United States presidential election in Florida, 2004

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2000 Flag of Florida 2008
United States presidential election in Florida
November 2, 2004
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 27 0
Popular vote 3,964,522 3,583,544
Percentage 52.1% 47.1%
Electoral results by county

Incumbent President
George W. Bush
Republican

President-elect
George W. Bush
Republican

Elections in Florida
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Florida was once again under the national spotlight because of the facts that the swing state had the largest number of electoral votes (27) and the memory of the controversy surrounding the 2000 Florida vote still fresh in the minds of voters.

Incumbent George W. Bush was able to defeat John Kerry with 52% of the vote. Bush's margin of victory of 5% is much safer than his tiny victory in 2000. The turnout was also much higher, going from an estimated 6 million voters to over 7.5 million voters showing up to vote.[1]

Contents

[edit] Campaign

This state was heavily targeted a swing state. Over the course of the election, Bush visited the state 15 times to Kerry's 18 times. Also, both candidates spend heavily on television advertisments, spending an estimated $3 million each week.[2]

Throughout the general election, Bush never lost a pre-election poll. Although the margins of victory were very small in the summer. The final 3 poll averaged showed Bush leading with 51% to Kerry's 44%.[3]

[edit] Analysis

In the prior election, Ralph Nader obtained over 2% of the vote, thus Bush won with less than 50% of the vote, making his approval rating and his brother's approval ratings the deciding factor of the state. Polls throughout the campaign indicated that Florida was too close to call, prompting concerns about a repeat of the 2000 fiasco. However, the high popularity of George W. Bush's brother, Republican Governor Jeb Bush, contributed to a relatively comfortable victory for Bush, by a margin of 5% over his Democratic rival, John Kerry.

While the South Florida metropolitan area mostly voted for Kerry, the other parts of the state mainly supported Bush, being culturally closer to the rest of the southern United States than to Miami, home to large Hispanic and Jewish populations, as well as retirees and transplants from the largely liberal Northeastern United States.

Key to Bush's victory was increased turnout in Republican areas. Bush's margin of victory in several counties topped 70%, particularly in the Florida Panhandle. Bush also won a significant number of heavily populated and fast-growing areas including the Jacksonville area, the entire Tampa Bay area, Southwest Florida, suburban Orlando, the Space Coast, and Ocala.

[edit] Election Results

United States presidential election in Florida, 2004[4]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) Dick Cheney 3,964,522 52.1% 27
Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 3,583,544 47.1% 0
Reform Party Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 32,971 0.4% 0
Others - - 28,773 0.4% 0
Totals - 100.00% 27
Voter turnout 59%

[edit] Results by County

County John F. Kerry George W. Bush Others
Alachua 56.1% 62,504 42.9% 47,762 1.0% 1,062
Baker 21.9% 2,180 77.7% 7,738 0.4% 37
Bay 28.1% 21,068 71.2% 53,404 0.7% 552
Bradford 29.9% 3,244 69.6% 7,557 0.5% 54
Brevard 41.6% 110,309' 57.7% 153,068 0.8% 2,085
Broward 64.2% 453,873 34.6% 244,674 1.2% 8,325
Calhoun 35.5% 2,116 63.4% 3,782 1.1% 65
Charlotte 42.9% 34,256 55.7% 44,428 1.4% 1,102
Citrus 42.1% 29,277 56.9% 39,500 1.0% 690
Clay 23.3% 18,971 76.2% 62,078 0.5% 446
Collier 34.1% 43,892 65.0% 83,631 0.9% 1,160
Columbia 32.1% 8,031 67.1% 16,758 0.8% 202
DeSoto 41.1% 3,913 58.1% 5,524 0.8% 73
Dixie 30.4% 1,960 68.8% 4,434 0.7% 48
Duval 41.6% 158,610 57.8% 220,190 0.6% 2,261
Escambia 33.7% 48,329 65.3% 93,566 1.0% 1,383
Flagler 48.3% 18,578 51.0% 19,633 0.7% 269
Franklin 40.5% 2,401 58.5% 3,472 1.0% 58
Gadsden 69.7% 14,629 29.8% 6,253 0.5% 102
Gilchrist 28.8% 2,017 70.4% 4,936 0.9% 62
Glades 41.0% 1,718 58.3% 2,443 0.6% 27
Gulf 33.1% 2,407 66.0% 4,805 0.9% 65
Hamilton 44.5% 2,260 55.0% 2,792 0.5% 27
Hardee 29.6% 2,149 69.7% 5,049 0.7% 51
Hendry 40.5% 3,960 58.9% 5,757 0.6% 58
Hernando 46.2% 37,187 52.9% 42,635 0.9% 725
Highlands 37.0% 15,347 62.4% 25,878 0.7% 271
Hillsborough 46.2% 214,132 53.0% 245,576 0.8% 3,514
Holmes 21.8% 1,810 77.3% 6,412 0.9% 78
Indian River 39.0% 23,956 60.1% 36,938 0.8% 520
Jackson 38.1% 7,555 61.2% 12,122 0.7% 130
Jefferson 55.3% 4,135 44.1% 3,298 0.6% 45
Lafayette 25.4% 845 74.0% 2,460 0.6% 20
Lake 38.9% 48,221 60.0% 74,389 1.1% 1,340
Lee 39.0% 93,860 59.9% 144,176 1.1% 2,631
Leon 61.5% 83,873 37.8% 51,615 0.7% 891
Levy 36.5% 6,074 62.5% 10,410 1.0% 168
Liberty 35.4% 1,070 63.8% 1,927 0.8% 24
Madison 48.8% 4,050 50.5% 4,191 0.8% 63
Manatee 42.7% 61,262 56.6% 81,318 0.7% 1,041
Marion 41.0% 57,271 58.2% 81,283 0.8% 1,123
Martin 41.7% 30,208 57.1% 41,362 1.2% 883
Miami-Dade 52.9% 409,732 46.6% 361,095 0.5% 3,899
Monroe 49.7% 19,654 49.2% 19,467 1.0% 414
Nassau 26.2% 8,573 72.6% 23,783 1.2% 387
Okaloosa 21.6% 19,368 77.6% 69,693 0.8% 695
Okeechobee 42.3% 5,153 57.2% 6,978 0.5% 59
Orange 49.8% 193,354 49.6% 192,539 0.6% 2,151
Osceola 47.0% 38,633 52.5% 43,117 0.6% 454
Palm Beach 60.4% 328,687 39.1% 212,688 0.6% 3,247
Pasco 44.4% 84,749 54.1% 103,230 1.5% 2,937
Pinellas 49.5% 225,460 49.6% 225,686 0.9% 4,211
Polk 40.8% 86,009 58.6% 123,559 0.6% 1,262
Putnam 40.1% 12,412 59.1% 18,311 0.8% 250
Saint Johns 30.6% 26,399 68.6% 59,196 0.8% 695
Saint Lucie 51.8% 51,835 47.6% 47,592 0.6% 636
Santa Rosa 21.8% 14,659 77.3% 52,059 0.9% 589
Sarasota 45.2% 88,442 53.5% 104,692 1.3% 2,518
Seminole 41.3% 76,971 58.1% 108,172 0.6% 1,052
Sumter 36.4% 11,584 62.2% 19,800 1.4% 458
Suwanee 28.6% 4,522 70.6% 11,153 0.8% 127
Taylor 35.5% 3,049 63.7% 5,467 0.8% 65
Union 26.8% 1,251 72.6% 3,396 0.6% 28
Volusia 50.5% 115,519 48.9% 111,924 0.7% 1,496
Wakulla 41.6% 4,896 57.6% 6,777 0.8% 90
Walton 25.9% 6,213 73.2% 17,555 0.9% 208
Washington 28.1% 2,912 71.1% 7,369 0.8% 85

[edit] Controversies

A chart comparing the final exit poll in Florida with the vote count

During the 2004 U.S. presidential election, numerous allegations of irregularities were made concerning the voting process in Florida. These allegations included missing and uncounted votes, machine malfunction, and a lack of correlation between the vote count and exit polling.

[edit] Electors

Main Article: List of United States presidential electors, 2004

Technically the voters of Florida cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Florida is allocated 27 electors because it has 25 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 27 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 27 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from Florida. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.[5]

  1. Al Austin
  2. Allan Bense
  3. Sally Bradshaw
  4. Al Cardenas
  5. Jennifer Carroll
  6. Armando Codina
  7. Sharon Day
  8. Maria de la Milera
  9. Jim Dozier
  10. David Griffin
  11. Fran Hancock
  12. Cynthia Handley
  13. William Harrison
  14. Al Hoffman
  15. Bill Jordan
  16. Tom Lee
  17. Randall McElheney
  18. Jeanne McIntosh
  19. Nancy Mihm
  20. Gary Morse
  21. Marilyn Paul
  22. Tom Petway
  23. Sergio Pino
  24. John Thrasher
  25. Janet Westling
  26. Robert Woody
  27. Zach Zachariah

[edit] References

[edit] External links

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