United States Senate elections, 2010

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United States Senate elections, 2010
Class III (34 of the 100) seats to the United States Senate and two mid-term vacancies from Class I and Class II
November 2, 2010
Leader Harry Reid Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Leader's seat Nevada Kentucky
Last election 59 seats (including 2 Independents) 41 seats
Seats before 60 seats (including 2 Independents) 40 seats
Senate Seats up for Election:
     Two Democratic incumbents     Democratic incumbent     Retiring Democrat     Republican incumbent     Retiring Republican     No election

Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 2, 2010, with at least 36 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate being contested. Thirty-four of these are to six-year terms, from January 3, 2011 to January 3, 2017. They will join Senate Class III, which traces its roots back to the Senators who served full six-year terms from March 4, 1789 to March 3, 1795. Elections to the United States House of Representatives as well as some state and local elections will occur on the same date.

In addition to the 34 Senators in Class III, there will be two special elections in 2010 to fill unexpired terms. One of these elections will be in Delaware to fill the last four years of the Class II seat previously held by Vice President Joe Biden. In 2008, Biden was simultaneously reelected to the Senate seat he had held since 1973. His resignation from the Senate resulted in Democratic then-Governor Ruth Ann Minner's appointing Democrat Ted Kaufman to the seat until November 2010. Kaufman has since stated that he will not run for the unexpired term in 2010. This seat will again be up for election in 2014 for a full six-year term. The other special election will be held for New York's Class I seat previously held by United States Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. Clinton was reelected to her second term in 2006 but was confirmed as Secretary of State in January 2009, which resulted in Democratic Governor David Paterson's appointing Democratic U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to the seat until November 2010. Gillibrand has stated that she will run for the unexpired term in 2010. This seat will again be up for election in 2012 for a full six-year term.

The current composition of the Senate going into the 2010 elections is a result of the 2008 elections, in which Democrats gained eight seats. The Democratic Party gained another seat with the political realignment of Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania on April 28, 2009. The Senate is currently composed of 58 Democrats, 40 Republicans, and two Independents—Joe Lieberman of Connecticut and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, both of whom caucus with the Democrats. Of the seats expected to be up for election in 2010, 18 are held by Democrats and 18 by Republicans.

Contents

[edit] Predictions

The following seats are considered safe in most current predictions:

Democratic: Indiana, Maryland, New York, Oregon, Vermont and Washington.
Republican: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, and Utah.
Source Safe Democratic Likely Democratic Leans Democratic Tossup Leans Republican Likely Republican Safe Republican
The Cook Political Report
(updates)
as of
July 1, 2009		 Arkansas
Delaware*
Hawaii
New York*
North Dakota
Wisconsin		 California
Nevada		 Colorado
Pennsylvania		 Connecticut
Illinois
Kentucky
Missouri
New Hampshire
Ohio		 Florida
Louisiana		 North Carolina Arizona
Kansas
Iowa
Oklahoma
Texas[a]
CQ Politics
(updates)
as of
June?, 2009		 California
Hawaii
North Dakota		 Arkansas
Colorado
Delaware*
Wisconsin		 Nevada
New York*
Pennsylvania		 Connecticut
Illinois
Kentucky
 Missouri
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Ohio		 Florida
Louisiana
South Carolina		 Arizona
Georgia
Kansas
South Dakota		 Iowa
Oklahoma
The Rothenberg Political Report
(updates)
as of
April 28, 2009		 California
Delaware*
Hawaii
North Dakota
New York*
Wisconsin		 Arkansas
Colorado
Illinois
Pennsylvania
 Kentucky
Nevada		 Connecticut
Missouri
New Hampshire
Ohio		 Florida
North Carolina
 Louisiana
 Arizona
Iowa
Kansas
Oklahoma
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball
(updates)
as of February 19, 2009		 Arkansas
California
Delaware*
Hawaii
North Dakota
Wisconsin		 Connecticut Nevada
New York*		 Colorado
Florida
Illinois
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
New Hampshire
Ohio		 Pennsylvania[b]
North Carolina
 Arizona
Oklahoma
The Swing State Project
(ratings)
as of June 11, 2009		 Arkansas
Delaware*
New York*
Wisconsin
 Illinois
Nevada
Pennsylvania
 Colorado
Connecticut
 Kentucky
Missouri
New Hampshire
Ohio		 North Carolina Florida
Louisiana
Texas		 Arizona
Oklahoma
Campaign Diaries
(rankings)
as of June 7, 2009		 Arkansas
California
Hawaii
Illinois
Nevada
New York*
North Dakota
Wisconsin		 Colorado
Delaware*
Pennsylvania		 Connecticut
Kentucky
Missouri
New Hampshire
Ohio
 North Carolina Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Louisiana		 Kansas
Iowa
Oklahoma

a. ^  Assumption made for resignation of Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-Texas) to run for Governor of Texas.
b ^  Rating provided while Specter was running as a Republican.

[edit] Overview of races

[edit] Retiring Democratic Senators

[edit] Ted Kaufman of Delaware

Main article: United States Senate special election in Delaware, 2010

Democratic Senator Joe Biden was simultaneously reelected to the U.S. Senate and elected Vice President of the United States on November 4, 2008. Although Biden was sworn in for his seventh term on January 6, 2009,[1] he tendered his resignation effective January 15 in preparation for taking office as Vice President on January 20, 2009.

On November 24, 2008, former Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner announced Biden would be replaced by Democrat Ted Kaufman, his former chief of staff, sometime in January 2009. He was subsequently sworn in on January 15. A special election for the remainder of the term, which expires on January 3, 2015, will be held in 2010. Kaufman announced that he will not be a candidate in the special election.[2]

Christine O'Donnell, the Republican nominee who ran against and lost to Joe Biden in 2008, has announced that she will run again.[3] Former Republican Governor and U.S. Representative Mike Castle, who represents the state at large in the U.S. House, says he is leaning more toward running for the Senate seat than for re-election[4], but may not run for Congress at all. [5] Speculations rose when Castle announced that he would not take the position of Ranking Member of the Education and Labor Committee, suggesting that he may be more interested in a Senate run than staying in the House. Republican House leadership had offered the position to entice the moderate Castle to remain in the House.[6]

On the Democratic side, Vice President Biden's son Beau, the current Attorney General of Delaware who is serving in active duty in Iraq, is considering a run and would be an early favorite to win the nomination for his father's former seat.[7]

Barack Obama won Delaware with 62% of the vote in 2008. [8]

The seat will be up for election again in 2014 for a full six-year term.

[edit] Roland Burris of Illinois

Main article: United States Senate elections in Illinois, 2010

Former Democratic Illinois Attorney General Roland Burris was appointed by Democratic then-Governor Rod Blagojevich, on December 30, 2008, to fill the Senate seat Barack Obama vacated when he resigned to become President. Burris experienced negative media coverage, at least two investigations of his testimony before the Illinois House during the hearings to impeach Blagojevich and almost non-existent fundraising. On July 10, 2009, Burris announced that he will not seek election to a full term in 2010. [9]

Illinois Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias has signaled that he will seek the Democratic nomination.[10] Democratic Congressman Danny K. Davis is a potential candidate, but has not made a decision since Burris announced that he was not going to run.[11] Multiple media sources have reported that Chris Kennedy, son of Robert F. Kennedy, is planning on announcing his candidacy soon. Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan had stated that she was not considering a run for the U.S. Senate, and was thought to be more interested in challenging then incumbent Rod Blagojevich in the 2010 gubernatorial election.[12] She reconsidered a Senate run after then Lt. Governor Pat Quinn replaced Blagojevich following the latter's impeachment and removal from office.[13] On July 8, 2009, however, Madigan decided not to run for either Governor or the U.S. Senate, and instead run for reelection as Attorney General in 2010. [14] Another potential Democratic primary candidate is Chicago Urban League President Cheryle Jackson who is interested in a run now that Burris has opted out. [15] One minor candidate for the Democratic nomination is businessman Stan Jagla.[16]

Republicans Congressman Mark Kirk is almost certainly going to run for the seat following the announcements by Attorney General Madigan and Illinois Republican Party Chairman Andy McKenna that neither of them will run.[17][18] Kirk announced on July 13, 2009 that he would make a final decision on whether or not to run for the seat within a week [8]. Other Republican candidates that have declared so far are controversial journalist and perennial candidate Andy Martin and Rockford resident Robert Zadek.[19] U.S. Representative Peter Roskam is also considering running for the seat.[20] Other Republicans mentioned include former U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Steve Preston [9] and former Pope County Judge Donald Lowery [10].

In preliminary polling, Mark Kirk has an unusually strong showing for a Republican in Illinois. A poll taken on April 30, 2009 shows that Kirk would defeat both Burris and Schakowsky, tie Giannoulias, but lose to Madigan in a general election. [21]

Barack Obama won Illinois with 62% of the vote in the presidential election of 2008.[22]

[edit] Retiring Republican Senators

[edit] Kit Bond of Missouri

Main article: United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010

Four-term incumbent Republican Senator Kit Bond was reelected with 56% of the vote in 2004. He will be 71 years old in 2010. He has announced that he will not seek reelection,[23] creating a vacancy.

Republican U.S. Representative Roy Blunt, who represents Missouri's 7th congressional district (Southwest Missouri) in the U.S. House, has announced his candidacy.[24] Former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman, who sought but narrowly lost the Republican gubernatorial nomination in August 2008 to Kenny Hulshof, is also considering a run for the Republican nomination.[25]. Former U.S. Senator Jim Talent, who was narrowly unseated in 2006 by Democrat Claire McCaskill, has announced that he will not run.[26][27]

On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Robin Carnahan (daughter of former U.S. Senator Jean Carnahan and former Governor Mel Carnahan) entered the race on February 3, 2009,[28] and is widely considered the front-runner for the Democratic nomination. She also enters the race as the early favorite.[29] In 2008, Carnahan won her second term as Secretary of State with near 1.7 million votes, the most votes ever cast for a single candidate in Missouri state history, and also winning all but 4 of Missouri's 114 counties.

Republican presidential nominee John McCain narrowly defeated Barack Obama 49.43% to 49.29% in Missouri in 2008. [30]

[edit] Sam Brownback of Kansas

Main article: United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010

Former 2008 Republican presidential candidate and two-term incumbent Sen. Sam Brownback has stated that he will not run for reelection in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits.[31]

On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Jerry Moran of Kansas's 1st congressional district has filed papers with the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) to run for the U.S. Senate seat.[32] Another Republican U.S. Representative, Todd Tiahrt of Kansas's 4th congressional district, has also announced his candidacy for the seat, setting up what is expected to be a bruising GOP primary.[33]

Former Democratic Governor Kathleen Sebelius, who was quite popular in Kansas, was seen as a potential candidate because of term limits preventing her from seeking another term as Governor.[34] Instead, Sebelius accepted the nomination by President Barack Obama to be Secretary of Health and Human Services, laying to rest the possibility that she will run for the U.S. Senate.

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Kansas with 56.50% of the vote in 2008.

[edit] Judd Gregg of New Hampshire

Main article: United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2010

Three-term Republican incumbent U.S. Senator Judd Gregg was reelected in 2004 with 66% of the vote.[35] Gregg had originally announced his intention to run for a fourth term, but was nominated to the position of United States Secretary of Commerce by President Barack Obama in early February 2009. However, Gregg withdrew his nomination on February 12, 2009 citing "irresolvable conflicts" over policy related to the Commerce Department.[36] Gregg has stated he will not run again.[37]

Democratic U.S. Representative Paul Hodes is running for this seat.[38] The state's other U.S. Representative, Carol Shea-Porter, also a Democrat, announced on Monday March 16, 2009, that she would not run for the seat. Her decision averted a primary battle against and has thus cleared the way for Hodes. [39]

On the Republican side, former U.S. Senator John Sununu, who was ousted in 2008 by former Democratic Governor Jeanne Shaheen, was thought to be a potential candidate,[40] but announced on July 1, 2009 that he would not seek the seat.[41] On July 7, 2009 state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte announced that she was seriously considering running [11].

Barack Obama won New Hampshire with 54% of the vote in 2008. [42]

[edit] Mel Martinez of Florida

Main article: United States Senate election in Florida, 2010

Freshman Republican Senator Mel Martinez was elected in a very close race against Democrat Betty Castor in 2004 with just 49% of the vote.[43] Martinez is a former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in the George W. Bush Administration. Martinez announced on December 2, 2008, that he would not seek a second term in the U.S. Senate.[44]

On the Republican side, incumbent Governor Charlie Crist announced his candidacy and is considered to be the favorite in the race.[45] Crist currently has high approval ratings in the state among Republicans and Democrats and would be considered a formidable candidate.[46] Former Republican Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives Marco Rubio is running and positioning himself as the more conservative candidate between him and Crist.[47] Former New Hampshire U.S. Senator Bob Smith is also a declared candidate.[48] U.S. Congressman Vern Buchanan, who represents Florida's 13th congressional district[49], former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives Allan Bense[50], and State House Majority Leader Adam Hasner[51], are also potential Republican candidates.

Some other minor candidates who are running are former Shores city councilman Bob Coggins,[52] attorney Linda Vasquez Littlefield,[53] evangelist and consultant Gwendolyn McClellan,[52] physician and 2008 congressional candidate Marion Thorpe,[54] and real estate broker Tom Walsh[55].

On the Democratic side, U.S. Representative Kendrick Meek,[56] who represents Florida's 17th congressional district, North Miami Mayor Kevin Burns,[57] Marine Corps veteran George Lovenguth,[58] pastor Tyrone Brown,[52] and Key West resident "Trinidad Joe" Allen[59] have all announced their candidacies for the seat. Rep. Corrine Brown has formed an exploratory committee. State Senator Dan Gelber had formed an exploratory committee, but ultimately decided not to run in the interest of political unity;[60] he later announced that he would run for Florida Attorney General.[61] Rep. Ron Klein also expressed interest in the race only to opt not to run.[62]

Barack Obama won Florida with 51% of the vote in 2008.[63]

[edit] George Voinovich of Ohio

Main article: United States Senate election in Ohio, 2010

Two-term Republican incumbent George Voinovich was reelected with 64% of the vote in 2004. Voinovich, a former Mayor of Cleveland, Lieutenant Governor and Governor of Ohio, announced that he was going to retire rather than seek reelection to a third term [64][65] in 2010, when he will be 74 years old.

On the Republican side, former U.S. Representative, U.S. Trade Representative and Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Director Rob Portman announced his candidacy and appears to be the consensus choice among Republicans.[66]

On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher,[67] have announced their candidacies. U.S. Representative Marcy Kaptur of Ohio's 9th congressional district is also a possible candidate.[68][69]

Barack Obama won Ohio in 2008 by 51.4% to 46.8%. [70]

[edit] Democratic incumbents

[edit] Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas

Main article: United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2010

Two term Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln was reelected with 56% of the vote in 2004.[71] Lincoln will seek reelection and has already held a major fundraiser with Vice President Joe Biden. [72]

On the Republican side, Arkansas Senate minority leader Kim Hendren has announced his candidacy.[73] Other potential Republican candidates include former U.S. Treasury Official French Hill, investment banker Patrick Calhoun, former Army officer Tom Cotton, [74] and state Senator Gilbert Baker. [73]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Arkansas with 59% of the vote in 2008. [75]

[edit] Barbara Boxer of California

Main article: United States Senate election in California, 2010

Three-term Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer was reelected with 58% of the vote in 2004.[76] In February 2007, she announced that she would seek a fourth term in 2010, when she will be 70 years old.[77]

On the Republican side, state Assemblyman Chuck DeVore of California's 70th State Assembly district has announced his candidacy.[78] Telecommunications sales executive Al Ramirez is also forming an exploratory committee to challenge Boxer. [79] Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina is another possible candidate.[80]

Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has ruled out a run for U.S. Senate when his term as Governor expires.[81]

Barack Obama won California with 61% of the vote in 2008. [82]

[edit] Michael Bennet of Colorado

Main article: United States Senate election in Colorado, 2010

Following the resignation of first term Democratic Senator Ken Salazar to become President Barack Obama's Secretary of the Interior,[83] Democratic Governor Bill Ritter selected Michael Bennet, the former Superintendent of Denver Public Schools, to fill Salazar's seat for the remainder of his term.[84] Bennet has stated that he will run for a full term in 2010.[85]

Former Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives Andrew Romanoff may challenge Bennet in the Democratic primary.[86]

On the Republican side, Aurora City Councilman Ryan Frazier[87], Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck[88], and businessman Cleve Tidwell [89] have announced their candidacies. In addition, former Congressman and 2006 gubernatorial nominee Bob Beauprez and radio talk-show host Dan Caplis are potential candidates.[90][91]

President Obama won Colorado with 54% of the vote in 2008. [92]

[edit] Christopher Dodd of Connecticut

Main article: United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2010

Five-term Democratic incumbent Christopher Dodd was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2004.[93] Dodd is running for reelection. [94] However, he has become politically weakened due to his failed 2008 presidential campaign,[95] his involvement in the AIG bonus payments controversy, his receiving a "sweetheart" loan from Countrywide Financial, and his involvement with fundraiser and investor Allen Stanford, who has been accused of running a Ponzi scheme.[96][97] Because of these allegations, Republicans [98] and Democratic leaders believe Dodd is vulnerable. [99]

On the Republican side, former Congressman Rob Simmons,[100] State Senator Sam Caligiuri[101] and former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland Tom Foley[102] have both announced their candidacies. Euro Pacific Capital President and noted financial pundit Peter Schiff, an outspoken libertarian who has gained attention for correctly predicting the subprime mortgage crisis despite mockery from other industry analysis,[103] considers running for Senate after he became the subject of an aggressive drafting campaign in early 2009.[104]

A March 2009 poll by Quinnipiac University showed Simmons narrowly ahead of Dodd by a margin of 43% to 42%. The same poll showed Dodd ahead of Caligiuri by a margin of 47% to 34%.[105] An April Quinnipiac poll showed Dodd losing to Simmons by 16 points and also losing to Caligiuri [106] However, a March 2009 Research 2000 poll sponsored by liberal website DailyKos showed Dodd leading Simmons 45% to 40%, and Dodd leading Caligiuri 51% to 30%.[107]

In the first quarter of 2009, Dodd raised $604,745 from nearly 400 donors; however, only five Connecticut residents contributed, donating $4,250. [108]

Barack Obama won Connecticut with 60.59% of the vote in 2008. [109]

[edit] Daniel Inouye of Hawaii

Main article: United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2010

Eight-term incumbent Senator Daniel Inouye was reelected with 76% of the vote in 2004[110] and has announced that he will seek another term. He will be 86 years old in 2010.[111] A recent news report claims that Inouye made calls to Federal bank regulators requesting bailout money to a bank that Inouye helped found and which held much of his personal wealth [12].

One potential challenger is incumbent Republican Governor Linda Lingle who had a 53% approval rating as of December 2008. [112]

Barack Obama won Hawaii with 72% of the vote in 2008. [113]

[edit] Evan Bayh of Indiana

Main article: United States Senate election in Indiana, 2010

Two-term incumbent and former two-term Governor Evan Bayh was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2004. [114]

NRSCC chairman, Texas Senator John Cornyn said he does not expect the Republicans to fundraise and compete against Bayh in 2010, though some believe that if Bayh votes for Obama's cap and trade proposal, he will be extremely vulnerable and Republicans would obviously begin fundraising whoever his opponent may be. [115] The only declared Republican candidate so far is Don Bates, Jr., a branch manager for Wachovia Securities. [116] Tax attorney Dan Dumezich is considering a run[115], as is state Senator Marlin Stutzman[117] and Grant County Commissioner Mark Bardsley [13].

Barack Obama narrowly won Indiana with 50% of the vote to 49% for Republican presidential nominee John McCain in 2008. [118]

[edit] Barbara Mikulski of Maryland

Main article: United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010

Four-term incumbent Sen. Barbara Mikulski was reelected with 65% of the vote in 2004. [119]

Barack Obama won Maryland with 62% of the vote in 2008. [120]

[edit] Harry Reid of Nevada

Main article: United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010

Four-term incumbent and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid was reelected with 61% of the vote in 2004.[110] He will seek a fifth term in 2010, when he will be 71 years old.[121]

Republican Lieutenant Governor Brian Krolicki is considering a possible run and is trying to lay the groundwork to mount a serious campaign against Reid,[122] but his status as a candidate has been uncertain since his indictment for felony charges. [123] Prominent physician Dr. Robin L. Titus has declared her candidacy[124]. Republican former Assemblywoman Sharron Angle is also considering challenging Reid. [125] In addition, U.S. Representative Dean Heller hasn't ruled out running against Reid. [126]

Barack Obama won Nevada with 55% of the vote in 2008. [127]

[edit] Kirsten Gillibrand of New York

Main article: United States Senate special election in New York, 2010

Incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was appointed by Democratic Governor David Paterson to fill this seat on January 23, 2009, after former Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton resigned to take up her appointment as U.S. Secretary of State.[128] Gillibrand will serve until the seat is filled in a 2010 special election. The winner of the 2010 election may then decide whether or not to run for a full term in 2012.[129] Gillibrand has filed paperwork to seek a full term. [130]

Another Democrat contemplating challenging Gillibrand in the Democratic primary is Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney.[131] She is reportedly preparing to announce her candidacy.[132]

On the Republican side, Congressman Peter T. King has been considering the race, but is now unlikely to jump in. [133] Former Governor George Pataki has met with Republican officials about a possible campaign, but officials say it is unlikely he will run.[134] However, Republicans haven't given up on Pataki being the nominee [135], and a recent Marist poll shows Pataki leading Gillibrand by a 46% to 38% margin.

Barack Obama won New York with 63% of the vote in 2008. [136]

[edit] Chuck Schumer of New York

Main article: United States Senate election in New York, 2010

Two-term incumbent Democrat Chuck Schumer, the former chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) was reelected with 71% of the vote in 2004.[137] He is unlikely to face strong competition in 2010,[138] when he will be 60 years old.

Barack Obama won New York with 63% of the vote in 2008. [139]

[edit] Byron Dorgan of North Dakota

Main article: United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2010

Three-term incumbent Democrat Byron Dorgan was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2004. He will be 68 years old in 2010. [140] Dorgan is expected to run for reelection but has not made an announcement like many of his fellow colleagues up for reelection.[141]

Republicans are trying to get popular Governor John Hoeven to run, [142] but may end up running Duane Sand who lost to North Dakota's other senator Kent Conrad in 2000 and has registered to run in this race.[141] Hoeven says he'll make a final decision about a Senate campaign in September 2009. [143]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won North Dakota with 53% of the vote in 2008.[144]

[edit] Ron Wyden of Oregon

Main article: United States Senate election in Oregon, 2010

Two-term incumbent Sen. Ron Wyden (D) was reelected with 64% of the vote in 2004. He will be 61 years old in 2010.

Fitness instructor, machinist and perennial candidate Pavel Goberman has announced his candidacy as a Democrat.[145]

Barack Obama won Oregon with 57% of the vote in 2008. [146]

[edit] Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania

Main article: United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2010

Five-term incumbent Arlen Specter was reelected as a Republican by a 53% to 42% margin in 2004.[147] On April 28, 2009, Specter announced he will seek a sixth term in 2010 as a Democrat.[148] He will be 80 years old in 2010.

Based on polling, the 2004 primary results and a smaller, more right wing Pennsylvania GOP, Specter judged that he would lose in the Republican primary to Pat Toomey and switched to being a Democrat. As a long-standing moderate, Specter had tensions with the right wing base of the Republican Party going back to at least 1987 when played a key role derailing President Ronald Reagan's nomination of Robert Bork to the U.S. Supreme Court. Recently, Specter had antagonized the GOP base in Pennsylvania and nationally by voting in favor of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (the economic stimulus bill). After for voting the stimulus bill, Specter attempted to appease the GOP base by switching his position on the Employee Free Choice Act (a bill to make organizing unions easier) from supporting to opposing. This switch did not curry enough favor with the Republican base to recover the support lost by supporting the stimulus bill.

Former U.S. Representative and former President of the Club for Growth Pat Toomey, who came within 1.7% of defeating Specter in the 2004 GOP primary, was Specter's primary opposition in a GOP primary.[149] The GOP race is now open with Toomey also facing businessman Larry Murphy,[150] who challenged Specter in the 1998 primary, 1994 and 1998 Constitution Party gubernatorial candidate Peg Luksik,[151] and Retired Federal Air Marshal Robert Townsend.[152] Some Republicans were hoping former Governor and former Secretary of Homeland Security would Tom Ridge run, but he has announced, that he will not run.

As part of switching parties, the Democratic leadership, including President Barack Obama, Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, are discouraging candidates from challenging Specter in the Democratic primary. At least some Democratic activists wish to field a strong challenge to Specter, including a number of bloggers.

Joe Sestak has said that he's waiting to see "what kind of Democrat" Specter is. Sestak seems to be saying that he will challenge Specter in the Democratic primary if Specter is insufficiently supportive of Democratic issues and the Obama agenda. Nate Silver has made the point that if Specter follows the average pattern for party switchers that Specter should vote with the Democrats as much as Sestak, who is not particularly liberal.[153] Josh Marshall analyzed Specter's performance in his first week as a Democrat. Marshall observed Specter seems to have hurt himself among Democratic activists and interests groups for no particular reason besides "cockiness". [154]

Prior to Specter switching parties, Pennsylvania State School Board Chairman, former president and CEO of the National Constitution Center and former Deputy Mayor of Philadelphia Joe Torsella had been a candidate for the Democratic Party nomination, but dropped out on May 14.[155] State Representative Bill Kortz also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination prior to Specter's switch, but has not withdrawn.[156] Reports indicate that Congressman Joe Sestak is informing supporters that he is preparing to challenge Specter in the Democratic primary.[157] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Patrick Murphy and Pittsburgh City Controller Michael Lamb.[158]

Barack Obama won Pennsylvania with 55% of the vote in 2008.[159]

[edit] Patrick Leahy of Vermont

Main article: United States Senate election in Vermont, 2010

Six-term incumbent Democrat Patrick Leahy was reelected with 71% of the vote in 2004. [160] Leahy will run for reelection. [161]

Cannabis legal reform activist and perennial candidate Cris Ericson has announced her candidacy as an independent.[162]

Barack Obama won Vermont with 68% of the vote in 2008. [163]

[edit] Patty Murray of Washington

Main article: United States Senate election in Washington, 2010

Three-term incumbent Democrat Patty Murray was reelected with 55% of the vote in 2004.[164] She will be 60 years old in 2010. She has not announced whether she will seek reelection, although she has begun to raise money for a potential campaign. [165]

So far, the only declared Republican candidates are truck driver and U.S. Army veteran Wayne Glover[166] and Sean Salazar[167], a chiropractor, U.S. Navy veteran and 2001 U.S. House candidate. Republican leaders are encouraging Congressman Dave Reichert to run. [168]

Barack Obama won Washington with 58% of the vote in 2008. [169]

[edit] Russ Feingold of Wisconsin

Main article: United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010

Three-term incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold was reelected with 55% of the vote in 2004. [170]

Feingold has announced his campaign staff for reelection and is expected to announce his formal election intentions soon. [171]

Barack Obama won Wisconsin with 56% of the vote in 2008. [172]

[edit] Republican incumbents

[edit] Richard Shelby of Alabama

Main article: United States Senate election in Alabama, 2010

Four-term incumbent Republican Richard Shelby, a former Democrat who switched parties in 1994 when Republicans took control of both the U.S. House of Representatives and U.S. Senate, was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2004. [173] Shelby's 2010 campaign committee had over $13 million on hand as of September 30, 2008, and will stand for reelection in 2010.[174]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Alabama with 61% of the vote in 2008. [175]

[edit] Lisa Murkowski of Alaska

Main article: United States Senate election in Alaska, 2010

Incumbent Republican Lisa Murkowski, appointed in 2002, was reelected to a full term in 2004 with 48.6% of the vote.[176]

Murkowski has announced that she will seek reelection and will have fundraising aid from former Governor Sarah Palin.[177]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Alaska with 60% of the vote in 2008.[178]

[edit] John McCain of Arizona

Main article: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2010

2008 Republican presidential nominee and four-term incumbent John McCain was reelected with 77% of the vote in 2004.[179] McCain has signaled his intention to run for a fifth term in 2010, when he will be 74 years old.[180]

Two Republicans have announced that they will challenge McCain in the primary: U.S. Navy veteran and businessman Jim Deakin,[181] and Chris Simcox, the founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps.[182] Former U.S. Representative J.D. Hayworth may challenge McCain in the primary as well.[183]

On the Democratic side, the only declared candidate so far is Rudy Garcia, the former mayor of Bell Gardens, California.[184]

During his presidential campaign, McCain won Arizona with 54% of the vote. [185]

[edit] Johnny Isakson of Georgia

Main article: United States Senate election in Georgia, 2010

Freshman Republican Johnny Isakson was elected with 58% of the vote in 2004.[186] Isakson has announced that he will run for reelection. [187]

Republican Congressman Paul Broun is a potential challenger to Isakson in the Republican primary. [188]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Georgia with 52% of the vote in 2008. [189]

[edit] Mike Crapo of Idaho

Main article: United States Senate election in Idaho, 2010

Two-term Republican incumbent Mike Crapo was reelected against only token write-in opposition with 99% of the vote in 2004 after Idaho Democrats failed to produce a candidate before the filing deadline. [190]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Idaho with 61% of the vote in 2008. [191]

[edit] Chuck Grassley of Iowa

Main article: United States Senate election in Iowa, 2010

Five-term Republican incumbent Chuck Grassley was reelected with 70% of the vote in 2004. Grassley will run for reelection. [192] Conservative Republicans suggest Grassley may face a primary challenge due to his lack of support for their issues.[193]

Democratic challenger Bob Krause is a former state legislator, Army veteran and transportation official.

Barack Obama won Iowa with 54% of the vote in 2008. [194]

[edit] Jim Bunning of Kentucky

Main article: United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2010

Baseball Hall of Famer and two-term Republican incumbent Sen. Jim Bunning was narrowly reelected with 51% of the vote in 2004 against his Democratic opponent, then-state Senator Daniel Mongiardo, after several of Bunning's controversial actions made the race close.[195] Bunning intends to run for reelection, but some Republicans are trying to talk Bunning out of running again.[196] Bunning has continued to make controversial comments in 2009, such as predicting that Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg would be dead in nine months. [197] Secretary of State Trey Grayson and eye surgeon Rand Paul, son of U.S. Representative and 2008 presidential candidate Ron Paul, have said they would be interested in running if Bunning decided to retire.[198] Paul recently formed an exploratory committee, and announced that he would seek the Senate seat on The Rachel Maddow Show on May 14, 2009, should Bunning decide not to run.

On the Democratic side two statewide elected Democrats have announced their candidacies: now- Lieutenant Governor Daniel Mongiardo, a practicing surgeon, announced that he will challenge Bunning again in 2010 and has received the endorsement of Democratic Governor Steve Beshear,[199]. The other candidate is Attorney General Jack Conway, who has the support of both Kentucky's Democratic Congressman, Ben Chandler and John Yarmuth, state Auditor Crit Luallen, and state House Speaker Greg Stumbo.[200][201] Former U.S. Customs Agent Darlene Fitzgerald Price has also announced her candidacy.[199]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Kentucky with 57% of the vote in 2008.[202]

[edit] David Vitter of Louisiana

Main article: United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2010

Freshman Republican David Vitter was elected with 51% of the vote in 2004.[203] Vitter has announced that he will seek reelection, [204] though his reelection bid may become complicated by a prostitution scandal that was revealed in 2007.[205]

Republican Secretary of State Jay Dardenne is a potential challenger to Vitter in the Republican primary, [206] as is the former pornographic actress Stormy Daniels.[207]

On the Democratic side of the aisle, Congressman Charles Melancon is thinking of running, and is believed to be a formidable candidate. [208]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Louisiana with 59% of the vote in 2008. [209]

[edit] Richard Burr of North Carolina

Main article: United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2010

Freshman Republican Richard Burr was elected with 52% of the vote in 2004. [210] Burr is considered a potentially vulnerable incumbent due to his poor approval ratings (currently in the mid-30 percent range) and low profile statewide.[211]

Several prominent North Carolina Democrats have declined to challenge Burr, most notably North Carolina Attorney General Roy A. Cooper. Thus far, the only declared Democratic candidates are Army veteran, graphic artist and 2006 and 2008 congressional candidate John Hendrix[212] and Kenneth Lewis, an attorney who worked on Barack Obama's transition team when he was president-elect.[213] Former state Senator Cal Cunningham is seriously thinking of running and says he'll make a final decision in a timely manner [14].

Barack Obama narrowly won North Carolina with 50% of the vote in 2008. [214]

[edit] Tom Coburn of Oklahoma

Main article: United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2010

Freshman Republican Tom Coburn was elected with 53% of the vote in 2004.[215] Coburn raised less than $20,000 in the fourth quarter of 2008 and reports less than $55,000 "cash on hand." Coburn announced on June 1 that he would be running for a second, and final term.[216]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Oklahoma with 66% of the vote in 2008. [217]

[edit] Jim DeMint of South Carolina

Main article: United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2010

Freshman Republican Jim DeMint was elected with 54% of the vote in 2004.[218] DeMint has raised 2.2 million dollars for his intended reelection bid. [219]

On the Democratic side, state Senator Brad Hutto is thinking of challenging DeMint.[220]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won South Carolina with 54% of the vote in 2008.[221]

[edit] John Thune of South Dakota

Main article: United States Senate election in South Dakota, 2010

Freshman Republican John Thune was elected with 51% of the vote in 2004.[222] Thune will likely run for a second term in 2010.[223]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won South Dakota with 53% of the vote in 2008. [224]

[edit] Bob Bennett of Utah

Main article: United States Senate election in Utah, 2010

Three-term Republican Bob Bennett was reelected with 69% of the vote in 2004.[225] Bennett intends to run for reelection.[226] Bennett was rated one of the ten most liberal Republicans in the Senate, Top 10 Senate RINOs by the conservative magazine Human Events. In May 2009, Bennett released an early advertisement, in which former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney expresses his support for Bennett, to discourage a primary challenge.[227]

Bennett will be challenged in the Republican primary by state Attorney General Mark Shurtleff.[228] He'll also face competition from Conservative businesswoman, Cherilyn Eagar [229] as well as James Russell Williams[230], and Tim Bridgwater[231].

Bennett may also face a competitive primary from the following undeclared Republican candidates: former Juab County prosecutor David Leavitt,[232] and former gubernatorial counsel Mike Lee[233]

Republican presidential nominee John McCain won Utah with 63% of the vote in 2008. [234]

[edit] Senate contests in 2010

State Incumbent Party Status Other candidates Last election results[235]
AL Richard Shelby Republican Running for reelection[174] Richard Shelby (R) 67.55%
Wayne Sowell (D) 32.35%
AK Lisa Murkowski Republican Running for reelection[177] Lisa Murkowski (R) 48.58%
Tony Knowles (D) 45.55%
Marc Millican (I) 2.88%
Jerry Sanders (AKI) 1.23%
Jim Sykes (G) 0.99%
AZ John McCain Republican Running for reelection[180] Jim Deakin (R)[181]
Chris Simcox (R)[182]
Rudy Garcia (D)[184]		 John McCain (R) 76.74%
Stuart Starky (D) 20.62%
Ernest Hancock (L) 2.64%
AR Blanche Lincoln Democratic Running for reelection[72] Kim Hendren (R)[73] Blanche Lincoln (D) 55.90%
Jim Holt (R) 44.07%
CA Barbara Boxer Democratic Running for reelection[77] Chuck DeVore (R)[78]
Al Ramirez (R)[79]		 Barbara Boxer (D) 57.71%
Bill Jones (R) 37.80%
Marsha J. Feinland (P&F) 2.02%
James P. Gray (L) 1.80%
CO Michael Bennet Democratic Running for election[85] Ken Buck (R)[88]
Ryan Frazier (R)[87]
Cleve Tidwell (R)[89]		 Ken Salazar (D) 51.30%
Pete Coors (R) 46.53%
CT Chris Dodd Democratic Running for reelection [96] Merrick Alpert (D)[236]
Sam Caligiuri (R)[101]
Tom Foley (R)[102]
Rob Simmons (R)[100]		 Chris Dodd (D) 66.35%
Jack Orchulli (R) 32.13%
DE1 Ted Kaufman Democratic Retiring[2] Christine O'Donnell (R)[3] Joe Biden (D) 64.69%
Christine O'Donnell (R) 35.31%
FL Mel Martinez Republican Retiring[44] Bob Coggins (R)[52]
Charlie Crist (R)[45]
Linda Vasquez Littlefield (R)[53]
Gwendolyn McClellan (R)[52]
Marco Rubio (R)[47]
Bob Smith (R)[48]
Marion Thorpe (R)[54]
Tom Walsh (R)[55]
Joe Allen (D)[59]
Tyrone Brown (D)[52]
Kevin Burns (D)[57]
George Lovenguth (D)[58]
Kendrick Meek (D)[56]		 Mel Martinez (R) 49.43%
Betty Castor (D) 48.32%
Dennis F. Bradley (V) 2.24%
GA Johnny Isakson Republican Running for reelection[237] Johnny Isakson (R) 57.88%
Denise Majette (D) 39.98%
Allen Buckley (L) 2.14%
HI Daniel Inouye Democratic Running for reelection[111] Daniel Inouye (D) 75.51%
Campbell Cavasso (R) 20.99%
Jim Brewer (I) 2.23%
Lloyd Jeffrey Mallan (L) 1.27%
ID Mike Crapo Republican Mike Crapo (R) 99.18%
Write-ins 0.82%
IL Roland Burris Democratic Retiring [9] Alexi Giannoulias (D)[10]
Stan Jagla (D)[16]
Andy Martin (R)
Robert Zadek (R)[19]		 Barack Obama (D) 69.97%
Alan Keyes (R) 27.05%
Albert Franzen (I) 1.58%
Jerry Kohn (L) 1.35%
IN Evan Bayh Democratic Don Bates, Jr. (R)[116] Evan Bayh (D) 61.65%
Marvin Scott (R) 37.23%
Albert Barger (L) 1.13%
IA Chuck Grassley Republican Running for reelection [192] Bob Krause (D)[238] Chuck Grassley (R) 70.18%
Arthur Small (D) 27.88%
Christy Ann Welty (L) 1.03%
KS Sam Brownback Republican Retiring[31] Jerry Moran (R)[32]
Todd Tiahrt (R)[33]		 Sam Brownback (R) 69.16%
Lee Jones (D) 27.49%
Steven Rosile (L) 1.93%
George Cook (Ref) 1.42%
KY Jim Bunning Republican Running for reelection[196] Jack Conway (D)[200]
Daniel Mongiardo (D)[199]
Darlene Fitzgerald Price (D)[199]		 Jim Bunning (R) 50.66%
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 49.34%
LA David Vitter Republican Running for reelection[204] David Vitter (R) 51.03%
Chris John (D) 29.34%
John N. Kennedy (D) 14.92%
Arthur Morrell (D) 2.56%
MD Barbara Mikulski Democratic Barbara Mikulski (D) 64.77%
E. J. Pipkin (R) 33.71%
Maria Allwine (G) 1.07%
MO Kit Bond Republican Retiring[23] Roy Blunt (R)[24]
Robin Carnahan (D)[28]		 Kit Bond (R) 56.09%
Nancy Farmer (D) 42.80%
Other 1%
NV Harry Reid Democratic Running for reelection[121] Robin L. Titus (R)[124] Harry Reid (D) 61.08%
Richard Ziser (R) 35.14%
None 1.60%
Thomas L. Hurst (L) 1.18%
NH Judd Gregg Republican Retiring[37] Paul Hodes (D)[38] Judd Gregg (R) 66.18%
Doris Haddock (D) 33.72%
NY Chuck Schumer Democratic Chuck Schumer (D) 71.16%
Howard Mills (R) 24.24%
Marilyn F. O'Grady (C) 3.30%
NY2 Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic Running for election[130] Carolyn Maloney (D)[132] Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 67.00%
John Spencer (R) 31.01%
Howie Hawkins (G) 1.24%
NC Richard Burr Republican John Hendrix (D)[212]
Kenneth Lewis (D)[213]		 Richard Burr (R) 51.60%
Erskine Bowles (D) 47.02%
Tom Bailey (L) 1.38%
ND Byron Dorgan Democratic Duane Sand (R)[141] Byron Dorgan (D) 68.28%
Mike Liffrig (R) 31.72%
OH George Voinovich Republican Retiring[64] Rob Portman (R)[66]
Jennifer Brunner (D)[67]
Lee Fisher (D)[67]		 George Voinovich (R) 63.85%
Eric Fingerhut (D) 36.14%
OK Tom Coburn Republican Running for reelection[216] Tom Coburn (R) 52.77%
Brad Carson (D) 41.24%
Sheila Bilyeu (I) 5.99%
OR Ron Wyden Democratic Pavel Goberman (D)[145] Ron Wyden (D) 63.39%
Al King (R) 31.75%
Teresa Kean (G) 2.42%
Dan Fitzgerald (L) 1.66%
PA Arlen Specter Democratic Running for reelection[239] Bill Kortz (D)[156]
Joe Sestak (D)[157]
Peg Luksik (R)[151]
Larry Murphy (R)[150]
Pat Toomey (R)[149]
Robert Townsend (R)[152]		 Arlen Specter (R) 52.62%
Joe Hoeffel (D) 41.99%
James N. Clymer (C) 3.96%
Betsy Summers (L) 1.43%
SC Jim DeMint Republican Running for reelection[219] Jim DeMint (R) 53.67%
Inez Tenenbaum (D) 44.10%
SD John Thune Republican Running for reelection[223] John Thune (R) 50.58%
Tom Daschle (D) 49.42%
UT Bob Bennett Republican Running for reelection[226] Mark Shurtleff (R)[228] Bob Bennett (R) 68.73%
Paul Van Dam (D) 28.40%
Gary R. Van Horn (C) 1.90%
VT Patrick Leahy Democratic Running for reelection[161] Cris Ericson (I)[162] Patrick Leahy (D) 70.63%
Jack McMullen (R) 24.54%
Cris Ericson (M) 2.11%
Craig Hill (G) 1.30%
Keith Stern (I) 1.07%
WA Patty Murray Democratic Wayne Glover (R)[166]
Sean Salazar (R)[167]		 Patty Murray (D) 54.98%
George Nethercutt (R) 42.74%
J. Mills (L) 1.21%
Mark B. Wilson (G) 1.08%
WI Russ Feingold Democratic Running for reelection[171] Russ Feingold (D) 55.35%
Tim Michels (R) 44.11%

1. Special election due to the resignation of Vice President Joe Biden
2. Special election due to the resignation of U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton

[edit] History at stake

If Republicans fail to defeat any Democratic incumbents or retake the open seats in Delaware and Illinois, these elections would mark the first time since the enactment of the 17th Amendment mandating direct election of U.S. Senators that either major party successfully defended all of its seats for three consecutive cycles[240]. This scenario discounts Joe Lieberman's successful re-election as an Independent Democrat in 2006 as constituting a change of party.

Before the Democratic victories of 2006 and 2008, the last time either major party avoided ceding a seat over back-to-back election cycles was in 1934.

[edit] See also

[edit] References

  1. ^ Kaufman Picked by Governor to Fill Biden Senate Seat (Update3)
  2. ^ a b Brumfield, Susan (November 24, 2008). "Longtime Biden aide picked to fill his Senate seat". Associated Press. http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5ikXdkhGpxM9rLnLYzrmagNZhJMIAD94LLTKO0. Retrieved on 2008-11-25. 
  3. ^ a b "O'Donnell wastes no time in announcing Senate candidacy". The Deleware Business Ledger. 2009-02-12. http://www.ledgerdelaware.com/articles/2009/02/12/news/doc49943c78b863f784263070.txt. 
  4. ^ http://www.rollcall.com/news/34239-1.html
  5. ^ http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2009/04/24/1905977.aspx
  6. ^ http://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2009/06/the_house_is_my_castle_delawar.html
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  9. ^ a b "Burris Won't Run for Re-Election". Roll Call. http://www.rollcall.com/news/36651-1.html. 
  10. ^ a b Candidates Lining Up for Illinois Senate Seat
  11. ^ http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0409/Putting_pressure_on_Burris.html?showall
  12. ^ http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2009/04/lisa_madigan_flourishing_in_a.html Lisa Madigan flourishing in a field of schemes
  13. ^ "Madigan Reconsidering Illinois Senate Race". http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/democratic-party/madigan-reconsidering-illinois.html. 
  14. ^ http://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2009/07/madigan_d_stays_put_in_ill_kir.html
  15. ^ http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/06/chicago-urban-league-president.html
  16. ^ a b Stan Jagla for U.S. Senate
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  18. ^ http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0709/24881.html
  19. ^ a b Rockford Man After U.S. Senate Seat
  20. ^ http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/presidents-cabinet-picks-deplete-field-of-senate-prospects-2009-02-23.html President’s Cabinet picks deplete field of Senate prospects
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  25. ^ Sarah Steelman Eyes Bonds' Senate Seat In 2010, stltoday.com
  26. ^ Missouri's Talent won't seek return to Senate
  27. ^ semissourian.com
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  29. ^ Wagman, Jake (2009-01-09). "Christopher 'Kit' Bond's decision leaves politicians scrambling to fill his Senate seat". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/AFEFE2EA4740AADA86257539000F5E7D?OpenDocument. Retrieved on 2009-01-09. 
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  32. ^ a b Steve Kraske (November 9, 2008). "Is that the distant sound of primary war drums? Moran, Tiahrt talk U.S. Senate 2010". Kansas City Star. http://primebuzz.kcstar.com/?q=node/15584. Retrieved on November 9, 2008. 
  33. ^ a b Jeffrey Young (January 31, 2009). "Kansan Tiahrt makes Senate bid official". The Hill. http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/kansan-tiahrt-makes-senate-bid-official-2009-01-31.html. Retrieved on January 31, 2009. 
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  38. ^ a b Rep. Hodes will stay in New Hampshire Senate race
  39. ^ url|http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/03/16/democrat-passes-on-new-hampshire-senate-run/
  40. ^ http://www.examiner.com/x-2978-Manchester-Democrat-Examiner~y2009m3d17-SheaPorters-reality-to-stay-put
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  45. ^ a b http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0509/Crist_running_for_Senate.html
  46. ^ Crist's popularity soaring
  47. ^ a b Brendan Farrington. "Former Fla. Speaker Rubio will seek US Senate seat". http://www.miamiherald.com/news/florida/AP/story/1032966.html. Retrieved on 12 May 2009. 
  48. ^ a b Wilson, Reid (2009-04-09). "Report: Smith to seek Martinez seat". The Hill. http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/report-smith-to-seek-martinez-seat-2009-04-09.html. 
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  51. ^ Gibson, William E. (2008-12-02). "Adam Hasner for U.S. Senate? How about Rubio, McCollum, or Gelber?". Sun Sentinel. http://weblogs.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/dcblog/2008/12/adam_hasner_for_us_senate_how.html. 
  52. ^ a b c d e f Former Shores councilman declares run for mayor
  53. ^ a b "Linda Vasquez Littlefield Announces Bid for U.S. Senate". PRNewswire-USNewswire. 2009-01-07. http://news.prnewswire.com/DisplayReleaseContent.aspx?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/01-07-2009/0004950905. Retrieved on 2009-01-12. 
  54. ^ a b Dr. Marion D. Thorpe, Jr. to Secretary of State Clinton: “Seek Peace in the Middle East”
  55. ^ a b Naples real estate broker Tom Walsh to explore Senate bid
  56. ^ a b Fla. Rep. Meek to run for Senate
  57. ^ a b Mayor of North Miami to seek U.S. Senate seat
  58. ^ a b Democrat Lovenguth candidate for Florida Senator 2010 election is using a "Pass the Word" Campaign
  59. ^ a b Key Wester Trinidad Joe eyes U.S. Senate seat
  60. ^ http://www.dangelber.com/blog/view_blog.php?ID=161
  61. ^ http://www.dangelber.com/news/view_news.php?ID=184
  62. ^ Rep. Ron Klein Rules Out Senate Bid
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  66. ^ a b Portman to run for Senate in 2010
  67. ^ a b c Brunner, Fisher to face off, Politico
  68. ^ Who Runs for Senate if Voinovich Retires, Washington Post
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  78. ^ a b Patrick McGreevy (2008-11-12). "Assemblyman to launch campaign to unseat Sen. Boxer". Los Angeles Times. http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-boxer12-2008nov12,0,3964256.story. Retrieved on 2008-11-12. 
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  84. ^ Crummy, Karen (2009-01-02). "Michael Bennet chosen as next Senator". Denver Post. http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_11355396. Retrieved on 2009-01-02. 
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  86. ^ Where is Andrew Romanoff?
  87. ^ a b Aurora councilman Frazier begins U.S. Senate bid
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  90. ^ http://www.timescall.com/news_story.asp?ID=15402
  91. ^ Suthers nixes bid for governor, Senate in 2010
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  240. ^ List of elections in the United States
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