United States presidential election in Wyoming, 2008

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United States presidential election in Wyoming, 2008
Wyoming
2004 ←
November 4, 2008 → 2012

  John McCain official portrait with alternative background.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 164,958 82,868
Percentage 64.78% 32.54%

Wyoming Presidential Election Results by Shaded County, 2008.svg

County Results
  Obama—60-70%
  Obama—50-60%
  McCain—50-60%
  McCain—60-70%
  McCain—70-80%
  McCain—80-90%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Wyoming was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 32.2% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Polling in the state gave a hefty and large lead to Republican John McCain over Democrat Barack Obama. Because of Wyoming's status as a safe red state, none of the major party candidates campaigned in the state. Despite McCain's landslide victory, Obama did do significantly better than John Kerry in 2004 and even won one more county than Kerry.

Caucuses[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 17 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Republican[1]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican[2]
  3. Takeaway: Solid McCain[3]
  4. Election Projection: Solid McCain[4]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Republican[5]
  6. Washington Post: Solid McCain[6]
  7. Politico: Solid McCain[7]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid McCain[8]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid McCain[9]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Republican[10]
  11. New York Times: Solid Republican[11]
  12. CNN: Safe Republican[12]
  13. NPR: Solid McCain[13]
  14. MSNBC: Solid McCain[14]
  15. Fox News: Republican[15]
  16. Associated Press: Republican[16]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Republican[17]

Polling[edit]

McCain won every single pre-election poll, and each by a double digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls average McCain leading with 58% to 35%.[18]

Fundraising[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $447,757 in the state. Barack Obama raised $723,033.[19]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Because Wyoming is a strong red state, not much advertising went into the state. Obama didn't spend anything while the Republican National Committee spent $2,518.[20] Neither campaign visited the state.[21]

Analysis[edit]

Located in the Inner Mountain West, Wyoming is one of the most reliably Republican states in the nation—and by some measures, the most Republican and home to then Vice President Dick Cheney. Its demographics are a perfect fit for the Republican Party. It is the least populated state in the nation (even less than the District of Columbia), has no major metropolitan areas, and is a heavily rural and White/Caucasian state. Voters in the state tend to be very conservative on both social and fiscal issues. No Democratic presidential nominee has won Wyoming since Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide election in 1964--one of only five times a Democrat has won the state since statehood. Democrats however, did hold the state's governorship all but eight years between 1975 and 2011.

Republicans have several structural advantages in the state. Large chunks of Wyoming are located in out-of-state television markets—most notably Denver and Salt Lake City. This forces candidates to advertise in areas where most of their audience can't vote for them. Additionally, 60 percent of the state's registered voters are Republicans while only 25 percent are Democrats—one of the largest discrepancies in the nation.

The 2008 election was no different. The state was called for McCain as soon as the polls closed, and gave McCain his Second largest margin of victory in 2008. McCain carried Laramie County, the most populous county that contains the state capital and largest city of Cheyenne, with 58.98 percent of the vote as well as every other county throughout the state often by more than two-to-one margins but two. Obama greatly improved upon Kerry's performance in Teton County, the most affluent county in Wyoming that includes the Jackson Hole prime ski resort and tourism attractions such as Yellowstone National Park and Grand Teton National Park, carrying the county with 60.67% of the vote. Obama also won Albany County, due in large part to the presence of the University of Wyoming at Laramie and the tremendous excitement that his campaign fueled among younger voters and college students.

During the same election, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike Enzi was reelected in a landslide victory over Democrat Chris Rothfuss, a professor of political science at the University of Wyoming. Enzi received 75.63% of the vote while Rothfuss took in 24.26%. For the state's other U.S. Senate seat's special election, incumbent Republican John Barrasso was also elected in a landslide with 73.35% of the vote over Democratic attorney Nick Carter of Gillette who received 26.53%. The state's sole seat in the United States House of Representatives was also up for grabs, with incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Barbara Cubin retiring. Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis, a Republican, defeated Democrat Gary Trauner and Libertarian W. David Herbert for the at-large seat. Lummis received 52.62% of the vote to Trauner's 42.81% and Herbert's 4.42%. Democrats did have success at the state level, however, as they picked up two seats in the Wyoming House of Representatives.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Wyoming, 2008
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 164,958 64.78% 3
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 82,868 32.54% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 2,525 0.99% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 1,594 0.63% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 1,521 0.60% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 1,192 0.47% 0
Totals 254,658 100.00% 3
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 64.1%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County McCain Votes Obama Votes Others Votes Total[22]
Albany 46.1% 7,936 50.3% 8,644 3.1% 537 17,201
Big Horn 75.7% 4,045 19.1% 1,018 2.9% 157 5,341
Campbell 79.4% 13,011 18.2% 2,990 1.9% 319 16,385
Carbon 62.7% 4,331 33.8% 2,336 2.7% 187 6,900
Converse 75.7% 4,922 21.2% 1,380 2.3% 149 6,501
Crook 80.1% 2,967 16.5% 612 2.8% 104 3,706
Fremont 62.6% 11,083 33.9% 6,016 2.8% 493 17,715
Goshen 66.1% 3,942 30.7% 1,832 2.3% 138 5,965
Hot Springs 71.5% 1,834 24.1% 619 3.6% 93 2,564
Johnson 76.2% 3,334 20.7% 908 2.6% 112 4,375
Laramie 58.7% 24,549 38.4% 16,072 2.4% 1004 41,806
Lincoln 75.2% 6,485 21.2% 1,823 2.9% 258 8,615
Natrona 65.4% 21,906 31.3% 10,475 2.6% 886 33,473
Niobrara 77.9% 1,017 18.7% 244 2.5% 32 1,304
Park 72.0% 10,839 24.9% 3,757 2.6% 389 15,049
Platte 65.3% 3,002 30.6% 1,407 3.3% 151 4,597
Sheridan 67.7% 10,177 29.6% 4,458 2.3% 346 15,039
Sublette 75.7% 3,316 21.4% 936 2.4% 104 4,375
Sweetwater 61.5% 10,360 34.2% 5,762 3.5% 581 16,833
Teton 36.9% 4,565 60.5% 7,472 2.3% 279 12,359
Uinta 68.4% 5,763 27.5% 2,317 3.6% 305 8,418
Washakie 72.1% 2,956 25.4% 1,042 2.2% 91 4,100
Weston 76.7% 2,618 19.3% 658 3.4% 117 3,414

By congressional district[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District McCain Obama Representative
At-large 64.8% 32.5% Cynthia Lummis

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Wyoming cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wyoming is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[23] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[24]

  1. Rosa Goolsby
  2. Ron Micheli
  3. Susan Thomas

References[edit]

  1. ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html
  2. ^ http://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential#belowMap
  3. ^ http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/
  4. ^ http://www.electionprojection.com/2008elections/president08.shtml
  5. ^ http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html
  6. ^ Based on Takeaway
  7. ^ http://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html
  8. ^ http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5
  9. ^ Based on Takeaway
  10. ^ http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/
  11. ^ The New York Times http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse |url= missing title (help). Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  12. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker – CNN.com Blogs". CNN. October 31, 2008. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  13. ^ Based on Takeaway
  14. ^ Based on Takeaway
  15. ^ "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010. 
  16. ^ http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/
  17. ^ http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update
  18. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=56
  19. ^ http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=WY&cand_id=P00000001
  20. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  21. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010. 
  22. ^ "Total Ballots by County – WY Sec. of State". Retrieved 2008-11-20. 
  23. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Retrieved 2008-11-01. 
  24. ^ http://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/WyoPresElectorInfo.aspx

See also[edit]