Powerball

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Powerball is an American lottery game sold through U.S. lotteries as a shared jackpot pool game. It is coordinated by the Multi-State Lottery Association (MUSL), a non-profit association formed by an agreement with member lotteries. Powerball is drawn Wednesdays and Saturdays. Effective January 7, 2009, the game's drawings moved to Florida, as Powerball is now available there.[1] Powerball is available in 30 states, the District of Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, compared to its rival, Mega Millions, played in 12 states.

The most recent Powerball jackpot winner was in the June 27, 2009 drawing, worth $25 million (annuity value), or $12,506,253 cash; it was sold in Hartford County, Connecticut. As of July 13, 2009, the player(s) have not claimed that ticket.

Powerball's predecessor began in 1988[2]; it was known as Lotto*America. The game, and name, were officially changed to Powerball on April 19, 1992.

In spring 2009, an agreement allowing Powerball to be played in the 12 Mega Millions jurisdictions collapsed.

Contents

[edit] Background

MUSL manages the finances for each game, develops new games, conducts the drawings and provides other services and other games to its member lotteries, including Hot Lotto, Wild Card 2 (smaller games played similar to Powerball), 2by2, and Ca$hola (a progressive jackpot video lottery (slot) game). There are currently 32 members: 30 state members; the District of Columbia; and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Florida was the most recent jurisdiction to join Powerball, on January 4, 2009.[3] [4] One member, Maine, left MUSL during the transition from Lotto*America to Powerball, after which MUSL had 14 states and the District of Columbia. Maine would not offer Powerball until 2004.

Powerball was the first game to use two drums as its core game. Using two drums offers more flexibility in game design, allowing for the possibility of both high jackpot odds and low odds for other prize levels. The two-drum concept was suggested by Steve Caputo of the Oregon Lottery. The two-drum concept has since been copied by Mega Millions (formerly The Big Game) in the U.S., Australia's Powerball, Thunderball in the United Kingdom, and EuroMillions.

The matrix has been changed periodically. On March 4, 2001, an optional multiplier wheel (called "PowerPlay") was added. (The wheel was retired in 2009; PowerPlay is now drawn by computer; see below.)

On November 2, 1997, the annuity was changed from 20 to 25 yearly payments, and the cash option was added. The annuity currently consists of 30 graduated payments (increasing annually) over a period of 29 years.

Through December 31, 2008, Powerball drawings were hosted by longtime Iowa radio personality Mike Pace, who had hosted MUSL drawings since the organization began. He is not part of the Florida drawings. (There was one more drawing under the previous format, on January 3, 2009, hosted by Polly Carver-Kimm, before the regular draw venue moved to Florida.)

[edit] Playing the game

Beginning with the drawing on January 7, 2009, Powerball is played as follows: a player pays $1 and picks five numbers from 1 to 59 (white balls) and one additional number from 1 to 39 (the red Powerball number.) For an additional $1, the player may activate the optional PowerPlay feature, which applies a multiplier drawn by random number generator, to all prizes except the jackpot. Depending on the PowerPlay number, players may multiply non-jackpot prizes by 2 to 5.

Starting date Pick 5 out of Pick 1 out of PowerPlay multipliers
April 19, 1992 45 45 none
November 2, 1997 49 42 none
March 4, 2001 49 42 1–5
October 6, 2002 53 42 2–5
August 28, 2005 55 42 2–5
January 7, 2009 59 39 2–5, (automatic 5× second prize)

A promotion from March 2 through March 29, 2006, replaced one of the four 5× slots on the PowerPlay wheel with 10x. The 10× multiplier was drawn once, on March 11, 2006. The 10× multiplier returned in April 2007; again, it came up one time. The 10× space came back on April 2, 2008, with the ball finding the 10× space twice for the first time in a 10× promotional period. During each promotion, MUSL guaranteed that the ball would land in the 10× "space" least once, extending the promotion into a second month, and beyond that, if necessary.

PowerPlay's success has led to similar multipliers in some other games, such as the tripler in MUSL's smaller Hot Lotto, called Sizzler (Triple Sizzler in North Dakota), and Megaplier (exclusive to Texas) for Mega Millions.

Beginning with the first Florida drawing on January 7, 2009, the PowerPlay multiplier was drawn with a random number generator (RNG), although the winning numbers continue to be drawn with numbered balls from two drawing machines.

Payout is according to the following:

Matches Payoff Current probability of winning[5]
Zero numbers, plus Powerball $ 3 1 in 62
1 number, plus Powerball $ 4 1 in 123
2 numbers, plus Powerball $ 7 1 in 787
3 numbers, no Powerball $ 7 1 in 359
3 numbers, plus Powerball $ 100 1 in 13,644
4 numbers, no Powerball $ 100 1 in 19,030
4 numbers, plus Powerball $ 10,000 1 in 723,145
All 5 numbers, no Powerball $ 200,000 1 in 5,138,133
All 5 numbers, plus Powerball Jackpot 1 in 195,249,054

Overall probability of winning a prize is 1 in 35.

Jackpot winners have the option of receiving an annuity prize or a single lump sum cash payment. The minimum jackpot prize is a $20 million annuity disbursed in 30 payments over 29 years. When the jackpot rolls over, it increases by at least $5 million (e.g. $25 million after one roll). The lump sum payment fluctuates, usually approximately half the annuity value. The 30 annuity payments are not equal but based on an increasing rate schedule. For example, the first annual gross annuity payment on the base $20 million jackpot would be approximately $267,000 while the final payment would be approximately $834,000.

Generally, Powerball jackpot winners do not have to choose cash or annuity until after claiming (then they usually have 60 days to do so). However, in Florida and Missouri, the 60-day "clock" starts with the drawing, so a jackpot winner who wishes to take the cash option needs to make immediate plans to claim their prize. (In Idaho, winners have only 30 days after claiming to make the choice.) Powerball winners, including the jackpot, must claim their prizes within a period ranging from 90 days to one year, depending on the rules of the MUSL member where the ticket was bought.

When the cash option began in November 1997, all Powerball players had to choose, when buying a ticket, whether they wished to receive a jackpot prize in cash or (at the time) 25 annual payments. About a year later, a new Federal law no longer required the cash/annuity choice to be made in advance. The MUSL members phased in the new regulations.

The largest Powerball jackpots occur when there are at least 15 consecutive rollovers (even with a $100 million or higher jackpot it usually is not won.) By contrast, on rare occasions (most likely with a low jackpot), there is a drawing without a second-prize winner, PowerPlay option or not. Because of the latter, the 2009 version of the game (under normal conditions) guarantees that a second-prize ticket with PowerPlay is worth $1 million cash.

Powerball drawings are held every Wednesday and Saturday; through the January 3, 2009 drawing, the regular venue was Screenscape Studios in West Des Moines, Iowa, normally at 9:59 p.m. Central time. Beginning January 7, 2009, most drawings are held at Universal Studios in Orlando, Florida. (Drawings are occasionally scheduled at remote locations, such as Mike Pace's final hosting duties on December 31, 2008, from the U.S. Virgin Islands.) The results of drawings are not official until they are audited by the accounting firm LWBJ, LLP.

[edit] Machines used

Two identical machines are used for each drawing, randomly selected from a total of four machines. There are eight numbered sets of balls (four white, four red); one set of each color to be used for the drawing are also selected. The balls are mixed by a turntable at the bottom of the machine that propels the balls around the chamber. When the machine selects a ball, the turntable slows to catch it, sends it up the shaft, and then down the rail to the display.

Originally, the PowerPlay add-on feature almost always used a ball rolling around in a wheel. With the relocation of the drawings to Florida, the PowerPlay wheel has been replaced by a random number generator (RNG).

[edit] Winning expectation

Because the quoted jackpot amount is paid as an annuity over 29 years, its immediate cash value to the winner is close to, but less than, half the advertised amount of the prize. The actual ratio depends on projected interest rates and other factors. MUSL starts with the cash value, built from a percentage of sales (currently 30%) and then calculates the advertised Jackpot amount from that value based on the average costs of the three best securities bids.[6]

When the actual Jackpot is $200 million, a player's winning expectation is $0.68 if no one else is playing. This is the best scenario for the player because the winning will not be diluted in sharing. The expectation of 0.68 means that the player will lose about 32 cents on a $1 ticket, on average. The player will lose more in reality because others are also playing.

The player's expectation gets better when the jackpot becomes higher. If the jackpot is $400M, a player's winning expectation becomes $1.19 before tax. If the jackpot is $20M, a player's winning expectation becomes $0.22. The break even point is for the jackpot to be $323M, in which case the player loses no more than the tax paid. All these numbers are based on the best scenario in which no other players are sharing the prize.

With the jackpot at various levels, if a player pays $1, the net expectation is shown in the following table:

Jackpot (approximate) Cash Value Winnings per Dollar Spent
$20M $15M $0.22
$50M $25M $0.30
$100M $50M $0.43
$200M $100M $0.68
$300M $150M $0.94
$323M $161.5M $1.00
$350M $175M $1.07
$400M $200M $1.19

It should be noted, however, that since the jackpot is shared in the case of multiple winning tickets, the high interest (and ticket sales) created by large jackpots reduces the expected value of the jackpot, and thus the real-world expected return under these conditions are lower than those stated on the table.

[edit] Largest payoffs

On February 18, 2006, the jackpot worth $365 million was won by a single ticket sold in Nebraska. That single ticket was shared by eight meat plant workers. This is the largest Powerball prize won on a single play.

A grand prize won on October 19, 2005 worth $340 million was awarded to the West family of Jacksonville, Oregon. The family won less than two months after the rules were changed to promote larger payouts. Steve West, who purchased the ticket, paid $20 for tickets, along with another $20 from his in-laws. The family planned to split the prize among themselves.

Prior to the $340 million winner, Jack Whittaker of West Virginia was the claimant to the biggest one-ticket jackpot. He won almost $315 million on Christmas Day, 2002.

On August 25, 2007, a jackpot worth $314 million was won by a retired auto worker from Ohio.

[edit] Fortune cookie payout

The Powerball drawing on March 30, 2005 game produced an unprecedented 110 second-prize winners, all of whom picked the five white balls correctly, but not the Powerball number. The total payout to 5+0 winners was $19.4 million; 89 tickets won $100,000, and the other 21 tickets won $500,000 due to the Power Play option.

Powerball officials initially suspected a reporting error or fraud, but it turned out that all the winners received their numbers from fortune cookies made by Wonton Food Inc., a fortune cookie factory in Long Island City, Queens, New York. The factory had printed the five regular numbers (22, 28, 32, 33, and 39) on thousands of fortunes. The sixth number in the fortune, 40, did not match the Powerball number, 42. None of the employees of Wonton Food played those numbers.

[edit] Participating states and territories

U.S. States with Powerball, as of June 2009; note: the District of Columbia and the U.S. Virgin Islands also participate

Powerball jurisdictions that joined MUSL before April 1992 also participated in Lotto*America.

Maine joined MUSL in 1990, dropping out when Powerball began; it did not rejoin MUSL until summer 2004.

The minimum age to play Powerball is 18, except in Nebraska, where it is 19, and in Arizona, Iowa, and Louisiana, where it is 21.

Powerball winnings are exempt from state income taxes in Delaware, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and the District of Columbia. There is no state income tax in Florida or South Dakota, and only on interest and dividends in New Hampshire and Tennessee. .[7] Winnings from tickets purchased across state lines may be subject to tax from the state of purchase (with possible credit for taxes paid to one's own state or vice versa).

Georgia, in August 1996, joined the then-new The Big Game (now Mega Millions), the other major US lottery group. It planned to sell tickets for both games for the remainder of that year; however, within a few days, Georgia was forcibly removed from MUSL, and has not returned. (New Jersey, in March 2009, announced it would seek permission to sell Powerball tickets alongside Mega Millions.)

In 1998, Florida was given permission by its government to join a multi-state game. It was set to offer Powerball; however, in early 1999, the new governor, Jeb Bush, prevented Florida from joining, since he believed Powerball would hurt the existing Florida Lottery games.

California had no intention of offering Powerball; however, it joined MUSL in hopes of offering an "international" lottery game that didn't come to fruition. It joined Mega Millions in 2005.

[edit] Game change in January 2009; Florida hosts drawings

With the start of Powerball sales in Florida on January 4, 2009 (with its first participating drawing January 7), the matrices changed to 5/59 + 1/39 (adding four white ball numbers and dropping three red balls). This change has worsened the jackpot probability from 1:146 million to 1:195 million, the overall probability dropped to 1:35.

Based on statistical projections, the average jackpot won increases from $95 million to $141 million. Over 3.5 million additional prizes are expected to be won yearly (based on the same sales level) due to the drop in overall probability. The starting jackpot has increased to $20 million. The jackpot contribution has increased from 30.3% to 32.5% of total sales.

The PowerPlay option, available for an extra $1 charge per play, continues to multiply lower-tier prizes by either 2×, 3×, 4× or 5× with an equal chance of each multiplier, except that the Match 5+0 prize of $200,000 automatically has a multiplier of 5× for PowerPlay wagers, making the Match 5+0 prize $1 million, paid in a lump sum.

The special rules allowing for a Match 5+0 bonus second prize if the jackpot exceeds its previous record by $25 million, triggered only twice, continue.

The conditions for Florida joining Powerball included a relocation of the live drawings from West Des Moines, Iowa, to Universal Studios in Orlando, Florida. (MUSL headquarters remain in Iowa; its other games, except for its Ca$hola (video lottery), continue to be drawn there.)

The wheel that was used to determine the PowerPlay multiplier has been retired; a random number generator (RNG) is used for the Florida drawings.

[edit] Powerball becoming a worldwide lottery game?

MUSL has begun preliminary discussions with European lotteries, such as United Kingdom's Camelot, regarding a potential global lottery game that would feature jackpots of £250 million. One possibility is Powerball combining with EuroMillions. The proposed game would begin in 2011.[citation needed]

[edit] Licensed products

In 2006 WMS Gaming released a range of slot machines under the Powerball brand name.

[edit] Windows Sidebar Gadgets

In 2007 the Oregon Lottery released a new Windows Vista Sidebar gadget which relays the winning numbers for Powerball in live time. The gadget also provides large jackpot announcements.

In November 2007, the Lottery Post website released the Lottery Results Gadget for Windows Vista, providing near real-time winning numbers for Powerball, in addition to results for every other lottery game offered in each state. Likewise, new jackpots are pushed to the Windows Sidebar gadget after they are announced.

[edit] References

[edit] External links

Preceded by
The Big Game (now Mega Millions)
World's largest lottery jackpot
February 18, 2006March 6, 2007
Succeeded by
Mega Millions
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