Opinion polling for the 2017 United Kingdom general election
In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on 7 May 2015, to the present day. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020.
Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain.
Most YouGov polls include the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru as single options.
Graphical summary
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/93/Opinion_polling_UK_2017_election_short_axis.png/850px-Opinion_polling_UK_2017_election_short_axis.png)
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*').
The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Other" column.
2017
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
23 Feb | Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election, 2017 and Copeland by-election, 2017 | |||||||||
17–19 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 2,028 | 44% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 18% |
14–16 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,004 | 40% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 13% |
10–14 Feb | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,014 | 40% | 29% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
12–13 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,052 | 40% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 16% |
8–10 Feb | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 1,218 | 41% | 26% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 15% |
5–6 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,984 | 40% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 16% |
3–5 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,984 | 42% | 27% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 15% |
31 Jan – 1 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 37% | 30% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 7% |
30–31 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,705 | 40% | 26% | 12% | 11% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 14% |
23–24 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,643 | 40% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 6%[a] | 3% | 0% | 16% |
20–22 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 2,052 | 42% | 26% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 16% |
17–18 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,654 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 6%[a] | 3% | 0% | 17% |
13–16 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 1,132 | 43% | 31% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 4% | * | 12% |
13 Jan | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,177 | 38% | 29% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
10–12 Jan | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
9–10 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 39% | 28% | 13% | 11% | 6%[a] | 3% | 1% | 11% |
6–8 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 2,000 | 42% | 28% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 4% | * | 14% |
3–4 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,740 | 39% | 26% | 14% | 10% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 13% |
2016
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
18–19 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,595 | 39% | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 15% |
13–16 Dec | Opinium/Observer | 2,000 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
9–12 Dec | Ipsos MORI | 1,003 | 40% | 29% | 9% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
9–11 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 2,049 | 41% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
8 Dec | Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election | |||||||||
4–5 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,667 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 17% |
1 Dec | Richmond Park by-election | |||||||||
28–29 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,624 | 39% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 12% |
28 Nov | Paul Nuttall is elected the leader of UKIP | |||||||||
25–27 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 2,009 | 44% | 28% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 16% |
21–22 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 41% | 28% | 12% | 9% | 6%[a] | 4% | 0% | 13% |
18–20 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 2,031 | 42% | 28% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 14% |
15–18 Nov | Opinium | 2,005 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 12% |
14–15 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,717 | 42% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 7%[a] | 4% | 1% | 14% |
11–14 Nov | Ipsos MORI | 1,013 | 42% | 33% | 7% | 10% | 5%[a] | 3% | 1% | 9% |
1–4 Nov | Opinium | 2,001 | 40% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 8% |
31 Oct – 1 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,608 | 41% | 27% | 11% | 10% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 14% |
28–30 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 2,040 | 43% | 27% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 16% |
24–25 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,655 | 40% | 27% | 11% | 11% | 7%[a] | 3% | 1% | 13% |
19–24 Oct | BMG | 1,546 | 42% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 14% |
20 Oct | By-elections in Witney and Batley & Spen | |||||||||
19–20 Oct | YouGov/Election Data | 1,608 | 42% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 6%[a] | 5% | 1% | 16% |
14–17 Oct | Ipsos MORI | 1,016 | 47% | 29% | 6% | 7% | 6%[a] | 4% | 1% | 18% |
11–12 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,669 | 42% | 28% | 11% | 9% | 6%[a] | 3% | 0% | 14% |
7–9 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 2,017 | 43% | 26% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 17% |
4 Oct | Diane James resigns as leader of UKIP | |||||||||
28–29 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,658 | 39% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 6%[a] | 3% | 0% | 9% |
21–23 Sep | ICM/Sun on Sunday | 2,015 | 41% | 26% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 15% |
20–23 Sep | BMG | 2,026 | 39% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 11% |
19–21 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 3,285 | 39% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 6%[a] | 3% | 1% | 9% |
16 Sep | Diane James is elected the leader of UKIP | |||||||||
13–14 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,732 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 4% | – | 7% |
10–14 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,000 | 40% | 34% | 9% | 6% | 4%[a] | 5% | 1% | 6% |
9–11 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 2,013 | 41% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 14% |
4–5 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,616 | 40% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 7%[a] | 3% | – | 11% |
2 Sep | Caroline Lucas and Jonathan Bartley are elected joint leaders of the Green Party | |||||||||
30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,687 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 6%[a] | 4% | – | 8% |
26–28 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 2,040 | 41% | 27% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 14% |
22–23 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 40% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 6%[a] | 3% | 1% | 11% |
11–22 Aug | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 8,011 | 40% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
16–17 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,677 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 9% | 7%[a] | 4% | – | 8% |
13–15 Aug | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,017 | 45% | 34% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 11% |
12–15 Aug | ICM | 2,010 | 40% | 28% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 12% |
8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,692 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 7%[a] | 4% | – | 7% |
5–8 Aug | TNS | 1,199 | 39% | 26% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 13% |
1–2 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,722 | 42% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 6%[a] | 3% | 1% | 14% |
25–26 Jul | YouGov/The Times | 1,680 | 40% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 7%[a] | 4% | 1% | 12% |
22–24 Jul | ICM | 2,012 | 43% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 16% |
19–22 Jul | Opinium/Observer | 2,231 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
17–18 Jul | YouGov | 1,891 | 40% | 29% | 12% | 9% | 7%[a] | 3% | 1% | 11% |
13–15 Jul | ICM | 2,027 | 39% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 10% |
13 Jul | Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom | |||||||||
9–11 Jul | Ipsos MORI | 1,021 | 36% | 35% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
8–10 Jul | ICM | 2,025 | 38% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 8% |
4–5 Jul | Survation/Constitutional Research Council | 1,008 | 36% | 32% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | 7% | 4% |
1–3 Jul | ICM | 1,979 | 37% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
28–30 Jun | Opinium | 2,006 | 34% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
24–26 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 2,001 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
24–25 Jun | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,033 | 32% | 32% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | Tie |
23 Jun | United Kingdom European Union membership referendum: 52% of voters vote in favour of leaving European Union; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister | |||||||||
20–22 Jun | Opinium | 3,011 | 34% | 30% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
14–17 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,006 | 34% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
16 Jun | Tooting by-election; killing of MP Jo Cox, leading to a suspension of referendum campaigning until 19 June | |||||||||
15–16 Jun | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,046 | 34% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
11–14 Jun | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,257 | 35% | 34% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
10–13 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 2,001 | 34% | 30% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
10–13 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
7–10 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,009 | 35% | 32% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
31 May – 3 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 34% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
27–29 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,052 | 36% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
27–29 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
17–19 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,008 | 35% | 30% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
14–16 May | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,002 | 36% | 34% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
13–15 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 36% | 34% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
13–15 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,048 | 34% | 32% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
11–12 May | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,043 | 36% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 4% | – | 6% |
5 May | United Kingdom elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-elections | |||||||||
26–29 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 38% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8% |
25–26 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,650 | 30% | 33% | 20% | 6% | 8%[a] | 3% | – | 3% |
22–26 Apr | BMG Research | 1,375 | 33% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
16–18 Apr | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,026 | 38% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
15–17 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
15–17 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 2,008 | 36% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
13–14 Apr | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,036 | 35% | 30% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,639 | 31% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 7%[a] | 3% | – | 3% |
29 Mar – 1 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 1,966 | 33% | 32% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
24–29 Mar | BMG Research | 1,298 | 36% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
19–22 Mar | Ipsos MORI | 1,023 | 36% | 34% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
18–20 Mar | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,002 | 37% | 35% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
16–17 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,691 | 33% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 6%[a] | 3% | 2% | 1% |
11–13 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 36% | 36% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
9–10 Mar | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,059 | 38% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
21–23 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 3,482 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 8% | 6%[a] | 3% | – | 7% |
17–23 Feb | BMG Research | 1,268 | 38% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8% |
19–22 Feb | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,000 | 38% | 31% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
13–16 Feb | Ipsos MORI | 1,001 | 39% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
12–14 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 39% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% |
10–12 Feb | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,018 | 41% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
3–4 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,675 | 39% | 29% | 18% | 6% | 4%[a] | 3% | 1% | 10% |
27–28 Jan | YouGov | 1,735 | 39% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 4%[a] | 3% | 1% | 9% |
23–25 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 1,027 | 40% | 31% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
22–24 Jan | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,006 | 37% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
15–17 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
15–16 Jan | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,017 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
13–15 Jan | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,004 | 40% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
8–14 Jan | Panelbase/Sunday Times | 2,087 | 39% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 5% | – | 8% |
2015
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
18–20 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 39% | 34% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% |
17–18 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,598 | 39% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 5%[a] | 3% | 1% | 10% |
15–18 Dec | Opinium/Observer | 1,936 | 38% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 8% |
12–14 Dec | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,040 | 38% | 31% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 7% |
11–13 Dec | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,001 | 37% | 33% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
9–11 Dec | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,049 | 40% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
3 Dec | Oldham West and Royton by-election | |||||||||
30 Nov – 1 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,657 | 41% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 4%[a] | 3% | 1% | 11% |
20–24 Nov | YouGov | 4,317 | 38% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 5%[a] | 3% | 1% | 9% |
20–22 Nov | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,000 | 40% | 29% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 11% |
18–20 Nov | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,067 | 42% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 15% |
16–17 Nov | Survation/Leave.EU[b] | 1,546 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
14–17 Nov | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,021 | 41% | 34% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | - | 7% |
11–17 Nov | BMG Research | 1,334 | 37% | 30% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
13–15 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 39% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
9–11 Nov | Survation/Leave.EU[b] | 2,007 | 36% | 30% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
22–27 Oct | BMG Research | 1,467 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6% |
23–25 Oct | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,002 | 38% | 33% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
17–19 Oct | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,021 | 36% | 32% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
13–16 Oct | Opinium | 1,934 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
14–15 Oct | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,051 | 42% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 13% |
9–11 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 38% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
29–30 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,064 | 37% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 5%[a] | 2% | 1% | 6% |
26–28 Sep | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,009 | 39% | 30% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
21–22 Sep | Survation/Huffington Post | 1,008 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
19–22 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,255 | 39% | 34% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
17–18 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,601 | 39% | 31% | 16% | 6% | 5%[a] | 3% | 1% | 8% |
15–18 Sep | Opinium | 1,942 | 37% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
16–17 Sep | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,015 | 42% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 12% |
11–13 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
12 Sep | Jeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition | |||||||||
3–4 Sep | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,004 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
21–23 Aug | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,001 | 42% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 14% |
12–13 Aug | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,035 | 40% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 11% |
12–13 Aug | Survation/TSSA | 1,007 | 38% | 33% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
7–9 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 40% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 9% |
24–26 Jul | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,001 | 40% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 12% |
18–20 Jul | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,026 | 37% | 31% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 6% |
16 Jul | Tim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats | |||||||||
10–12 Jul | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 38% | 34% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
26–28 Jun | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,002 | 39% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% |
14–16 Jun | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,005 | 39% | 30% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 9% |
12–14 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 37% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
29–31 May | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,000 | 41% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% |
25–26 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,709 | 41% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4%[a] | 4% | 1% | 11% |
8–9 May | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,027 | 40% | 31% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
7 May | General Election results (GB only)[2][3] | 29,980,107 | 37.8% | 31.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 6.6% |
Sub-national polling
England
Scotland
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | SNP | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
5 May 2017 | Scottish local elections, 2017 | |||||||||
20–26 Jan 2017 | Panelbase/Sunday Times | 1,020 | 47% | 15% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
28 Sep – 4 Oct 2016 | BMG | 1,010 | 49% | 17% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 3% | - | 29% |
9–15 Sep 2016 | Panelbase/Sunday Times | 1,024 | 47% | 16% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | - | 23% |
13 Jul 2016 | Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom | |||||||||
5 May 2016 | Scottish Parliament election | |||||||||
7–10 Sep 2015 | Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1,010 | 52% | 21% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 3% | - | 31% |
15 Aug 2015 | Kezia Dugdale is elected leader of the Scottish Labour Party | |||||||||
3–7 Jul 2015 | Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1,084 | 51% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% | - | 30% |
7 May 2015 | General Election results | 2,910,465 | 50.0% | 24.3% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 25.7% |
Wales
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | Plaid | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
5 May 2017 | Welsh local elections, 2017 | |||||||||
3–6 Jan 2017 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,034 | 33% | 28% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 2% | 0 | 5% |
18–21 Sep 2016 | Welsh Political Barometer | 1,001 | 35% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0 | 6% |
30 Jun – 4 Jul 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,010 | 34% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
5 May 2016 | Welsh Assembly election and Ogmore by-election | |||||||||
19–22 Apr 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,001 | 37% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 14% |
7–11 Apr 2016 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,011 | 38% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 16% |
7–18 Mar 2016 | Economic and Social Research Council/Welsh Election Study | 3,272 | 36% | 25% | 16% | 14% | 6% | N/A | 3%[4] | 11% |
9–11 Feb 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,024 | 37% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 1% | - | 10% |
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2015 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,005 | 37% | 27% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 2% | - | 10% |
21–24 Sep 2015 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,151 | 42% | 26% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | - | 16% |
24–26 Jun 2015 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,151 | 37% | 28% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
7 May 2015 | General Election results | 1,498,433 | 36.9% | 27.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 9.7% |
Northern Ireland
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | DUP | SF | UUP | SDLP | Alliance | UKIP | TUV | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Social Democratic and Labour Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Alliance Party of Northern Ireland/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Traditional Unionist Voice/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
2 March 2017 | Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2017 | ||||||||||
5 May 2016 | Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2016 | ||||||||||
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 718,103 | 25.7% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
London
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:80px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:80px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:80px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:80px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:80px;"| | ||||||
5 May 2016 | London Assembly and Mayoral elections and United Kingdom local elections | |||||||||
15–19 Apr 2016 | YouGov/LBC | 1,017 | 46% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 16% | |
4–6 Jan 2016 | YouGov/LBC | 1,156 | 44% | 37% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 7% | |
8 Jun – 12 Aug 2015 | YouGov/LBC | 3,436 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | |
7 May 2015 | General Election results | 3,536,251 | 43.7% | 34.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 8.8% |
Preferred Prime Minister polling
Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). Most pollsters also include 'Not Sure' as an option, while others also provide 'None of these' as an option. Polls published prior to Theresa May’s election as Conservative Party Leader offered then-Prime Minister David Cameron as the Conservative option.
Two-option polling
2017
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | None of These | Not Sure | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||||||
14–16 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,004 | 46% | 13% | 29% | 12% | 33% |
12–13 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,052 | 49% | 15% | — | 36% | 34% |
31 Jan – 1 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 43% | 14% | 29% | 14% | 29% |
30–31 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,705 | 48% | 16% | — | 36% | 32% |
23–24 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,643 | 47% | 15% | — | 38% | 32% |
10–12 Jan | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 40% | 16% | 28% | 15% | 24% |
9–10 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 45% | 17% | — | 38% | 28% |
3–4 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,740 | 47% | 14% | — | 39% | 33% |
2016
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | None of These | Not Sure | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||||||
18–19 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,595 | 44% | 16% | — | 41% | 28% | |||
13–16 Dec | Opinium/The Observer | 2,000 | 42% | 16% | 28% | 13% | 26% | |||
4–5 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,667 | 49% | 16% | — | 35% | 33% | |||
28–29 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,624 | 45% | 18% | — | 37% | 27% | |||
15–18 Nov | Opinium/The Observer | 2,005 | 45% | 17% | 25% | 13% | 28% | |||
14–15 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,717 | 48% | 18% | — | 34% | 30% | |||
1–4 Nov | Opinium/The Observer | 2,001 | 45% | 16% | 25% | 13% | 29% | |||
31 Oct – 1 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,655 | 47% | 17% | — | 36% | 30% | |||
24–25 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,655 | 48% | 16% | — | 36% | 32% | |||
11–12 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,669 | 51% | 18% | — | 31% | 33% | |||
13–14 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,732 | 50% | 18% | — | 33% | 32% | |||
30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,687 | 52% | 21% | — | 27% | 31% | |||
22–23 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 50% | 19% | — | 30% | 31% | |||
16–17 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,677 | 51% | 19% | — | 30% | 32% | |||
8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,692 | 52% | 18% | — | 29% | 34% | |||
1–2 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,722 | 52% | 18% | — | 30% | 34% | |||
25–26 Jul | YouGov/The Times | 1,680 | 52% | 18% | — | 30% | 34% | |||
13 Jul | Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom | |||||||||
23 Jun | The UK votes to leave the European Union; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister | |||||||||
5 May | UK elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-elections | |||||||||
11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Times[5] | 1,693 | 23% | 30% | — | 46% | style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; color:white;"|7% |
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | David Cameron | Jeremy Corbyn | None of These | Not Sure | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||||||
11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 32% | 25% | — | 42% | 7% |
2015
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | David Cameron | Jeremy Corbyn | None of These | Not Sure | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||||||
17–18 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,598 | 49% | 23% | — | 29% | 26% |
13–16 Oct | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 41% | 22% | 30% | 8% | 19% |
Three-option polling
Lord Ashcroft's polls ask voters to choose between Theresa May, Jeremy Corbyn and Tim Farron (Liberal Democrats).
2016
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | Tim Farron | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||||
11–22 Aug | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 8,001 | 67% | 25% | 8% | 42% |
See also
- Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum
- Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election
- List of United Kingdom by-elections (2010–present)
- European Parliament election, 2019 (United Kingdom)
- Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2017
References
- ^ "Westminster Voting Intention". OpinionBee.uk. Retrieved 16 October 2016.
- ^ "Election 2015: Results – National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
- ^ "Election 2015: Results – Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
- ^ including Green
- ^ Hypothetical poll