Spanish general election, 1996
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| Spain |
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Legislative elections for the Spanish Cortes Generales were held on March 3, 1996. The elections were for 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies, and the 208 directly elected seats in the upper house, the Senate, determining the Prime Minister of Spain.
Incumbent Prime Minister Felipe González of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party lost the elections to the People's Party and their leader José María Aznar, thus ending almost 13 and a half years of Socialist rule: to date, the largest period of time a Spanish party has been in power. However, that of Aznar was a bitter victory. He won just 156 seats out of the 176 needed for a majority, thus short of 20 seats to form a majority government. Similarly, González's one is known as the dulce derrota (sweet defeat).[1] Despite suffering a net loss of 18 seats and being ousted from government, the popular vote margin between both main parties was of just 300,000 votes.
Despite pre-electoral opinion polls and predictions of a huge PSOE defeat and a PP lead of around 10 points, the close end result makes this election the closest in the Spanish democratic period to date.
Contents |
[edit] Overview
The Congress of Deputies consists of 350 members, elected in 50 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method, with Ceuta and Melilla electing one member each using plurality voting.[2]
[edit] Apportionment
Under Article 68 of the Spanish constitution, the boundaries of the electoral districts must be the same as the provinces of Spain and, under Article 141, this can only be altered with the approval of Congress.[3]
The apportionment of seats to provinces follows the largest remainder method over the resident population ("Padrón") with a minimum of two seats (cf. Art. 162 of the Electoral Law).[4]
[edit] Electoral system
Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. The electoral system used is closed list proportional representation with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method. Only lists which poll 3% of the total vote (which includes votes "en blanco", i.e., for none of the above) can be considered. Under articles 12 and 68 of the constitution, the minimum voting age is 18.[3]
[edit] Eligibility
Article 67.3 of the Spanish Constitution prohibits dual membership of both chambers of the Cortes or of the Cortes and regional assemblies, meaning that candidates must resign from regional assemblies if elected. Article 70 also makes active judges, magistrates, public defenders, serving military personnel, active police officers and members of constitutional and electoral tribunals ineligible.[3] Article 55, Section 2 of the 1985 electoral law also disqualifies director generals or equivalent leaders of state monopolies and public bodies such as the Spanish state broadcaster RTVE.[5]
[edit] Opinion polls
Opinion polling for major parties is as such:
| Date(s) Conducted | Polling institute | PSOE | PP | IU | CiU | PNV | Others / undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 March 1996 | Election Results | 37.6% 141 seats |
38.8% 156 seats |
10.5% 21 seats |
4.6% 16 seats |
1.3% 5 seats |
8.2% 11 seats |
1.2% |
| 25 February | Opina | 35.0% 135 – 145 seats |
41.0% 160 – 170 seats |
10.5% 19 – 21 seats |
4.5% 14 – 15 seats |
1.5% 5 – 6 seats |
7.5% 0 – 13 seats |
6.0% |
| 25 February | Demoscopia | 33.4% 118 – 128 seats |
42.4% 170 – 178 seats |
12.3% 24 – 27 seats |
4.2% 13 – 15 seats |
1.2% 5 – 6 seats |
6.5% 0 – 20 seats |
9.0% |
| 25 February | Tábula V | 32.5% 117 – 125 seats |
44.1% 176 – 184 seats |
12.8% 22 – 28 seats |
4.2% 13 – 14 seats |
0.8% 4 – 5 seats |
5.6% 0 – 18 seats |
11.6% |
| 11 February | Opina | 34.0% 135 – 140 seats |
40.5% 160 – 170 seats |
11.0% 19 – 21 seats |
4.5% 13 – 15 seats |
1.5% 5 – 6 seats |
8.5% 0 – 18 seats |
6.5% |
| 14 January | Opina | 34.0% 135 – 145 seats |
39.5% 155 – 165 seats |
10.5% 20 – 22 seats |
4.5% 14 – 16 seats |
1.5% 4 – 5 seats |
10.0% 0 – 22 seats |
5.5% |
| January | CIS | 33.7% | 40.6% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| 1996 | ||||||||
| 1995 | ||||||||
| 1994 | ||||||||
| 6 June 1993 | Election Results | 38.8% 159 seats |
34.8% 141 seats |
9.6% 18 seats |
4.9% 17 seats |
1.2% 5 seats |
10.9% 10 seats |
4.0% |
[edit] Results
[edit] Congress
| Party | Leader(s) | Popular Vote | Seats | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | ||||||
| People's Party Partido Popular – PP |
José María Aznar López | 9,716,006 | 38.79 | 4.03 |
156 | 15 |
||||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party Partido Socialista Obrero Español – PSOE |
Felipe González Márquez | 9,425,678 | 37.63 | 1.15 |
141 | 18 |
||||
| United Left Izquierda Unida – IU |
Julio Anguita González | 2,639,774 | 10.54 | 0.99 |
21 | 3 |
||||
| Convergence and Union Convergència i Unió – CiU |
Jordi Pujol i Soley | 1,151,633 | 4.60 | 0.34 |
16 | 1 |
||||
| Basque Nationalist Party Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea – EAJ/PNV |
Xabier Arzalluz Antia | 318,951 | 1.27 | 0.03 |
5 | 0 |
||||
| Canarian Coalition Coalición Canaria – CC |
José Torres Stinga | 220,418 | 0.88 | 0.00 |
4 | 0 |
||||
| Galician Nationalist Bloc Bloque Nacionalista Galego – BNG |
Xosé Manuel Beiras Torrado | 220,147 | 0.88 | 0.34 |
2 | 2 |
||||
| Unity of the People Herri Batasuna – HB |
None | 181,304 | 0.72 | 0.16 |
2 | 0 |
||||
| Republican Left of Catalonia Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – ERC |
Jaume Campabadal i Farré | 167,641 | 0.67 | 0.13 |
1 | 0 |
||||
| Basque Solidarity Eusko Alkartasuna – EA |
Carlos Garaikoetxea Urriza | 115,861 | 0.46 | 0.09 |
1 | 0 |
||||
| Valencian Union Unio Valenciana – UV |
Vicente González Lizondo | 91,575 | 0.37 | 0.11 |
1 | 0 |
||||
| Other parties | 553,943 | 3.56 | 2.17 |
0 | 1 |
|||||
| Blank votes | 243,345 | 0.97 | 0.17 |
|||||||
| Valid votes | 25,046,276 | 99.51 | 0.05 |
|||||||
| Invalid votes | 125,782 | 0.49 | 0.05 |
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| Totals and voter turnout | 25,172,058 | 77.38 | 0.94 |
350 | — | |||||
| Electorate | 32,531,833 | 100.00 | — | |||||||
| Source: Ministerio del Interior de España | ||||||||||
[edit]
| Electoral District | PSOE (1993) |
PP (1993) |
PSOE (1996) |
PP (1996) |
PSOE Change |
PP Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Coruña | 37.2 | 44.2 | 33.8 | 47.3 | -3.4 | 3.1 |
| Álava | 26.1 | 19.5 | 25.4 | 27.3 | -0.7 | 7.8 |
| Albacete | 46.1 | 40.5 | 43.9 | 44.6 | -2.2 | 4.1 |
| Alicante | 39.9 | 43.4 | 40.0 | 45.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| Almería | 47.9 | 37.3 | 47.1 | 40.2 | -0.8 | 2.9 |
| Asturias | 39.3 | 37.3 | 39.8 | 41.0 | 0.5 | 3.7 |
| Ávila | 30.4 | 50.2 | 30.4 | 58.7 | 0.0 | 8.5 |
| Badajoz | 51.9 | 35.1 | 48.7 | 39.1 | -3.2 | 4.0 |
| Barcelona | 36.3 | 16.9 | 40.3 | 18.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 |
| Burgos | 34.2 | 49.5 | 30.8 | 54.3 | -3.4 | 4.8 |
| Cáceres | 50.8 | 36.8 | 47.9 | 42.0 | -2.9 | 5.2 |
| Cádiz | 49.9 | 27.7 | 43.9 | 35.3 | -6.0 | 7.6 |
| Cantabria | 37.1 | 37.0 | 35.6 | 50.4 | -1.5 | 13.4 |
| Castellón | 39.6 | 44.8 | 40.0 | 46.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Ceuta | 40.6 | 50.9 | 35.8 | 53.2 | -4.8 | 2.3 |
| Ciudad Real | 49.0 | 39.7 | 45.2 | 45.0 | -3.8 | 5.3 |
| Córdoba | 49.2 | 27.5 | 44.6 | 33.0 | -4.6 | 5.5 |
| Cuenca | 43.6 | 46.9 | 42.4 | 50.2 | -1.2 | 3.3 |
| Girona | 28.1 | 13.0 | 36.4 | 12.0 | 8.3 | -1.0 |
| Granada | 49.4 | 34.6 | 46.5 | 38.4 | -2.9 | 3.8 |
| Guadalajara | 36.6 | 48.8 | 34.9 | 51.8 | -1.7 | 3.0 |
| Guipúzcoa | 23.2 | 11.5 | 22.7 | 14.3 | -0.5 | 2.8 |
| Huelva | 55.6 | 29.2 | 52.1 | 33.9 | -4.5 | 4.7 |
| Huesca | 38.0 | 32.3 | 41.1 | 45.6 | 3.1 | 13.3 |
| Islas Baleares | 33.9 | 46.4 | 35.9 | 45.1 | 2.0 | -1.3 |
| Jaén | 52.6 | 32.4 | 48.7 | 36.9 | -3.9 | 4.3 |
| La Rioja | 37.6 | 46.2 | 36.6 | 49.4 | -1.0 | 3.2 |
| Las Palmas | 24.8 | 38.1 | 25.8 | 42.4 | 1.0 | 4.3 |
| León | 40.3 | 44.2 | 37.8 | 48.7 | -2.5 | 4.5 |
| Lleida | 27.1 | 19.7 | 33.0 | 17.9 | 5.9 | -1.8 |
| Lugo | 32.2 | 53.2 | 32.5 | 53.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Madrid | 34.9 | 43.9 | 31.4 | 49.3 | -3.5 | 5.4 |
| Málaga | 48.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 38.5 | -6.0 | 7.5 |
| Melilla | 48.8 | 44.9 | 43.3 | 50.5 | -5.5 | 5.6 |
| Murcia | 38.6 | 47.3 | 38.0 | 49.9 | -0.6 | 2.6 |
| Navarra | 34.8 | 36.1 | 30.2 | 37.1 | -4.6 | 1.0 |
| Ourense | 39.2 | 49.1 | 36.2 | 48.8 | -3.0 | -0.3 |
| Palencia | 38.3 | 47.6 | 37.9 | 51.3 | -0.4 | 3.7 |
| Pontevedra | 34.5 | 47.2 | 32.5 | 47.1 | -2.0 | -0.1 |
| Salamanca | 37.3 | 48.6 | 35.0 | 54.1 | -2.3 | 5.5 |
| Santa Cruz de Tenerife | 35.2 | 29.4 | 34.5 | 32.4 | -0.7 | 3.0 |
| Segovia | 32.3 | 48.0 | 32.2 | 54.7 | -0.1 | 6.7 |
| Sevilla | 56.0 | 26.0 | 50.0 | 31.4 | -6.0 | 5.4 |
| Soria | 36.8 | 50.7 | 34.3 | 55.2 | -2.5 | 4.5 |
| Tarragona | 33.1 | 19.8 | 38.1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
| Teruel | 40.3 | 38.0 | 41.2 | 49.2 | 0.9 | 11.2 |
| Toledo | 44.6 | 44.4 | 41.7 | 48.2 | -2.9 | 3.8 |
| Valencia | 37.1 | 37.8 | 37.0 | 42.0 | -0.1 | 4.2 |
| Valladolid | 36.1 | 45.3 | 35.8 | 48.8 | -0.3 | 3.5 |
| Vizcaya | 24.8 | 15.3 | 23.8 | 18.4 | -1.0 | 3.1 |
| Zamora | 39.5 | 49.5 | 37.0 | 54.0 | -2.5 | 4.5 |
| Zaragoza | 32.4 | 32.1 | 31.9 | 48.2 | -0.5 | 16.1 |
| SPAIN TOTALS | 38.8 | 34.8 | 37.6 | 38.8 | -1.2 | 4.0 |
[edit] External links
[edit] References
- ^ La dulce derrota de 1996
- ^ General features of Spanish electoral system, ElectionResources.org accessed 20 April 2011
- ^ a b c "The Spanish Constitution of 1978". http://www.boe.es/aeboe/consultas/bases_datos/doc.php?id=BOE-A-1978-31229.
- ^ Electoral Law
- ^ "Law governing electoral procedures". http://noticias.juridicas.com/base_datos/Admin/lo5-1985.html. Retrieved 6 March 2011.
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