The “Turkish model” refers to the focus on Republic of Turkey as "an example of a modern, moderate Muslim state that works." Turkey has been seen as combining a secular state and constitution, with a government run by a political party or political parties (Justice and Development Party, AKP) with "roots in political Islam". The AKP, led by Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, has ruled Turkey with a large majority in parliament since 2002. During this time Turkey has had good relations with the West, but also cordial ties with the Islamic Republic of Iran and a more pro-Palestinian policy. It has had vigorously contested, "substantially free and fair" elections, a vibrant culture, and has undergone an economic boom, developing a "large and growing middle class." However, as of summer 2013 and the crushing of the Taksim Gezi Park protests, some commentators complained that the model has come "unstuck".
The term originated in connection with the Arab Spring and the Arab states—Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya—that had overthrown dictators in 2011 and begun building new political and economic systems. Turkey's "deeply religious" Sunni Muslim prime minister, Erdoğan, was received by "adoring crowds" during a visit to Egypt in September 2011, and Turkey has polled high favorable ratings with many Arab countries. Praise has come from former acting Egyptian president Mohamed Hussein Tantawia, who told reporters after his meeting with Turkey's president Abdullah Gül, "The Turkish experience is the closest experience to the Egyptian people. Turkey is the model to inspire from."
One observer (Sinan Ülgen) has identified "five chief characteristics" of the model: accommodation of Secularism, Democracy, and Political Islam; a stabilizing role by the military; successful economic liberalization and trade integration; membership in Western multilateral organizations like NATO, the Council of Europe, and the European Court for Human Rights; and popular confidence in the country’s institutions.
Some critics have complained about the treatment of minority Alevi and Kurdish groups, and of some imprisoned journalists. As of March 2013, a "mounting number of Turkish lawyers, politicians, journalists" have been imprisoned, in what journalist Dexter Filkins has called "an increasingly harsh campaign to crush domestic opposition". Among the imprisoned are a constitutional law professor (Ragip Zarakolu), a prize-winning investigative journalist (Ahmet Şık), a noted free-speech activist (Nedim Sener),
Others have noted that Turkey's unique history may mean the model will be of limited use to Egypt or other countries. According to Şebnem Gümüşçü, the success is based on Islamists accepting the "secular-democratic framework of the Turkish state", and not Islamists' "development of institutional and political structures that accommodated both Islamic and democratic principles"; in other words, the current stability and democracy is only a result of Islamists toeing a line set by secular-democratic frameworks rather than of the Islamists' own doing. The Economist magazine also finds "many reasons to be cautious about expecting Arabs to follow Turks", such as the long evolution of the democratic Islamism, the relative power and prestige of the secularism, and tolerance for electoral politics of military rulers. Journalist Alp Altınörs complains that during the Erdoğan era of 2002–2012, growth has "been coupled with little social benefit". The main force for economic growth has been foreign capital, but "imperialists" have "effectively plundered the country", transferring the equivalent of $120 billion, to foreign countries. He also contends that unemployment has remained high, labour rights deteriorated, and inequality worsened, and "harsh repression" of journalists, unions, and Kurds has kept "10,000 political prisoners" in Turkish prisons.
In May–June 2013, there were massive public protests, including a large number of students, against the Erdoğan government. Although Erdoğan described the protesters as "just a few looters", 3.5 million of Turkey's 80 million people are estimated to have taken part in almost 5,000 demonstrations. Five people were killed and more than 8,000 injured by water cannons and tear gas. The event has been described (by journalist Christopher de Bellaigue) as part of a move by Erdoğan away from a more tolerant, diverse, and democratic Turkey, toward "vindictive authoritarianism" that is "undermining his own reputation as a path-finding democrat in the Muslim world".
- The Turkish Model: Can It Be Replicated? by Peter Kenyon| NPR| 6 January 2012
- The Turkish model. A hard act to follow economist.com| 6 August 2011
- Is Turkey the best model for Arab democracy?| Despite the country's remarkable progress, Turkey has yet to solve the 'Kurdish problem' and allow press freedom.| by Mark LeVine| aljazeera.com| 19 September 2011
- de Bellaigue, Christopher (December 19, 2013). "Turkey: ‘Surreal, Menacing…Pompous’". New York Review of Books. Retrieved 12 December 2013.
- Effort to Rebrand Arab Spring Backfires in Iran By ROBERT F. WORTH| nyt.com 2 February 2012
- Ülgen, Sinan (December 2011). "FROM INSPIRATION TO ASPIRATION Turkey in the New Middle East" (PDF). Carnegie Papers. Retrieved 2 May 2013.
- Can the Turkish Model Gain Traction in the New Middle East? Sinan Ülgen, Marwan Muasher, Thomas de Waal, Thomas Carothers | carnegieendowment.org| 19 December 2011
- Letter from Turkey, The Deep State. The Prime Minister is revered as a moderate, but how far will he go to stay in power? by Dexter Filkins| newyorker.com| March 12, 2012
- There is no ‘Turkish model’ for Egypt | By Sebnem Gumuscu| The Daily Star| 17 January 2012
- with the top 0.5% of Turkish bank accounts in Turkish banks containing 63% of total money deposited
- Altınörs, Alp (2 May 2013). "A warning from Erdoğan's Turkey". Ahram online. Retrieved 2 May 2013.
- Calatayud, Jose Miguel (2 June 2013). "'Just a few looters’: Turkish PM Erdoğan dismisses protests as thousands occupy Istanbul's Taksim Square". The Independent. Retrieved 12 December 2013.