United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2014

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United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2014
Kentucky
2008 ←
November 4, 2014
→ 2020

  Mitch McConnell official portrait 112th Congress.jpg Alison Lundergan Grimes 2011.jpg
Nominee Mitch McConnell Alison Lundergan Grimes
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Mitch McConnell
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Kentucky will be held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky. Republican incumbent Mitch McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader, is running for re-election to a sixth term.[1]

McConnell is considered vulnerable as reflected in his low approval ratings.[2] This election race is one of only two Republican-held seats in the 2014 midterm elections that is considered competitive, the other being retiring Senator Saxby Chambliss's seat in Georgia.

Republican primary[edit]

Immediately after a secret recording of Mitch McConnell and his campaign staff was released to Mother Jones, McConnell expressed concerns about what he saw as a threat from the left. David Adams, a Kentucky Tea Party activist who was seeking a Republican opponent to McConnell, told The New York Times that McConnell's fears about "threats from the left" were misplaced. Adams said: "It’s going to come from the right. The fact that he’s coming unglued about this thing should make clear to observers that he may not be ready for the challenge that lies ahead."[3]

In February 2014, McConnell was featured in a controversial television advertisement by the Texas Republican senatorial candidate Dwayne Stovall, who challenged Senate Minority Whip John Cornyn for nomination in the primary election scheduled for March 4. Stovall belittled McConnell, Cornyn's superior in the Senate leadership, as an ineffective "Beltway turtle" who is out-of-touch with the party rank-and-file.[4] Until the controversial advertisement, the media had largely ignored Stovall's candidacy. Greta Van Susteren of Fox News called Stovall a "jerk" for running the "turtle" ad against McConnell: "You can be clever and funny in ads... or you can be gratuitously insulting."[5]

The 60.2% won by McConnell is the lowest voter support for a Kentucky U.S. Senator in a primary by either party since 1938.[6]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Matt Bevin, businessman[7]
  • Brad Copas, former National Guardsman[8]
  • Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
  • Chris Payne, party promoter[8][9]
  • Shawna Sterling[8]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Gurley L. Martin, World War II Veteran and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[10][11]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mitch
McConnell
Matt
Bevin
Brad
Copas
Chris
Payne
Shawna
Sterling
Undecided
Bluegrass Poll May 14–16, 2014 605 ± 4% 55% 35% 1% 1% 3% 5%
Gravis Marketing May 12, 2014 629 ± 4% 48% 34% 18%
NBC News/Marist April 30–May 6, 2014 760 ± 3.6% 55% 22% 1% 3% 2% 17%
Gravis Marketing April 15–17, 2014 638 ± 4% 51% 34% 15%
Public Opinion Strategies February 24–26, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 61% 23% 16%
Wenzel Strategies February 8–11, 2014 377 ± 5.03% 58.5% 17.4% 24.1%
Bluegrass Poll January 30–February 4, 2014 404 ± 4.9% 55% 29% 15%
Gravis Marketing January 2, 2014 683 ± 4% 53% 31% 16%
Public Policy Polling December 12–15, 2013 540 ± 4.2% 53% 26% 21%
Lake Research Partners October 24–29, 2013 603 ± 4% 50% 17% 33%
Voter/Consumer Research ^ August 18–20, 2013 600 ± 4% 68% 21% 8%
Wenzel Strategies July 23–24, 2013 302 ± 5.6% 58.9% 19.9% 21.2%
  • ^ Internal poll for Mitch McConnell campaign

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mitch McConnell 213,753 60.19%
Republican Matt Bevin 125,787 35.42%
Republican Shawna Sterling 7,214 2.03%
Republican Chris Payne 5,338 1.5%
Republican Brad Copas 3,024 0.85%
Totals 355,116 100%

Democratic primary[edit]

In late 2012 and early 2013, media speculation focused on the possibility of a challenge to incumbent Mitch McConnell from actress and Tennessee resident Ashley Judd,[48] who was raised in Kentucky. Judd later announced that she would not seek the Democratic nomination. On April 9, Mother Jones magazine released a tape of a private meeting between McConnell and, allegedly, his aides reviewing opposition research and tactics to use against Judd. At the February strategy session, McConnell referred to the early stages of his re-election bid as the "Whac-A-Mole period of the campaign" and he and aides discussed attacking Judd's religious views as well as her struggle with depression.[49][50]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alison Lundergan Grimes 307,821 76.47%
Democratic Gregory Leichty 32,602 8.1%
Democratic Burrel Farnsley 32,310 8.03%
Democratic Tom Recktenwald 29,791 7.4%
Totals 402,524 100%

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • David Patterson, police officer[94]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mitch
McConnell (R)
Alison
Lundergan
Grimes (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 7–10, 2014 991 ± 3.1% 44% 40% 7% 9%
47% 42% 11%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 1,546 ± 4.2% 49% 45% 2% 4%
SurveyUSA July 18–23, 2014 604 ± 4.1% 41% 39% 7%[96] 13%
47% 45% 8%
Gravis Marketing July 17–20, 2014 1,054 ± 3% 45% 45% 10%
Public Policy Polling June 20–22, 2014 682 ± 3.8% 46% 48% 6%
Public Opinion Strategy June 14–17, 2014 800 ± ? 48% 43%
Magellan Strategies June 4–5, 2014 808 ± 3.45% 46% 49% 5%
Rasmussen Reports May 28–29, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 41% 5% 7%
Wenzel Strategies May 23–24, 2014 608 ± 3.95% 47.3% 44.4% 8.3%
Bluegrass Poll May 14–16, 2014 1,782 ± 2.1% 42% 43% 8%[97] 7%
NBC News/Marist April 30–May 6, 2014 2,353 ± 2% 46% 45% 1% 8%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 46% 45% 9%
Gravis Marketing April 15–17, 2014 1,359 ± 3% 43% 36% 9%[98] 12%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014 891 ± ? 44% 43% 3% 11%
Public Policy Polling April 1–2, 2014 663 ± 4% 44% 45% 11%
Wenzel Strategies February 8–11, 2014 1,002 ± 3.06% 43.2% 41.8% 15.1%
Bluegrass Poll January 30–February 4, 2014 1,082 ± 3% 42% 46% 12%
Rasmussen Reports January 29–30, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 42% 42% 6% 10%
Public Policy Polling January 24–26, 2014 882 ± ?% 45% 44% 11%
Gravis Marketing January 2, 2014 1,153 ± 4% 42% 37% 8%[98] 13%
Public Policy Polling December 12–15, 2013 1,509 ± 2.5% 43% 42% 15%
DFM Research October 21–29, 2013 600 ± 4% 41% 40% 19%
Lake Research Partners October 24–29, 2013 603 ± 4% 37% 37% 6% 19%
Public Policy Polling October 14–15, 2013 1,193 ± 2.8% 43% 45% 12%
Lake Research Partners August 5–15, 2013 5,000 ± 1.4% 40% 46% 14%
Wenzel Strategies July 23–24, 2013 624 ± 3.9% 48% 39.7% 12.2%
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 1,210 ± 2.8% 44% 45% 11%
Wenzel Strategies June 1–2, 2013 623 ± 3.9% 46.5% 39.9% 13.6%
Public Policy Polling May 23–24, 2013 556 ± 4.2% 45% 45% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 5–7, 2013 1,052 ± 3% 45% 41% 14%
Public Policy Polling December 7–9, 2012 1,266 ± 2.8% 47% 40% 13%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Raju, Manu (December 20, 2010). "Mitch McConnell plans power plays against Democrats". Politico. Retrieved May 19, 2011. 
  2. ^ Daniel Strauss (2014-02-06). "McConnell's Job Approval Rating Is Lower Than Obama's In Kentucky". Talkingpointsmemo.com. Retrieved 2014-02-14. 
  3. ^ Wheaton, Sarah (April 9, 2013). "F.B.I. Looking Into Allegations That McConnell’s Campaign Was Wiretapped". New York Times. Retrieved May 10, 2013. 
  4. ^ "Samantha Lachman, "GOP Senate Candidate Calls Mitch McConnell 'Beltway Turtle' in Anti-Cornyn Ad", February 14, 2014". Huffington Post. Retrieved February 16, 2014. 
  5. ^ "Greta Slams Longshot GOP Candidate as 'Jerk' for McConnell Insult, February 14, 2014". newsmax.com. Retrieved February 16, 2014. 
  6. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (May 20, 2014). "McConnell Records Weakest Kentucky US Senate Incumbent Primary Victory in 75+ Years". Smart Politics. 
  7. ^ "Lou. businessman, Matt Bevin, to enter Ky. US Senate race". Whas11.com. 19 July 2013. Retrieved 22 July 2013. 
  8. ^ a b c d e Gerth, Joseph (January 28, 2014). "Candidate filings: Republicans look to take over Kentucky House". Richmond Register. Retrieved January 29, 2014. 
  9. ^ "How To Make A Mockery Of The Senate Race". Louisville Telegraph. January 28, 2014. Retrieved January 28, 2014. 
  10. ^ Weber, Don (November 27, 2013). "On his 90th birthday Gurley L. Martin files challenge to McConnell". Mycn2.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014. 
  11. ^ Alessi, Ryan (January 21, 2013). "McConnell has one fewer Republican to run against in the May 20 primary: Gurley Martin is out". Mycn2.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014. 
  12. ^ Alessi, Ryan (2013-04-15). "cn|2 Pure Politics - Andy Barr opens re-election bid by raising $361K in first quarter". Mycn2.com. Retrieved 2013-07-18. 
  13. ^ Alessi, Ryan (2013-07-12). "cn|2 Pure Politics - Barr maintains pace with another $360K; Has nearly $580K as 6th District begins heating up". Mycn2.com. Retrieved 2013-07-18. 
  14. ^ a b Storm, Nick (2012-11-12). "cn|2 Pure Politics - Fmr. Gov. Fletcher doesn't foresee strong opposition to McConnell; Says Beshear doing a 'good job'". Mycn2.com. Retrieved 2013-06-14. 
  15. ^ a b Finley, Marty (January 13, 2013). "Guthrie, Parrett not interested in challenging McConnell in 2014". The News-Enterprise. Retrieved January 14, 2013. 
  16. ^ Raju, Manu (January 28, 2013). "Democrats, tea party unite vs. Mitch McConnell". Politico. Retrieved January 28, 2013. 
  17. ^ a b "Former Republican Nominee for KY State Auditor John Kemper Endorses Matt Bevin". Matt Bevin for US Senate. November 7, 2013. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
  18. ^ Nocera, Kate (January 16, 2013). "Kentucky lawmaker earns name for himself by voting ‘no’". Politico. Retrieved 2013-04-09. 
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  21. ^ "Louisville Tea Party Founder and President Endorses Matt Bevin for United States Senate". Matt Bevin for US Senate. August 29, 2013. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
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  23. ^ "Matt Bevin". RedState. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 23, 2014. 
  24. ^ "Old guard Republican Larry Forgy endorses Louisville businessman Matt Bevin for US Senate". [dead link]
  25. ^ "Bevin Campaign Announces Key Pro-Life Endorsement". Bevin Campaign. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
  26. ^ "McConnell challenger nabs big endorsement". TheHill. October 18, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013. 
  27. ^ "FreedomWorks endorses Matt Bevin for U. S. Senate". January 22, 2014. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  28. ^ "RLC Endorses Bevin in Kentucky US Senate Race". January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 26, 2014. 
  29. ^ "GOA Endorses Matt Bevin for U.S. Senate". GOA-PVF. Retrieved December 11, 2013. 
  30. ^ "NKY Right to Life Endorses Bevin". The Enquirer. March 21, 2014. Retrieved March 22, 2014. 
  31. ^ "Press Release: Madison Project PAC Endorses Matt Bevin for Senate in Kentucky". Madison Project. July 29, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013. 
  32. ^ "Right Wing News Endorses Matt Bevin for Senate in Kentucky". Right Wing News. February 4, 2014. Retrieved February 4, 2014. 
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  38. ^ Gerth, Joseph (July 27, 2013). "Sen. Mitch McConnell endorsed by Agriculture Commissioner James Comer". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 30, 2013. 
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  41. ^ Patrick Howley (2013-03-27). "Rand Paul endorses Mitch McConnell in 2014". The Daily Caller. Retrieved 2013-10-30. 
  42. ^ Matt K. Lewis (2013-07-24). "Pat Toomey endorses Mitch McConnell: Why this is important". The Daily Caller. Retrieved 2013-10-30. 
  43. ^ "Mitch McConnell gets boost from chemistry group - James Hohmann and Manu Raju". Politico.Com. 2013-08-14. Retrieved 2013-10-30. 
  44. ^ Chris Gentilviso (12 April 2014). "The NRA Puts Its Support Behind Mitch McConnell". The Huffington Post. Retrieved 14 April 2014. 
  45. ^ "National Pro-Life Group Endorses Mitch McConnell for Re-Election in Kentucky- Steven Ertelt". LifeNews.com. 2013-09-18. Retrieved 2013-12-13. 
  46. ^ "Targeted tea party group endorses Mitch McConnell - Manu Raju". Politico.Com. 2013-05-14. Retrieved 2013-10-30. 
  47. ^ a b "2014 Primary Election Unofficial Results". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  48. ^ Roller, Emma (December 5, 2012). "Celebrities And The Senate: Would Ashley Judd Stand A Chance?". NPR. 
  49. ^ Corn, David (April 9, 2013). "Secret Tape: McConnell and Aides Weighed Using Judd's Mental Health and Religion as Political Ammo". Mother Jones. 
  50. ^ Madison, Lucy (April 9, 2013). "McConnell aides secretly taped ripping Ashley Judd". CBS News. 
  51. ^ Brammer, Jack (January 13, 2014). "Another Democrat files to enter U.S. Senate race". Bluegrass Politics. Retrieved January 28, 2014. 
  52. ^ "Grimes To Run Against McConnell In 2014 Senate Race". LEX18.com. 1 July 2013. Retrieved 1 July 2013. 
  53. ^ Isham, Simon (June 19, 2013). "U of L professor announces bid for U.S. Senate". The Louisville Cardinal. Retrieved June 19, 2013. 
  54. ^ Storm, Nick (December 12, 2012). "Former Democratic congressional candidate Marksberry to challenge McConnell in 2014". Pure Politics with Ryan Alessi. cn|2. Retrieved January 2, 2013. 
  55. ^ a b Alessi, Ryan (September 23, 2013). "Ed Marksberry to drop out of Democratic U.S. Senate primary to run as independent". Pure Politics with Ryan Alessi. cn|2. Retrieved September 23, 2013. 
  56. ^ Arnold, Joe (2012-11-27). "One-on-one with Lt. Governor Jerry Abramson, NO on Senate, Maybe on Governor's race". WHAS11.com. Retrieved 2013-04-09. 
  57. ^ Bailey, Philip M. (July 9, 2013). "Louisville Businessman Matthew Barzun Selected as U.S. Ambassador to Britain". WFPL News. Retrieved July 31, 2013. 
  58. ^ Alessi, Ryan (October 28, 2011). "Steve Beshear says this campaign is his last and will serve full term if re-elected". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 22, 2012. 
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  60. ^ Loftus, Tom (March 29, 2013). "Alison Lundergan Grimes, Ben Chandler called possible candidates to face Sen. Mitch McConnell". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved 2013-04-09. 
  61. ^ Blake, Aaron (February 25, 2013). "Top Kentucky Dem predicts Ashley Judd will run for Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved 2013-04-09. 
  62. ^ Alessi, Ryan (December 19, 2011). "The Chatter: Jack Conway says no to 2014 Senate run; state Senate candidate McDaniel raises $25K". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 22, 2012. 
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  64. ^ Bullard, Gabe (January 4, 2013). "Mayor Greg Fischer 'Leaning Toward' Running for Second Term". WFPL News. Louisville Public Media. Retrieved February 16, 2013. 
  65. ^ "Attorney FitGerald out of US Senate contest". North Jersey. 4 July 2013. Retrieved 4 July 2013. 
  66. ^ heather Henry (2013-07-01). "Heather French Henry, Miss America 2000: A Word About the US Senate Race". Heatherfrenchhenry.blogspot.com. Retrieved 2013-07-09. 
  67. ^ Brammer, Jack (1 July 2013). "Grimes will challenge McConnell for U.S. Senate seat in 2014". Kentucky.com. Retrieved 2 July 2013. 
  68. ^ Cillizza, Chris (2013-03-27). "Ashley Judd is not running for Senate". Washington Post. Retrieved 2013-04-09. 
  69. ^ Storm, Nick (July 20, 2012). "After outlining goals to improve Kentucky, Luallen says she's still mulling run for governor". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 22, 2012. 
  70. ^ Brammer, Jack (November 30, 2012). "Mongiardo considers running for governor". Politics and Government. Kentucky.com. Retrieved January 2, 2013. 
  71. ^ Colston, Kenny (November 19, 2012). "Kentucky Legislative Leader Squashes Rumors of Judd Senate Bid". WKU Public Radio. WKU Public Radio (part of the NPR Digital Network). Retrieved January 2, 2013. 
  72. ^ Joseph, Cameron (November 30, 2012). "Rep. Yarmuth won't run against Sen. McConnell". The Hill. Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc. Retrieved January 2, 2013. 
  73. ^ Gerth, Joseph (July 31, 2013). "Alison Lundergan Grimes blasts Mitch McConnell at campaign rollout". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 31, 2013. 
  74. ^ a b c Gerth, Joseph (July 9, 2013). "Gov. Steve Beshear pledges support for Alison Lundergan Grimes". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 31, 2013. 
  75. ^ a b c d Jaffe, Alexandra (July 30, 2013). "Grimes launches Ky. Senate campaign with elaborate event". The Hill. Retrieved July 31, 2013. 
  76. ^ Ahead of our campaign kick off on July 30th, I’m proud to announce the endorsement of Sen. Wendell Ford. Alison Lundergan Grimes on Twitter. 26 July 2013. Retrieved 2013-09-04.
  77. ^ "KY-Sen: Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D. VA) Fundraises For Alison Lundergan Grimes". Daily KOS. May 28, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014. 
  78. ^ a b Rust, Erik (August 1, 2013). "Lundergan Grimes Kicks Off Senate Bid in Lexington". SurfKY. Retrieved August 1, 2013. 
  79. ^ Gerth, Joseph (February 14, 2014). "Debbie Stabenow to stump for Alison Grimes". Courier Journal. Retrieved March 25, 2014. 
  80. ^ Youngman, Sam (June 12, 2014). "Elizabeth Warren to campaign in Kentucky for Alison Lundergan Grimes". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved June 12, 2014. 
  81. ^ "KY-Sen: James Carville Jumps In To Help Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) Beat Mitch McConnell (R)". Daily KOS. 2014-01-08. Retrieved 2014-04-03. 
  82. ^ Storm, Nick (July 3, 2013). "Heather French Henry says Grimes will be an 'excellent candidate' against a 'formidable McConnell'". cn|2. Retrieved August 1, 2013. 
  83. ^ Dunkley, Gabrielle (July 2, 2013). "Ashley Judd Endorses Alison Lundergan Grimes For Senate". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 31, 2013. 
  84. ^ Daunt, Tina (September 3, 2013). "Jeffrey Katzenberg Throws Political Might Behind Effort to Unseat Mitch McConnell". The Hollywood Reporter. Retrieved 2013-09-04. 
  85. ^ James Arkin (2013-11-26). "Lilly Ledbetter Endorses Alison Lundergan Grimes for Senate". WFPL News Louisville. Retrieved 2013-11-26. 
  86. ^ James Arkin (2013-09-05). "Reports: will.i.am for g.r.i.m.e.s". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2013-10-30. 
  87. ^ Bruce Schreiner (2013-11-05). "Mitch McConnell, Alison Lundergan Grimes clash over right-to-work measure". Courier Journal. Retrieved 2013-11-05. [dead link]
  88. ^ "EMILY’s List Endorses Alison Lundergan Grimes for Senate in Kentucky". EMILY's List. 2013-08-21. Retrieved 2013-11-05. 
  89. ^ "Grimes Gets Endorsement of KY Firefighters". WBKO. 2013-08-28. Retrieved 2013-11-05. 
  90. ^ "Grimes picks up education association endorsements". The Times Tribune. 2014-01-24. Retrieved 2014-01-24. 
  91. ^ "Alison Lundergan Grimes". Council for a Livable World. 2014. Retrieved 2014-04-03. 
  92. ^ "Alison Lundergan Grimes". American Sunrise PAC. 2014. Retrieved 2014-04-03. 
  93. ^ "Kentucky". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. 2014. Retrieved 2014-06-12. 
  94. ^ "Libertarian candidate enters Senate race in Kentucky". Retrieved August 26, 2013. 
  95. ^ Youngman, Sam (July 16, 2014). "Independent Ed Marksberry stops gathering signatures for U.S. Senate run". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved July 16, 2014. 
  96. ^ David Patterson (L)
  97. ^ Ed Marksberry (I) 4%, David Patterson (L) 4%
  98. ^ a b Ed Marksberry (I)
  99. ^ Ed Marksberry (I) 4%, David Patterson (L) 5%

External links[edit]