Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

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United States President Election Polling, 2012
United States
2008 ←
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) → 2016
Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available).

Leading presidential candidate 2012 by state Obama Romney.svg

214


185


  Difference within the margin of error
130


  No data
9


(270 electoral votes needed to win)
Light shading indicates old polling data.


Incumbent before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

President-elect

Barack Obama
Democratic

This article provides a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various Third party candidates.

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney[edit]

Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

AlabamaAlabama[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

AlaskaAlaska[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

ArizonaArizona[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
PPP November 2–3, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 53% 7 1,080 LV ±3%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 52% 8 702 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 52% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 52% 9 469 LV ±5.4%
Rocky Mountain Poll October 4–10, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 42% 2 523 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling October 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 53% 9 595 LV ±4.0%
M.Info/HighGround Public Affairs Consulting (R) September 25–26, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 46% 4 500 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 52% 10 500 LV ±4.5%
Purple Strategies September 15–19, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 51% 10 628 LV ±%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 53% 9 993 ±3.1%

ArkansasArkansas[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
The Arkansas Poll October 9–14, 2012 Barack Obama 31% Mitt Romney 58% 27 642 LV ±4.0%
Talk Business Poll September 17, 2012 Barack Obama 35% Mitt Romney 56% 21 2.228 LV ±2.0%

CaliforniaCalifornia[edit]

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 40% 15 1,575 LV ±--%
Field Research October 17–30, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 39% 15 1,566 LV ±2.6%
Pepperdine University October 21–28, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 33% 23 2,115 LV ±3%
USC October 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 38% 17 1,504 RV ±--%
PPIC October 14–21, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12 993 LV ±4.0%
Reason-Rupe October 11–15, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 38% 15 508 LV ±5.1%
CBRT/Pepperdine/M4 October 7–10, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 33% 21 830 LV ±3.4%
SurveyUSA October 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 39% 14 539 LV ±4.3%
Field/UC Berkeley September 5 – 17, 2012 Barack Obama 58% Mitt Romney 34% 24 1,171 RV ±3.4%
PPIC September 9 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 39% 14 995 LV ±4.4%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 39% 17 1,361 LV ±--%
CBRT/Pepperdine/M4 September 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 33% 22 802LV ±3.5%
SurveyUSA September 9-11, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 35% 22 524LV ±4.3%

ColoradoColorado[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 774 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 1,096 LV ±3%
Keating Research November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 603 LV ±4%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2 – November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 676 LV ±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 47% 2 973 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 752 LV ±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 46% Tied 1,052 LV ±3.4%
Public Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 825 LV ±-%
Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 47% 1 694 LV ±4.2%
Survey USA October 28–31, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 695 LV ±3.8%
CNN/ORC Poll October 26–31, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 48% 2 764 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 744 LV ±4.1%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 1,246 LV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 50% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
Project New America October 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
American Research Group October 25–28, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 904 LV ±3.3%
Purple Strategies October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
OnSight Public Affairs October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 502 LV ±4.4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 1,128 LV ±2.9%
Project New America October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 50% 4 500 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.0%
Project New America October 15–16, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
We Ask America October 15, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,206 LV ±2.9%
Gravis Marketing October 5–11, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 2,089 LV ±2.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA October 9–10, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 614 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS October 4–9, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,254 LV ±3.0%
American Research Group October 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
University Of Denver October 4–5, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 604 LV ±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 30 – October 2, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 50% 4 300 LV ±5.7%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,273 LV ±2.8%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 940 LV ±3.2%
Purple Strategies September 15 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 971 LV ±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports September 17, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS September 11–17, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,497 LV ±2.5%
American Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Project New America September 10–11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 503 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,001 LV ±3.1%

Three way race

Poll source Date Democratic  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 4% 6 740 ±3.2%

ConnecticutConnecticut[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 39% 15 895 LV ±3.6%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 42% 13 1,220 LV ±2.8%
Quinnipiac October 19–22, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 41% 14 1,412 LV ±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5%
SurveyUSA October 19–21, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 40% 13 575 LV ±4.2%
Public Policy Polling October 15–16, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9 1,015 LV ±3.1%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant October 11–16, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 37% 14 574 LV ±4.0%
Siena October 4–14, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 38% 15 552 LV ±4.2%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 39% 14 434 LV ±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Quinnipiac September 28 – October 2, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 42% 12 1,696 LV ±2.4%
Public Policy Polling September 24 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 41% 13 801 LV ±3.5%
UConn/Hartford Courant September 11 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 32% 21 508 LV ±4.4%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 40% 13 634 LV ±--%

DelawareDelaware[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

Washington, D.C.District of Columbia[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 Barack Obama 88% Mitt Romney 8% 80 1,222 LV ±2.8%

FloridaFlorida[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4–5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 1,060 LV ±3.1%
Zogby/Newsmax November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 47.8% Mitt Romney 47.7% 0.1 876 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 769 LV ±4%
Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 1,197 RV ±3.2%
Insider Advantage November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 52% 5 437 LV ±4.5%
PPP November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 955 LV ±3.2%
Zogby/Newsmax November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50.4% Mitt Romney 45.2% 5.2 826 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 46% Tied 743 LV ±4.1%
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 1,107 RV ±3.4%
Zogby/Newsmax November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 46.9% Mitt Romney 49.2% 2.3 823 LV ±3.5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 525 LV ±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 946 LV ±3.6%
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% 4 1,257 RV ±3.2%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,621 LV ±3%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 985 LV ±3.6%
Mellman Group October 30 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 800 LV ±3.4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 1,545 LV ±2.5%
Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 897 LV ±3.7%
Mason Dixon October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 51% 6 800 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 716 LV ±4.2%
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 963 RV ±4%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 48.9% Mitt Romney 49.8% 0.9 1,146 LV ±3%
Gravis Marketing October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 50% 3 549 LV ±4.2%
Zogby/Newsmax October 28–30, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 825 LV ±3.5%
Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 50% 2 1,000 LV ±3%
Grove Insight October 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 600 LV ±4%
Zogby/Newsmax October 27–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 828 LV ±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax October 26–28, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 827 LV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 687 LV ±3.7%
CNN/Opinion Research October 25–28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 50% 1 770 LV ±3.5%
Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 914 RV ±3%
CBS/Quinnipiac University October 23–28, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,073 LV ±3%
SurveyUSA October 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 595 LV/AV ±4.1%
Mellman Group October 24–27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 800 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4.0%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 50% 1 1,182 LV ±2.8%
Project New America October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Sunshine State News October 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 51% 5 1,001 LV ±3.1%
Pharos Research October 19–21, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 759 LV ±3.56%
Mellman October 18–21, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 800 LV ±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 51% 5 502 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 51% 5 750 LV ±4.0%
CNN October 17–18, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 681 LV ±4.0%
JZ Analytics/Newsmax October 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 841 LV ±--%
Newsmax/Zogby October 14–16, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 828 LV ±n/a
Public Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 791 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 51% 4 750 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group October 8–11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Mason-Dixon October 8–10, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 51% 7 800 LV ±3.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 988 ±3.1%
UNF Poll October 1–9, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 790 ±3.5%
We Ask America October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49% 3 1,200 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2 500 LV ±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 29 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 1,191 LV ±3.3%
Gravis Marketing September 29 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 914 LV ±3.4%
InsiderAdvantage September 24, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 540 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS September 18 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9 1,196 LV ±3.0%
Washington Post September 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 769 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 861 LV ±3.3%
American Research Group September 20–22, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4%
Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon September 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 800 LV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies September 15 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
We Ask America September 18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,230 LV ±2.82%
FOX NEWS Poll September 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 829 LV ±3.0%
Gravis Marketing September 15–16, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,728 LV ±2.5%
Rasmussen Reports September 12, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9-11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 980 LV ±3.1%
Mclaughlin & Associates (R) September 9–10, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 50% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 596 LV ±4.1%
Gravis Marketing September 2, 2012 Barack Obama 46.7% Mitt Romney 48% 1.3 1,288 LV ±2.7%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,548 LV ±2.5%

Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 52% 8 1,070 LV ±3.5%
Insight, LLC October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 52% 6 1,316 LV ±2.7%
SurveyUSA October 25–28, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 52% 8 574 LV ±4.2%
Abt SRBI Inc/Atlanta Journal-Constitution October 8–11, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 51% 8 706 LV ±5.0%
Insider Advantage September 18, 2012 Barack Obama 35% Mitt Romney 56% 21 483 LV ±4.5%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 51% 7 1,020 LV ±--%

HawaiiHawaii[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Merriman River Group October 24–26, 2012 Barack Obama 61% Mitt Romney 34% 27 1,218 ±2.8%
Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG September 26–28, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 30% 32 1,648 ±2.4%

IdahoIdaho[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon October 8–10, 2012 Barack Obama 27% Mitt Romney 63% 36 625 LV ±4%

IllinoisIllinois[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 38% 19 1,126 LV ±3.3%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 41% 16 1,198 LV ±2.95%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Barack Obama 58% Mitt Romney 38% 20 850 LV ±3.9%
Chicago Tribune/WGN October 4–8, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 36% 19 700 RV ±3.7%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 36% 23 1,086 ±--%
We Ask Ameria September 5, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 37% 17 1,382 ±2.8%

IndianaIndiana[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 51% 7 768 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 52% 9 600 LV ±4.0%
DePauw University October 28–30, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 51% 10 800 LV ±3.5%
Pharos Research October 26–28, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 55% 13 753 LV ±3.5%
McLaughlin October 24–25, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 55% 14 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 10–11, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 54% 13 600 LV ±4.0%
Howey-Depauw September 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 52% 12 800 LV ±3.5%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 50% 5 628 ±4.0%

IowaIowa[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 48% 2 1,122 LV ±2.9%
American Research Group November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 600 LV ±4%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,040 LV ±3.5%
Grove Insight November 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Des Moines Register October 30 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5 800 LV ±3.5%
Gravis Marketing November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 594 LV ±4.0%
Mellman Group October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 48.8% Mitt Romney 47.3% 1.5 1,174 LV ±3%
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 750 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling October 29–30, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 676 LV ±3.8%
NBC/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,142 LV ±3%
University of Iowa October 18–27, 2012 Barack Obama 44.4% Mitt Romney 45.2% 0.8 320 LV ±5.6%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 517 LV ±4.3%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 690 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 18–19, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 660 LV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling October 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 869 LV ±3.3%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 1,137 LV ±2.9%
We Ask America October 15, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,499 LV ±2.6%
American Research Group October 11–14, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America September 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 1,064 LV ±3.1%
Public Policy Polling September 24–26, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 754 LV ±3.6%
American Research Group September 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports September 19, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 898 LV ±3.3%

KansasKansas[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

KentuckyKentucky[edit]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Survey USA September 11–13, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 53% 14 606 LV ±4.1%

LouisianaLouisiana[edit]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Magellan Strategies October 2 – 4, 2012 Barack Obama 36.2% Mitt Romney 58.8% 22.6 2,682 LV ±1.9%
Clarus Research September 5 – 7, 2012 Barack Obama 37% Mitt Romney 53% 16 602 LV ±4.0%

MaineMaine[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 53.3% Mitt Romney 42.2% 11.1 905 LV ±3.26%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 42% 13 1,633 LV ±2.4%
Critical Insights October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 613 LV ±4%
Pan Atlantic SMS September 24–28, 2012 Barack Obama 50.8% Mitt Romney 36.8% 14 400 LV ±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 40% 12 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 17–18, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 39% 16 804 LV ±3.5%

MarylandMaryland[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 37% 22 705 LV ±4.1%
OpinionWorks October 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 36% 19 801 LV ±3.5%
Washington Post October 11 – 15, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 36% 24 843 LV ±4.0%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 58% Mitt Romney 37% 21 498 LV ±5.2%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies September 17–23, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 36% 19 813 ±3.5%

MassachusettsMassachusetts[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
University of Massachusetts October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 37% 20 800 LV ±4.1%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 37% 20 811 LV ±3.6%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 42% 15 1,089 LV ±3%
West New England University October 26 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 58% Mitt Romney 40% 18 535 LV ±4%
Suffolk October 25 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 63% Mitt Romney 31% 32 600 LV ±4.0%
Boston Globe/UNH October 24 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 38% 14 583 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 40% 19 500 LV ±4.5%
MassINC/WBUR October 21 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 36% 20 516 LV ±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting October 18 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 39% 16 761 LV ±3.48%
Public Policy Polling October 15 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 39% 18 709 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 42% 15 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 9 – 10, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 41% 14 1,051 LV ±3.0%
UMass Amherst October 2 – 8, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 34% 21 437 LV ±5.4%
MassINC/WBUR October 5 – 7, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 36% 16 501 LV ±4.4%
W.N.E. University September 28 – October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 63% Mitt Romney 33% 30 516 RV ±4.3%
WBUR September 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 32% 28 504 LV ±4.4%
Boston Globe/UNH September 21 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 30% 27 502 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports September 24, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 40% 15 500 LV ±4.5%
UMass Lowell/Herald September 13 – 17, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 36% 24 497 LV ±5.5%
Public Policy Polling September 13 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 39% 18 876 LV ±3.3%
Suffolk University September 13 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 64% Mitt Romney 31% 33 600 LV ±4.0%
WNEU/MassLive.com September 6 – 13, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 38% 22 444 LV ±4.6%
Kimball Political Consulting September 7 – 9, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 40% 16 756 LV ±3.5%

MichiganMichigan[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mitchell Research November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 1,305 LV ±2.7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 47% 5 502 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 700 LV ±3.7%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 1,091 LV ±3.3%
Baydoun Foster November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 46.24% Mitt Romney 46.86% 0.62 1,913 LV ±2.24%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 47% 5 750 LV ±4%
Grove Insight October 31 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7 500 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 500 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 45% 8 500 LV ±4.4%
Glengarriff Group October 27–29, 2012 Barack Obama 47.7% Mitt Romney 45% 2.7 600 LV ±4%
EPIC-MRA October 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 600 LV ±4%
Baydoun Consulting October 22–23, 2012 Barack Obama 46.92% Mitt Romney 46.56% 0.36 1,122 LV ±2.9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 43% 9 551 LV ±4.2%
EPIC-MRA October 17, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 800 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5%
Detroit News October 6 – 8, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
Gravis Marketing October 5 – 8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 1,122 LV ±3.2%
EPIC-MRA October 4 – 6, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
FMWB (D) October 5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,122 LV ±2.93%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 40% 12 1,064 LV ±3.1%
Gravis Marketing September 21 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 804 LV ±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 42% 12 500 LV ±4.5%
CNN/ORC Poll September 14–18, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 44% 8 754 LV ±3.5%
Detroit News September 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 38% 14 600 LV ±4%
Marketing Resource Group (R) September 10–14, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 600 LV ±4.0%
FMWB (D) September 12, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 1,156 LV ±2.88%
EPIC-MRA September 8–10, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 37% 10 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 815 LV ±3.4%

MinnesotaMinnesota[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 45% 8 1,164 LV ±2.9%
Survey USA November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 41% 11 556 LV ±4.2%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 790 LV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9 772 LV ±-%
NMB Research October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.38%
Survey USA October 26–28, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 574 LV ±4.2%
Mason Dixon October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 800 LV ±3.5%
St. Cloud State University October 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 45% 8 601 LV ±5%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Survey USA October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 40% 10 550 LV ±4.3%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 44% 8 683 LV ±4.2%
NMB Research (R) October 7 – 8, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 500 LV ±4.38%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 43% 10 937 LV ±3.2%
The ST Minnesota/Mason-Dixon September 10–11, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 824 ±3.4%
SurveyUSA September 6–9, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 40% 10 N/A ±4.3%

MississippiMississippi[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

MissouriMissouri[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 53% 8 835 LV ±3.4%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 53% 11 779 LV ±3.8%
Survey USA October 28 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 50% 7 589 LV ±4.1%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 42.2% Mitt Romney 53.8% 11.6 1,217 LV ±2.9%
Mason-Dixon October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 54% 13 624 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 52% 6 582 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports October 12 – 13, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 54% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Wenzel Strategies October 12 – 13, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 55% 14 1,000 LV ±3.07%
Public Policy Polling October 1 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 51% 6 700 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 1,145 LV ±2.9%
Chilenski Strategies/Missouri Scout September 20, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 50% 6 817 LV ±3.4%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 50% 7 734 LV ±--%
Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5%

MontanaMontana[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 52% 7 836 LV ±3.4%
Mason Dixon October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 53% 10 625 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 53% 10 500 LV ±4.5%
Pharos Research Group October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 42.7% Mitt Romney 50.4% 7.7 799 LV ±3.5%
Pharos Research Group October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 48% 7 828 LV ±3.4%
Public Policy Polling October 15 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 53% 10 806 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 53% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 8 – 10, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 52% 11 737 LV ±3.6%
Mellman (D-JET PAC) September 23 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 48% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Mason Dixon September 19, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 51% 9 625 RV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 50% 5 956 LV ±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source Date Democratic  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mason Dixon September 19, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 51% Gary Johnson 2% 9

NebraskaNebraska[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
We Ask America November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 54% 13 1,178 LV ±2.95%
Pharos Research Group October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 58% 19 761 LV ±3.5%
Wiese Research October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 38% Mitt Romney 52% 14 800 LV ±3.5%
Pharos Research Group October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 51% 10 783 LV ±3.5%
Wiese Research September 17 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 51% 11 800 LV ±3.5%

2nd Congressional District

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Wiese Research October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 49% 5 679 LV ±3.8%
Pharos Research Group October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 N/A N/A
Wiese Research September 17 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 44% Tied

NevadaNevada[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 750 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 732 LV ±4.1%
Mellman Group October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 600 LV ±4%
SurveyUSA October 23–29, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 1,212 LV ±2.9%
Grove Insight October 27–28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 500 LV ±4.4%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 955 LV ±3.2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 1,042 LV ±3%
Public Policy Polling October 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 636 LV ±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group October 19 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Project New America October 15–16, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 500 LV ±4.4%
SurveyUSA/Las Vegas RJ October 11–15, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 806 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 358 LV ±6.7%
Public Policy Polling October 8–10, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 594 LV ±4%
Suffolk University October 6–9, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing October 3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,006 LV ±3.1%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 42% 11 1,152 LV ±3.1%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 984 LV ±3.1%
American Research Group September 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 18 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 43% 9 501 LV ±4.4%
CNN/ORC Poll September 14–18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 741 LV ±3.5%

Three way race

Poll source Date Democratic candidate  % Republican candidate  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
WeAskAmerica September 27-27, 2012 Barack Obama 52.5% Mitt Romney 42% Gary Johnson 2.3 % 10.5 1,152 ±3.1%

New HampshireNew Hampshire[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
New England College November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 687 LV ±3.7%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 48% 2 1,550 LV ±2.5%
ARG November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 600 LV ±4%
University of New Hampshire November 1–4, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 48% 3 789 LV ±3.5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 690 LV ±4.1%
University of New Hampshire October 31 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 502 LV ±4.4%
Gravis Marketing November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 497 LV ±4.3%
New England College October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,017 LV ±3.7%
NBC/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 1,013 LV ±3%
Public Policy Polling October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 874 LV ±3.3%
Lake Research October 24 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5 400 LV ±5%
Grove Insight/Project New America (D) October 24 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
New England College October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 571 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 50% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group October 19 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Lake Research October 18 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 400 LV ±4.9%
UNH October 17 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 773 LV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling October 17 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 1,036 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Suffolk University October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.4%
American Research Group October 9 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
UNH/WMUR September 30 – October 6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 41% 6 638 ±4.1%
UNH/WMUR September 27 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 39% 15 638 ±4.0%
American Research Group September 25 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 1,012 ±3.1%
GQR (D-NH Democratic Party) September 15 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45% 7 600 ±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group September 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 463 LV ±%
UNH/WMUR September 4–10, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 40% 5 592 LV ±4.0%

New JerseyNew Jersey[edit]

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12 987 LV ±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D) October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 41% 10 601 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac University October 10 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 1,319 LV ±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D) October 4 – 8, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 40% 11 604 LV ±4.0%
Rutgers-Eagleton September 27 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 39% 17 645 LV ±3.8%
Monmouth University September 19 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 37% 15 613 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 40% 12 1,040 LV ±--%
Philadelphia Inquirer September 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 37% 14 600 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac August 27 – September 2, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 1,471 LV ±2.6%

New MexicoNew Mexico[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 650 LV ±--%
Public Opinion Strategies October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 41% 8 500 LV ±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 41% 9 662 LV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9 727 LV ±n/a%
Albuquerque Journal October 9-11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 39% 10 658 LV ±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 43% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports September 27, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 40% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 17 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 43% 9 3,111 LV ±1.8%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 42% 11 1,122 LV ±2.9%
The Albuquerque Journal September 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 40% 5 667 LV ±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source Date Democratic  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Opinion Strategies October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 41% Gary Johnson 6% 8 500 LV ±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 41% Gary Johnson 5% 9 662 LV ±3.8%
Albuquerque Journal October 9-11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 39% Gary Johnson 6% 10 658 LV ±3.8%
WeAskAmerica September 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 50.9% Mitt Romney 40.6% Gary Johnson 3.9% 10.3 1,258 LV ±2.58%
The Albuquerque Journal September 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 40% Gary Johnson 7% 5 667 LV ±3.8%

New YorkNew York[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 36% 23 1,430 LV ±2.8%
SurveyUSA October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 33% 29 554 LV ±4.1%
Siena October 22 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 35% 24 750 LV ±3.6%
Marist October 18 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 61% Mitt Romney 35% 26 565 LV ±4.1%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 35% 24 1,142 LV ±3.2%
Quinnipiac September 4–9, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 34% 28 1,486 LV ±2.5%

North CarolinaNorth Carolina[edit]

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 50% 4 1,130 LV ±2.9%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 926 LV ±3.2%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2 1,500 LV ±2.8%
Public Policy Polling October 29 – 31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 730 LV ±3.6%
High Point University October 22–30, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 403 LV ±5%
Survey USA October 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 50% 5 682 LV ±3.8%
Elon University October 21 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied 1,238 LV ±2.79%
Grove Insight/Project New America (D) October 23 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 52% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 880 LV ±3.3%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 53% 8 1,723 LV ±2.4%
Civitas Institute October 20–21, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4%
Grove Insight/Project New America (D) October 17 – 18, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 52% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2 1,084 LV ±3.0%
High Point University/UNC September 29 – October 10, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 605 RV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 51% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing October 6–8, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 50% 9 1,325 LV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 51% 4 500 LV ±4.5%
Survery USA September 29 – October 1, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 573 LV ±4.2%
American Research Group September 28 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling September 27 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 981 LV ±3.1%
Civitas Institute (R) September 18–19, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 600 LV ±4%
Purple Strategist September 15–19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 600 LV ±4%
HPU/FOX8 Poll September 8–13, 15–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 448 RV ±4.7%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 51% 6 500 RV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,087 LV ±3.0%
Civitas/SurveyUSA September 4–6, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 53% 10 500 RV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – Sept 2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 1,012 LV ±3.1%

North DakotaNorth Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mason Dixon October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 54% 14 625 LV ±4%
Pharos Research October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 37.8% Mitt Romney 54.6% 16.8 752 LV ±3.6%
Pharos Research October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 39.3% Mitt Romney 49.4% 10.1 807 LV ±3.44%
Rasmussen Reports October 17 – 18, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 54% 14 600 LV ±4.0%
Essman Research October 12 – 15, 2012 Barack Obama 32% Mitt Romney 57% 25 500 LV ±4.4%
Mason-Dixon October 3 – 5, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 54% 14 625 LV ±4.0%
DFM Research (D-ND Dems/NPL) September 24 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 51% 12 600 LV ±4.0%

OhioOhio[edit]

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4–5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,316 LV ±2.7%
Zogby/Newsmax November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 50.9% Mitt Romney 43.5% 7.4 832 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 680 LV ±4.3%
Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 41% 9 1,040 RV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 750 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 47% 5 1,000 LV ±3.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 48% 3 572 LV ±4.1%
Zogby/Newsmax November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 50.1% Mitt Romney 44% 6.1 831 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 712 LV ±4.2%
Survey USA November 1–4, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 803 LV ±3.5%
University of Cincinnati October 31 – November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 901 LV ±3.3%
Zogby/Newsmax November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 50.2% Mitt Romney 42.3% 7.9 827 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 1,031 LV ±3.5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,620 LV ±3%
Columbus Dispatch October 24 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 48% 2 1,501 LV ±2.2%
Grove Insight November 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 500 LV ±4.4%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 1,012 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 750 LV ±4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 971 LV ±3.1%
We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 1,649 LV ±2.6%
CNN October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 796 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 936 LV ±3.7%
Wenzel Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49% 3 1,281 LV ±2.7%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 885 LV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling October 29 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4.0%
Zogby/Newsmax October 28 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 826 LV ±3.5%
University of Cincinnati October 25 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 1,182 LV ±2.9%
Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 1,000 LV ±3%
Grove Insight October 28 – 29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Zogby/Newsmax October 27 – 29, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 825 LV ±3.5%
SurveyUSA October 26 – 29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 603 LV/AV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4%
Pharos Research October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 765 LV ±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 827 LV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling October 26 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 718 LV ±3.7%
CBS/Quinnipiac University October 23 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 1,110 LV ±3%
Gravis Marketing October 27, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 730 LV ±3.6%
Mellman Group October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 600 LV ±4%
CNN/ORC Poll October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 741 RV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Time Magazine October 22 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 783 LV ±3%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 750 LV ±4.0%
Lake Research October 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
University of Cincinnati October 18 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tied 1,015 LV ±3.1%
SurveyUSA October 20 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 609 LV ±4.1%
Pharos Research October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 49.9% Mitt Romney 45.2% 4.7 810 LV ±3.44%
Suffolk University October 18 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 600 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac/CBS News Poll October 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 1,548 LV ±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 550 LV ±4.2%
Public Policy Polling October 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 532 LV ±4.3%
Gravis Marketing October 18 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 1,943 LV ±2.2%
Fox News Poll October 17–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 1,131 LV ±3%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 750 LV ±4.0%
SurveyUSA October 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% 3 613 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 12–13, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 880 LV ±3.3%
JZ Analytics/Newsmax October 9 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 835 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 750 LV ±4.0%
Gravis Marketing October 6 – 10, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 1,313 LV ±2.7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7 – 9, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 994 LV ±3.1%
JZ Analytics/Newsmax October 7 – 9, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% 4 842 LV ±3.4%
Survey USA October 5 – 9, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 808 LV ±3.5%
CNN/ORC Poll October 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 722 LV ±3.5%
American Research Group October 5 – 8, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,200 LV ±3.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 30 – October 1, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 931 LV ±3.2%
Public Policy Polling September 27 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 897 LV ±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch September 19 – 29, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 1,662 RV ±2.2%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS Poll September 18 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 43% 10 1,162 LV ±3.0%
Washington Post September 19 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 44% 8 759 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing September 21 – 22, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 594 LV ±4.3%
Purple Strategies September 15 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Poll September 13 – 18, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 861 LV ±3.3%
FOX NEWS Poll September 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 1,009 LV ±3.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 979 LV ±3.1%
American Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 1,072 LV ±3.0%
Gravis Marketing September 7–8, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 1,548 LV ±2.7%
Gravis Marketing September 2, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 47% 3 1,381 RV ±2.9%

Three way race

Poll source Date Democratic  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing September 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 38% Gary Johnson 11% 7 594 ±4.3%
Gravis Marketing September 7–8, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 5% 2 1,548 ±2.7%

OklahomaOklahoma[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
SoonerPoll October 18 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 33% Mitt Romney 59% 26 305 LV ±5.6%

OregonOregon[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 921 LV ±3.2%
Elway Research October 25 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 41% 6 405 LV ±5%
Hoffman Research October 24 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5 615 LV ±3.9%
Survey USA October 16 – 18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 579 LV ±4.2%
Survey USA September 10–13, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 41% 9 552 LV ±4.3%

PennsylvaniaPennsylvania[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,060 LV ±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2 – 4, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 507 LV ±4.2%
Public Policy Polling November 2 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 46% 6 790 LV ±3.5%
Muhlenberg College November 1 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 430 LV ±5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 44% 8 1,273 LV ±3.3%
Susquehanna Polling (R) October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 800 LV ±3.5%
Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,000 LV ±3%
Franklin & Marshall College October 23–28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 547 LV ±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 600 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing October 21, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 887 LV ±3.3%
Pharos Research October 19 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 49.5% Mitt Romney 45.5% 4 760 LV ±3.55%
Muhlenberg October 17 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 444 LV ±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 42% 10 559 LV ±4.2%
Quinnipiac October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 1,519 LV ±2.5%
Public Policy Polling October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 500 LV ±4.4%
Muhlenberg October 10 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 438 LV ±5.0%
Philadelphia Inquirer October 11, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Susquehanna (R) October 4 – 6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 725 LV ±3.64%
Siena October 1 – 5, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 40% 3 545 LV ±4.2%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 427 LV ±5.0%
Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS September 18–24, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 42% 12 1,180 LV ±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall College September 18–23, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 43% 9 392 LV ±4.9%
Susquehanna (R) September 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 800 LV ±3.46%
Mercyhurst University September 12–20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 40% 8 522 LV ±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports September 19, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 39% 12 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America September 18, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 1,214 LV ±2.8%
Muhlenberg College September 10–16, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 41% 9 640 LV ±4.0%
Philadelphia Inquirer September 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 39% 11 600 LV ±4%

Rhode IslandRhode Island[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Fleming & Associates October 24–27, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 33% 21 601 LV ±4%
Brown University September 26 – October 5, 2012 Barack Obama 58% Mitt Romney 32% 26 471 LV ±4.4%
Fleming & Associates September 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 57.3% Mitt Romney 33.1% 24.2 501 LV ±4.38%

South CarolinaSouth Carolina[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South DakotaSouth Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Neilson Brothers October 28–31, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 50% 8 671 LV ±3.78%

TennesseeTennessee[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 53% 11 697 LV ±4%
Middle Tennessee State University October 16 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 34% Mitt Romney 59% 25 609 LV ±4%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 52% 9 484 LV ±5%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 50% 8 694 LV ±--%

TexasTexas[edit]

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 38% Mitt Romney 57% 19 1,563 LV ±3.2%
Texas U/Texas Tribune October 15 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 55% 16 540 LV ±4.22%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 55% 14 958 LV ±4.5%
Texas Lyceum September 10 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 58% 19 1,175 RV ±4.66%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (R) September 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 55% 15 1,000 LV ±3.1%

UtahUtah[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Deseret News/KSL October 26 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 26% Mitt Romney 69% 43 870 LV ±3.4%
Key Research October 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 20% Mitt Romney 71% 51 500 LV ±4.4%
Insider Advantage October 8–13, 2012 Barack Obama 21% Mitt Romney 74% 53 n/a ±7.6%

VermontVermont[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

VirginiaVirginia[edit]

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Zogby/Newsmax November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 48.5% Mitt Romney 47.9% 0.6 800 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 828 LV ±3.9%
49% 42% 7 1,111 RV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 975 LV ±3.1%
Zogby/Newsmax November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 51.8% Mitt Romney 44.2% 7.6 814 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 662 LV ±4.3%
Zogby/Newsmax November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 50.4% Mitt Romney 44.2% 6.2 819 LV ±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 947 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 1,497 LV ±2.7%
NBC/Marist College November 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,165 LV ±2.9%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 1,065 LV ±3.4%
Mellman Group October 30 – November 2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 800 LV ±3.4%
We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,069 LV ±3%
Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 792 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling October 30 – 31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 703 LV ±4.2%
Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,000 LV ±3%
Zogby/Newsmax October 28 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 800 LV ±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax October 27–29, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 49% 4 829 LV ±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax October 26–28, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 1,076 LV ±3%
CBS/Quinnipiac University October 23 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 1,074 LV ±3%
Garin Hart Yang October 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 807 LV ---
Gravis Marketing October 26, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 645 LV ±3.9%
Roanoke College October 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 49% 5 638 LV ±4%
Washington Post Poll October 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 1,228 LV ±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied 834 LV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies October 23 – 25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4.0%
Fox News October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 47% 2 1126 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling October 23 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 722 LV ±3.6%
JZ Analytic October 22 – 24, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 832 LV ±3.5%
Mellman October 18 – 21, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 800 LV ±3.46%
Wenzel Strategies (R) October 19 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2 1,000 LV ±3.07%
Public Policy Polling October 18 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 50% 3 750 LV ±4.0%
Old Dominion University September 19 – October 17, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 465 LV ±3.4%
Public Policy Polling October 15 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 733 LV ±3.6%
American Research Group October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Kimball Political Consulting October 12 – 13, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 54% 11 696 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2 750 LV ±4.0%
McLaughlin October 8–9, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 51% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 981 LV ±3.1%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS October 4–9, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 1,288 LV ±2.7%
Public Policy Polling October 4–7, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 725 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 1,200 LV ±3.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 30 – October 1, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 1,273 RV ±3.1%
Roanoke College September 19 – 28, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 40% 8 589 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group September 24 – 27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Suffolk University September 24 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Purple Strategies September 15 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
FOX NEWS Poll September 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 43% 7 1,006 LV ±3.0%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS September 11–17, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 1,474 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 1,021 LV ±3.1%
Washington Post September 12–16, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 44% 8 847 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9-11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 996 LV ±3.1%
Gravis Marketing September 8–9, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 49% 5 2,238 LV ±2.2%

Four way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Constitution  % Lead margin
Suffolk University September 24 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% Gary Johnson 1% Virgil Goode 1% 2

Washington (state)Washington[edit]

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 40% 14 837 LV ±--%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 46% 7 932 LV ±3.2%
Survey USA October 28 – 31, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 40% 14 555 LV ±4.2%
University of Washington October 18 – 31, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 36% 21 632 LV ±3.9%
Strategies 360 October 17 – 20, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 39% 13 500 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling October 15 – 16, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 574 LV ±--%
The Washington Poll October 1–16, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 41% 11 782 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 42% 13 500 LV ±4.5%
SurveyUSA October 12 – 14, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 40% 14 543 LV ±4.3%
SurveyUSA September 28 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 36% 20 540 LV ±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports September 26, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 41% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing September 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 39% 17 625 RV ±4.6%
Elway September 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 36% 17 405 RV ±5.0%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 42% 11 563 ±n/a%
KING5NEWS/SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 38% 16 700 ±4.4%

West VirginiaWest Virginia[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

WisconsinWisconsin[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 46% 7 482 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling November 2 – 3, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 48% 3 1,256 LV ±2.8%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 1,225 LV ±3.1%
Grove Insight November 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 500 LV ±4.4%
We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45% 7 1,210 LV ±3%
Wenzel Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 1,074 LV ±3%
Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,000 LV ±3%
Public Policy Polling October 29–30, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 825 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tie 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,065 LV ±3%
St. Norbert College October 25–29, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 402 LV ±5%
Marquette University October 25–28, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 1,243 LV ±2.8%
Grove Insight October 24–25, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 49% Tie 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 827 LV ±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 46% 5 502 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Mason Dixon October 15 – 17, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 625 LV ±4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 15 – 17, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 1,295 RV ±3.1%
Pulse Opinion Research October 15, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 1,000 LV ±3%
Marquette University October 11- 14, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1 870 LV ±3.4%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 47% 4 639 LV ±4.9%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS October 4–9, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 1,327 LV ±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 49% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 4 – 6, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 979 LV ±3.1%
Marquette University September 27 – 30, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 42% 11 894 LV ±3.3%
We Ask America September 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12 1,238 LV ±2.8%
Public Policy Polling September 18 – 19, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45% 7 842 LV ±3.4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 16 – 18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 968 LV ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports September 17, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
Marquette University September 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 40% 14 601 LV ±3%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS September 11–17, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 1,485 LV ±3.0%

Three way race

Poll source Date Democratic  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
We Ask America September 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 52.5% Mitt Romney 41.0% Gary Johnson 1.2% 12 1,238 LV ±2.8%

WyomingWyoming[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%

No polls conducted

See also[edit]

External links[edit]