Optimum population

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Optimum population refers to the size of a population that produces the best results according to chosen end targets. One text from 1926 presented a single end target as being "...the largest per capita income of consumers' goods possible under the given conditions".[1] Other potential end targets in favour of lower levels of population are cited to include: long term sustainability, efficient operation of democracy, the preservation of personal freedom and the preservation of biodiversity while potential end targets in favour of higher levels of population are cited to include the abilities: to preserve and foster cultural diversity, to stimulate intellectual, artistic, and technological creativity and to facilitate social infrastructure.[2]

Overview[edit]

Regarding the human population, end-targets for an optimum population include ecological sustainability, economic output[4] and philosophical or ethical ends-in-themselves.

Some commentators disagree with the concept of "optimum population", believing that the human population will always, in the long-term, be able to adapt to the requirements of a larger population.[5]

Any conception of an optimum population level must lie between a minimum viable population or the human species and the maximum level of population that can be sustained by the carrying capacity of the planet Earth.

Estimations[edit]

Various end-targets are often balanced together in estimating the optimum human population, and different emphasis on different end-targets cause variability among estimates.

The optimal world population has been estimated by a team co-authored by Paul R. Ehrlich.[6] End-targets in this estimation included:

Based on this, the estimation of optimum population was to be roughly around 1.5 billion to 2 billion people.[6]

See also[edit]

External links[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "THE POPULATION PROBLEM SINCE THE WORLD WAR: A SURVEY OF LITERATURE AND RESEARCH—Concluded VIII. THE OPTIMUM". Journal of Political Economy (Vol. 37, No. 1 ed.). The University of Chicago Press. Feb 1929. p. 87. 
  2. ^ Daily, G. C.; Ehrlich, A. H.; Ehrlich, P. R. (1994). "Optimum human population size". Population and Environment 15 (6): 469. doi:10.1007/BF02211719.  edit
  3. ^ From Malthus to the Club of Rome and back : problems of limits to growth, population control, and migrations. Armonk, NY [u.a.]: Sharpe. 1994. p. 6. ISBN 1563244071.  |first1= missing |last1= in Authors list (help)
  4. ^ On the Concept of Optimum Population P. S. Dasgupta The Review of Economic Studies Vol. 36, No. 3 (Jul., 1969), pp. 295-318 (article consists of 24 pages) Published by: Oxford University Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2296429
  5. ^ Gilpin, Kenneth N. (1998-02-12). "Julian Simon, 65, Optimistic Economist, Dies". B11. The New York Times. Archived from the original on 2008-05-18. Retrieved 2008-05-18. 
  6. ^ a b Gretchen C. Daily, Anne H. Ehrlich, and Paul R. Ehrlich. Optimum Human Population Size. Population and Environment: A Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies Volume 15, Number 6, July 1994 01994 Human Sciences Press, Inc.