Demographics of Madagascar

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This article is about the demographic features of the population of Madagascar, including population density, ethnicity, education level, health of the populace, economic status, religious affiliations and other aspects of the population.

Madagascar's population is predominantly of mixed Austronesian and East African origin.

Population[edit]

Demographics of Madagascar, Data of FAO, year 2005 ; Number of inhabitants in thousands.
Population density of Madagascar as of 2004

The problem with population estimation in Madagascar is that data is very old and limited. The last population census was carried out in 1993, after an initial 1975 census. There was an attempt at a census in 2009, however this attempt ultimately failed due to political instability. Therefore, the demographic situation is inferred but reliability of any estimates from any source has a large margin of error. According to the 2010 revison of the World Population Prospects the total population was 20 714 000 in 2010, compared to only 4 084 000 in 1950. The proportion of children below the age of 15 in 2010 was 43.1%, 53.8% was between 15 and 65 years of age, while 3.1% was 65 years or older .[1]

Total population (x 1000) Population aged 0–14 (%) Population aged 15–64 (%) Population aged 65+ (%)
1950 4 084 38.2 58.6 3.2
1955 4 548 40.2 56.6 3.2
1960 5 104 42.6 54.1 3.3
1965 5 764 44.6 52.0 3.4
1970 6 549 45.1 51.3 3.6
1975 7 502 45.6 50.6 3.8
1980 8 609 45.9 50.5 3.6
1985 9 785 45.1 51.6 3.3
1990 11 281 44.7 52.1 3.2
1995 13 129 44.5 52.4 3.1
2000 15 364 45.3 51.6 3.1
2005 17 886 44.6 52.3 3.1
2010 20 714 43.1 53.8 3.1

UN population projections[edit]

Numbers are in thousands. UN medium variant projections[1]

  • 2015 23,852
  • 2020 27,365
  • 2025 31,217
  • 2030 35,333
  • 2035 39,643
  • 2040 44,132
  • 2045 48,782
  • 2050 53,561

Vital statistics[edit]

Registration of vital events is in Madagaskar not complete. The Population Departement of the United Nations prepared the following estimates. [1]

Period Live births per year Deaths per year Natural change per year CBR* CDR* NC* TFR* IMR*
1950–1955 212 000 119 000 93 000 49.0 27.5 21.5 7.30 181
1955–1960 236 000 125 000 111 000 48.8 25.8 23.0 7.30 167
1960–1965 262 000 130 000 132 000 48.3 24.0 24.3 7.30 155
1965–1970 295 000 136 000 159 000 47.9 22.1 25.7 7.30 143
1970–1975 339 000 145 000 194 000 48.3 20.6 27.7 7.30 132
1975–1980 379 000 152 000 227 000 47.0 18.8 28.2 7.00 122
1980–1985 388 000 152 000 237 000 42.2 16.5 25.7 6.10 111
1985–1990 474 000 173 000 301 000 45.0 16.4 28.6 6.30 110
1990–1995 545 000 174 000 371 000 44.7 14.3 30.4 6.14 96
1995–2000 609 000 161 000 448 000 42.8 11.3 31.5 5.80 76
2000–2005 649 000 143 000 505 000 39.0 8.6 30.4 5.28 58
2005–2010 698 000 131 000 567 000 36.2 6.8 29.4 4.83 45
* CBR = crude birth rate (per 1000); CDR = crude death rate (per 1000); NC = natural change (per 1000); IMR = infant mortality rate per 1000 births; TFR = total fertility rate (number of children per woman)

Fertility and Births[edit]

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and Crude Birth Rate (CBR):[2]


Year CBR (Total) TFR (Total) CBR (Urban) TFR (Urban) CBR (Rural) TFR (Rural)
1992 43,3 6,13 34,2 3,84 45,1 6,69
1997 42,3 5,97 34,5 4,19 45,0 6,66
2003-2004 35,3 5,2 28,7 3,7 37,2 5,7
2008-2009 33,4 4,8 24,8 2,9 34,8 5,2

Ethnicity[edit]

Further information: Malagasy people
Distribution of Malagasy ethnic groups.

The island of Madagascar is predominantly populated by people broadly classified as belonging to the Malagasy ethnic identity. This group is further sub-divided a number of sub-groups, often given as numbering eighteen. In addition, communities of Indians and Arabs have long been established on the island and have assimilated into local communities to varying degrees, in some places having long since become identified "Malagasy" ethnic groups, and in others maintaining distinct identities and cultural separation. More recent arrivals include Europeans and Chinese immigrants.

Madagascar was probably uninhabited prior to Austronesian settlement in the early centuries AD. Austronesian features are most predominant in the central highlands people, the Merina (3 million[citation needed][year needed]) and the Betsileo (2 million[citation needed][year needed]); the remaining 16 tribal groupings are coastal peoples who are predominantly of East African origin, with various Malay, Arab, European and Indian admixtures. The largest coastal groups are the Betsimisaraka (1.5 million) and the Tsimihety and Sakalava (700,000 each). Malagasy society has long been polarized between the politically and economically advantaged highlanders of the central plateaux and the people along the coast. For example in the 1970s there was widespread opposition among coastal ethnics against the policy of Malgachisation which intended to phase out the use of the French language in public life in favour of a more prominent position for the Malagasy language, whose orthography is based on the Merina dialect. Identity politics were also at the core of the brief civil unrest during 2002.

Indians in Madagascar descend mostly from traders who arrived in the newly independent nation looking for better opportunities. The majority of them came from the west coast of India known as Karana (Muslim) and Banian (Hindu). The majority speak Hindi or Gujarati, although some other Indian dialects are also spoken. Nowadays the younger generations speak at least three languages, including French, Gujarati and Malagasy. A large number of the Indians in Madagascar have a high level of education, particularly the younger generation.[citation needed]

A sizeable number of Europeans also reside in Madagascar, mostly of French descent.

CIA World Factbook demographic statistics[edit]

The following demographic statistics are from the CIA World Factbook, unless otherwise indicated.[3]

'Sex ratio:
at birth: 1.03 male(s)/female
under 15 years: 1.01 male(s)/female
15-64 years: 0.98 male(s)/female
65 years and over: 0.89 male(s)/female
total population: 0.99 male(s)/female (2000 est.)

Life expectancy at birth:
total population: 59.45 years
male: 57.72 years
female: 61.33 years (2006 est.)

Nationality:
noun: Malagasy (singular and plural)
adjective: Malagasy

Ethnic groups: Malayo-Indonesian (Merina and related Betsileo), coastal ethnics (mixed African, Malayo-Indonesian, and Arab ancestry - Betsimisaraka, Tsimihety, Antaisaka, Sakalava), French, Desi, Creole, Comorian, Chinese

Religions: indigenous beliefs 52%, Christian 41%, Muslim 7%

Languages: Malagasy (official, and national language), French (official).

Literacy:
definition: age 15 and over can read and write
total population: 80%
male: 88%
female: 73% (1990 est.)

Largest cities[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision
  2. ^ http://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/dhs#_r=&collection=&country=&dtype=&from=1890&page=9&ps=&sk=&sort_by=nation&sort_order=&to=2014&topic=&view=s&vk=
  3. ^ The World Factbook - Madagascar

References[edit]

  • Matthew E. Hules, et al. (2005). The Dual Origin of the Malagasy in Island Southeast Asia and East Africa: Evidence from Maternal and Paternal Lineages. American Journal of Human Genetics, 76:894-901, 2005.