Theodore Modis

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Theodore Modis (born 1943) is a strategic business analyst, futurist, physicist, and international consultant. He specializes in applying fundamental scientific concepts to predicting social phenomena. In particular he uses the logistic function or S-curve to forecast markets, product sales, primary-energy substitutions, the diffusion of technologies, and generally any process that grows in competition.[1][2] He is a vehement critic of the concept of the Technological Singularity.[3]

He currently lives in Lugano, Switzerland.

Education[edit]

He went to Columbia University, New York, where he received a Masters in Electrical Engineering and a Ph.D. in physics. His secondary education was in Greece at Anatolia College in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Career[edit]

Modis carried out research in particle physics experiments at Brookhaven National Laboratories and CERN, before moving to work at Digital Equipment Corporation for more than a decade as the head of a management science consultants group. He has taught at Columbia University, the University of Geneva, the European business schools INSEAD and IMD, and was a professor at DUXX Graduate School of Business Leadership in Monterrey, Mexico between 1998-2001. He has been in the advisory board of the international journal Technological Forecasting & Social Change since 1991.[4] He is also the founder of Growth Dynamics, a Swiss-based organization specializing in business strategy, strategic forecasting and management consulting.[5]

Publications[edit]

He has published about one hundred articles in scientific and in business journals, as well as eight books: Predictions, Conquering Uncertainty, An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street (treating the New York Stock Exchange as an ecosystem), Predictions: 10 Years Later, Bestseller Driven, Street Science, Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker, Decision-Making for a New World, and An S-shaped Adventure: "Predictions" 20 Years Later. His books have appeared in a number of other languages; Predictions has been translated into German, Japanese, and Greek, and Conquering Uncertainty has been translated into Chinese Long Form, Chinese Short Form, Greek, and Dutch.

Distinctions[edit]

  • 1997 Outstanding-Paper-of-the-Year Award in the international Journal "Technological Forecasting & Social Change"
  • Dean's List during undergraduate at Columbia University
  • First in class during High School at Anatolia

Praise for Predictions[edit]

  • "Interesting, well written, enjoyable, controversial, thought-provoking." - Simon van der Meer, Physicist, Nobel Prize 1984
  • "A lot of highly selective fun re-invoking much in my own past experiences." - George Wald, professor emeritus of biology at Harvard, Nobel Prize 1967
  • "A fascinating book." - Kosta Tsipis, Professor of Physics at MIT; Leader of the Program inScience and Technology for International Security
  • "Predictions helped me think much more clearly about the world around me." - Thomas Dorsey, Author of Point & Figure Charting
  • "I feel there is much wisdom in the book about life in general in a variety of ways...it provided some profound insights to me." - Ken Ferlic, Physicist
  • "[Modis'] contributions will help me become an even better dad and husband." - Hamilton Lews II, Market Analyst

iPhone/iPad Applications[edit]

He has created two applications for iPhone/iPad, The S_Curve and Biorhythm_Science. Together with Vasco Almeida they created applications that forecast stock prices like species by treating the stock market as an ecosystem: Stock Fcsts and 2Stock Fcsts for the iPhone and Stocks' Futures and 2Stocks' Future for the iPad.[6]

Partial bibliography[edit]

  • An S-Shaped Adventure - "Predictions" 20 Years Later, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, November 2014.
  • An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street - Survival of the Fittest Reigns at the Stock Market, Growth Dynamics, Geneva, Switzerland, April 1999.
  • Conquering Uncertainty: Understanding Corporate Cycles and Positioning Your Company to Survive the Changing Environment BusinessWeek Books, McGraw-Hill, New York, June 1998.
  • Predictions - Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future, Simon & Schuster, New York, 1992.
  • Predictions: - 10 Years Later, Growth Dynamics, Geneva, Switzerland, October 2000.
  • Bestseller Driven, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, 2005.
  • Street Science - A Physicist's Wanderings off the Beaten Track, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, 2009.
  • Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker - How to Use Science-Based Methodologies to See more Clearly further into the Future, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, July 2013.
  • Decision-Making for a New World: Natural Laws of Evolution and Competition as a Road Map to Revolutionary New Management, Campus Verlag-editionMALIK, Frankfurt, December 2014.
  • Long-term GDP forecasts and the prospects for growth,Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 80, No. 8, 2013.
  • Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 69, No 4, 2002 - an essay about the growth of complexity in the universe.
  • The Limits of Complexity and Change,The Futurist, (May-June 2003) 26-32.

External links[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Modis, Theodore (2013). "Long-Term GDP Forecasts and the Prospects for Growth". Technological Forecasting & Social Change 80: 1557. 
  2. ^ Modis, Theodore (1994). "Life Cycles - Forecasting the Rise and Fall of Almost Anything". The Futurist 28 (5): 20. 
  3. ^ Eden et al, Amnon H. (2012). Singularity Hypothesis. New York: Springer. p. 311. ISBN 978-3-642-32560-1. 
  4. ^ http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaleditorialboard.cws_home/505740/editorialboard
  5. ^ http://ch.linkedin.com/pub/theodore-modis/0/222/140/
  6. ^ http://www.appannie.com/apps/ios/publisher/theodore-modis/
  7. ^ Martin Beech, "Rejuvenating the Sun and Avoiding Other Global Catastrophes", Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 2008