United States presidential election in South Dakota, 2004

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United States presidential election in South Dakota, 2004
South Dakota
2000 ←
November 2, 2004 → 2008

  George-W-Bush.jpeg John F. Kerry.jpg
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 232,584 149,244
Percentage 59.9% 38.4%

SD2004.jpg

County Results
  Kerry—80-90%
  Kerry—70-80%
  Kerry—60-70%
  Kerry—50-60%
  Bush—50-60%
  Bush—60-70%
  Bush—70-80%
  Bush—80-90%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in South Dakota took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

South Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 21.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Since 1940, the state has voted for the Republican nominee in every Presidential election, except 1964.

Primaries[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling[edit]

Bush won every pre-election by a double digit margin. The final 3 poll average showed Bush with 55% to Kerry at 39%.[2]

Fundraising[edit]

Bush raised $399,805.[3] Kerry raised $71,553.[4]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign season.[5][6]

Analysis[edit]

South Dakota politics are generally dominated by the Republican Party, and the state has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964 — even George McGovern, the Democratic nominee in 1972 and himself a South Dakotan, did not carry the state.[7][8] Additionally, a Democrat has not won the governorship since 1978. As of 2006, Republicans hold a 10% voter registration advantage over Democrats[9] and hold majorities in both the state House of Representatives[10] and Senate.[11]

Despite the state's general Republican and conservative leanings, Democrats have found success in various state-wide elections, most notably in those involving South Dakota's congressional representatives in Washington. Two of the three current members of the state's congressional delegation are Democrats, and until his electoral defeat in 2004 Senator Tom Daschle was the Senate minority leader (and briefly its majority leader during Democratic control of the Senate in 2001–02).[12]

Results[edit]

Presidential Candidate Running Mate Party Electoral Vote (EV) Popular Vote (PV)
George W. Bush Richard Cheney Republican 3 232,584 59.91%
John Kerry John Edwards Democrat 0 149,244 38.44%
Ralph Nader Peter Camejo Reform 0 4,320 1.11%
Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin Constitution 0 1,103 0.28%
Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna Libertarian 0 964 0.25%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others#
Aurora County, South Dakota 37.6% 620 61.2% 1,009 1.2% 20
Beadle County, South Dakota 40.6% 3,443 58.0% 4,917 1.4% 120
Bennett County, South Dakota 46.6% 759 51.1% 833 2.3% 38
Bon Homme County, South Dakota 37.9% 1,293 60.5% 2,063 1.5% 52
Brookings County, South Dakota 40.7% 5,443 57.3% 7,662 2.0% 270
Brown County, South Dakota 42.7% 7,943 55.8% 10,386 1.5% 270
Brule County, South Dakota 39.6% 1,040 58.7% 1,544 1.7% 45
Buffalo County, South Dakota 71.7% 603 26.5% 223 1.8% 15
Butte County, South Dakota 23.6% 1,009 74.1% 3,166 2.2% 96
Campbell County, South Dakota 24.9% 239 73.8% 708 1.3% 12
Charles Mix County, South Dakota 44.9% 2,155 53.3% 2,556 1.8% 87
Clark County, South Dakota 37.6% 875 61.7% 1,435 0.7% 17
Clay County, South Dakota 54.0% 3,315 43.9% 2,692 2.1% 129
Codington County, South Dakota 37.7% 4,803 61.0% 7,778 1.3% 170
Corson County, South Dakota 56.4% 972 41.8% 720 1.9% 32
Custer County, South Dakota 29.6% 1,272 67.9% 2,922 2.6% 110
Davison County, South Dakota 36.4% 3,263 62.1% 5,561 1.4% 128
Day County, South Dakota 51.3% 1,817 47.2% 1,671 1.5% 52
Deuel County, South Dakota 39.8% 961 58.3% 1,406 1.9% 45
Dewey County, South Dakota 62.6% 1,606 35.9% 921 1.4% 37
Douglas County, South Dakota 19.5% 393 79.3% 1,596 1.1% 23
Edmunds County, South Dakota 34.2% 765 64.2% 1,434 1.6% 35
Fall River County, South Dakota 34.5% 1,326 62.8% 2,413 2.8% 106
Faulk County, South Dakota 30.5% 418 69.0% 945 0.4% 6
Grant County, South Dakota 39.9% 1,633 58.5% 2,392 1.6% 65
Gregory County, South Dakota 31.9% 813 66.2% 1,685 1.9% 48
Haakon County, South Dakota 17.7% 219 81.2% 1,007 1.1% 14
Hamlin County, South Dakota 33.7% 1,015 64.6% 1,946 1.7% 50
Hand County, South Dakota 30.5% 668 67.8% 1,482 1.7% 37
Hanson County, South Dakota 34.7% 745 64.1% 1,379 1.2% 26
Harding County, South Dakota 11.5% 94 86.4% 704 2.1% 17
Hughes County, South Dakota 30.5% 2,697 68.1% 6,017 1.4% 121
Hutchinson County, South Dakota 28.4% 1,177 69.9% 2,899 1.7% 71
Hyde County, South Dakota 28.8% 259 70.1% 631 1.1% 10
Jackson County, South Dakota 40.0% 508 57.1% 726 2.9% 37
Jerauld County, South Dakota 39.0% 482 59.5% 736 1.5% 18
Jones County, South Dakota 18.7% 134 78.8% 565 2.5% 18
Kingsbury County, South Dakota 38.6% 1,163 59.9% 1,804 1.6% 47
Lake County, South Dakota 41.8% 2,509 55.9% 3,359 2.3% 139
Lawrence County, South Dakota 33.2% 3,857 64.5% 7,489 2.3% 273
Lincoln County, South Dakota 33.4% 5,703 65.4% 11,161 1.2% 202
Lyman County, South Dakota 44.9% 872 53.0% 1,029 2.0% 39
McCook County, South Dakota 36.7% 1,201 61.7% 2,017 1.6% 53
McPherson County, South Dakota 23.4% 369 74.7% 1,180 1.9% 30
Marshall County, South Dakota 46.5% 1,099 52.5% 1,242 1.0% 23
Meade County, South Dakota 25.6% 2,941 72.6% 8,347 1.9% 216
Mellette County, South Dakota 38.8% 361 59.4% 553 1.8% 17
Miner County, South Dakota 43.6% 641 55.1% 810 1.3% 19
Minnehaha County, South Dakota 41.6% 32,314 56.9% 44,189 1.5% 1,129
Moody County, South Dakota 46.6% 1,609 51.9% 1,790 1.5% 52
Pennington County, South Dakota 31.6% 14,213 66.7% 29,976 1.7% 779
Perkins County, South Dakota 23.1% 418 73.3% 1,329 3.6% 66
Potter County, South Dakota 28.6% 463 70.6% 1,143 0.7% 12
Roberts County, South Dakota 50.7% 2,527 48.1% 2,396 1.2% 59
Sanborn County, South Dakota 40.7% 581 57.3% 817 2.0% 28
Shannon County, South Dakota 84.6% 3,566 12.5% 526 2.9% 122
Spink County, South Dakota 39.2% 1,478 59.9% 2,259 1.0% 37
Stanley County, South Dakota 28.6% 464 69.6% 1,129 1.8% 30
Sully County, South Dakota 21.9% 201 76.6% 702 1.5% 14
Todd County, South Dakota 72.2% 2,543 25.2% 889 2.6% 92
Tripp County, South Dakota 30.0% 972 68.7% 2,230 1.3% 43
Turner County, South Dakota 34.1% 1,646 63.8% 3,084 2.2% 104
Union County, South Dakota 42.6% 3,000 56.6% 3,987 0.9% 61
Walworth County, South Dakota 30.5% 878 68.3% 1,967 1.2% 35
Yankton County, South Dakota 40.6% 4,237 57.5% 6,003 1.8% 191
Ziebach County, South Dakota 57.4% 641 40.1% 447 2.5% 28

By congressional district[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
At-large 59.9% 38.4% Stephanie Herseth Sandlin

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of SD cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. SD is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged for Bush/Cheney.[13]

  1. Dennis Daugaard
  2. Larry Long
  3. Mike Rounds

References[edit]

See also[edit]