United States presidential election in Mississippi, 2008

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United States presidential election in Mississippi, 2008
Mississippi
2004 ←
November 4, 2008 → 2012

  John McCain official portrait with alternative background.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 724,597 554,662
Percentage 56.17% 43.00%

Mississippi Presidential Election Results by Shaded County, 2008.svg

County Results
  Obama—80-90%
  Obama—70-80%
  Obama—60-70%
  Obama—50-60%
  Obama—<50%
  McCain—50-60%
  McCain—60-70%
  McCain—70-80%
  McCain—80-90%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 6 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Mississippi was won by Republican nominee John McCain with a 13.2% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Although the state has the largest African American percentage in the country, Mississippi remains a safe red state at the presidential level, having voted Republican every election year since 1980. While there was comparably high African American turnout compared to previous elections in Mississippi, it was not enough to overcome the state's strong Republican leanings.

Primaries[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 17 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Republican[1]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican[2]
  3. Takeaway: Solid McCain[3]
  4. Election Projection: Solid McCain[4]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Republican[5]
  6. Washington Post: Solid McCain[6]
  7. Politico: Solid McCain[7]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid McCain[8]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid McCain[6]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Republican[9]
  11. New York Times: Solid Republican[10]
  12. CNN: Safe Republican[11]
  13. NPR: Solid McCain[6]
  14. MSNBC: Solid McCain[6]
  15. Fox News: Republican[12]
  16. Associated Press: Republican[13]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Republican[14]

Polling[edit]

McCain won every single pre-election poll, each with at least 50% of the vote with the exception of the one of them. The final 3 polls average gave the Republican a lead of 51% to 39%.[15]

Fundraising[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $1,386,749 in the state. Barack Obama raised $768,981.[16]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Obama spent $238,401. McCain and his interest groups spent $139,999.[17] The McCain ticket visited three times. Obama's ticket visited the state once.[18]

Analysis[edit]

The last Democratic presidential nominee to win Mississippi was Jimmy Carter in 1976. Due to its status as a safe red state, little campaigning took place in Mississippi by either of the two major party candidates.

Mississippi is one of the most racially polarized states when it comes to voting for president. African Americans uniformly vote Democratic while Caucasians vote Republican nearly as uniformly. In 2004, 14% of Caucasians voted for John Kerry and 10% of African Americans voted for Bush, according to exit polling.[19] In 2008, Barack Obama was able to improve on Kerry's performance by six percent, mainly due to the higher African American turnout. Obama's main support was in the Black Belt, the western delta counties next to the Mississippi River. In contrast, McCain's margins came from the regions bordering the Gulf Coast and the northeast Appalachian area. Voting became even more polarized: nine in ten whites voted Republican, and nearly all blacks voted Democratic in Mississippi, according to exit polls.[19] As expected, McCain carried the Magnolia State by a comfortable 13.18-point margin over Obama. McCain's margin of victory, however, was less than that of George W. Bush's 19.69-point margin of victory over John Kerry in 2004.

Mississippi was also the only state to list the official candidates of the Reform Party on their ballot.[20]

At the same time, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Thad Cochran was reelected with 61.44% of the vote over Democrat Erik Fleming who received 38.56%. Appointed U.S. Senator Roger Wicker stood for election as well in 2008 against former Democratic Governor Ronnie Musgrove. The race was expected to be much closer than it turned out but the Republicans ran ads accusing Musgrove of supporting gay rights, not a popular position in conservative Mississippi. Wicker defeated Musgrove by almost 10 points, 54.96%-45.04%.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Mississippi, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 724,597 56.17% 6
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 554,662 43.00% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 4,011 0.31% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 2,551 0.20% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 2,529 0.20% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 1,034 0.08% 0
Reform Ted Weill Frank McEnulty 481 0.04% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 74 0.01% 0
Totals 1,289,939 100.00% 6
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 61.2%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain#
Adams 59.01% 7,630 40.99% 5,300
Alcorn 27.51% 3,701 72.49% 9,752
Amite 44.07% 3,320 55.93% 4,214
Attala 41.79% 3,739 58.21% 5,209
Benton 48.85% 2,224 51.15% 2,329
Bolivar 67.85% 9,471 32.15% 4,487
Calhoun 35.53% 2,242 64.47% 4,068
Carroll 34.28% 2,027 65.72% 3,886
Chickasaw 50.74% 4,053 49.26% 3,934
Choctaw 35.73% 1,459 64.27% 2,624
Claiborne 84.93% 3,561 15.07% 632
Clarke 36.82% 2,727 63.18% 4,679
Clay 59.28% 6,424 40.72% 4,412
Coahoma 73.52% 6,947 26.48% 2,502
Copiah 53.34% 7,640 46.66% 6,683
Covington 41.01% 3,826 58.99% 5,503
DeSoto 30.69% 19,265 69.31% 43,510
Forrest 43.18% 11,622 56.82% 15,296
Franklin 37.29% 1,722 62.71% 2,896
George 16.55% 1,398 83.45% 7,050
Greene 23.81% 1,362 76.19% 4,358
Grenada 44.56% 4,995 55.44% 6,215
Hancock 21.57% 3,195 78.43% 11,614
Harrison 36.90% 22,175 63.10% 37,927
Hinds 70.21% 68,794 29.79% 29,187
Holmes 82.20% 6,945 17.80% 1,504
Humphreys 71.90% 3,180 28.10% 1,243
Issaquena 61.89% 523 38.11% 322
Itawamba 21.12% 1,938 78.88% 7,240
Jackson 32.03% 15,534 67.97% 32,959
Jasper 55.01% 4,476 44.99% 3,660
Jefferson Davis 60.97% 3,924 39.03% 2,512
Jefferson 87.98% 3,295 12.02% 450
Jones 30.17% 8,089 69.83% 18,726
Kemper 62.93% 2,876 37.07% 1,694
Lafayette 43.76% 7,997 56.24% 10,278
Lamar 21.67% 4,694 78.33% 16,969
Lauderdale 40.25% 13,048 59.75% 19,368
Lawrence 36.79% 2,513 63.21% 4,318
Leake 44.22% 3,575 55.78% 4,509
Lee 34.44% 11,769 65.56% 22,403
Leflore 68.47% 8,914 31.53% 4,105
Lincoln 33.80% 5,505 66.20% 10,781
Lowndes 48.48% 13,110 51.52% 13,934
Madison 42.12% 18,034 57.88% 24,781
Marion 33.87% 3,764 66.13% 7,350
Marshall 59.01% 9,573 40.99% 6,650
Monroe 41.25% 7,137 58.75% 10,165
Montgomery 45.96% 2,244 54.04% 2,638
Neshoba 26.40% 2,584 73.60% 7,205
Newton 32.58% 3,063 67.42% 6,338
Noxubee 76.73% 4,970 23.27% 1,507
Oktibbeha 50.02% 9,326 49.98% 9,320
Panola 52.69% 8,370 47.31% 7,515
Pearl River 18.74% 3,727 81.26% 16,156
Perry 27.35% 1,521 72.65% 4,040
Pike 51.68% 7,958 48.32% 7,441
Pontotoc 23.41% 2,951 76.59% 9,656
Prentiss 28.16% 3,020 71.84% 7,703
Quitman 67.71% 2,797 32.29% 1,334
Rankin 23.00% 14,235 77.00% 47,645
Scott 43.15% 4,709 56.85% 6,205
Sharkey 68.72% 1,722 31.28% 784
Simpson 39.74% 4,393 60.26% 6,660
Smith 24.16% 1,821 75.84% 5,715
Stone 27.25% 1,746 72.75% 4,661
Sunflower 71.17% 7,158 28.83% 2,900
Tallahatchie 59.96% 3,646 40.04% 2,435
Tate 39.32% 4,951 60.68% 7,639
Tippah 26.97% 2,514 73.03% 6,809
Tishomingo 23.86% 1,941 76.14% 6,195
Tunica 77.15% 2,917 22.85% 864
Union 24.73% 2,727 75.27% 8,302
Walthall 44.63% 3,421 55.37% 4,244
Warren 48.84% 9,502 51.16% 9,953
Washington 67.25% 12,884 32.75% 6,274
Wayne 38.93% 3,860 61.07% 6,056
Webster 24.68% 1,321 75.32% 4,032
Wilkinson 69.21% 3,498 30.79% 1,556
Winston 45.70% 4,606 54.30% 5,473
Yalobusha 46.27% 3,104 53.73% 3,604
Yazoo 57.57% 5,725 42.43% 4,219

By congressional district[edit]

John McCain carried three of the state’s four congressional districts, including two districts held by Democrats.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 61.28% 37.74% Roger Wicker (110th Congress)
Travis Childers (111th Congress)
2nd 33.57% 65.86% Bennie G. Thompson
3rd 61.08% 38.17% Chip Pickering (110th Congress)
Gregg Harper (111th Congress)
4th 67.27% 31.76% Gene Taylor

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Mississippi cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Mississippi is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[22] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[23]

  1. Jim Barksdale
  2. Barry Bridgforth
  3. Fred Carl
  4. Bobby Chain
  5. Charles Doty
  6. Victor Mavar

References[edit]

See also[edit]