United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2008

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United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2008
Wisconsin
2004 ←
November 4, 2008
→ 2012

  Obama portrait crop.jpg John McCain official portrait with alternative background.jpg
Nominee Barack Obama John McCain
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Arizona
Running mate Joe Biden Sarah Palin
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,677,211 1,262,393
Percentage 56.22% 42.31%

Wisconsin presidential election results 2008.svg

County Results
  Obama—80-90%
  Obama—70-80%
  Obama—60-70%
  Obama—50-60%
  Obama—<50%
  McCain—<50%
  McCain—50-60%
  McCain—60-70%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Wisconsin was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama by a 13.91% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state, despite the extremely close margins of victory in the previous two presidential elections. Polling throughout the state began to show a sizable and widening lead for Democrat Barack Obama of neighboring Illinois over Republican John McCain of Arizona. Obama carried Wisconsin with over 56% of the vote, significantly improving upon John Kerry's margin of victory in 2004.

Primaries[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 17 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Democrat[1]
  2. Cook Political Report: Leaning Democrat[2]
  3. Takeaway: Solid Obama[3]
  4. Election Projection: Solid Obama[4]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Democrat[5]
  6. Washington Post: Solid Obama[6]
  7. Politico: Solid Obama[7]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid Obama[8]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid Obama[9]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Democrat[10]
  11. New York Times: Leaning Democrat[11]
  12. CNN: Leaning Democrat[12]
  13. NPR: Solid Obama[13]
  14. MSNBC: Solid Obama[14]
  15. Fox News: Democrat[15]
  16. Associated Press: Democrat[16]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Democrat[17]

Polling[edit]

Pre-election polling early on showed a tight race. Since May 18, Obama swept every single poll. Since September 21, Obama won every poll with at least 49% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 53% to 40%.[18]

Fundraising[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $1,728,185 in the state. Barack Obama raised $4,862,486.[19]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Obama and his interest groups spent $13,586,634. McCain and his interest groups spent $9,240,899.[20] Each ticket visited the state 7 times.[21]

Analysis[edit]

Having voted for the Democratic presidential nominees by extremely narrow margins in 2000 and 2004, Wisconsin was originally considered to be a swing state in 2008.[22] However, Obama took a wide lead in the polls in Wisconsin near the final weeks before the election and many pundits and news organizations labeled the state as a safe blue state.[23]

On Election Day, Obama won Wisconsin by a comfortable 13.91-percent margin of victory. Obama carried the heavily Democratic cities of Milwaukee and Madison by large margins, winning above two-thirds of the vote, along with some traditionally Republican cities like Green Bay and Appleton.[24] This was consistent with Obama's pattern of strong performances in the states bordering Illinois. The state's Republican base essentially melted; John McCain only carried 13 of the state's 72 counties. McCain did best in the Milwaukee suburbs like Waukesha and Ozaukee counties. The election confirmed Wisconsin's status as a Democratic-leaning Midwestern state; the last time Wisconsin voted for a Republican presidential nominee was in 1984 when Ronald Reagan carried the Badger State in his landslide reelection.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2008[25]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 1,677,211 56.22% 10
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 1,262,393 42.31% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 17,605 0.59% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 8,858 0.30% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 6,521 0.22% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 5,072 0.17% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 4,216 0.14% 0
Others - - 1,541 0.05% 0
Totals 2,983,417 100.00% 10
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 70.8%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain#
Adams 59.36% 5,808 40.64% 3,976
Ashland 69.44% 5,697 30.56% 2,507
Barron 53.59% 12,076 46.41% 10,456
Bayfield 64.32% 5,978 35.68% 3,316
Brown 54.64% 67,241 45.36% 55,827
Buffalo 57.46% 3,979 42.54% 2,946
Burnett 50.80% 4,337 49.20% 4,200
Calumet 51.11% 13,296 48.89% 12,720
Chippewa 54.62% 16,236 45.38% 13,489
Clark 54.04% 7,450 45.96% 6,337
Columbia 57.75% 16,658 42.25% 12,189
Crawford 63.82% 5,124 36.18% 2,905
Dane 73.85% 202,812 26.15% 71,829
Dodge 45.46% 19,178 54.54% 23,013
Door 58.78% 10,142 41.22% 7,112
Douglas 66.89% 15,827 33.11% 7,833
Dunn 57.58% 13,055 42.42% 9,616
Eau Claire 61.28% 33,143 38.72% 20,944
Florence 42.86% 1,134 57.14% 1,512
Fond du Lac 45.45% 23,457 54.55% 28,155
Forest 57.68% 2,671 42.32% 1,960
Grant 62.08% 14,911 37.92% 9,109
Green 63.08% 11,499 36.92% 6,730
Green Lake 42.58% 3,998 57.42% 5,392
Iowa 67.35% 8,076 32.65% 3,915
Iron 56.57% 1,915 43.43% 1,470
Jackson 61.08% 5,572 38.92% 3,550
Jefferson 50.41% 21,448 49.59% 21,095
Juneau 54.48% 6,209 45.52% 5,187
Kenosha 59.35% 45,615 40.65% 31,237
Kewaunee 55.61% 5,902 44.39% 4,711
La Crosse 61.91% 38,514 38.09% 23,698
Lafayette 61.33% 4,732 38.67% 2,984
Langlade 50.49% 5,182 49.51% 5,081
Lincoln 56.39% 8,419 43.61% 6,510
Manitowoc 53.83% 22,421 46.17% 19,231
Marathon 54.52% 36,363 45.48% 30,339
Marinette 53.41% 11,124 46.59% 9,705
Marquette 52.77% 4,051 47.23% 3,625
Menominee 87.17% 1,257 12.83% 185
Milwaukee 68.23% 316,916 31.77% 147,573
Monroe 54.04% 10,178 45.96% 8,657
Oconto 53.14% 9,926 46.86% 8,754
Oneida 55.29% 11,905 44.71% 9,627
Outagamie 55.90% 50,255 44.10% 39,641
Ozaukee 39.01% 20,570 60.99% 32,160
Pepin 56.54% 2,101 43.46% 1,615
Pierce 54.62% 11,695 45.38% 9,715
Polk 49.08% 10,876 50.92% 11,282
Portage 64.25% 24,815 35.75% 13,807
Price 56.87% 4,559 43.13% 3,458
Racine 53.76% 53,405 46.24% 45,941
Richland 60.24% 5,072 39.76% 3,348
Rock 64.87% 50,515 35.13% 27,356
Rusk 54.23% 3,855 45.77% 3,253
Sauk 61.66% 18,606 38.34% 11,567
Sawyer 53.15% 4,763 46.85% 4,199
Shawano 52.07% 10,192 47.93% 9,381
Sheboygan 49.67% 30,392 50.33% 30,796
St. Croix 48.09% 20,989 51.91% 22,657
Taylor 49.86% 4,560 50.14% 4,586
Trempealeau 63.38% 8,320 36.62% 4,807
Vernon 61.19% 8,478 38.81% 5,377
Vilas 47.92% 6,490 52.08% 7,054
Walworth 48.69% 24,176 51.31% 25,482
Washburn 52.55% 4,716 47.45% 4,259
Washington 35.01% 25,713 64.99% 47,725
Waukesha 37.01% 85,248 62.99% 145,089
Waupaca 51.64% 12,952 48.36% 12,131
Waushara 50.43% 5,868 49.57% 5,769
Winnebago 55.93% 48,156 44.07% 37,943
Wood 56.70% 21,705 43.30% 16,576

By congressional district[edit]

Barack Obama swept the state, carrying seven of the state’s eight congressional districts, including two districts held by Republicans.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 47.45% 51.40% Paul Ryan
2nd 29.78% 69.00% Tammy Baldwin
3rd 40.80% 57.76% Ron Kind
4th 23.61% 75.39% Gwen Moore
5th 57.73% 41.28% Jim Sensenbrenner
6th 48.72% 49.91% Tom Petri
7th 42.52% 55.91% David Obey
8th 45.12% 53.59% Steve Kagen

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Wisconsin cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wisconsin is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[26] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:[27]

  1. Ray Rivera
  2. Fred Risser
  3. Rollie Hick
  4. Polly Williams
  5. Dean Palmer
  6. Gordon Hintz
  7. Christine Bremer-Muggli
  8. Donsia Strong Hill
  9. Jim Doyle
  10. Joe Wineke

References[edit]

  1. ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html
  2. ^ http://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential#belowMap
  3. ^ Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Retrieved 2009-11-14. 
  4. ^ http://www.electionprojection.com/2008elections/president08.shtml
  5. ^ http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html
  6. ^ Based on Takeaway
  7. ^ http://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html
  8. ^ http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5
  9. ^ Based on Takeaway
  10. ^ http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/
  11. ^ The New York Times http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse |url= missing title (help). Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  12. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. 2008-10-31. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  13. ^ Based on Takeaway
  14. ^ Based on Takeaway
  15. ^ "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News. 2010-04-27. 
  16. ^ http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/
  17. ^ http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update
  18. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=55
  19. ^ http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=WI&cand_id=P00000001
  20. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  21. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  22. ^ "Reality Check: Wisconsin Still Considered A Swing State". Retrieved 2008-11-12. 
  23. ^ "RealClearPolitics: Wisconsin Head-to-Head Polls". Retrieved 2008-11-12. 
  24. ^ "Local and National Election Results". CNN. Retrieved 2008-11-12. 
  25. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  26. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Retrieved 2008-11-01. 
  27. ^ http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2008-certificates/index.html#wi

See also[edit]