Spanish general election, 2004
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Legislative elections were held in Spain on 14 March 2004. At stake were all 350 seats in the lower house of the Cortes Generales, the Congress of Deputies, and 208 seats in upper house, the Senate. The governing People's Party (PP) was led into the campaign by Mariano Rajoy, successor to outgoing Prime Minister José María Aznar. In a result which defied most predictions, the opposition Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), led by José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, won a plurality of seats in Congress of Deputies, and was able to form a government with the support of minor parties. The socialists received more votes than expected as a result of the government's handling of the 11 March 2004 Madrid train bombings. In the early moments following the attacks, the national government maintained the theory of the ETA responsibility; when evidence pointed to the possibility that an Islamic extremist group was behind the massacre, the ETA theory lost weight. If Islamic extremists were responsible, the attack could have been perceived by the electorate to be a consequence of the Spanish government's support of the invasion of Iraq. One of the explanations for the PSOE votes was that a certain number of voters, known as the original non voters (who did not intend to vote in the elections like in prior elections), went to the polls for PSOE. Also many members of United Left (IU) switched sides and enlarged the PSOE votes and decreased those of IU.
The day after the election, Zapatero announced his intention to form a minority PSOE government, without a coalition, saying in a radio interview: "the implicit mandate of the people is for us to form a minority government negotiating accords on each issue with other parliamentary groups". Two minor left-wing parties, Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and IU, immediately announced their intention to support Zapatero's government.
Contents |
[edit] Electoral system
This was the eighth general election since the restoration of democratic government in 1978, or the ninth if the elections to a constitutional assembly in 1977 are included. Each of Spain's autonomous communities elects a number of deputies and senators in rough proportion to its population. The smaller autonomous communities (such as La Rioja) form a single electoral district (a circumscription). The larger autonomous communities (such as Catalonia) are divided into several circumscriptions.
All 350 deputies are elected on party lists, by roughly proportional representation in each electoral district. The method used to allocate the seats is the D'Hondt method, which favours larger parties over smaller ones, and concentrated minorities over scattered ones.
In the Senate, each of Spain's 50 provinces (except in the Canary and Balearic Islands) elects four Senators regardless of population. This results in under-representation for the large urban circumscriptions of Madrid and Barcelona, and over-representation for the conservative provinces of Castile and Galicia. Further, the Canary Islands and the Balearic Islands elect additional senators (since circumscriptions consist of the island governnments rather than the provinces), and the small autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla (Spanish enclaves on the coast of Morocco) elect two Senators each. The islands and the enclaves are PP strongholds. The net effect of this system is to advantage the PP at the expense of the PSOE in the Senate. In the senate elections, voters can cast votes for up to three different people. Voters tend to cast all their votes for members of the same party, with the result that most provinces allocate 3 senators to the party with the strongest support, and 1 senator to the second party.
The Congress of Deputies must appoint the prime minister within two months of convening on April 2. Although constitutionally the King, as head of state, submits a proposed prime minister to the approval of the Congress, in practice the King exercises no discretion. Each of the candidates, starting with the candidate of the largest party, comes before the Congress for two investiture votes, the first by majority and the second by plurality. Typically, the leader of the largest bloc becomes Prime Minister of Spain, unless a coalition of different parties has a majority of seats.
At the 2000 general election, the People's Party won a majority of seats in Congress with 183 seats, the Socialists won 125, the Catalan nationalist party Convergence and Unity won 15 and the United Left (a coalition around the Communist Party) won 8. Minor parties won the remaining 19 seats.
Elections to Andalusia's regional parliament were held on the same day. The PSOE retained office in these elections with an increased majority. [1]
[edit] Opinion polls
| Date(s) Conducted | Polling institute | PP | PSOE | IU | CiU | PNV | Others / undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 March 2004 | Election Results | 37.7% 148 seats |
42.6% 164 seats |
5.0% 5 seats |
3.2% 10 seats |
1.6% 7 seats |
9.9% 16 seats |
4.9% |
| 14 March | Exit Poll - Sigma Dos | 38.5% 153 – 161 seats |
41.0% 152 – 159 seats |
5.4% 6 – 7 seats |
3.3% 10 – 11 seats |
1.6% 7 seats |
10.2% 5 — 22 seats |
2.5% |
| 14 March | Exit Poll - Ipsos-EcoConsulting | 36.9% 150 – 154 seats |
41.4% 154 – 158 seats |
— 9 – 11 seats |
— 10 – 12 seats |
— 6 – 7 seats |
— 8 — 21 seats |
4.5% |
| 13 March | Demoscopia | — 168 – 170 seats |
— 140 – 143 seats |
— 8 – 10 seats |
— 10 – 11 seats |
— 7 seats |
— 9 – 17 seats |
— |
| 11 March: 2004 Madrid train bombings | ||||||||
| 8 March | Sigma Dos | 42.1% 168 – 173 seats |
37.6% 138 – 144 seats |
5.3% 6 – 8 seats |
3.4% 11 seats |
1.8% 7 seats |
9.8% 7 – 20 seats |
4.5% |
| 7 March | NC Report | 42.8% 171 – 176 seats |
37.2% 135 – 141 seats |
— | — | — | — | 5.6% |
| 7 March | Metroscopia | 42.0% 168 – 172 seats |
38.0% 134 – 141 seats |
— | — | — | — | 4.0% |
| 7 March | Opina | 40.5% 161 – 166 seats |
38.0% 140 – 145 seats |
5.8% 11 – 12 seats |
3.6% 10 – 11 seats |
1.4% 7 – 8 seats |
10.7% 8 – 21 seats |
2.5% |
| 6 March | Metroscopia | 42.0% 168 – 172 seats |
38.0% 134 – 141 seats |
6.3% 11 seats |
3.0% 10 – 11 seats |
1.7% 7 – 8 seats |
9.0% 7 – 20 seats |
4.0% |
| 6 March | Opina | 40.5% | 37.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
| 5 March | Opina | 41.0% | 37.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| 4 March | CIS | 42.2% 176 seats |
35.5% 131 seats |
6.6% 10 seats |
3.7% 12 seats |
1.8% 7 seats |
10.2% 14 seats |
6.7% |
| 4 March | Sigma Dos | 42.8% 172 – 177 seats |
36.6% 134 – 139 seats |
5.7% 7 – 10 seats |
3.3% 11 seats |
1.8% 7 seats |
9.8% 6 – 19 seats |
6.2% |
| 4 March | Opina | 41.5% | 36.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| 3 March | Opina | 41.5% 163 – 171 seats |
36.5% 135 – 143 seats |
6.5% 11 – 12 seats |
3.0% 10 – 11 seats |
1.6% 7 – 8 seats |
10.9% 5 – 24 seats |
5.0% |
| 2 March | Opina | 41.0% | 36.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| 1 March | Opina | 40.5% | 36.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 11.6% | 4.0% |
| 29 February | DYM | 44.2% 174 – 177 seats |
37.2% 133 – 137 seats |
— | — | — | — | 7.0% |
| 29 February | Opina | 40.5% 164 – 169 seats |
36.5% 138 – 144 seats |
7.0% 12 seats |
3.5% 10 – 11 seats |
1.5% 7 – 8 seats |
11.0% 7 – 19 seats |
4.0% |
| 28 February | Opina | 41.0% | 36.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| 27 February | NC Report | 39.6% 170 – 171 seats |
32.6% 141 – 142 seats |
— | — | — | — | 7.0% |
| 27 February | Opina | 41.5% | 36.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| 26 February | Opina | 41.5% 166 – 172 seats |
36.5% 136 – 144 seats |
6.0% 10 – 12 seats |
4.0% 10 – 12 seats |
1.5% 6 – 8 seats |
10.5% 2 – 22 seats |
5.0% |
| 15 February | Noxa Consulting | 42.6% 164 – 169 seats |
38.6% 138 – 142 seats |
— | — | — | — | 4.0% |
| 14 February | Sigma Dos | 43.5% | 35.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| 8 February | Sigma Dos | 44.3% | 34.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | — | — | 9.5% |
| 8 February | NC Report | 43.9% 175 seats |
35.8% 136 – 137 seats |
— | — | — | — | 8.1% |
| 25 January | Metroscopia | 42.5% 171 – 175 seats |
37.0% 135 – 138 seats |
— | — | — | — | 5.5% |
| 11 January | Noxa Consulting | 42.6% 174 seats |
36.5% 137 seats |
— | — | — | — | 6.1% |
| 4 January | Sigma Dos | 44.6% | 33.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | — | — | 10.7% |
| January | CIS | 42.2% | 35.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| 2004 | ||||||||
| December | Sigma Dos | 44.8% | 33.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | — | — | 11.1% |
| 24 November | CIS | 42.4% | 34.7% | — | — | — | — | 7.7% |
| October | CIS | 42.4% | 34.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% |
| September | Sigma Dos | 43.8% | 35.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | — | — | 8.5% |
| July | Sigma Dos | 42.8% | 35.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | — | — | 6.9% |
| July | CIS | 41.2% | 35.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| June | Sigma Dos | 42.6% | 35.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | — | — | 7.2% |
| 27 April | Sigma Dos | 41.2% | 38.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| 27 April | Ipsos-EcoConsulting | 33.9% | 39.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| April | CIS | 37.3% | 39.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% |
| March | Sigma Dos | 38.6% | 40.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | — | — | 2.1% |
| February | Sigma Dos | 38.5% | 40.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | — | — | 1.7% |
| February-March: Iraq crisis. | ||||||||
| January | Sigma Dos | 41.6% | 38.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | — | — | 3.0% |
| January | CIS | 39.8% | 37.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 12.2% | 2.5% |
| 2003 | ||||||||
| December | Sigma Dos | 41.7% | 38.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | — | — | 2.9% |
| 19 November: Prestige oil spill | ||||||||
| November | Sigma Dos | 41.9% | 38.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | — | — | 3.5% |
| October | Sigma Dos | 41.8% | 37.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | — | — | 3.9% |
| October | CIS | 41.5% | 37.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| July | Sigma Dos | 43.3% | 36.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | — | — | 7.1% |
| July | CIS | 41.0% | 36.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 11.6% | 4.2% |
| April | Sigma Dos | 43.2% | 37.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 6.0% |
| April | CIS | 42.4% | 34.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| February | Sigma Dos | 43.9% | 34.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | — | — | 9.7% |
| January | CIS | 43.9% | 34.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| 2002 | ||||||||
| December | Sigma Dos | 44.7% | 35.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | — | — | 9.2% |
| October | CIS | 43.5% | 34.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| July | CIS | 43.6% | 34.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% |
| June | Sigma Dos | 43.4% | 35.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | — | — | 7.6% |
| April | CIS | 43.5% | 35.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| February | Sigma Dos | 43.5% | 35.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | — | — | 7.6% |
| January | CIS | 43.5% | 36.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| January | Sigma Dos | 44.6% | 36.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | — | — | 8.4% |
| 2001 | ||||||||
| October | CIS | 43.7% | 36.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| October | Sigma Dos | 46.2% | 34.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | — | — | 12.0% |
| July | CIS | 46.6% | 31.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| July | Sigma Dos | 45.7% | 33.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 12.1% |
| April | CIS | 45.3% | 32.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| 12 March 2000 | Election Results | 44.5% 183 seats |
34.2% 125 seats |
5.5% 8 seats |
4.2% 15 seats |
1.5% 7 seats |
10.2% 12 seats |
10.4% |
[edit] Results
[edit] Congress
In the Congress of Deputies, the PP vote fell by 6.9 percent, and the party lost 35 seats. The PSOE vote rose by 8.5 percent, bringing a gain of 39 seats. On the left, the IU (a coalition led by the Communist Party of Spain), lost four of its nine seats, but the left-wing Catalan party ERC gained seven seats. The conservative Catalan nationalist party, Convergence and Union, which in the recent past has been allied with the PP, lost five of its 15 seats.
The PSOE's victory was celebrated in the street outside the party's headquarters in Calle Ferraz with shouts of "No war!" and "How happy we are, to live without Aznar", but also "Zapatero, don't fail us!". Consistent with the PSOE's long-standing opposition to the Iraq war, Rodríguez Zapatero had promised during the election campaign to withdraw Spanish troops from Iraq by June. Zapatero withdrew the troops shortly after taking office, a decision he justified on his belief that the United Nations was not likely to assume responsibility for Iraq after the U.S.-led occupation formally ended at the end of June, which was his criterion for allowing troops to stay. Subsequent events, indeed, bore out his prediction.
A feature of the result was the increased representation for the ERC, a minor left-wing party which has formed a coalition government with the PSOE in Catalonia. The Republican Left's leader, Josep-Lluís Carod-Rovira, had recently held meetings with the Basque separatist group ETA in France, a revelation which had forced his exit from the recently formed Catalan regional government and had become a campaign issue in the general election.
| Party | Leader(s) | Popular Vote | Seats | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | ||||||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party Partido Socialista Obrero Español – PSOE |
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | 11,026,123 | 42.59 | 8.43 |
164 | 39 |
||||
| People's Party Partido Popular – PP |
Mariano Rajoy Brey | 9,763,144 | 37.71 | 6.81 |
148 | 35 |
||||
| United Left Izquierda Unida – IU |
Gaspar Llamazares Trigo | 1,284,081 | 4.96 | 0.49 |
5 | 3 |
||||
| Convergence and Union Convergència i Unió – CiU |
Artur Mas i Gavarró | 835,471 | 3.23 | 0.96 |
10 | 5 |
||||
| Republican Left of Catalonia Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – ERC |
Josep-Lluís Carod-Rovira | 652,196 | 2.52 | 1.68 |
8 | 7 |
||||
| Basque Nationalist Party Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea – EAJ/PNV |
Josu Jon Imaz San Miguel | 420,980 | 1.63 | 0.10 |
7 | 0 |
||||
| Canarian Coalition Coalición Canaria – CC |
José Torres Stinga | 235,221 | 0.91 | 0.16 |
3 | 1 |
||||
| Galician Nationalist Bloc Bloque Nacionalista Galego – BNG |
Anxo Quintana González | 208,688 | 0.81 | 0.51 |
2 | 1 |
||||
| Aragonese Union Chunta Aragonesista – CHA |
Bizén Fuster Santaliestra | 94,252 | 0.36 | 0.03 |
1 | 0 |
||||
| Basque Solidarity Eusko Alkartasuna – EA |
Begoña Errazti Esnal | 80,905 | 0.31 | 0.12 |
1 | 0 |
||||
| Yes to Navarre Nafarroa Bai |
Uxue Barkos Berruezo | 61,045 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
1 | 1 |
||||
| Other parties | 821,398 | 3.17 | 0.01 |
0 | 2 |
|||||
| Blank votes | 407,795 | 1.56 | 0.02 |
|||||||
| Valid votes | 25,891,299 | 98.99 | 0.33 |
|||||||
| Invalid votes | 264,137 | 1.01 | 0.33 |
|||||||
| Totals and voter turnout | 26,155,436 | 75.66 | 6.95 |
350 | — | |||||
| Electorate | 34,571,831 | 100.00 | — | |||||||
| Source: Ministerio del Interior de España | ||||||||||
[edit]
| Electoral District | PSOE (2000) |
PP (2000) |
PSOE (2004) |
PP (2004) |
PSOE Change |
PP Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Coruña | 24.7 | 51.9 | 38.9 | 44.6 | 14.2 | -7.3 |
| Álava | 24.3 | 39.1 | 30.8 | 26.9 | 6.5 | -12.2 |
| Albacete | 41.2 | 51.2 | 46.3 | 46.9 | 5.1 | -4.3 |
| Alicante | 34.8 | 54.2 | 42.1 | 48.9 | 7.3 | -5.3 |
| Almería | 42.2 | 48.6 | 47.7 | 44.3 | 5.5 | -4.3 |
| Asturias | 37.0 | 46.3 | 43.4 | 43.8 | 6.4 | -2.5 |
| Ávila | 26.6 | 65.3 | 34.0 | 59.5 | 7.4 | -5.8 |
| Badajoz | 44.7 | 47.0 | 51.7 | 41.7 | 7.0 | -5.3 |
| Barcelona | 35.5 | 23.5 | 41.7 | 16.0 | 6.2 | -7.5 |
| Burgos | 29.0 | 58.3 | 38.9 | 52.0 | 9.9 | -6.3 |
| Cáceres | 44.6 | 47.7 | 50.5 | 43.5 | 5.9 | -4.2 |
| Cádiz | 39.4 | 41.2 | 50.7 | 33.6 | 11.3 | -7.6 |
| Cantabria | 33.4 | 56.8 | 40.9 | 51.9 | 7.5 | -4.9 |
| Castellón | 35.3 | 53.8 | 44.6 | 45.6 | 9.3 | -8.2 |
| Ceuta | 18.0 | 47.6 | 35.8 | 59.2 | 17.8 | 11.6 |
| Ciudad Real | 42.5 | 51.7 | 48.1 | 46.6 | 5.6 | -5.1 |
| Córdoba | 40.5 | 40.8 | 49.9 | 33.7 | 9.4 | -7.1 |
| Cuenca | 41.1 | 53.3 | 45.4 | 49.7 | 4.3 | -3.6 |
| Girona | 28.4 | 15.9 | 31.6 | 11.5 | 3.2 | -4.4 |
| Granada | 44.3 | 42.6 | 51.5 | 37.0 | 7.2 | -5.6 |
| Guadalajara | 36.0 | 54.4 | 44.1 | 47.6 | 11.6 | -6.8 |
| Guipúzcoa | 23.7 | 24.6 | 26.3 | 15.3 | 2.6 | -9.3 |
| Huelva | 46.9 | 40.1 | 56.2 | 30.6 | 9.3 | -9.5 |
| Huesca | 37.0 | 45.1 | 45.7 | 37.5 | 8.7 | -7.6 |
| Islas Baleares | 29.3 | 53.8 | 39.5 | 45.9 | 10.2 | -7.9 |
| Jaén | 47.7 | 40.3 | 54.4 | 34.1 | 6.7 | -6.2 |
| La Rioja | 34.8 | 54.1 | 44.0 | 49.9 | 9.2 | -4.2 |
| Las Palmas | 18.4 | 48.0 | 33.9 | 42.2 | 15.5 | -5.8 |
| León | 31.9 | 48.7 | 46.8 | 45.0 | 14.9 | -3.7 |
| Lleida | 27.6 | 21.0 | 29.6 | 14.6 | 2.0 | -6.4 |
| Lugo | 22.9 | 57.9 | 37.2 | 49.7 | 14.3 | -8.2 |
| Madrid | 33.0 | 52.5 | 44.1 | 45.0 | 11.1 | -7.5 |
| Málaga | 39.0 | 43.4 | 49.8 | 36.4 | 10.8 | -7.0 |
| Melilla | 20.4 | 49.8 | 41.4 | 54.6 | 21.0 | 4.8 |
| Murcia | 32.4 | 58.1 | 35.0 | 57.4 | 2.6 | -0.7 |
| Navarra | 27.3 | 49.9 | 33.6 | 37.6 | 6.3 | -12.3 |
| Ourense | 23.1 | 57.2 | 31.1 | 55.3 | 8.0 | -1.9 |
| Palencia | 35.8 | 55.5 | 43.1 | 50.2 | 7.3 | -5.3 |
| Pontevedra | 23.0 | 53.4 | 37.5 | 46.0 | 14.5 | -7.4 |
| Salamanca | 32.6 | 58.5 | 39.8 | 54.3 | 7.2 | -4.2 |
| Santa Cruz de Tenerife | 26.3 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 28.3 | 8.7 | -6.7 |
| Segovia | 30.8 | 57.5 | 39.9 | 52.4 | 9.1 | -5.1 |
| Sevilla | 49.0 | 35.0 | 58.3 | 27.9 | 9.3 | -7.1 |
| Soria | 32.0 | 58.4 | 38.8 | 50.8 | 6.8 | -7.6 |
| Tarragona | 32.4 | 24.3 | 35.5 | 17.0 | 3.1 | -7.3 |
| Teruel | 33.8 | 47.9 | 41.1 | 40.8 | 7.3 | -7.1 |
| Toledo | 40.2 | 52.7 | 46.5 | 47.5 | 6.3 | -5.2 |
| Valencia | 33.2 | 50.4 | 42.2 | 45.7 | 9.0 | -4.7 |
| Valladolid | 35.1 | 53.1 | 44.6 | 46.8 | 9.5 | -6.3 |
| Vizcaya | 22.8 | 27.2 | 26.8 | 18.7 | 4.0 | -8.5 |
| Zamora | 32.4 | 58.8 | 39.9 | 53.3 | 7.5 | -5.5 |
| Zaragoza | 29.1 | 47.6 | 40.3 | 35.5 | 11.2 | -12.1 |
| SPAIN TOTALS | 34.2 | 44.5 | 42.6 | 37.7 | 8.4 | -6.8 |
[edit] Party seat allocation by electoral district
[edit] Senate
In the Senate the PP won 102 seats to the PSOE's 81, a better result than in the lower house. Even so, this was a 28-seat gain for the PSOE and a 25-seat loss for the PP. In Catalonia, a combined Socialist-Republican left ticket won 12 Senate seats, and the Basque Nationalists won six.
| Parties | MPs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2004 | ± | ||||||||
| People's Party | 127 | 102 | ||||||||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party | 53 | 81 | ||||||||
| Entesa Catalana de Progrés | 8 | 12 | ||||||||
| Convergence and Union | 8 | 4 | ||||||||
| Basque Nationalist Party | 6 | 6 | ||||||||
| Canarian Coalition | 5 | 3 | ||||||||
| Independent Party of Lanzarote | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
| Total elected | 208 | 208 | ||||||||
| Members appointed by the regional legislatures | 51 | 51 | ||||||||
| Total | 259 | 259 | ||||||||
| Source: Ministerio del Interior de España | ||||||||||
The PSOE and its Catalan affiliate the PSC-ERC thus has 93 seats to the PP's 102. The rest of the nationalist parties, Catalan CiU, Basque EAJ-PNV, and Canary Islands CC are all conservative parties. Even if the six Basque Nationalists (EAJ-PNV), which are strongly at odds with the PP, vote with the left, the PP will still outvote them. The PSOE will thus need to gain the support of the Catalan and Canary Islands regionalists, the CiU and CC, to carry legislation in the Senate. Both parties have supported PSOE and PP governments in 1990-2000, when the largest party did not enjoy an absolute majority in the Congress.
It is possible that voters swung to the PSOE in the vote for the Congress of Deputies, which determines the government, but stuck with the PP in the voting for the Senate, thus placing a brake on a future socialist government. However, a swing in votes that fails to change who leads in a district has a larger effect in the Congress, with large numbers of seats per constituency allocated proportionally, that in the Senate, where constituencies elect up to four representatives and voters cast votes for up to three people (usually all from the same party).
[edit] Investiture voting
On April 16, PSOE's candidate José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero obtained an absolute majority in the investiture voting held in the Congress of Deputies, with the support of 183 votes: those of his party alongside five other political forces (the largest number of supporting parties for a candidate to the presidency) and was thus invested Prime Minister. This was the only investiture voting to date in which only a party, the PP, voted against a PM candidate.[2]
|
11 April 2008 |
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| Vote | Parties | Votes | ||
| PSOE (164), ERC (8), IU (5), CC (3), BNG (2), CHA (1) |
183 | |||
| No | PP (148) | 148 | ||
| Abstentions | CiU (10), PNV (7), EE (1), NaBai (1) | 19 | ||
[edit] References
[edit] Further reading
- Chari, Raj (November 2004). "The 2004 Spanish Election: Terrorism as a Catalyst for Change?". West European Politics 27 (5): 954–963. doi:10.1080/0140238042000283247.
[edit] External links
- Spanish Interior Ministry elections website
- People's Party
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
- Convergence and Unity
- Republican Left of Catalonia
- United Left
- Basque Nationalist Party
- Canarian Coalition
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