United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010

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United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010
Maryland
2004 ←
 November 2, 2010
 → 2016
  Barbara Mikulski.jpg Eric Wargotz.jpg
Nominee Barbara Mikulski Eric Wargotz
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,140,531 655,666
Percentage 62.2% 35.8%

Maryland Senatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg
County results
U.S. Senator before election

Barbara Mikulski
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Barbara Mikulski
Democratic
Elections in Maryland
Maryland-StateSeal.svg
This box:

The 2010 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 2, 2010. Primary elections were held on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski won re-election to a fifth term.

Contents

Background [edit]

According to Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski had indicated she planned to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tie Paul Sarbanes as the longest serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process.[1] On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.[2][3]

High-profile opposition for Mikulski was not anticipated since she remained popular in the state. She has previously won senate elections in 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state Republicans are expected to focus most of their attention on the seats of Governor Martin O'Malley and first-term Congressman Frank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state.[1] Nitkin[1] and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] consider her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."

Primary results [edit]

Democratic primary [edit]

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Democratic Barbara Mikulski (incumbent) 388,868 82.32%
Democratic Christopher J. Garner 35,579 7.53%
Democratic A. Billy Bob Jaworski 15,131 3.20%
Democratic Blaine Taylor 10,787 2.28%
Democratic Theresa C. Scaldaferri 7,913 1.68%
Democratic Sanquetta Taylor 7,365 1.56%
Democratic Lih Young 6,733 1.43%
Totals 472,376 100%

Republican primary [edit]

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican Eric Wargotz 92,464 38.57%
Republican Jim Rutledge 73,311 30.58%
Republican Joseph Alexander 14,026 5.85%
Republican Neil H. Cohen 13,613 5.68%
Republican Stephens Dempsey 9,325 3.89%
Republican Daniel W. McAndrew 8,460 3.53%
Republican John B. Kimble 8,081 3.37%
Republican Samuel R. Graham, Sr. 6,600 2.75%
Republican Barry Steve Asbury 5,900 2.46%
Republican Eddie Vendetti 5,046 2.10%
Republican Gregory Kump 2,931 1.22%
Totals 239,757 100%

General election [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Major [edit]

Minor [edit]

  • Don Kaplan (Independent) website and videos: donkaplanforussenate.com
  • Richard Shawver (Constitution)
  • Kenniss Henry (Green)
  • Natasha Pettigrew (deceased) was the Green Party candidate. On September 19, while cycling, Pettigrew was hit by an SUV. Her mother, Kenniss Henry, was chosen by the Green Party to replace Pettigrew on the ballot.[6]

Campaign [edit]

Dr. Wargotz released two television ads, the first comparing Mikulski to a dinosaur by calling her a political "insidersaurus" for being in Washington for over thirty years. A second ad showed a hammer hitting a brick wall, breaking it down and citing criticisms of Mikulski's record as a U.S. Senator. Mikulski released positive advertisements emphsizing education and job creation.[7] The incumbent had one of the highest approval ratings among U.S. Senators in the nation, with a 54% approval rating in a PPP poll.[8]

Despite Wargotz's limited campaign and resources he received the highest percentage of votes against Mikulski as an incumbent U.S. Senator (over 20 years.)

Debates [edit]

Despite repeated requests by the Wargotz Campaign formal debate(s) was declined by the incumbent U.S.Senator. The two candidates did appear together on Maryland Public Television (MPT) fielding common questions posed to both by the moderator but formal debate was not held.

Predictions [edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[9] October 19, 2010
Rothenberg Safe D[10] October 15, 2010
Swing State Project Safe D[citation needed]
RealClearPolitics Safe D[11] October 19, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[12] October 14, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[13] October 19, 2010

Polling [edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Barbara Mikulski (D) Eric Wargotz (R) Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 24, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 56% 38% 2% 4%
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks (report) October 15–20, 2010 798 ± 3.5% 59% 32% –– 8%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. (report) October 11–16, 2010 816 ± 3.5% 55% 38% –– 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 15, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 54% 38% 4% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 20, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 55% 39% 3% 3%
Public Policy Polling (report) July 10–12, 2010 569 ± 4.1% 59% 27% –– 14%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 58% 33% 2% 7%

Fundraising [edit]

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Cash minus debt
Barbara Mikulski (D) $3,690,724 $2,792,437 $1,772,774 $0 $1,772,774
Eric Wargotz (R) $1,210,327 $743,392 $466,931 $459,600 $-7331.
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results [edit]

United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Barbara Mikulski (incumbent) 1,140,531 62.19% -2.61%
Republican Eric Wargotz 655,666 35.75% +2.05%
Green Kenniss Henry 20,717 1.13% +0.06%
Constitution Richard Shawver 14,746 0.80% +0.42%
Write-ins 2,213 0.11% +0.05%
Majority 484,865 26.44%
Total votes 1,833,873 100%
Democratic hold Swing

References [edit]

  1. ^ a b c Nitkin, David (November 12, 2008). "Smooth sailing for Mikulski". Maryland Politics Blog. Baltimore Sun. Retrieved January 9, 2009. 
  2. ^ Geraghty, Jim (February 15, 2010). "Let's Get Real: Barbara Mikulski Does Not Fear a Loss This Year.". National Review. Retrieved February 16, 2010. 
  3. ^ Hockstader, Lee (February 16, 2010). "Mikulski another Dem retirement? Not likely.". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 16, 2010. 
  4. ^ "Senate 2010: A three-peat for Democrats or Comeback for the GOP?". Crystal Ball. February 19, 2009. 
  5. ^ a b "Maryland Senate Primary Results". Maryland State Board of Elections. September 17, 2010. Retrieved September 17, 2010. 
  6. ^ Natasha Pettigrew – Mother to replace Green Party nominee for Senate – Baltimore Sun
  7. ^ Pershing, Ben; Dropp, Kyle (October 4, 2010). "Mikulski leads despite drop in popularity". The Washington Post. 
  8. ^ Public Policy Polling: The most...and least...popular Senators of 2010
  9. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 19, 2010. 
  10. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 19, 2010. 
  11. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 19, 2010. 
  12. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 19, 2010. 
  13. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 19, 2010. 
  14. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Maryland". fec.gov. Retrieved May 1, 2010. 
  15. ^ Maryland State Board of Elections

External links [edit]

Official campaign sites
Preceded by
2006
Ben Cardin (D)		 United States Senate election in Maryland
2010
Barbara Mikulski (D)		 Succeeded by
2012
Winner TBD
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