2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
Content deleted Content added
→Polling: Add missing |
|||
| Line 46: | Line 46: | ||
===Candidates=== |
===Candidates=== |
||
====Declared==== |
====Declared==== |
||
* Daniel Greene<ref>{{cite web|url=http://nashua.patch.com/groups/elections/p/ballot-law-commission-confirms-havenstein-candidacy|title=Ballot Law Commission Confirms Havenstein Candidacy|work=Nashua Patch|date=June 30, 2014|accessdate=July 15, 2014|first=Dan|last=Tuohy}}</ref> |
|||
* [[Walt Havenstein]], businessman<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.unionleader.com/article/20140402/NEWS06/140409857|title=Republican Walt Havenstein running for governor|date=April 2, 2014|accessdate=April 2, 2014|work=New Hampshire Union Leader|author=John DiStaso}}</ref> |
* [[Walt Havenstein]], businessman<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.unionleader.com/article/20140402/NEWS06/140409857|title=Republican Walt Havenstein running for governor|date=April 2, 2014|accessdate=April 2, 2014|work=New Hampshire Union Leader|author=John DiStaso}}</ref> |
||
* Andrew Hemingway, businessman, [[Tea Party movement|Tea Party]] activist and candidate for Chairman of the [[New Hampshire Republican State Committee]] in 2013<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.concordmonitor.com/home/10444034-95/entrepreneur-political-activist-to-challenge-hassan-in-race-for-governor|title=Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor|work=[[Concord Monitor]]|last=Ronayne|first=Kathleen |date=January 30, 2014|accessdate=January 31, 2014}}</ref> |
* Andrew Hemingway, businessman, [[Tea Party movement|Tea Party]] activist and candidate for Chairman of the [[New Hampshire Republican State Committee]] in 2013<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.concordmonitor.com/home/10444034-95/entrepreneur-political-activist-to-challenge-hassan-in-race-for-governor|title=Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor|work=[[Concord Monitor]]|last=Ronayne|first=Kathleen |date=January 30, 2014|accessdate=January 31, 2014}}</ref> |
||
* Jonathan Smolin<ref>{{cite web|url=http://nashua.patch.com/groups/elections/p/ballot-law-commission-confirms-havenstein-candidacy|title=Ballot Law Commission Confirms Havenstein Candidacy|work=Nashua Patch|date=June 30, 2014|accessdate=July 15, 2014|first=Dan|last=Tuohy}}</ref> |
|||
Jonathan Smolin |
|||
====Potential==== |
====Potential==== |
||
Revision as of 16:24, 15 July 2014
 | |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| Elections in New Hampshire |
|---|
 |
The 2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan is running for re-election to a second term in office.
Background
Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch decided to retire in 2012, rather than seek re-election to a fifth term in office. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, by 55% to 43%.
New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. On only one occasion since 1926 has a first-term Governor of New Hampshire been defeated for re-election to a second term: in 2004 when Lynch beat incumbent Republican Governor Craig Benson.[1][2] Hassan also boasts high approval ratings. An April 2014 WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll found that 57% of registered voters approve of the job she is doing, 58% have a favourable opinion of her and 70% think the state is going in the right direction.[3] For these reasons, Hassan is not considered vulnerable: The Cook Political Report,[4] Daily Kos Elections,[5] Governing[6] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] all consider the race "likely Democratic" and The Rothenberg Political Report rates the race "safe Democratic".[8]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Maggie Hassan, incumbent Governor[9]
- Ian Freeman, radio show host[10]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Daniel Greene[11]
- Walt Havenstein, businessman[12]
- Andrew Hemingway, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for Chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee in 2013[13]
- Jonathan Smolin[14]
Potential
- Bill Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[15]
- Jeanie Forrester, State Senator[15]
- Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester[16]
- George Lambert, State Representative[17]
- Chuck Morse, State Senator[16]
- Bob Odell, State Senator[15]
- Chuck Rolecek, businessman and candidate for the Executive Council of New Hampshire in 2012[15]
- John Stephen, former Commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Health & Human Services and nominee for Governor in 2010[16]
Declined
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative[18]
- Brad Cook, attorney[19][20]
- Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (running for NH-01)[21][22]
- Gary Lambert, former State Senator (running for NH-02)[23]
- Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[24]
- John Reagan, State Senator[25][26]
- Andy Sanborn, State Senator[27]
- Kevin H. Smith, conservative activist, former State Representative and candidate for Governor in 2012[1][28]
- John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator[29]
- Christopher T. Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)[30]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Binnie |
Ted Gatsas |
Daniel Greene |
Walt Havenstein |
Andrew Hemingway |
George Lambert |
Chuck Morse |
Jonathan Smolin |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | June 14–18, 2014 | 419 | ±4.8% | — | — | 3.82% | 12.89% | 6.92% | — | — | 1.67% | — | 74.7% |
| Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | ? | ±5.2% | — | — | — | 12% | 12% | — | — | — | — | 76% |
| Suffolk | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 426 | ± ? | 8.45% | 15.02% | — | — | 1.88% | 1.88% | 7.04% | — | — | 65.72% |
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Bill Binnie (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 54.75% | 25.75% | — | 19.50% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Ted Gatsas (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 387 | ± 5% | 50% | 27% | 1% | 23% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 28.25% | — | 18.75% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 584 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 34% | 2% | 19% |
| New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 1,063 | ± 3% | 53% | 25% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–21, 2013 | 933 | ± 3.2% | 51% | 35% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Daniel Greene (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 52.5% | 13.25% | 3.88%[31] | 30.88% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Walt Havenstein (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 58% | 29% | 1% | 10% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 50.63% | 19% | 2.88%[31] | 27.5% |
| American Research Group | June 14–18, 2014 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 32% | — | 23% |
| Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | 707 | ± 3.6% | 43% | 30% | — | 27% |
| Rockefeller Center | April 21–25, 2014 | 412 | ± 4.8% | 40% | 19.2% | — | 40.8% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 387 | ± 5% | 49% | 19% | 2% | 30% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Andrew Hemingway (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 54% | 28% | 0% | 18% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 51.38% | 17.13% | 2.5%[31] | 29% |
| Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | 707 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 31% | — | 27% |
| Hickman Analytics | April 24–30, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 28% | — | 22% |
| Rockefeller Center | April 21–25, 2014 | 412 | ± 4.8% | 40.2% | 20.3% | — | 39.5% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 387 | ± 5% | 49% | 22% | 1% | 28% |
| American Research Group | March 13–16, 2014 | 533 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 30% | — | 25% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 55.75% | 23.25% | — | 21% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 584 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 27% | 2% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
George Lambert (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 54.88% | 22.13% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 50% | 26% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 49% | 32% | — | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 56.25% | 23.25% | — | 20.50% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 50% | 27% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 49% | 33% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Jonathan Smolin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 51.63% | 14.5% | 2.88%[31] | 31% |
|
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
References
- ^ a b "Poll: Job approval ratings rise for Hassan". WMUR. July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 2, 2013.
- ^ Schweitzer, Sarah (November 4, 2004). "Defeated after 1 term, N.H. governor fades out". The Boston Globe. Retrieved on February 6, 2011.
- ^ "APPROVAL OF HASSAN AND LEGISLATURE REMAINS HIGH, MOST THINK NH IS ON RIGHT TRACK" (PDF). WMUR/UNH. October 24, 2013. Retrieved February 3, 2014.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013.
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ Mackin, Jean (May 30, 2014). "Gov. Hassan announces she is running for reelection". WMUR-TV. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
- ^ Dan Tuohy (June 12, 2014). "Liberty Activist, Free Stater Running for Governor as a Democrat". Salem Patch. Retrieved Juky 1, 2014.
{{cite web}}: Check date values in:|accessdate=(help) - ^ Tuohy, Dan (June 30, 2014). "Ballot Law Commission Confirms Havenstein Candidacy". Nashua Patch. Retrieved July 15, 2014.
- ^ John DiStaso (April 2, 2014). "Republican Walt Havenstein running for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
- ^ Ronayne, Kathleen (January 30, 2014). "Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved January 31, 2014.
- ^ Tuohy, Dan (June 30, 2014). "Ballot Law Commission Confirms Havenstein Candidacy". Nashua Patch. Retrieved July 15, 2014.
- ^ a b c d Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year". WMUR. Retrieved September 10, 2013.
- ^ a b c Pindell, James (November 9, 2012). "Political Standing for Nov. 9, 2012". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ Landrigan, Kevin (June 11, 2013). "Socially liberal, fiscally conservative Litchfield GOP Rep. Lambert may run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved June 11, 2013.
- ^ Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- ^ DiStaso, John (September 11, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: GOP Manchester attorney Brad Cook confirms eyeing a run for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 11, 2013.
- ^ DiStaso, John (January 29, 2014). "Conservative activist Andrew Hemingway plans run for NH governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2014.
- ^ Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids". Roll Call. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". Roll Call. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
- ^ "Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Associated Press. Daily Journal. September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
- ^ Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C." nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013.
- ^ Pindell, James (February 13, 2014). "NH Sen. Reagan being encouraged to run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
- ^ John DiStaso (April 4, 2014). "NH State Sen. John Reagan (R) ..." Twitter. Retrieved April 7, 2014.
- ^ Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved October 1, 2013.
- ^ Brennan, Kevin (January 25, 2013). "Smith Considering Another Gov. Run in N.H." National Journal. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 12, 2013.
- ^ DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
- ^ a b c d Max Abramson (L)
External links
- New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org
- Official campaign websites