United States Senate election in Florida, 2012

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United States Senate election in Florida, 2012
Florida
2006 ←
November 6, 2012 → 2018

Turnout 63.5% (voting eligible)[1]
  Bill Nelson.jpg Connie Mack, official portrait, 112th Congress 2.jpg
Nominee Bill Nelson Connie Mack IV
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 4,523,451 3,458,267
Percentage 55.23% 42.23%

Fl-sen-2012.png

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Bill Nelson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Nelson[2]
Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Congress, as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bill Nelson won re-election to a third term. The primary election was held August 14, 2012.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill Nelson (Incumbent) 684,804 78.7%
Democratic Glenn Burkett 184,815 21.3%
Totals 869,619 100%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Qualified[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
George
LeMieux
Connie
Mack IV
Mike
McCalister
Dave
Weldon
Someone
else
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 26–29, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 47% 10% 14% 6% 23%
Quinnipiac June 12–18, 2012 698 ± 3.7% 8% 41% 5% 3% 1% 39%
Public Policy Polling May 31–June 3, 2012 448 ± 4.6% 13% 34% 10% 6% 9% 28%

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Connie Mack IV 657,331 58.7%
Republican Dave Weldon 226,083 20.2%
Republican Mike McCalister 155,421 13.9%
Republican Marielena Stuart 81,808 7.3%
Totals 1,120,643 100%

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Debates[edit]

A debate hosted by Leadership Florida/Florida Press Association occurred on October 17 at the Nova Southeastern University campus in Davie.

Fundraising[edit]

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Bill Nelson (D) $13,404,998 $15,494,167 $994,324 $0
Connie Mack (R) $7,272,224 $7,526,150 $155,076 $81,880
Chris Borgia (I) $12,344 $12,198 $145 $9,950
Bill Gaylor (I) $19,604 $19,195 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[44][45][46][47]

Top contributors[edit]

Bill Nelson Contribution Connie Mack Contribution Bill Gaylor Contribution
Morgan & Morgan $138,150 Club for Growth $189,168 Bill & Sheila Gaylor Insurance Professionals $7,905
Finmeccanica S.p.A. $71,967 Elliott Management Corporation $46,997 Circle Redmont $1,432
InDyne, Inc. $64,735 Koch Industries $33,500
Harris Corporation $59,750 Vestar Capital Partners $32,000
Akerman Senterfitt LLP $59,300 Island Doctors $27,400
Greenberg Traurig $52,589 Adams & Diaco $25,000
Kindred Healthcare $21,000 Health Management Associates $21,000
Holland & Knight $46,747 Flo-Sun Inc $18,500
Leon Medical Centers $45,800 US Sugar Corporation $18,000
Vestar Capital Partners $40,650 MasTec, Inc. $17,800
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[48]

Top industries[edit]

Bill Nelson Contribution Connie Mack Contribution Bill Gaylor Contribution
Lawyers/Law firms $2,383,484 Retired $885,121 Retired $1,500
Retired $938,280 Republican/Conservative $412,944
Real Estate $606,253 Financial Institutions $360,334
Health Professionals $529,282 Real Estate $298,642
Lobbyists $493,087 Leadership PACs $280,500
Financial Institutions $418,915 Misc Finance $216,836
Hospitals/Nursing Homes $364,617 Health Professionals $199,159
Leadership PACs $337,000 Lawyers/Law Firms $169,921
Insurance Industry $319,788 Petroleum Industry $136,400
Health Services/HMOs $276,500 Business Services $128,777
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[49]

Independent expenditures[edit]

In early October 2012, Crossroads GPS announced it would launch a $16 million advertising buy in national races, of which four were this and three other Senate elections.[50] In Florida, the money was to be spent by its affiliate, American Crossroads.[50]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Nelson (D)
Connie
Mack IV (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 955 ± 3.2% 51% 46% 3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 525 ± 4.3% 53% 45% 2%
Mason-Dixon October 30–November 1, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 49% 43% 4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 30–November 1, 2012 1,545 ± 2.5% 52% 43% 1% 5%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 716 ± 4.2% 52% 42% 1% 6%
Gravis Marketing October 30, 2012 549 ± 4.2% 49% 46% 5%
Zogby/Newsmax October 27–29, 2012 828 ± 3.5% 50% 41% 9%
Zogby/Newsmax October 26–28, 2012 827 ± 3.5% 50% 41% 9%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012 687 ± 3.7% 50% 42% 9%
CBS/Quinnipiac University October 23–28, 2012 1,073 ± 3.0% 52% 39% 9%
WFLA-TV/SurveyUSA October 25–27, 2012 595 ± 4.1% 48% 41% 4% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2012 750 ± 4.0% 49% 46% 2% 3%
Mason-Dixon October 22–24, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
Sunshine State News/VSS October 22–24, 2012 1,001 ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7%
Pharos Research October 19–21, 2012 759 ± 3.6% 52% 44% 5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 502 ± 4.5% 56% 39% 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 750 ± 4.0% 48% 43% 2% 7%
Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/WPTV October 17–18, 2012 800 ± 4.0% 45% 41% 14%
SurveyUSA October 17–18, 2012 600 ± 4.1% 48% 40% 4% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 791 ± 3.4% 45% 37% 18%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 750 ± 4.0% 46% 45% 5% 5%
TBT/Miami Herald October 8–10, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 47% 42% 4% 7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7–9, 2012 988 ± 3.1% 52% 39% 9%
University of North Florida October 1–9, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 50% 40% 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 52% 41% 1% 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 30–October 1, 2012 890 ± 3.3% 52% 41% 7%
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 40% 34% 5% 20%
TBT/Miami Herald September 17–19, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 48% 40% 11%
Fox News Poll September 16–18, 2012 829 ± 3.0% 49% 35% 2% 12%
Rasmussen Reports September 12, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 40% 5% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9–11, 2012 980 ± 3.1% 51% 37% 12%
SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 596 ± 4.1% 47% 36% 3% 9%
Public Policy Polling August 31–September 2, 2012 1,548 ± 2.5% 45% 38% 17%
Quinnipiac August 15–21, 2012 1,241 ± 2.8% 50% 41% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 15, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 40% 3% 10%
Quinnipiac July 24–30, 2012 1,177 ± 2.9% 47% 40% 1% 12%
Public Policy Polling July 26–29, 2012 871 ± 3.3% 45% 43% 13%
Survey USA July 17–19, 2012 647 ± 3.9% 42% 48% 2% 8%
Mason-Dixon July 9–11, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 47% 42% 11%
Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 37% 46% 7% 10%
Quinnipiac June 19–25, 2012 1,200 ± 2.8% 41% 40% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac June 12–18, 2012 1,697 ± 2.4% 43% 39% 15%
Public Policy Polling May 31–June 3, 2012 642 ± 3.9% 49% 36% 15%
Marist May 17–20, 2012 1,078 ± 3.0% 46% 42% 12%
Quinnipiac May 15–21, 2012 1,722 ± 2.4% 41% 42% 3% 15%
Rasmussen Reports April 25, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 36% 10% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 12–15, 2012 700 ± 3.7% 47% 37% 17%
Quinnipiac March 20–26, 2012 1,228 ± 2.8% 44% 36% 3% 17%
Rasmussen Reports March 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 36% 43% 5% 16%
Rasmussen Reports February 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 41% 41% 5% 12%
Mason-Dixon January 24–26, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 45% 42% 13%
Suffolk University January 22–24, 2012 600 ± 4.4% 42% 32% 1% 25%
Quinnipiac January 4–8, 2012 1,412 ± 2.6% 41% 40% 1% 16%
Public Policy Polling November 28–December 1, 2011 700 ± 3.7% 46% 35% 19%
Rasmussen Reports November 17, 2011 500 ± 4.5% 39% 43% 5% 13%
Quinnipiac October 31–November 7, 2011 1,185 ± 2.9% 42% 40% 1% 16%
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 47% 34% 18%
Mason-Dixon February 9–10, 2011 625 ± 4.0% 45% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling December 17–20, 2010 1,034 ± 3.0% 44% 36% 20%
Public Policy Polling October 9–10, 2010 448 ± 4.6% 42% 33% 25%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Retrieved April 3, 2013. 
  2. ^ Siegel, Elyse (November 6, 2012). "Bill Nelson Election Results: Democrat Defeats Connie Mack In Florida Senate Race". Huffingtonpost.com. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  3. ^ "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Election.dos.state.fl.us. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  4. ^ "Rep. Connie Mack IV Announces Run for U.S. Senate". Fox News. November 28, 2011. 
  5. ^ Connie Mack IV Officially Joins Florida Senate Race : Roll Call Politics
  6. ^ Leary, Alex (November 23, 2010). "Sen. Bill Nelson gets his first official Republican challenger for 2012". TampaBay.com. Retrieved November 24, 2010. 
  7. ^ Powers, Scott (August 18, 2011). "Marielena Stuart joins U.S. Senate race". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved August 20, 2011. 
  8. ^ Caputo, Marc (May 18, 2012). "It's official: Dave Weldon to run for U.S. Senate in Florida". The Miami Herald. Retrieved May 18, 2012. 
  9. ^ Alexander George withdraws U.S. Senate Race- Endorses Senator George LeMieux | PRLog
  10. ^ Leary, Alex (July 18, 2011). "Haridopolos drops out of U.S. Senate race". Tampabay.com. Retrieved July 18, 2011. 
  11. ^ Balderas, Hasner file paperwork for Senate bids – David Catanese – POLITICO.com
  12. ^ Hasner phoned Mack, not LeMieux – POLITICO.com
  13. ^ Florida: Craig Miller Drops Senate Bid, Runs for House | At the Races
  14. ^ Conservative Senate Candidate Ron Rushing Takes Aim at Politicians | Sunshine State News
  15. ^ "George LeMieux out of Senate race". CFN 13 Orlando. Retrieved 20 June 2012. 
  16. ^ Smith, Adam C. (April 22, 2012). "CFO Jeff Atwater announces he will not run for U.S. Senate". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved April 21, 2012. 
  17. ^ Hasner Nabs Former Florida Speaker’s Endorsement : Roll Call Politics
  18. ^ Buchanan Closes Door on Senate Run – Hotline On Call
  19. ^ March, William (December 3, 2010). "Several Republicans may vie to take on Bill Nelson in 2012". The Tampa Tribune. Retrieved December 5, 2010. 
  20. ^ Looking beyond Connie Mack and U.S. Senate race – Marc Caputo – MiamiHerald.com
  21. ^ Caputo, Marc (November 17, 2011). "Citing ill-health, Sofia Vergara's bf won't run for U.S. Senate.". St. Petersburg Times. Retrieved November 17, 2011. 
  22. ^ Leary, Alex (April 30, 2012). "Will McBride, a Senate candidate again, but with lower goal". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved May 13, 2012. 
  23. ^ Wallace, Jeremy (February 11, 2011). "Rooney not ready for U.S. Senate run". Sarasota Herald-Tribune. Retrieved February 11, 2011. 
  24. ^ Bennett, George (August 7, 2011). "NewsMax's Chris Ruddy rejects suggestion he run for GOP Senate nomination". The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved May 13, 2012. 
  25. ^ West: I'm Not Running For Senate – Hotline On Call
  26. ^ Allen West shuts door on Senate race – David Catanese – POLITICO.com
  27. ^ Amanda Carey. "Haley Barbour lends endorsement in Florida Senate primary". The Daily Caller. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  28. ^ a b c LeMieux wins endorsements of three legislators – Central Florida Political Pulse – Orlando Sentinel
  29. ^ a b c George LeMieux receives endorsement of three more FL lawmakers, Sen. Garcia & Reps Fred Costello and Charles Van Zant | Saint Petersblog
  30. ^ "Romney Endorses Mack For Senate « CBS Miami". Miami.cbslocal.com. 2012-05-16. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  31. ^ Press, Associated (2012-06-06). "Jeb Bush endorses Mack in Florida US Senate race - WFTX-TV Fort Myers/Naples, FL". Fox4now.com. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  32. ^ Sen. Rand Paul endorses Connie Mack in Senate race | Naked Politics
  33. ^ Derby, Kevin (2012-06-05). "Tea party favorite Mike Lee endorses Connie Mack in Florida". Sunshine State News. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  34. ^ "Mack is endorsed by Puerto Rico’s governor – Central Florida Political Pulse – Orlando Sentinel". Blogs.orlandosentinel.com. 2012-05-22. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  35. ^ Miller, Joshua (December 12, 2011). "Jeff Miller Endorses Connie Mack IV for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved December 12, 2011. 
  36. ^ Derby, Kevin (2012-06-11). "Tom Rooney endorses Connie Mack". Sunshine State News. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  37. ^ "Pam Bondi endorses Mack: he will "protect the constitution" – Central Florida Political Pulse – Orlando Sentinel". Blogs.orlandosentinel.com. 2012-06-13. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  38. ^ The Miami Herald (2012-06-13). "Another big endorsement for Connie Mack: FL AG Pam Bondi | Naked Politics". Miamiherald.typepad.com. Retrieved 2012-11-07. 
  39. ^ In Naples, Sean Hannity throws support behind Connie Mack | Florida politics blog: The Buzz | Tampa Bay Times
  40. ^ Endorsement reversal: Haridopolos backs pal Connie Mack in U.S. Senate race | Post on Politics
  41. ^ GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements
  42. ^ Iraq vet Chris Borgia announces US Senate run (Orlando Sentinel)
  43. ^ qualifies for U.S. Senate Run
  44. ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Florida NELSON, BILL". fec.gov. 
  45. ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Florida MACK, CONNIE". fec.gov. 
  46. ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Florida GAYLOR, WILLIAM G". fec.gov. 
  47. ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Florida BORGIA, CHRIS". fec.gov. 
  48. ^ Center for Responsive Politics. "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Florida Senate". opensecrets.org. 
  49. ^ Center for Responsive Politics. "Top Industries 2012 Race: Florida Senate". opensecrets.org. 
  50. ^ a b Haberman, Maggie (October 2, 2012). "Crossroads launches $16 million buy in Senate, presidential contests". Politico.com. Retrieved October 2, 2012. 

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites