United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2008

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North Carolina voters will elect one of their two United States Senators on November 4, 2008. This will coincide with the presidential, U.S. House elections, gubernatorial, Council of State, and statewide judicial elections.

Senator Elizabeth Dole, elected to her first term in 2002, has stated she will seek re-election. Her Democratic challenger will be State Senator Kay Hagan. Chris Cole will be on the ballot as the Libertarian nominee.[1]

CQ Politics rates this race as 'No Clear Favorite'.[2] The Cook Political Report calls it a 'Toss Up'.[3] The Rothenberg Political Report considers it a 'Toss Up'.[4] In June, Senator John Ensign of Nevada, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, considered North Carolina to be one of the top ten most competitive Senate races.[5]

Contents

[edit] Dates and Deadlines

May 6, 2008 - Primary elections.

November 4, 2008 - General elections.

[edit] Candidates

Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan and Libertarian Chris Cole will challenge incumbent Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole. The November general election will be the first time in North Carolina history, and only the eighth time in U.S. history, that two women are the major-party opponents for a U.S. Senate seat.

National Democrats at first encouraged incumbent Governor Mike Easley to make the race. A late October 2007 Rasmussen Report poll showed Easley defeating Dole 50% to 42%.[6].[7]. Easley declined to run, as did Congressman Brad Miller, who expressed interest in early 2007.[8][9]

[edit] Polling

[edit] Dole's Approval/Disapproval

Source Date Approve Disapprove
Public Policy Polling Oct. 30, 2007 45% 36%
Public Policy Polling Oct. 22, 2007 44% 41%
Public Policy Polling Sept. 18, 2007 45% 40%

[edit] General Election

[edit] Dole (R) v Hagan (D)

Poll Source Dates administered Democrat: Kay Hagan Republican: Elizabeth Dole
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 49% 44%
Survey USA October 5 - October 6, 2008 43% 44%
Public Policy Polling September 28 - September 29, 2008 46% 38%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 48% 45%
Public Policy Polling September 19, 2008 46% 41%
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 51% 45%
Daily Kos/Research2000 September 10, 2008 42% 48%
Survey USA September 8, 2008 40% 48%
Democracy Corps August 26, 2008 50% 45%
Public Policy Polling August 23, 2008 42% 39%
Insider Advantage August 19, 2008 40% 40%
Research2000 for Daily Kos July 28-July 30, 2008 42% 50%
Public Policy Polling(PPP) July 23-July 27, 2008 40% 49%
Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2008 43% 54%
Survey USA July 14, 2008 42% 54%
The Tarrance Group July 9, 2008 36% 51%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
June 11-June 13, 2008 38% 48%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2008 39% 53%
Anzalone Liszt Research June 4, 2008 44% 48%
Public Policy Polling May 28-May 29, 2008 39% 47%
Survey USA May 17-May 19, 2008 46% 50%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
May 14-May 17, 2008 43% 45%
Public Policy Polling May 8-May 9, 2008 43% 48%
Rasmussen Reports May 8, 2008 48% 47%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
April 28-April 30, 2008 41% 48%
Rasmussen Reports April 10, 2008 39% 52%
Public Policy Polling February 18, 2008 33% 50%

[edit] Election Results

Note: Vote totals are unofficial and were derived from the NC State Board of Elections website, accessed on May 7, 2008.

[edit] Democratic Primary

2008 North Carolina U.S. Senator Democratic primary election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kay Hagan 801,920 60.1
Democratic Jim Neal 239,623 18.0
Democratic Marcus W. Williams 170,970 12.8
Democratic Duskin Lassiter 62,136 4.6
Democratic Howard Staley 60,403 4.5
Turnout 1,335,052

[edit] Republican Primary Results

2008 North Carolina U.S. Senator Republican primary election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Elizabeth Dole 460,665 90.0
Republican Pete DiLauro 51,406 10.0
Turnout 512,071

[edit] General Election

2008 North Carolina U.S. Senator general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Elizabeth Dole
Democratic Kay Hagan
Libertarian Chris Cole
Majority
Turnout

[edit] References

[edit] External links


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