United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2008

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2008
Louisiana
2004 ←
November 4, 2008
→ 2012

  John McCain official portrait with alternative background.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,148,275 782,989
Percentage 58.56% 39.93%

Louisiana Presidential Election Results by Shaded County, 2008.svg

Parish Results
  Obama—70-80%
  Obama—60-70%
  Obama—50-60%
  McCain—50-60%
  McCain—60-70%
  McCain—70-80%
  McCain—80-90%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana which took place on November 4, 2008 was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Louisiana was won by Republican nominee John McCain by an 18.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe "red state". Although Bill Clinton carried the state twice, it had been trending Republican in recent years. Despite having the second-highest percentage of African Americans in the country in 2000, demographics have changed as many black voters have fled the state since Hurricane Katrina. Louisiana is rapidly turning into a more reliable red state as solidified by the comfortable margin enjoyed by McCain in 2008.

Primaries[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 17 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Republican[1]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican[2]
  3. Takeaway: Solid McCain[3]
  4. Election Projection: Solid McCain[4]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Republican[5]
  6. Washington Post: Solid McCain[6]
  7. Politico: Solid McCain[7]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid McCain[8]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid McCain[6]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Republican[9]
  11. New York Times: Solid Republican[10]
  12. CNN: Safe Republican[11]
  13. NPR: Solid McCain[6]
  14. MSNBC: Solid McCain[6]
  15. Fox News: Republican[12]
  16. Associated Press: Republican[13]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Republican[14]

Polling[edit]

McCain won every pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 50% to 40%.[15]

Fundraising[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $2,175,416 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,438,276.[16]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Obama spent $368,039. McCain and his interest groups spent $6,019.[17] McCain visited the state once, in New Orleans.[18]

Analysis[edit]

Polling in Louisiana gave a strong lead to McCain, sometimes as high as 19%,[19] and Barack Obama did not seriously contest the state. Governor Bobby Jindal endorsed McCain early on in the primary season. Louisiana was also one of only two states to list Ron Paul on their official ballot (the other being Montana which gave the largest percentage to any third party candidate nationwide).

After Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast in August 2005, several Louisiana residents, many of whom were African Americans from New Orleans, left the state and have yet to return. In 2008, Louisiana was one of five states that swung even more Republican from 2004. John McCain carried Louisiana with 58.56% of the vote, a tad bit better than George W. Bush's 56.72% of the vote in 2004.

At the same time, however, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu avoided the Republican trend in the state and held onto her U.S. Senate seat, taking in 52.11% of the vote to State Treasurer John N. Kennedy, a Democrat who switched parties to run against Landrieu. Republicans picked up two U.S. House seats in Louisiana (LA-02 and LA-06 with Joseph Cao and Bill Cassidy, respectively). In an extremely bad year for the Republican Party nationwide, Louisiana provided the GOP with a ray of hope and optimism.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2008[20]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 1,148,275 58.56% 9
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 782,989 39.93% 0
Louisiana Taxpayers Ron Paul (no campaign) Barry Goldwater, Jr. 9,368 0.48% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 9,187 0.47% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 6,997 0.36% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 2,581 0.13% 0
Socialist Workers James Harris Alyson Kennedy 735 0.04% 0
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva Eugene Puryear 354 0.02% 0
Prohibition Gene Amondson Leroy Pletten 275 0.01% 0
Totals 1,960,761 100.00% 9
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 62.0%

Results breakdown[edit]

By parish[edit]

Parish Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain#
Acadia 26.77% 7028 73.23% 19228
Allen 31.34% 2891 68.66% 6333
Ascension 31.89% 14620 68.11% 31225
Assumption 44.30% 4756 55.70% 5981
Avoyelles 38.20% 6327 61.80% 10234
Beauregard 22.27% 3071 77.73% 10718
Bienville 48.73% 3589 51.27% 3776
Bossier 27.97% 12701 72.03% 32706
Caddo 51.45% 55220 48.55% 52105
Calcasieu 37.48% 30227 62.52% 50431
Caldwell 23.22% 1118 76.78% 3696
Cameron 16.56% 613 83.44% 3089
Catahoula 32.24% 1659 67.76% 3486
Claiborne 44.65% 3025 55.35% 3750
Concordia 39.92% 3766 60.08% 5668
De Soto 43.23% 5241 56.77% 6882
East Baton Rouge 51.06% 99431 48.94% 95297
East Carroll 64.39% 2267 35.61% 1254
East Feliciana 44.66% 4383 55.34% 5431
Evangeline 37.41% 5852 62.59% 9792
Franklin 32.03% 2959 67.97% 6278
Grant 17.59% 1474 82.41% 6906
Iberia 38.30% 12492 61.70% 20123
Iberville 55.67% 9023 44.33% 7185
Jackson 32.12% 2456 67.88% 5190
Jefferson Davis 29.72% 3923 70.28% 9277
Jefferson 36.46% 64853 63.54% 113008
Lafayette 34.12% 32145 65.88% 62055
Lafourche 26.29% 9662 73.71% 27089
LaSalle 13.31% 860 86.69% 5601
Lincoln 43.64% 8267 56.36% 10676
Livingston 13.37% 6674 86.63% 43247
Madison 59.03% 3100 40.97% 2152
Morehouse 44.37% 5789 55.63% 7258
Natchitoches 46.28% 7801 53.72% 9054
Orleans 80.54% 116042 19.46% 28041
Ouachita 37.26% 24769 62.74% 41708
Plaquemines 32.90% 3378 67.10% 6889
Pointe Coupee 45.15% 5516 54.85% 6702
Rapides 35.46% 20109 64.54% 36605
Red River 45.57% 2080 54.43% 2484
Richland 36.54% 3311 63.46% 5751
Sabine 23.70% 2245 76.30% 7226
St. Bernard 26.58% 3491 73.42% 9642
St. Charles 34.11% 8519 65.89% 16456
St. Helena 58.58% 3567 41.42% 2522
St. James 56.28% 6993 43.72% 5432
St. John 58.23% 12420 41.77% 8908
St. Landry 48.35% 20267 51.65% 21647
St. Martin 39.47% 9419 60.53% 14443
St. Mary 41.48% 9342 58.52% 13181
St. Tammany 22.84% 24589 77.16% 83047
Tangipahoa 34.33% 16427 65.67% 31421
Tensas 54.63% 1646 45.37% 1367
Terrebonne 29.10% 11579 70.90% 28208
Union 28.94% 3103 71.06% 7619
Verm 25.73% 6261 74.27% 18069
Vernon 22.83% 3534 77.17% 11946
Washington 33.39% 6122 66.61% 12215
Webster 36.67% 6610 63.33% 11417
West Baton Rouge 43.11% 5043 56.89% 6654
West Carroll 17.83% 878 82.17% 4045
West Feliciana 43.39% 2414 56.61% 3149
Winn 30.64% 2044 69.36% 4628

By congressional district[edit]

John McCain carried six of the state’s seven congressional districts.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 72.72% 25.68% Bobby Jindal (110th Congress)
Steve Scalise (111th Congress)
2nd 24.86% 74.13% William J. Jefferson (110th Congress)
Joseph Cao (111th Congress)
3rd 60.99% 37.03% Charles Melancon
4th 59.28% 39.57% Jim McCrery (110th Congress)
John C. Fleming (111th Congress)
5th 61.75% 36.96% Rodney Alexander
6th 57.40% 41.26% Don Cazayoux (110th Congress)
Bill Cassidy (111th Congress)
7th 63.14% 35.20% Charles Boustany

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Louisiana is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[22]

  1. Lynn Skidmore
  2. Joe Lavigne
  3. Gordon Giles - He replaced Billy Nungesser, who was absent due to illness.[23]
  4. Alan Seabaugh
  5. Karen Haymon
  6. Charles Davis
  7. Charlie Buckels
  8. Dianne Christopher
  9. Roger F. Villere, Jr.

References[edit]

  1. ^ D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries
  2. ^ Presidential | The Cook Political Report
  3. ^ Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions
  4. ^ Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results
  5. ^ Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
  6. ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
  7. ^ POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
  8. ^ RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
  9. ^ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008
  10. ^ "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  11. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  12. ^ "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010. 
  13. ^ roadto270
  14. ^ Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
  15. ^ Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  16. ^ Presidential Campaign Finance
  17. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  18. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  19. ^ http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/louisiana/election_2008_louisiana_president
  20. ^ "Official General Election Results". The Green Papers. Retrieved 2008-12-12. 
  21. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Retrieved 2008-11-01. 
  22. ^ http://www.sos.louisiana.gov/Portals/0/elections/pdf/2008%20Presidential%20Electors.pdf
  23. ^ http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=9525360

See also[edit]