United States presidential approval rating
In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1930s (probably 1937) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a political figure based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A typical question might ask:
- "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?"[1]
Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular US mood regarding a president. The website RealClearPolitics.com keeps track of the current polling averages, which can be seen below.
Contents |
President Barack Obama [edit]
Most recent polls for President Barack Obama:
| Polling Group (Reverse Chronologically) | Date | Approval | Disapproval | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics.com Average[2] | February 21 - March 6, 2013 | 48.3% | 45.8% | +2.5% |
| Gallup[3] | March 4–6, 2013 | 47% | 46% | +1% |
| Rasmussen Reports[4] | March 4–6, 2013 | 51% | 48% | +3% |
| Quinnipiac[5] | February 27– March 4, 2013 | 45% | 46% | –1% |
| Fox News[6] | February 25–27, 2013 | 46% | 47% | –1% |
| Reason Foundation[7] | February 21–25, 2013 | 51% | 43% | +8% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8] | February 21–24, 2013 | 50% | 45% | +5% |
Historical comparison [edit]
Obama joins the two most recent fellow Democrats (Clinton and Carter) and two recent Republicans (Reagan and Ford) in falling below 50% approval within the first term in office. His predecessor, Republican George W. Bush, enjoyed high approval ratings throughout his first years before they declined sharply in his second term. Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937:[9][nb 1]
| Order | President | Highest Approval | Lowest Approval | High-Low | Highest Disapproval | Approval Average[9] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44[10] | Obama | 69 (January 22, 2009) | 38 (August 22/27/29, 2011, October 6/13/17, 2011) | 31 | 55 (August 27/29, 2011) | 49.0 [11] |
| 43[12] | Bush (G.W.) | 90 (September 21, 2001) | 25 (October 31, 2008) | 65 | 71 (October 31, 2008) | 49.4 |
| 42[13] | Clinton | 73 (December 19, 1998) | 37 (May 26, 1993) | 36 | 54 (September 6, 1994) | 55.1 |
| 41[14] | Bush (G.H.W.) | 89 (February 28, 1991) | 29 (July 31, 1992) | 60 | 60 (July 31, 1992) | 60.9 |
| 40[15] | Reagan | 68 (May 16, 1986) | 35 (January 28, 1983) | 33 | 56 (January 28, 1983) | 52.8 |
| 39[16] | Carter | 75 (March 18, 1977) | 28 (June 29, 1979) | 47 | 59 (June 29, 1979) | 45.5 |
| 38[17] | Ford | 71 (August 16, 1974) | 37 (March 28, 1975) | 34 | 46 (April 18, 1975/November 21, 1975) | 47.2 |
| 37[18] | Nixon | 67 (January 26, 1973) | 24 (August 2, 1974) | 43 | 66 (August 2, 1974) | 49.1 |
| 36[19] | Johnson | 79 (February 28, 1964) | 35 (August 7, 1968) | 44 | 52 (August 7, 1968/March 10, 1968) | 55.1 |
| 35[20] | Kennedy | 83 (March 8, 1962) | 56 (September 12, 1963) | 27 | 30 (September 12, 1963/November 8, 1963) | 70.1 |
| 34[21] | Eisenhower | 79 (December 14, 1956) | 48 (March 27, 1958) | 31 | 36 (March 27, 1958) | 65.0 |
| 33[22] | Truman | 87 (June 1, 1945) | 22 (February 9, 1952) | 65 | 67 (January 6, 1952) | 45.4 |
| 32[23] | Roosevelt (F.D.) | 84 (January 8, 1942) | 48 (August 18, 1939) | 36 | 46 (May 22/29 1938/November 07, 1938) |
Graphs [edit]
| Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States: |
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See also [edit]
Notes [edit]
- ^ Only the results of Gallup polls are included, as no other poll results exist for earlier presidents.
References [edit]
- ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings – Barack Obama". gallup.com. Retrieved December 1, 2009.
- ^ "President Obama Job Approval Average". Retrieved March 7, 2O13.
- ^ "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll". Retrieved March 7, 2013.
- ^ "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll". rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved March 6, 2013.
- ^ "Quinnipiac University Poll". Retrieved March 7, 2013.
- ^ "Fox News Poll". Retrieved February 28, 2013.
- ^ "Reason Foundation". Reason-Rupe. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
- ^ "NBC News/WSJ Poll". Retrieved February 25, 2013.
- ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
- ^ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
- ^ Obama Job Approval, Gallup Presidential Approval Center.
- ^ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Clinton at the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Bush (G.H.W.) at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Reagan at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Carter at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Ford at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Nixon at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Johnson at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Kennedy at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Eisenhower at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Truman at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
- ^ Job Performance Ratings for President Roosevelt at Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.
External links [edit]
- Historical Presidential Job Performance Ratings – Roper Center
- Historical Midterm Presidential Approval Ratings Data from Data360
- PollingReport
- Pollster
- President Obama Job Approval (RealClearPolitics)
- President Job Approval Ratings
- Historical Presidential Approval Ratings 1945–2009 from the Wall Street Journal
- President Obama's Ongoing Job Approval (CongressRatings)