG 20.1 37.2 12.4 15.1 4.1 3.8 w. NCD 3.0 4.3 17.1
19 Feb IPR 18.5 38.5 13.5 14.5 4.0 2.0 w. NCD 3.5 5.5 20.0
18 Feb Ixè 18.7 37.8 13.0 0.2 13.8 3.6 2.9 0.9 3.0 6.1 19.1
17–18 Feb Tecnè 18.0 38.0 14.0 14.0 3.0 3.0 w. NCD 5.0 5.0 20.0
16–18 Feb SWG 16.8 39.4 15.9 12.3 2.6 2.7 w. NCD 4.2 6.1 22.6
16–17 Feb Datamedia 18.7 37.0 12.8 14.7 4.0 2.5 w. NCD 3.5 6.8 18.3
16 Feb Piepoli 17.0 38.0 11.5 15.5 4.5 3.5 w. NCD 4.5 5.5 21.0
16 Feb Ipsos 20.2 37.2 13.5 13.5 3.5 3.1 2.0 3.1 3.9 17.0
16 Feb Euromedia 18.3 36.7 14.0 14.0 4.1 3.9 1.9 1.8 5.3 18.4
14–15 Feb Lorien 18.0 38.0 13.5 0.5 14.5 4.0 3.0 w. NCD 4.0 4.5 20.0
14–15 Feb EMG 19.8 37.1 12.0 15.5 4.1 3.8 w. NCD 3.2 4.5 17.3
11 Feb Ixè 19.1 37.5 12.8 0.3 13.9 3.8 3.1 0.9 2.8 5.8 18.4
11 Feb IPR 19.0 38.0 13.0 14.5 4.0 2.0 w. NCD 3.0 6.5 19.0
9–11 Feb SWG 18.1 38.7 14.6 0.2 12.3 3.2 3.0 w. NCD 3.4 6.7 20.6
9–10 Feb Datamedia 18.0 37.1 13.0 14.2 4.0 2.3 w. NCD 3.5 7.9 19.1
9 Feb Lorien 17.5 38.0 14.0 0.5 14.0 4.0 3.0 w. NCD 4.0 5.0 20.5
9 Feb Euromedia 18.6 36.6 14.2 13.9 4.5 4.0 2.0 1.8 4.4 18.0
9 Feb Piepoli 17.5 37.0 11.5 16.0 4.5 3.5 w. NCD 4.5 5.5 19.5
7–8 Feb EMG 19.2 37.2 12.4 15.2 4.4 3.6 w. NCD 3.7 4.3 18.0
4–6 Feb Demos&Pi 19.8 37.7 14.3 11.3 3.6 w. NCD 5.1 8.2 17.9
4–5 Feb Ixè 19.4 37.0 12.9 0.3 13.8 4.0 3.3 1.1 2.7 5.5 17.6
2–4 Feb SWG 17.0 39.5 15.1 0.4 12.2 3.1 3.4 w. NCD 3.2 6.1 22.5
3 Feb Euromedia 18.5 36.8 13.9 13.6 4.3 3.9 2.3 1.9 4.8 18.3
2–3 Feb Datamedia 18.1 36.8 12.8 14.0 4.2 2.5 1.0 2.5 8.1 18.7
2 Feb Piepoli 18.0 36.0 11.5 15.5 4.5 3.5 w. NCD 5.0 6.0 18.0
2 Feb Tecnè 19.0 38.0 14.0 14.0 4.0 2.0 w. NCD 4.0 5.0 19.0
2 Feb IPR 19.0 37.0 13.0 13.0 3.5 2.0 w. NCD 3.0 9.5 18.0
31 Jan–1 Feb EMG 19.7 36.6 13.1 14.9 4.9 3.4 w. NCD 3.3 4.1 16.9
28–29 Jan Ixè 19.2 36.8 13.3 0.2 13.6 4.2 3.0 1.1 2.6 6.0 17.6
27–28 Jan Ipsos 20.0 36.0 14.0 1.0 13.8 4.0 3.5 1.8 3.0 2.9 16.0
26–28 Jan SWG 17.8 37.8 16.1 0.4 12.1 3.1 3.1 w. NCD 3.8 5.8 20.0
27 Jan Tecnè 21.0 35.0 15.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 w. NCD 4.0 4.0 14.0
26 Jan Piepoli 18.0 35.0 12.5 15.5 4.5 3.5 w. NCD 5.0 6.0 17.0
26 Jan Lorien 17.0 36.0 14.0 0.5 13.5 3.5 3.5 w. NCD 4.5 7.5 19.0
26 Jan Euromedia 18.9 35.2 14.6 13.5 4.2 3.5 1.7 2.9 5.5 16.3
24–25 Jan EMG 20.8 35.2 14.0 14.8 4.6 3.3 w. NCD 3.3 4.0 14.4
20–23 Jan Demos&Pi 19.7 36.3 15.8 13.0 3.3 w. NCD 4.8 7.1 16.6
22 Jan IPR 19.5 36.0 13.3 0.7 13.0 3.5 2.0 w. NCD 4.0 8.0 16.5
21–22 Jan Ixè 19.0 36.9 13.4 0.2 13.5 3.9 3.1 1.0 2.7 6.3 17.9
20 Jan Tecnè 20.0 35.0 15.0 13.0 4.0 3.0 w. NCD 4.0 6.0 15.0
19–20 Jan SWG 19.0 38.0 15.0 0.3 11.5 2.8 3.2 w. NCD 4.3 5.9 19.0
19–20 Jan Datamedia 18.5 35.7 13.0 13.7 4.0 2.4 1.0 3.3 8.4 17.2
19 Jan Euromedia 18.7 36.0 14.5 13.0 3.7 3.1 2.0 3.0 6.0 17.3
19 Jan Ipsos 20.4 34.6 14.6 13.5 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.4 5.0 14.2
19 Jan Piepoli 18.5 36.0 12.5 15.0 4.0 3.5 w. NCD 4.5 6.0 17.5
17–18 Jan EMG 20.8 35.6 14.5 14.1 3.4 3.5 w. NCD 3.6 4.5 14.8
13–17 Jan ScenariPolitici 19.0 37.0 14.0 14.0 3.3 3.0 w. NCD 3.5 6.2 18.0
14–15 Jan Ixè 18.9 37.6 13.1 0.2 13.2 3.8 2.9 1.2 2.5 6.6 18.7
13–14 Jan Ipsos 20.6 34.8 14.8 0.6 12.8 3.8 3.2 2.0 3.5 3.9 14.2
13–14 Jan SWG 21.5 37.2 14.9 1.1 10.0 3.5 3.1 w. NCD 3.6 5.1 15.7
12 Jan Piepoli 19.0 36.5 12.5 15.0 3.5 3.5 w. NCD 4.0 6.0 17.5
10–11 Jan EMG 20.5 36.0 14.3 14.3 3.1 3.5 w. NCD 3.5 4.8 15.5
10–11 Jan Ixè 18.7 37.2 13.3 0.2 13.0 3.7 2.6 1.3 2.3 7.7 18.5
7–8 Jan Lorien 18.0 37.5 14.5 0.5 11.5 2.5 3.0 w. NCD 4.0 8.5 21.0
7–8 Jan SWG 20.6 38.1 14.1 0.8 11.5 3.0 2.7 w. NCD 3.2 6.0 17.5
7 Jan Tecnè 19.0 37.0 15.0 14.0 3.0 3.0 w. NCD 4.0 5.0 18.0

2014[edit]

2013[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Italian Constitution, Art.61
  2. ^ "Italian parties reach deal on Senate reform". Reuters. June 21, 2014. Retrieved June 25, 2014. 
  3. ^ Dionisi, Brenda (May 9, 2013). "It's a governissimo!". The Florentine. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
  4. ^ "Renzi: con 47, 8 anni di media, è il governo più giovane di sempre". Corriere Della Sera. 21 February 2014. Retrieved 23 February 2014.