|Born||March 1933 (age 81)|
|Field||International economics, macroeconomics|
Paul Wonnacott has been on the economics faculty of Columbia University, the University of Maryland and Middlebury College, where he held the Alan Holmes Chair until his retirement in 2000. From 1991 until January 1993, he was a member of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George H.W. Bush.
He was the coauthor of Free Trade Between The United States And Canada: The Potential Economic Effects (with R.J. Wonnacott), a study that helped to revive the Canadian debate over free trade and set the background for the Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement of 1988. This agreement was the major issue in the Canadian federal election, 1988, and came into effect after the Conservative victory in that election.
When it appeared, the Wonnacott book attracted considerable attention in the Canadian press, including major articles in the Financial Post, the Toronto Star, and the Globe and Mail. The Globe’s coverage—taking up most of a page (Sept. 25, 1967, p. 26)—included a report by Bruce MacDonald, who referred to the Wonnacott study as “A book that undertakes the broadest, most intensive economic study of the issue that has repeatedly divided Canada since it became a nation 100 years ago.” He noted that the past controversy “has usually been waged in political terms that bore little or no relation to economic facts.” The Wonnacott study is an “effort to fill this vacuum.”
This study contributed to major changes in Canadian attitudes toward free trade with the United States in the two decades prior to the negotiation of the free trade pact. These changes were reflected in a study by the Economic Council of Canada, Looking Outward (1975), which “built upon the work of economists such as the Wonnacott brothers, John Young, Ted English, Harry Johnson, and others who had long contended that the small Canadian Economy could not afford to isolate itself from the world economy by maintaining high barriers to imports.” At the same time, business executives were increasingly coming to the conclusion that the Canadian domestic market was too small to exploit economies of scale.
Gordon Ritchie, the Canadian Deputy Chief Negotiator for the free trade agreement, wrote of the Wonnacott study as "a seminal project on the issue" of U.S.-Canadian free trade. The Wonnacotts concluded that economies of scale would provide a major source of gain from free trade, particularly for the relatively small Canadian economy. A study for the Brookings Institution and Institute for Research on Public Policy (Ottawa) observed that, at the time the Wonnacott book was published, the “most glaring deficiency [of standard international economics was] the failure to incorporate economies of scale and imperfectly competitive markets, which, thanks to the work of several scholars—notably Harry C. Eastman and Styfan Stykolt, Ronald J. Wonnacott and Paul Wonnacott, and Richard G. Harris and David Cox—is now clearly understood to be the salient feature of secondary manufacturing in Canada.” Max Corden judged the Wonnacotts' book “an outstanding trade-liberalization study—probably one of the most impressive contributions to applied international economics in recent years.”
Wonnacott has also written a study of the Canadian experience with exchange-rate flexibility in the 1950s. As a result, he was asked to join the senior staff of the Council of Economic Advisers (1968–70) to study the possibilities for a more general system of flexible exchange rates.
His intermediate macroeconomics text first appeared in 1974, when widely-accepted Keynesian theory was under vigorous attack from Milton Friedman and other monetarists. Wonnacott pointed out the strengths and problems of each of these viewpoints, and attempted to explain each in a manner that the proponents would recognize.
- Harvard University Press, Harvard Economic Studies, #129, 1967.
- The role of the Wonnacotts in the run-up to the Free Trade Agreement was discussed at a joint session of the American Economic Association and the North American Economics and Finance Association at their annual meetings in Atlanta, Dec. 28, 1989, entitled "Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement: The Wonnacotts After 20 years."
- Ottawa: Queen's Printer, 1975.
- Michael Hart, with Bill Dymond and Colin Robertson, Decision at Midnight; Inside the Canada-US Free Trade Negotiations. Vancouver: UBC [University of British Columbia] Press, 1994, pp. 13–4. Michael Hart and Bill Dymond were with the Canadian Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, and Colin Robertson with the Department of Citizenship and Immigration. Later (p. 432), they wrote of “the pioneering 1967 economic analysis” of the Wonnacotts. http://books.google.com/books?id=syusmJ_w9v0C&pg=PA436&dq=
- Jeffrey A Frenkel with Ernesto Stein and Shang-Jin Wei, Regional Trading Blocks in the World Economic System. Washington, Institute for International Economics, 1997, p. 7. The authors observe in their accompanying footnote that “Economists also propounded this view (e.g., Wonnacott and Wonnacott; Harris, 1984,1991)." http://books.google.com/books?id=1GNwBYHpy3cC&printsec=frontcover&dq=Jeffrey+A+Frenkel+with+Ernesto+Stein+and+Shang-Jin+Wei,+Regional+Trading+Blocks+in+the+World+Economic+System.&hl=en&sa=X&ei=kaokUpeKINSvsASN9oGoDw&ved=0CC0Q6AEwAA#v=onepage&q=Jeffrey%20A%20Frenkel%20with%20Ernesto%20Stein%20and%20Shang-Jin%20Wei%2C%20Regional%20Trading%20Blocks%20in%20the%20World%20Economic%20System.&f=false
- Gordon Ritchie, Wrestling with the Elephant: The Inside Story of the Canadian-U.S. Trade Wars. Macfarlane Walter & Ross, 1997, p. 23.
- Harry C. Eastman and Stefan Stykolt, The Tariff and Competition in Canada. St. Martin’s, 1967.
- Richard G. Harris with David Cox, Trade, Industrial Policy, and Canadian Manufacturing. Toronto: Ontario Economic Council, 1984.
- David F. Burgess, in Robert M. Stern, Philip H. Trezise, and John Whalley, ed., Perspectives on a U.S.-Canadian Free Trade Agreement. Ottawa and Washington: Institute for Research on Public Policy and the Brookings Institution, 1987, p. 196. See also Donald J. Daly, “The Continuing Debate about Freer Trade and its Effects: A Comment,” Canadian Public Policy, Oct. 1982, p. 444: “The 1967 study by the Wonnacotts broke from this dominant tradition by recognizing the importance of economies of scale, which leads to significantly larger effects. . . .”
- Max Corden, “The Costs and Consequences of Protection: A Survey of Empirical Work,” in Peter B. Kenen, ed., International Trade and Finance; Frontiers for Research. Cambridge University Press, 1975, p. 74. http://books.google.com/books?id=oc-hxtEneNYC&printsec=frontcover&dq=Peter+B.+Kenen,+ed.,+International+Trade+and+Finance;+Frontiers+for+Research.&hl=en&sa=X&ei=hqQkUuygEvHWsASS4YCQCg&ved=0CEIQ6AEwAA#v=onepage&q=Peter%20B.%20Kenen%2C%20ed.%2C%20International%20Trade%20and%20Finance%3B%20Frontiers%20for%20Research.&f=false
- The Canadian Dollar. University of Toronto Press, 2nd. ed., 1965.
- Paul Wonnacott, Macroeconomics. Homewood, Ill.:Richard D. Irwin, 1974. Third ed., 1984.